Euro Higher After Upbeat German Data, ECB Minutes
12 Enero 2017 - 2:37AM
RTTF2
The euro was higher against its key counterparts in the European
session on Thursday, after data showed that German economy expanded
at the fastest pace in five years in 2016 and minutes from the
European Central Bank's latest monetary policy meeting showed that
the policy makers expect the inflation to rise in coming months in
the light of higher energy prices.
Data published by Destatis showed that German gross domestic
product grew 1.9 percent last year after expanding 1.7 percent in
2015. This was the fastest expansion since 2011, when the biggest
euro area economy grew 3.7 percent.
In calendar-adjusted terms, the GDP growth rate was 1.8 percent
versus 1.5 percent in 2015
The minutes of the bank's December policy meeting showed that
members broadly agreed that the inflation outlook and the risks
surrounding it warranted keeping a very substantial degree of
monetary accommodation in place and extending the asset purchase
program beyond March 2017.
Very broad support emerged among members for the option to
continue purchases beyond March 2017 at a monthly pace of €60
billion for an intended horizon of nine months, the minuted
showed.
In the meeting, the bank left all its three interest rates
unchanged for a sixth consecutive session and retained its asset
purchases of EUR 80 billion a month till March next year, but
decided to reduce the size beyond that to EUR 60 billion a month
till December 2017.
In other economic news, figures from Eurostat showed that
Eurozone industrial production grew much more than expected in
November.
Industrial production grew 1.5 percent month-on-month in
November, faster than October's revised 0.1 percent rise and the
expected expansion of 0.5 percent.
The euro showed mixed performance in the Asian session. While
the euro climbed against the greenback and the pound, it held
steady against the franc. Against the yen, it declined.
The single currency firmed to a 2-day high of 1.0747 against the
Swiss franc, after having declined to 1.0710 at 4:45 am ET. The
euro is seen finding resistance around the 1.09 level.
The euro spiked up to 1.0683 against the greenback, its
strongest since December 8. If the euro-greenback pair extends
rise, 1.10 is possibly seen as its next resistance level.
Following a decline to near a 5-week low of 121.19 against the
Japanese yen at 4:30 am ET, the euro bounced off with the pair
trading at 121.79. On the upside, the euro may challenge resistance
around the 124.00 area.
Data from the Ministry of Finance showed that Japan recorded a
current account surplus of 1.415 trillion yen in November, up 28.0
percent on year.
The headline figure was shy of expectations for a surplus of
1.460 trillion yen and down from 1.719 trillion yen in October.
The 19-nation currency reclaimed some of its lost ground against
the pound with the pair trading at 0.8684, off its early low of
0.8655. The next possible resistance for the euro-pound pair pair
may be found around the 0.88 region.
The National Institute of Economic and Social Research showed
that the U.K. economy expanded at a steady pace in the fourth
quarter.
Output grew 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter, the same pace as
seen in three months ended November.
The common currency bounced off to 1.3949 against the loonie,
1.4225 against the aussie and 1.5007 against the kiwi, from its
previous low of 1.3860, multi-week lows of 1.4156 and 1.4916,
respectively. The euro may possibly locate resistance around 1.41
against the loonie, 1.44 against the aussie and 1.51 against the
kiwi.
Looking ahead, Canada new housing price index for November, U.S.
import price index for December, and U.S. weekly jobless claims for
the week ended January 7 are set to be published in the New York
session.
At 8:30 am ET, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles
Evans and Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart
are expected to speak about the economic outlook and monetary
policy at the American Council of Life Insurers, in Naples.
At the same time, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President
Patrick Harker will deliver a speech at the Desmond Hotel, in
Pennsylvania.
At 1:15 pm ET, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James
Bullard gives a presentation on the U.S. economy and monetary
policy before the Forecasters Club of New York.
At 1:45 pm ET, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert
Kaplan participates in a moderated Q&A before the Dallas
Regional Chamber Annual Meeting, in Dallas, U.S.
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