Why Bitcoin Could Frustrate Bulls And Bears In 2022
07 Enero 2022 - 12:07PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has been on a downtrend for the past days recording a 1.8%
loss in 24 hours and a 10.5% correction in seven days. The
benchmark crypto seems to be reacting to macro-economic factors and
could see further downside in the short term. Related Reading |
U.S. Mining Company Marathon Now Holds 8,133 BTC. And They’re Not
Selling It As of press time, Bitcoin trades at $42,076 after
testing the levels around $40,500. Remains to be seen if current
levels will hold and if the crypto market will experience recovery
or continue its downside trend into the $30,000s. Today’s sell-off
was apparently triggered by the release of the U.S. unemployment
report. In December 2021 around 200,000 new jobs were added to this
country’s economy, far below the expected number above 400,000.
https://twitter.com/SquawkCNBC/status/1479445780943491077?s=20 This
has increased the possibility, alongside the rise in inflation
metrics for the U.S. expected to hit around 7% in the upcoming CPI
reports, that the U.S. Federal Reserve will increase interest
rates. Thus, creating less favorable conditions for the global
market and risk assets, such as Bitcoin. As NewsBTC reported
yesterday, some experts believe risk assets could see shaky months
and blood in the short to mid-term, but ultimately benefit from a
rise in interest rates. Senior Commodity Strategist for Bloomberg
Intelligence Mike McGlone remains confident that Bitcoin will hit
$100,000 in 2022. On a different note, Director of Global Macro for
investment firm Fidelity, Jurrien Timmer, thinks Bitcoin will
“frustrate” bulls and bears alike. Many of the former expect a
quick bounce towards McGlone’s price target, while the latter
investors are targeting $30,000 and much lower. Timmer said: If
real rates stay negative, gold and bitcoin could do well this year.
But the “excess money” impulse (M2 growth less GDP growth) has all
but vanished. Perhaps both gold and bitcoin will continue to
frustrate bulls and bears alike by doing very little in 2022.
Bitcoin To Keep “Crab-like” Price Action In 2022? Timmer further
explains that Bitcoin, Gold, and other assets have reacted
positively to an increase in the U.S. monetary supply. As the FED
attempts to implement changes in its monetary policy, BTC could
underperform. In the first half of 2021, the benchmark crypto saw
an impressive rally as the FED contributed to the global increase
in liquidity. BTC then moved sideways in the $30,000 to $60,000
range as the macro-economic outlook shifted. On this topic, former
BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes wrote: Since M2% growth stalled, Bitcoin
has traded sideways. If M2 is set to hit 0% — and possibly even go
negative — in short order, the natural conclusion is that Bitcoin
(absent any asymptotic growth in the number of users or
transactions processed via the network) is likely to go much lower
as well. In any case, the 2022 outlook seems more complicated than
expected and could be mined with surprises and unexpected twists.
Related Reading | TA: Bitcoin Consolidates Below $45K: What Could
Trigger Another Decline
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