TIDMBHP

RNS Number : 9356Y

BHP Group PLC

14 May 2019

 
Issued by:           BHP Group Plc 
Date:                14 May 2019 
To:                  London Stock Exchange 
                      JSE Limited 
For Release:         Immediately 
Contact:             Helen Ratsey +44 (0) 20 7802 7540 
-------------------  -------------------------------------------------- 
 
    BHP - 2019 Global Metals, Mining and Steel Conference Presentation 
----------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 

UK Listing Authority Submissions

The following document has today been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism and will shortly be available for inspection at www.hemscott.com/nsm.do:

   --    2019 Global Metals, Mining and Steel Conference Presentation. 

The document may also be accessed via BHP's website - bhp.com

NEWS RELEASE

 
Release Time     IMMEDIATE 
Date             14 May 2019 
Release Number   11/19 
 
 

BHP CEO speaks at Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Metals, Mining and Steel Conference

BHP Chief Executive Officer, Andrew Mackenzie, today said BHP's focus remains clear: to maximise cash flow, maintain capital discipline and increase value and returns.

Speaking at the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Metals, Mining and Steel Conference in Barcelona, Mr Mackenzie, said BHP's strategy provides the framework to make the most of our portfolio while developing options to secure future success.

Since the beginning of 2016, BHP has strengthened its balance sheet through a US$16 billion reduction in net debt, reinvested US$20 billion in the business and returned more than US$25 billion to shareholders.

"We have increased volumes, reduced costs, and kept our people safer at work. These actions lifted return on capital by around 50 per cent," Mr Mackenzie said. "These are strong outcomes. There is still substantial opportunity to maximise the value of existing assets to release latent capacity and improve performance.

"We have shaped our portfolio around commodities with attractive fundamentals and we hold exploration licences and development options in the world's premier copper, oil and potash basins.

"Developments such as climate change and dramatic shifts in technology present both challenges and opportunities. To make sure that we secure the future prosperity of our Company, we constantly test our current assets and future options against many divergent scenarios for how the world will look well into the future. Decarbonisation, the electrification of transport, the future of work and food security are examples of strategic themes that we monitor.

"For example, Nickel West, which we will now retain in the portfolio, offers high-return potential as a future growth option, linked to the expected growth in battery markets and the relative scarcity of quality nickel sulphide supply.

"While nobody can predict what will happen with absolute precision, I am confident BHP's portfolio can thrive under almost all plausible outcomes in this changing world."

Mr Mackenzie said BHP was well placed in the short, medium and longer term with strict financial discipline and a transparent and consistent approach to capital allocation.

"Our institutionalised capital allocation framework transparently directs cash to its best use, be that development opportunities, the balance sheet, or returns to shareholders. We have a resilient portfolio, a transformation agenda and a suite of options and ideas to create future value at the right time. We have demonstrated this is the right formula for our shareholders.

"Regardless of how the world evolves, BHP is set up for a strong future."

An audio-webcast of the presentation will be made available at: https://edge.media-server.com/m6/p/d2ky883h

A summary of guidance and project details contained in the presentation is included below.

Guidance

 
        Asset                FY19e                         Medium term 
                         Production     Unit costs(1)       Production      Unit costs(1) 
======================  =============  ===============  ==================  ============= 
Western Australia        265-270 Mt       <US$15/t            290 Mt          <US$13/t 
 Iron Ore                (100% basis)                      (100% basis) 
----------------------  -------------  ---------------  ------------------  ------------- 
Conventional Petroleum  113-118 MMboe    <US$11/boe     110 MMboe average   <US$13/boe 
----------------------  -------------  ---------------  ------------------  ------------- 
Queensland Coal           43-46 Mt       US$68-72/t          49-54 Mt        US$57-64/t 
----------------------  -------------  ---------------  ------------------  ------------- 
Escondida               1.12-1.18 Mt     <US$1.15/lb     1.20 Mt average    <US$1.15/lb 
----------------------  -------------  ---------------  ------------------  ------------- 
 
 

Future options

 
Options             Potential execution timing    Capex          Tollgate        IRR(2)   Risk(3)   Description 
                                                   (US$m)                          (%)     (1-5) 
==================  ==========================  ==========  ===================  ======  =========  ================== 
Ruby                         <1 year               >250         Feasibility       >15      ----     Tie back into 
 Petroleum                                                                                          existing 
                                                                                                    processing 
                                                                                                    facilities in 
                                                                                                    Trinidad & Tobago 
------------------  --------------------------  ----------  -------------------  ------  ---------  ------------------ 
Mad Dog northwest            <5 years              >250       Pre-feasibility      *       Non-     Incremental 
water injection                                                                           operated  production of 
Petroleum                                                                                           existing A-Spar 
                                                                                                    production wells 
                                                                                                    in Mad Dog field 
------------------  --------------------------  ----------  -------------------  ------  ---------  ------------------ 
Scarborough                  <5 years             <2,000      Pre-feasibility      *       Non-     Tie back 
 Petroleum                                                                                operated  development to 
                                                                                                    existing LNG 
                                                                                                    facility 
------------------  --------------------------  ----------  -------------------  ------  ---------  ------------------ 
Olympic Dam BFX(4)           <5 years             Up to       Pre-feasibility    12-25     ----     Development into 
 Copper                                           2,500                                            the Southern Mine 
                                                                                                    Area, 
                                                                                                    debottlenecking of 
                                                                                                    existing surface 
                                                                                                    infrastructure 
                                                                                                    to increase 
                                                                                                    production to 
                                                                                                    240--300 ktpa 
------------------  --------------------------  ----------  -------------------  ------  ---------  ------------------ 
Resolution                   >5 years             <3,000          Concept         15      Non-     Underground block 
 Copper                                                                                   operated  cave with 
                                                                                                    attractive grade 
                                                                                                    profile and 
                                                                                                    competitive cost 
                                                                                                    curve position 
------------------  --------------------------  ----------  -------------------  ------  ---------  ------------------ 
Jansen Stage 1(5)            <5 years            5,300 -        Feasibility      14-15    ------    Tier 1 resource 
 Potash                                            5,700                                            with potential 
                                                                                                    initial capacity 
                                                                                                    of 4.3--4.5 Mtpa, 
                                                                                                    with valuable 
                                                                                                    expansion 
                                                                                                    optionality 
------------------  --------------------------  ----------  -------------------  ------  ---------  ------------------ 
Jansen Stage                >15 years             4,000        Opportunity       20      ----     Sequenced 
2-4(5)                                           per stage      assessment                          brownfield 
Potash                                                                                              expansions of up 
                                                                                                    to 12 Mtpa (4 Mtpa 
                                                                                                    per stage) 
==================  ==========================  ==========  ===================  ======  =========  ================== 
Aggregate                                                                         17               Aggregate unrisked 
                                                                                                    value(2) of US$14 
                                                                                                    billion spanning 
                                                                                                    commodities and 
                                                                                                    time periods 
==================  ==========================  ==========  ===================  ======  =========  ================== 
 

Note: * Mad Dog northwest water injection and Scarborough IRRs under review with joint venture partners.

Exploration

 
Options                Location                 Ownership   Maturity        Earliest first      Description 
                                                                              production 
=====================  =======================  =========  ===========  ======================  ====================== 
Trion                  Mexico - Gulf of Mexico     60%      Appraisal         Mid 2020s         Large oil discovery in 
 Petroleum                                       Operator                                       the Mexican deepwater 
                                                                                                Gulf of Mexico 
---------------------  -----------------------  ---------  -----------  ----------------------  ---------------------- 
Wildling               US - Gulf of Mexico        80+%      Appraisal         Mid 2020s         Large oil resource 
 Petroleum                                       Operator                                       across multiple 
                                                                                                horizons near operated 
                                                                                                infrastructure in US 
                                                                                                Gulf of Mexico 
---------------------  -----------------------  ---------  -----------  ----------------------  ---------------------- 
Samurai                US - Gulf of Mexico         50%      Appraisal        Early 2020s        Oil discovery in the 
 Petroleum                                                                                      Wildling mini basin 
---------------------  -----------------------  ---------  -----------  ----------------------  ---------------------- 
Northern Gas           Trinidad and Tobago         70%     Exploration        Mid 2020s         Potential material gas 
 Petroleum                                       Operator                                       play in Deepwater 
                                                                                                Trinidad, well 
                                                                                                positioned to the 
                                                                                                Atlantic LNG plant 
                                                                                                onshore T&T 
---------------------  -----------------------  ---------  -----------  ----------------------  ---------------------- 
Magellan Southern Gas  Trinidad and Tobago         65%     Exploration        Mid 2020s         Potential material gas 
 Petroleum                                       Operator                                       play in Deepwater 
                                                                                                Trinidad, well 
                                                                                                positioned to the 
                                                                                                Atlantic LNG plant 
                                                                                                onshore T&T 
---------------------  -----------------------  ---------  -----------  ----------------------  ---------------------- 
Western GOM            US - Gulf of Mexico        100%      Frontier         Early 2030s        Acquired a significant 
 Petroleum                                       Operator                                       acreage position in 
                                                                                                Western Gulf of Mexico 
---------------------  -----------------------  ---------  -----------  ----------------------  ---------------------- 
Trinidad Oil           Trinidad and Tobago       65-70%     Frontier          Late 2020s        Potential oil play in 
 Petroleum                                       Operator                                       deepwater Trinidad 
---------------------  -----------------------  ---------  -----------  ----------------------  ---------------------- 
Orphan Basin           Canada                     100%      Frontier         Early 2030s        Recent bid success for 
 Petroleum                                       Operator                                       blocks with large oil 
                                                                                                resource potential in 
                                                                                                the offshore Orphan 
                                                                                                Basin 
                                                                                                in Eastern Canada 
=====================  =======================  =========  ===========  ======================  ====================== 
               Multi-billion barrel equivalent risked potential; unrisked NPV of up to US$15 billion(6) 
====================================================================================================================== 
 

1. Based on an exchange rate of AUD/USD 0.75 and USD/CLP 663. Unit costs are in nominal terms.

2. Calculated at 2019 analyst consensus price forecasts (except Potash which are at CRU and Integer price forecasts); ungeared, post-tax, nominal rates.

3. Risk profile is based on a BHP assessment of each project against defined quantified and non-quantified risk metrics rated out of 5; 5 represents more risk.

4. IRR of 12% to 25% represents different development options of varying levels of certainty. The upper end of range relates to investment in a potential lower capital and production development towards BFX.

5. Based on CRU and Integer (Argus Media) price assumptions (2025-2035 average mid-case: CRU US$325/t and Integer (Argus Media) US$342/t). Jansen Stage 1 IRR of 14-15% reflects capex range and excludes remaining funded investment of

US$0.3 billion for completion of the shafts and installation of essential service infrastructure and utilities. Jansen Stages 2-4 capex is presented in real terms (July 2019) - those options would be brownfield and predominately require surface infrastructure, with shorter construction schedules and less risk than Stage 1. The execution of future stages would be subject to our review of supply and demand fundamentals and successful competition for capital under our Capital Allocation Framework. However, we expect that each subsequent expansion would be approved for development after the previous expansion had reached 3 to 4 years of full production. The existing shafts are capable of supporting production for

Stages 2-4.

6. Petroleum exploration and appraisal NPV: Unrisked values at BHP long-term price forecasts.

Further information on BHP can be found at: bhp.com

 
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