Why The Inventor Of Ethereum Attacked This Bitcoin Pricing Model
21 Junio 2022 - 5:00PM
NEWSBTC
The inventor of Ethereum Vitalik Buterin took aim at the
controversial Bitcoin price model Stock-To-Flow (S2F). Buterin
believes the model is “not looking good” and openly criticized it
because it gives crypto investors a “false sense of certainty”.
Related Reading | Bitcoin Back At $21K After 75% Drop, Where
Does It Go From Here? This creates the illusion, according to
Buterin, that Bitcoin will constantly trend to the upside. As the
recent price action has proven, this could lead to many people
losing their initial investment and more. Buterin said via his
Twitter account while presenting the following chart: I know it’s
impolite to gloat and all that, but I think financial models that
give people a false sense of certainty and predestination that
number-will-go-up are harmful and deserve all the mockery they get.
Created by pseudonym analyst Plan B, as seen in the chart, this
model predicted that BTC’s price was going to reach $100,000 by the
end of 2021. The model deviated as Bitcoin trended to the downside
later that year, and many consider it a failure. Detractors, like
Vitalik Buterin, believe the model fails to take other key
variables into consideration and only projects BTC’s price to the
upside for the coming future. For example, it failed to predict
what would happen to Bitcoin under the current economic conditions,
with a reduction in global liquidity and a U.S. Federal Reserve
(Fed) raising interest rates. In response to Buterin’s comment, the
inventor of the S2F Model, Plan B said: After a crash some people
are looking for scapegoats for their failed projects or wrong
investment decisions. Not only newbies but also “leaders” fall
victim to blaming others and playing the victim. Remember those who
blame others and those who stand strong after a crash. It Is
Possible To Predict The Price Of Bitcoin? Plan B has made changes
to its S2F model and now refers to the 2019 original version and
the new S2F version. As seen below, both versions predict a BTC’s
price trending to the upside in 2022 and the foreseeable future. If
BTC stays on its current levels, around or below $20,000, in the
coming months the analyst said the S2F model “will be less useful”.
The other scenario is that BTC is “extremely undervalued and will
bounce back soon”. On the effectiveness of the S2F and any other
model used to predict financial performance, Plan B said:
Prediction is hard, especially the future. EMH even says predicting
financial markets is impossible. Related Reading | Cardano
Vasil Hard Fork Launch Date Set, Time To Buy The News? Later, as
the conversation around the S2F model got heated, Plan B added: So
I share my analysis and charts FOR FREE. Never told anybody to buy
or what/when/how/howmuch to buy. Now covid, China ban, Russia war
and inflation tank all assets including bitcoin … and somehow some
weeners blame their investment decisions on me? Lame.
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