LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT
Pacific Assets
Trust plc
Unaudited Half
Year Results For The Six Months Ended
31 July 2019
This announcement is not the Company’s Half Year Report &
Accounts. It is an abridged version of the Company’s full Half Year
Report & Accounts for the six months ended 31 July 2019. The full Half Year Report &
Accounts, together with a copy of this announcement, will shortly
be available on the Company’s website at www.pacific-assets.co.uk
where up to date information on the Company, including daily NAV,
share prices and fact sheets, can also be found.
The Company's Half Year Report & Accounts for the six months
ended 31 July 2019 has been submitted
to the UK Listing Authority, and will shortly be available for
inspection on the National Storage Mechanism (NSM):
http://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/NSM
For further information please contact: Katherine Manson, Frostrow Capital LLP, 020 3709
8734
Financial Highlights
Key Statistics
|
As
at |
As
at |
|
|
31
July 2019 |
31
January 2019 |
%
change |
Share price |
303.5p |
273.0p |
11.2 |
Net asset value per
share |
302.1p |
277.5p |
8.9 |
Premium/(discount) of
share price to net asset value per share |
0.5% |
(1.6)% |
- |
Market
capitalization |
£367.1m |
£327.3m |
12.2 |
Shareholders’
funds |
£365.4m |
£332.7m |
9.8 |
|
Six months
to |
One year
to |
|
|
31 July |
31 January |
|
|
2019 |
2019 |
|
Share price (total return)* |
12.3% |
8.1% |
|
Net asset value per share (total
return)* |
10.5% |
4.7% |
|
MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan
Index
(total return, sterling adjusted)* |
8.9% |
(7.7)% |
|
* Source:
Morningstar
|
Year ended |
Year ended |
|
|
31 January |
31 January |
|
Dividends |
2019 |
2018 |
|
Final dividend per
share+ |
3.0p |
2.6p |
– |
+ The
Company does not pay an interim dividend
Chairman’s Statement
Investment Return
In the six months to 31 July the Company’s net asset value per
share total return was +10.5%. The return over this relatively
short period compares to the annualised return of +12.2% over the
last five years, and of +11.9% over the nine-year period that
Stewart Investors have been managing the Company’s investments. The
move from a small discount to a small premium at the end of the
period meant that the share price total return was +12.3%.
The MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan Index (measured on a total
return, sterling adjusted basis) rose by 8.9%. As has been
explained in previous reports to shareholders there is a
considerable difference in the investment profile of the Company
from the profile of the most commonly used Asian stock market
indices. The Company’s portfolio is based on the selection of
businesses that meet our Investment Manager’s exacting criteria,
not on a policy of being modelled in relation to an index. As I
mentioned in the last annual report, the Board is planning to add
an alternative performance measure to the Company’s reports.
Our intention is to set a performance objective of RPI + 6%,
measured over a three to five year time horizon.
The Background
We face a combination of challenging economic and political
circumstances in 2019 and beyond.
After a flirtation with the withdrawal of quantitative easing,
monetary policy is once again being loosened as Central Banks
respond to signals of declining economic activity. This creates a
mixed picture, on the one hand risk assets always appreciate easier
liquidity conditions and low interest rates, on the other hand
businesses are more prone to setbacks as anticipated demand fails
to materialise. While the balance so far in 2019 has been helpful
to equity markets, the message delivered by large parts of the
global bond market offering negative interest rates remains
disturbing. Behind the generally positive indices there have been
notable setbacks of some sectors and stocks.
We do not believe that political trends are generally the
primary influence in the long-term direction of asset prices.
However, the escalation of global trade tension from rhetoric to
action risks undermining the global supply chains that have been
such a contributor to non-inflationary economic growth over the
last 30 years. Asia, as is well
known, has had a major part to play in the integration of global
economies. However Asian businesses have weathered all manner of
politically induced shocks over the years, and it would be unwise
to underestimate their in-built resilience now.
We must keep in mind that many of the investments that the
Company owns are focused on serving their large domestic audiences.
The theme of an emerging middle class in countries as large as
India and China means that providers of consumer
products or financial services will continue to be well placed
whatever disturbing geo-politics may unfold. Investments are
selected by our Investment Manager that will be able to withstand
turbulence while maintaining a business model that is well tried
and coherent.
Liquidity
Although Pacific Assets has a very low turnover by the standards
of most investment trusts, we view the liquidity of our investments
as a serious matter. The Company owns no unlisted investments,
while its Manager places limits on total ownership of a company’s
stock throughout all its portfolios. We also look at data under
different market circumstances as to how long it would take to
liquidate the portfolio, should an unexpected event take place. I
state the obvious in noting that as a closed end fund, the
likelihood of an event that would require rapid liquidation of
positions is far less than in other types of investment fund, even
if that should give no room for complacency at uncertain times.
Stewart Investors noted to us at a recent Board meeting when the
subject of liquidity was raised, that they have ‘an organisational
memory of the Asian crisis when liquidity disappeared for all but
the best quality companies’. This is kept firmly in mind in the
construction of the Trust’s portfolio of investments.
Corporate Governance
Your Board continues to oversee the management arrangements of
the Company, ensuring that the key service providers have suitable
risk controls, and that they have the substance and the structure
to withstand unexpected circumstances. During the current year, the
Board is undertaking a programme of intensive scrutiny of each of
the major providers of services to the Company to ensure at first
hand that there is no scope for unexpected accidents and risks,
visiting their offices and meeting key executives face to face.
Share Issuance
During the period, demand for the Company’s shares led to the
issue of a total of 1,085,000 new shares, raising £3.2 million.
This is in line with our policy of enlarging the Company’s invested
capital to the benefit of all shareholders, rather than seeing the
share price rise to a material premium to NAV per share in the
market. The issuance of new shares takes place only at a premium to
the NAV per share and the price incorporates any associated costs,
so that existing shareholders are not disadvantaged. Share
issuance can also improve the liquidity of the Company’s shares and
contribute to the reduction of the ongoing charges ratio, as
operating costs are spread over a larger capital base. As at
31 July 2019, the Company had
120,958,386 shares of 12.5p each in issue (31 July 2018: 119,873,386).
At the AGM on 27 June 2019, the
shareholder authority to issue new shares equal to 10% of the
Company’s issued share capital on a non-pre-emptive basis was
renewed.
The Company’s Broker
On 24 June, the Canaccord Genuity investment companies team
moved to Investec Bank plc following a restructuring of Canaccord
Genuity’s UK business. The Company’s agreement with Canaccord
Genuity was novated to Investec on the same terms and
conditions.
Looking Forward
We believe that we have moved into a period of downward
adjustment of investment returns, exemplified by the paltry or even
negative interest rates on fixed income assets. This suggests that
risks are being priced towards a deflationary environment, rather
than a return to higher inflation. In a more challenging world
possibly for some time to come, it is important that investors
lower their sights of expected returns.
We note that Asian ‘emerging markets’ have in recent years shown
less vulnerability to a rising dollar, rising interest rates, and
rising trade tensions, than in previous such episodes. Our
Investment Manager continues to seek out companies that are
equipped with the business model and management that will ensure
their long-term sustainability.
James
Williams
Chairman
1 October 2019
Investment Manager’s Review
Performance
The Company’s net asset value total return was a positive return
of 10.5% during the half year. This compares to a rise in the MSCI
All County Asia ex Japan index
(measured on a total return sterling adjusted basis) of 8.9%.
Investment Environment
On many fronts, the environment in which the Trust’s capital is
invested has become ever more delicate in recent years.
Quality of
Politics
When we first began investing in Asia 30 years ago, amongst the many dictators
and authoritarian regimes there was only one true democracy,
India. Democratic institutions
promoted the protection of property rights, the rule of law,
freedom of speech and an independent judicial system. Despite
economic growth failing to keep pace with some of their East Asian
peers, at the grassroots level, entrepreneurs and private companies
were generally allowed to thrive. Over the next thirty years,
India went on to deliver some of
the strongest investment returns in the region. We believe this is
no coincidence.
Across the rest of the region, great strides have been made in
advancing democracy but now, dark clouds look to be gathering over
its appeal. Thailand’s slide toward authoritarianism is a case in
point. Although holding its first election since 2014, a new
constitution and a sleight of hand post vote allowed the military,
under the veil of democracy, to maintain their rule. We are also
watching the Philippines and
whether President Rodrigo Duterte
will seek to amend the country’s constitution to allow him to serve
a second six-year term. Constitutional amendments have always been
a red flag for the future independence of a country’s
institutions.
In India, Prime Minister Modi
and his BJP Party’s recent win at the polls provides him the
freedom to continue their reform agenda. But beyond lofty ambitions
to improve the country’s competitiveness and growth, lies a
worrying trend. The Freedom in the World report, an annual report
which assesses the condition of political rights and civil
liberties around the world, downgraded India’s score this year.
They highlight increasing moves to curb critical voices in the
press and the disturbing frequency of crimes against religious
minorities. Modi’s decision to remove Jammu and Kashmir’s autonomy,
with zero warning, is another sign of his strong-man politics.
Should India’s expected economic growth fail to materialise, it
would be no surprise to see this direction of travel continue.
Fuelling religious or geopolitical tensions have long been
popular levers to pull for short-term political gain. It is always
easier to look for an outsider to blame in times of stress.
Increasing instances of beggar-thy-neighbour politics, whether it
be the US and China, India and Pakistan or Korea and Japan, provide a further insight into the
struggle to generate sustainable growth.
Hong Kong offers an example of
a delicate environment tipping into instability. As we write this,
the city is now in its third-month of protests. Pictures of
protesters seeking shelter from clouds of tear gas cover the front
pages. For a number of years, diminishing social mobility and
excessive living costs have fuelled a powder keg of frustration but
recent deterioration in political independence looks to have lit
the fuse.
Debt, debt and
more debt
We wrote about the worrying trend in global monetary policy in
our 2017 Interim Investment Manager’s Review. Since then, central
banks have continued to push the cost of money to ever more extreme
levels as they strive to ignite growth and stave off any natural
business cycle. With US$16 trillion
of bonds now with negative yields, we are in unchartered
territory.
In response governments, corporates and households have
proceeded to take on record amounts of debt. For most of the last
decade, ever decreasing servicing costs have numbed debtors to the
disastrous consequences it brings in times of stress. Memories are
short.
At the corporate level, research now suggests that one-fifth of
all businesses globally do not generate enough profits to cover
their interest payments and can only stay afloat thanks to their
ability to refinance. Many of these are in India, Indonesia and South
Korea. It is very difficult to put an exact number on the
corporate debt situation in China
but we can be roughly right in assuming that debt levels both in
absolute terms and relative to cash flows are unsustainable. In
Europe, some issuers of junk bonds
are close to getting paid to borrow money and in the US, the value
of corporate debt rated just above junk is now the largest it has
ever been.
Combine a significant debt burden with slowing growth and
mounting protectionism and you create a very insecure dynamic. It
is unlikely that more debt will be the answer but that seems to be
the path down which central bankers are taking us.
When we eventually return to an environment where debt carries a
true cost, the debt markets say no to more credit or the future
unfolds unlike that predicted in credit rating agencies’
spreadsheets, life will get tough very quickly. These balance
sheets should come with a warning label similar to those attached
to delicate parcels – Please Handle with Care.
Stories over
substance
After more than a decade of above average equity returns, and
continued manipulation by central banks, greed helps fuel further
extrapolation of the good times and stories are now preferred to
substance. There are examples the world over where companies are
being awarded astronomical valuations and many multibillion-dollar
market caps despite the fact they fail to generate any cash flows
or earnings. While we would acknowledge that some imagination is
required when investing, there needs to be some respect for a
company’s fundamentals other than sales growth or the potential
size of an end market.
Last year, just 28% of US initial public offerings were
profitable. A number very close to that reached at the height of
the dot.com euphoria in 2000. However, this time round, the
magnitude of losses and the duration over which companies have
sustained their losses is unprecedented. One prospectus even goes
as far to state;
“We have incurred significant losses since inception,
including in the United States and
other major markets. We expect our operating expenses to increase
significantly in the foreseeable future, and we may not achieve
profitability”
This company recently lost close to US$8bn in a single three-month period.
Last month, we met a Hong Kong
based biotech company with a US$3bn
market cap despite it generating only USD130k in sales last year. None of which came
from the sale of drugs. In May, a fast-growing Chinese coffee chain
listed its shares in the US. As of June, this company had
US$300m in sales but made an
operating loss of US$300m. The market
currently believes the company to be worth US$5bn.
When flicking through the presentation of a Singapore based, US listed technology company
we were surprised to find the term “adjusted” 31 times in a 14-page
document. This is one example of a broader trend where management
teams are conjuring up their own terms and metrics which they
believe allows investors to better judge their performance. Each
has their own method of what can and should be “adjusted” but the
common feature is that the “adjustment” is used to make the
situation rosier than it would be if traditional accounting metrics
were used. Even after spurious adjustments, this Singaporean
company made more than an US$200m
loss. It currently boasts an US$16bn
market cap and its share price is up more than 200% since
January.
Owners of these high growth companies will claim that
astronomical valuations are warranted. Many are either leaders in
new markets or disrupting existing markets. More often than not
they are growing sales very quickly. This may be the case but
businesses that have never made a profit, can survive only with
debt and/or equity inflows (relying on other people’s money) and
have never been through a cycle, make for a fragile investment
case. When unprofitable companies are market darlings, the want to
preserve capital has well and truly been replaced with greed. We
are comfortable not putting the Trust’s capital at risk by
investing at this time, in this end of the market.
We would also note that such shenanigans on the part of
corporate management teams and a lack of scepticism on the part of
investors tends to be prevalent in times of euphoria and has been
the environment in which many of the great corporate frauds have
been allowed to breed.
Quality: The Absence of Fragility
Our investment philosophy and process have long focused on what
could go wrong as much as what could go right. By doing so, we
attempt to avoid investment decisions that permanently impair
capital and thus get in the way of protecting and growing the
Trust’s capital.
Impaired capital tends to be the result of some form of
fragility - an investment where there is little or no resilience to
unexpected shocks. Understanding if a company or a steward lacks
quality and is therefore fragile, is achievable through bottom-up
analysis. A misaligned owner, strong political links, a heavily
indebted balance sheet or a franchise with no long-term competitive
advantages are suggestive of a fragile investment which could
quickly impair hard-earned savings. However, it is impossible to
predict the exact timing and magnitude of the event that will
unsettle a fragile company. This is the case no matter how much
time, energy and analysis is used in the process. We therefore
spend the majority of our time identifying and debating quality.
Being unable to predict the unpredictable is forgivable but
building a portfolio full of fragile companies is not.
By investing the Trust’s capital with a long-term time horizon
in high quality companies, run by high quality people, we are
actively seeking out companies that are capable of surviving change
and volatility. The performance of the Trust in down markets, shown
in Figure 1, is one outcome of seeking to own resilient companies.
We remain focused on first protecting capital in the knowledge that
only then can it grow.
Pacific Assets
Trust plc - Performance in Up and Down Markets
[See Half Year Report]
Figure 1
Source: Lipper IM, Stewart Investors and Trust
administrator. NAV Performance data is calculated on a net
basis after deducting all fees and costs incurred by the
Trust. The NAV includes dividends reinvested on a net of tax
basis. Outperformance is measured versus the MSCI AC Asia
ex-Japan index, calculated on an
income reinvested net of tax basis. Outperformance has been
calculated from the date of Stewart Investors becoming manager of
the Trust to 30 June 2019. An up market month is defined as a
month where the MSCI AC Asia ex-Japan index ends higher than it starts.
Implicit in that pursuit is the rejection of companies where
there is a deficit in quality. Of which there are many. Last year
we met close to 800 Asian companies but only a handful of new names
were added to the Trust. Turnover of the Trust remains low with an
average holding period of more than five years.
Seeking resilience
through diversified cash flows
Over a third of the Trust’s capital is invested in India but beneath that number lies a very
diverse set of companies and cash flows. For example, companies
with globally competitive products such as Tata Consultancy
Services, Tech Mahindra and Dr Reddys generate the majority of
their sales in Europe and the US.
The cash flows generated by consumer companies in the Trust (Godrej
Consumer, Marico and Dabur) are accumulated by selling low priced,
daily necessitates (e.g toothpaste, shampoo, household
insecticides) to millions of Indian consumers every day. These
companies have also built formidable businesses throughout
Asia. For example, Marico’s brands
in Bangladesh and Godrej’s in
Indonesia account for 10% and 15%
of their sales respectively.
We believe the Indian financial institutions held in the Trust
(Kotak Mahindra Bank, HDFC and Sundaram Finance) are some of the
best in the world. They are long term, patient and high-quality
lenders. These attributes have allowed them to not only weather
many short-term cycles but to come out of such periods of stress
stronger than their competitors and in an even better place to
benefit from growing financial penetration in the country.
We believe the quality of these franchises and their stewards,
combined with diverse cash flows, provide the Trust with an
appropriate level of resilience against the unexpected while
continuing to offer attractive opportunities for long-term
growth.
Seeking resilience
through time-tested franchises
The Trust owns only one company listed in Hong Kong, Vitasoy, a leading manufacturer of
soy milk and other milk alternatives owned by the second generation
of the founding Lo family. The allocation to Hong Kong is not the result of a top down view
of the political situation but rather an inability to find
companies and stewards of sufficient quality.
Vitasoy traces its roots back to an unstable environment when in
1940, K.S Lo set up Vitasoy to provide affordable nutrition to
Chinese refugees coming across the border. We believe time to be as
good a test as any for the resilience of a business and the quality
of a steward. Over the last 80 years, Vitasoy has proven itself
robust to many outside pressures. During the worst of the SARS
epidemic in 2003, Vitasoy’s sales fell less than 2%. At the same
time, restaurants and retailers were reporting sales declines in
the region of 20%-30%. This information is largely worthless to an
investor with a short time horizon focused on trying to guess how
political or economic unrest will impact stock prices on a daily or
monthly basis. To us, it offers a valuable insight into the quality
of Vitasoy’s business and how important their products are to
consumers’ consumption habits.
Figure 2 depicts Vitasoy’s share price over rolling three-month
periods since its listing in 1994. It tells us nothing, other than
illustrating that stock prices are volatile. Over such time
periods, noise and emotions drive returns.
Vitasoy – Share
Price Return Over Rolling Three Month Periods
[See Half Year Report]
Figure 2. Source: Bloomberg
Over 14 such periods Vitasoy’s share price fell more than 20%.
Post Hong Kong being handed back
to China in 1997, and the ensuing
Asian Financial Crisis, it fell 30%.
Yet, as is usually the case for quality businesses, Vitasoy’s
fundamentals were far less volatile (Figure 3).
Since 1995, sales have grown at 8% a year and operating cash
flows at 11%, which over a 24-year period amounts to sales growing
six-fold and cash flows 13-fold. This has largely been driven by
management’s long-term time horizon and their decision to take
profits generated in Hong Kong and
invest in building leading soy milk franchises in China and Australia.
Vitasoy – Cash
Flow
[See Half Year Report]
Figure 3. Source: Capital IQ
This serves as a reminder of the importance of bottom-up
analysis and that it is earnings that drive returns over the long
term.
If Vitasoy had been viewed merely as a stock ticker, and not a
quality business going through a tough time, it would have been
very easy to have been scared out of the company at the height of
the fear in 1997. Such short-termism would have meant missing out
on 18% a year in returns (including reinvested dividends).
Vitasoy – Share
Price
[See Half Year Report]
Figure 4. Source: Bloomberg
This brings us back to our belief that risk should not be seen
as volatility but rather a deterioration in quality leading to the
permanent destruction of capital. We continue to see Vitasoy as one
of the highest quality companies the Trust can own.
Over the period we trimmed the Trust’s position in
Vitasoy. After a very strong run partially fuelled by the
company’s inclusion in a global index, valuations reached levels
that we believe to be excessive.
Seeking resilience
through Quality of Financials
Interest in a company’s financial condition is generally out of
fashion today as it serves only to get in the way of owning
headline grabbing, high flying companies. In times such as these,
the quality of a company’s balance sheet and its cash flows are
even more paramount in the protection of capital.
When we meet the management of indebted companies and ask why
they have chosen to take on that burden the answer tends to be, why
not? If interest rates stay low, or even decrease, debt offers a
lever to boost returns and/or the liquidity to buy shares or embark
on some form of M&A. This is defended as being in the best
interests of shareholders. We argue otherwise and would use this to
highlight the many diverse wants and time horizons of shareholders
and management teams.
Figure 5 groups the holdings in the Trust by economic owner. By
investing the Trust’s capital alongside high quality stewards who
have the majority of their individual, family or institutional
wealth at risk, we are aligning the Trust with shareholders with
time horizons (long) and objectives (protect and grow capital)
similar to ours. These owners tend not to compromise the long-term
survival of their company at the expense of boosting short-term
profits through the use of debt and other such financial
engineering.
Figure 5
[See Half Year Report]
Footnote: Figure 5 shows economic ownership classified by
shareholder group as defined by Stewart Investors based on the most
influential investor in any given company. Data is as at 30
June 2019. The top 50 companies in the MSCI All Country Asia
Pacific ex-Japan have been used
for comparison purposes only and does not necessarily reflect the
profile of holdings in the complete index. Data excludes cash
and has been rebased to 100.
All of the top ten companies in the Trust (excluding financial
and holding companies) have net cash balance sheets, meaning they
have more cash than debt. Not only do these balance sheets provide
resilience against instability, they offer the ability to
capitalise on any unexpected events. Indebted balance sheets are
fine when the sun is shining but net cash is a balance sheet for
all seasons. It is no coincidence that all of these companies have
stewards who have their own money on the line and vivid memories of
stormier times.
Our view of the quality of a company’s financials is not simply
confined to whether there is debt on the balance sheet or not - we
are comfortable with some debt as long as it has been used for
productive purposes. The quality of a company’s earnings are also a
critical component. We see high quality earnings as those that are
turned into cash and are relatively resilient to macroeconomic
events.
One example of where we have been dissuaded, thus far, from
owning a company due to its poor cash flows is a Chinese industrial
company that we have been following for some time. The Company has
a dominant private shareholder, a net cash balance sheet and is a
technological leader in many of its fields. However, like many
Chinese companies today it is having trouble getting its customers
to pay up. Last year, only 30% of their earnings were turned into
cash, with the remainder being paid in a form of I Owe You (IOU).
With an estimated US$200bn worth of
such instruments circulating the system at present these IOUs have
become ominously common as a way of Chinese companies paying their
creditors. This puts the company in a precarious situation as it
not only exposes it to the weaker balance sheets of its customers
(and their potential insolvency) but this lack of cash inflow
forces them to run down their cash reserves if they are to invest
or continue to pay a dividend. For now, we are happy watching how
the situation unfolds without any of the Trust’s capital exposed to
such fragile cash flows.
In comparison, on average, the top ten companies in the Trust
convert more than 100% of their earnings into cash.
Outlook
Despite the shorter-term challenges, we believe Asia continues to be one of the most vibrant
and rewarding places for the long-term investor. No matter the
environment, we will continue to focus on finding quality companies
who are able to withstand short-term instability and well placed to
benefit from the long-term development of the region.
Trust Activity
Over the period, we initiated positions in two new companies:
Bank Central Asia (BCA)
(the leading commercial bank in Indonesia) and Concepcion Industrial
Corporation (the largest manufacturer and distributor of air
conditioners in the
Philippines).
BCA possesses what we look for in banking franchises: a
strong low-cost deposit base that enables attractive returns
despite the bank participating in largely low-risk parts of the
market. One unique feature of Indonesian banking law is that
directors, including independents, are personally liable for the
bank’s solvency; unsurprisingly, they, including BCA, tend to be
very conservatively-run with little leverage and lots of excess
capital.
Concepcion has a number of quality attributes. It is
owned and managed by the Concepcion family - a steward we believe
to be long term, competent and suitably risk-aware. Their leading
market share, strong brands and established distribution network
offer an attractive position from which to benefit as air
conditioning penetration in the
Philippines increases. In terms of quality of financials, a
robust balance sheet and strong cash flows provide an attractive
level of resilience against any unforeseen macro pressures.
Over the period we sold the Trust’s positions in Mahindra
Lifespace, Standard Foods, Delta Electronics (Thailand), Public Bank, Advanced Enzymes and
China Resources Medical.
We look to sell a company only if there has been a deterioration
in quality or where valuations have reached unpalatable levels. All
of the sales, bar Delta Electronics, were due to questions on
quality and thus we believe the Trust is in a stronger position
post these transactions.
Despite our confidence in the stewardship at the Mahindra Group,
we believe there are higher quality ways for the Trust to gain
exposure to growth in the Indian housing market. This would include
the Trust’s holdings in high quality mortgage and insurance
providers HDFC and Sundaram Finance.
Standard Foods was sold after we failed to build conviction in
the company’s new management team and their strategy in
China.
Over the period we also sold our small position in Public Bank.
Although we believe it to be the most conservative bank in
Malaysia, the high indebtedness of
the Malaysian household reduces the opportunity for quality growth
while increasing the fragility of the loan book. We believe BCA to
be a more attractive place to protect and grow capital over the
long term.
The Trust’s relatively new positions in Advanced Enzymes and
China Resources Medical were sold as we failed to build conviction
in the quality of the stewards at each company.
We sold our stake in Delta Electronics (Thailand: Information Technology) to the
parent company (Delta Electronics, Taiwan) as they attempted to privatise the
company.
Stewart Investors
1 October 2019
Contribution by Investment
Six months ended 31 July 2019
Principal contributors to and
detractors from absolute performance
Top 10 contributors to absolute
performance for the 6 months ended 31 July
2019
|
Contribution
to |
Company |
Returns % |
Vitasoy International Holdings |
2.17 |
Kotak Mahindra Bank
Limited |
0.83 |
Chroma ATE |
0.64 |
Housing Development
Finance |
0.63 |
Hoya Corp |
0.58 |
Nippon Paint |
0.51 |
Tata Consultancy
Services |
0.44 |
E.Sun Financial Holdings |
0.43 |
Marico |
0.38 |
Marico Bangladesh |
0.38 |
Top 10 detractors from absolute
performance for the 6 months ended 31 July
2019
|
Absolute
Contribution to |
Company |
Returns % |
Cyient |
(0.24) |
Mahindra &
Mahindra |
(0.24) |
Mahindra
Logistics |
(0.09) |
Kasikornbank |
(0.09) |
Manila Water |
(0.07) |
Godrej Consumer
Products |
(0.07) |
Unicharm |
(0.06) |
Kalbe Farma |
(0.06) |
Koh Young
Technology |
(0.05) |
Public Bank |
(0.05) |
Portfolio
as at 31 July
2019
Company |
MSCI sector |
Country |
Market
valuation
£’000 |
% of total
assets
less current
liabilities |
Tech Mahindra |
Information Technology |
India |
18,797 |
5.1 |
Vitasoy International Holdings |
Consumer Staples |
Hong Kong |
14,159 |
3.9 |
Unicharm |
Consumer Staples |
Japan* |
13,977 |
3.8 |
Marico |
Consumer Staples |
India |
12,575 |
3.5 |
Oversea-Chinese Banking |
Financials |
Singapore |
12,554 |
3.4 |
Kotak Mahindra Bank |
Financials |
India |
10,862 |
3.0 |
Housing Development Finance |
Financials |
India |
10,741 |
2.9 |
Hoya |
Health Care |
Japan* |
10,354 |
2.8 |
Mahindra & Mahindra |
Health Care |
India |
10,255 |
2.8 |
Delta Electronics |
Information Technology |
Taiwan |
10,243 |
2.8 |
Ten largest investments |
|
|
124,517 |
34.0 |
Sundaram Finance |
Financials |
India |
9,524 |
2.6 |
Chroma ATE |
Financials |
Taiwan |
8,447 |
2.3 |
Tata Consultancy Services |
Consumer Staples |
India |
7,881 |
2.2 |
Bank OCBC NISP |
Financials |
Indonesia |
7,616 |
2.1 |
Dabur India |
Financials |
India |
7,565 |
2.1 |
Ayala Corporation |
Financials |
Philippines |
7,432 |
2.0 |
Kasikornbank |
Financials |
Thailand |
6,840 |
1.9 |
Dr Lal PathLabs |
Health Care |
India |
6,535 |
1.8 |
Uni-President Enterprises |
Consumer Staples |
Taiwan |
6,431 |
1.8 |
Tube Investments of India |
Consumer Discretionary |
India |
6,361 |
1.7 |
Twenty largest
investments |
|
|
199,149 |
54.5 |
Delta Brac Housing Finance |
Financials |
Bangladesh |
6,321 |
1.7 |
Koh Young Technology |
Information Technology |
South Korea |
6,075 |
1.7 |
Cipla |
Health Care |
India |
6,053 |
1.7 |
Selamat Sempurna |
Consumer Discretionary |
Indonesia |
6,031 |
1.6 |
President Chain Store |
Consumer Staples |
Taiwan |
5,915 |
1.6 |
Nippon Paint |
Materials |
Japan* |
5,889 |
1.6 |
United Plantations |
Consumer Staples |
Malaysia |
5,784 |
1.6 |
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories |
Information Technology |
India |
5,765 |
1.6 |
Bank of the Philippine Islands |
Financials |
Philippines |
5,669 |
1.5 |
Pigeon |
Consumer Staples |
Japan* |
5,576 |
1.5 |
Thirty largest
investments |
|
|
258,227 |
70.6 |
Manila Water |
Utilities |
Philippines |
5,531 |
1.5 |
BRAC Bank |
Financials |
Bangladesh |
5,137 |
1.4 |
Philippine Seven |
Consumer Staples |
Philippines |
4,901 |
1.3 |
Cyient |
Information Technology |
India |
4,799 |
1.3 |
E.Sun Financial Holdings |
Financials |
Taiwan |
4,761 |
1.3 |
Square Pharmaceuticals |
Health Care |
Bangladesh |
4,679 |
1.3 |
Godrej Consumer Products |
Consumer Staples |
India |
4,209 |
1.2 |
Kalbe Farma |
Health Care |
Indonesia |
4,207 |
1.2 |
Advantech |
Information Technology |
Taiwan |
4,138 |
1.1 |
Marico Bangladesh |
Consumer Staples |
Bangladesh |
3,856 |
1.1 |
Forty largest
investments |
|
|
304,445 |
83.3 |
Elgi Equipments |
Industrials |
India |
3,841 |
1.1 |
Expeditors International of
Washington |
Industrials |
United States* |
3,744 |
1.0 |
Robinsons Retail |
Consumer Staples |
Philippines |
3,466 |
0.9 |
Commercial Bank of Ceylon |
Financials |
Sri Lanka |
2,967 |
0.8 |
Mahindra Logistics |
Industrials |
India |
2,951 |
0.8 |
Taiwan Semiconductor
Manufacturing |
Information Technology |
Taiwan |
2,857 |
0.8 |
Hemas Holdings |
Industrials |
Sri Lanka |
2,479 |
0.7 |
Bank Central Asia |
Financials |
Indonesia |
2,140 |
0.6 |
Vitrox |
Information Technology |
Malaysia |
1,837 |
0.5 |
Concepcion Industrial |
Information Technology |
Philippines |
1,812 |
0.5 |
Fifty largest
investments |
|
|
332,539 |
91.0 |
Kansai Paint |
Materials |
Japan* |
1,460 |
0.4 |
Hero Supermarket |
Consumer Staples |
Indonesia |
1,302 |
0.4 |
Shanthi Gears |
Industrials |
India |
1,220 |
0.3 |
Total portfolio |
|
|
336,521 |
92.1 |
Net current assets |
|
|
28,887 |
7.9 |
Total assets less current
liabilities |
|
|
365,408 |
100.0 |
* At least
25% of the company’s economic activities are derived from the Asia
Pacific Region (in accordance with the Company’s investment
objective).
Income Statement
for the six months ended 31 July 2019
|
(Unaudited)
Six months ended
31 July 2019 |
(Unaudited)
Six months ended
31 July 2018 |
|
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
|
£’000 |
£’000 |
£’000 |
£’000 |
£’000 |
£’000 |
Gains on investments |
- |
29,985 |
29,985 |
– |
19,437 |
19,437 |
Exchange differences on currency
balances |
- |
1,443 |
1,443 |
– |
400 |
400 |
Investment Income |
4,011 |
- |
4,011 |
3,742 |
– |
3,742 |
Investment management and management
fees (note 2) |
(444) |
(1,331) |
(1,775) |
(412) |
(1,236) |
(1,648) |
Other expenses |
(302) |
- |
(302) |
(332) |
– |
(332) |
Return before taxation |
3,265 |
30,097 |
33,362 |
2,998 |
18,601 |
21,599 |
Taxation |
(318) |
93 |
(225) |
(262) |
– |
(262) |
Return after taxation |
2,947 |
30,190 |
33,137 |
2,736 |
18,601 |
21,337 |
Return per ordinary share (p)
(note 3) |
2.4p |
25.1p |
27.5p |
2.3p |
15.6p |
17.9p |
The Total column of this statement represents the Company’s
Income Statement.
The Revenue and Capital columns are supplementary to this and
are both prepared under guidance published by the Association of
Investment Companies (AIC).
All revenue and capital items in the Income Statement derive
from continuing operations.
The Company had no recognised gains or losses other than those
declared in the Income Statement.
All of the return and total comprehensive income for the period
is attributable to the owners of the Company.
Statement of Changes in Equity
for the six months ended 31 July 2019
|
(Unaudited)
Six months ended
31 July 2019 |
(Unaudited)
Six months ended
31 July 2018 |
|
£’000 |
£’000 |
Opening shareholders’ funds |
332,674 |
320,731 |
Shares issued in period |
3,210 |
– |
Return for the period |
33,137 |
21,337 |
Dividends paid |
(3,613) |
(3,117) |
Closing shareholders’
funds |
365,408 |
338,951 |
Statement of Financial Position
as at 31 July
2019
|
(Unaudited)
As at
31 July 2019 |
(Audited)
As at
31 January 2019 |
|
£’000 |
£’000 |
Fixed assets |
|
|
Investments |
336,521 |
297,348 |
Current assets |
|
|
Debtors |
4,289 |
224 |
Cash at bank |
31,179 |
36,152 |
|
35,468 |
36,376 |
Creditors (amounts falling
due within one year) |
(6,581) |
(1,050) |
Net current assets |
28,887 |
35,326 |
Net assets |
365,408 |
332,674 |
Capital and reserves |
|
|
Share capital |
15,120 |
14,984 |
Share premium account |
8,811 |
5,737 |
Capital redemption reserve |
1,648 |
1,648 |
Special reserve |
14,572 |
14,572 |
Capital reserve |
318,974 |
288,784 |
Revenue reserve |
6,283 |
6,949 |
Equity shareholders’
funds |
365,408 |
332,674 |
Net asset value per ordinary
share (p) (note 4) |
302.1p |
277.5p |
Notes to the Accounts
1. Basis of preparation
The condensed Financial Statements for the six months to
31 July 2019 comprise the statements
set out on pages 17 to 18 including the related notes below. They
have been prepared in accordance with FRS 104 ‘Interim Financial
Reporting’, the principles of the AIC’s Statement of Recommended
Practice issued in November 2014 and
using the same accounting policies as set out in the Company’s
Annual Report and Financial Statements as at 31 January 2019.
Fair value
Under FRS 102 and FRS 104 investments have been classified using
the following fair value hierarchy:
Level 1 – Quoted market prices in active markets
Level 2 – Prices of a recent transaction for identical
instruments
Level 3 – Valuation techniques that use:
-
observable market data; or
-
non-observable data
All of the Company’s investments fall into Level 1 for the
periods reported.
2. Investment Management and
Management fees
|
(Unaudited)
Six months ended
31 July 2019 |
(Unaudited)
Six months ended
31 July 2018 |
|
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
|
£’000 |
£’000 |
£’000 |
£’000 |
£’000 |
£’000 |
Investment management fee – Stewart
Investors |
396 |
1,188 |
1,584 |
367 |
1,101 |
1,468 |
Management fee – Frostrow |
48 |
143 |
191 |
45 |
135 |
180 |
|
444 |
1,331 |
1,775 |
412 |
1,236 |
1,648 |
3. Return per ordinary share
The total return per ordinary share price is based on the return
attributable to shareholders of £33,137,000 (six months ended
31 July 2018: return of £21,337,000)
and on 120,323,303 shares (six months ended 31 July 2018: 119,873,386), being the weighted
average number of shares in issue.
The revenue return per ordinary share price is calculated by
dividing the net revenue return attributable to shareholders of
£2,947,000 (six months ended 31 July
2018: £2,736,000) by the weighted average number of shares
in issue as above.
The capital return per ordinary share is calculated by dividing
the net capital return attributable to shareholders of £30,190,000
(six months ended 31 July 2018:
return of £18,601,000) by the weighted average number of shares in
issue as above.
4. Net asset value per ordinary
share
The net asset value per ordinary share is based on the net
assets attributable to shareholders of £365,408,000
(31 January 2019: £332,674,000) and on 120,958,386 shares in
issue (31 January 2019:
119,873,386).
5. 2019 accounts
These are not statutory accounts in terms of Section 434 of the
Companies Act 2006 and are unaudited. Statutory accounts for the
year to 31 January 2019, which
received an unqualified audit report, have been lodged with the
Registrar of Companies. No statutory accounts in respect of any
period after 31 January 2019 have
been reported on by the Company’s auditor or delivered to the
Registrar of Companies.
Earnings for the first six months should not be taken as a guide
to the results for the full year.
Interim Management Report
Principal Risks and Uncertainties
The Company’s principal area of risk relates to its investment
activity and strategy, including currency risk in respect of the
markets in which it invests. Other risks faced by the Company
include financial, shareholder relations and operational risks
(including cyber-crime, corporate governance, accounting, legal,
regulatory and political risks). These risks, and the way in which
they are managed, are described in more detail under the heading
Risk Management within the Strategic Report in the Company’s Annual
Report for the year ended 31 January
2019. The Company’s principal risks and uncertainties have
not changed materially since the date of that report and are not
expected to change materially for the remaining six months of the
Company’s financial year.
The Board is aware that the UK’s vote to leave the EU has
introduced elements of political and economic uncertainty which may
have practical consequences for the Company and its Investment
Manager. Developments continue to be closely monitored by the
Board. Geopolitical risk to the Company is also considered
regularly by the Board.
Related Party Transactions
During the first six months of the current financial year no
material transactions with related parties have taken place which
have affected the financial position or the performance of the
Company during the period.
Going Concern
The Directors believe, having considered the Company’s
investment objectives, risk management policies, capital management
policies and procedures, and the nature of the portfolio and its
expenditure projections, that the Company has adequate resources,
an appropriate financial structure and suitable management
arrangements in place to continue in operational existence for the
foreseeable future. For these reasons, they consider there is
reasonable evidence to continue to adopt the going concern basis in
preparing the accounts.
Directors’ Responsibilities
The Board of Directors confirms that, to the best of its
knowledge:
(i) the condensed set of financial
statements contained within the Half Year Report has been prepared
in accordance with Financial Reporting Standard 104 (Interim
Financial Reporting); and
(ii) the interim management report
includes a fair review of the information required by:
(a) DTR 4.2.7R of the Disclosure
Guidance and Transparency Rules, being an indication of important
events that have occurred during the first six months of the
financial year and their impact on the condensed set of financial
statements; and a description of the principal risks and
uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year; and
(b) DTR 4.2.8R of the Disclosure
Guidance and Transparency Rules, being related party transactions
that have taken place in the first six months of the current
financial year and that have materially affected the financial
position or performance of the entity during that period; and any
changes in the related party transactions described in the last
annual report that could do so.
The Half Year Report has not been reviewed or audited by the
Company’s auditor.
This Half Year Report contains certain forward-looking
statements. These statements are made by the Directors in
good faith based on the information available to them up to the
date of this report and such statements should be treated with
caution due to the inherent uncertainties, including both economic
and business risk factors, underlying any such forward-looking
information.
For and on behalf of the Board
James
Williams
Chairman
1 October 2019
Frostrow Capital LLP
Company Secretary
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