WASHINGTON, Nov. 25, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Ericsson (NASDAQ:
ERIC) expects the global number of 5G subscriptions to top 2.6
billion within the next six years, driven by sustained momentum and
a rapidly developing 5G ecosystem. The forecast is included in the
November 2019 edition of the Ericson
Mobility Report, alongside a range of other forecasts with an
end-of-2025 timeline and communications service provider
insights.
Average monthly data-traffic-per-smartphone is forecast to
increase from the current figure of 7.2 GB to 24 GB by the end of
2025, in part driven by new consumer behavior, such as Virtual
Reality (VR) streaming. With 7.2 GB per month, one can stream 21
minutes of HD video (1280 x 720) daily, while 24 GB would allow
streaming 30 minutes of HD video with an additional six minutes of
VR each day.
The report also projects that 5G will cover up to 65 percent of
the global population by the end of 2025 and handle 45 percent of
global mobile data traffic.
2019 is the year leading communications service providers in
Asia, Australia, Europe, the Middle
East, and North America
switched on their 5G networks. South
Korea has already seen a big 5G uptake since its
April 2019 launch. More than three
million subscriptions were collectively recorded by the country's
service providers by the end of September
2019.
China's launch of 5G in late
October has also led to an update of the estimated 5G subscriptions
for the end of 2019, from 10 million to 13 million.
Fredrik Jejdling, Executive Vice President and Head of Networks,
Ericsson, says: "It is encouraging to see that 5G now has broad
support from almost all device makers. In 2020, 5G-compatible
devices will enter the volume market, which will scale up 5G
adoption. The question is no longer if, but how quickly we can
convert use cases into relevant applications for consumers and
enterprises. With 4G remaining a strong connectivity enabler in
many parts of the world, modernizing networks is also key to this
technological change we're going through."
Given its current momentum, 5G subscription uptake is expected
to be significantly faster than that of LTE. The most rapid uptake
is expected in North America with
74 percent of mobile subscriptions in the region forecast to be 5G
by the end of 2025. North East Asia is expected to follow at 56
percent, with Europe at 55
percent.
Other forecasts include: total number of cellular IoT
connections now seen at five billion by the end of 2025 from 1.3
billion by the end of 2019 – a compound annual growth rate of 25
percent. NB-IoT and Cat-M technologies are estimated to account for
52 percent of these cellular IoT connections in 2025.
Year-on-year traffic growth for the third quarter of 2019
remained high at 68 percent, driven by the growing number of
smartphone subscriptions in India,
the increased monthly data traffic per smartphone in China, better device capabilities, an increase
in data-intensive content, and more affordable data plans.
Customer insights shared in collaborative feature
articles
In a collaborative article written with SK Telecom, the report
takes a detailed look at how the South Korean service provider is
applying a 5G cluster deployment strategy centered around providing
a premium 5G network experience and innovative services to
customers in selected geographical locations.
Another article, co-authored with the MTN Group, examines how
the South African-based service provider's focus on user experience
and customer loyalty has resulted in measurable network
improvements and commercial gains in Rwanda and Ghana.
The report also takes an in-depth look at service providers'
tariff plans, revealing that most service providers who have
launched 5G have priced 5G packages about 20 percent higher than
their nearest available 4G offering. Lastly, there is an article
describing how automotive IoT meets different use case requirements
of automotive and transport applications.
Read the full Ericsson Mobility Report November 2019.
Ericsson now has more than 75 commercial 5G agreements or
contracts with unique communication service providers, of which 23
are live networks.
NOTES TO EDITORS:
Ericsson Mobility Report (web
page)
Find out more about Ericsson 5G.
Find out more about Ericsson Spectrum Sharing.
Find out more about Ericsson's other publicly announced 5G
contracts.
Find out more about Ericsson's 5G partnerships.
Find out more about Ericsson 5G use case trials
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ABOUT ERICSSON:
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