TIDMCPG

RNS Number : 5013A

Compass Group PLC

30 September 2020

   Legal Entity Identifier (LEI):                          No. 2138008M6MH9OZ6U2T68 

30 September 2020

Pre-Close Trading Update

This statement updates investors on the Group's progress in the current financial year, ahead of the announcement on 24 November 2020 of our results for the year to 30 September 2020.

Group

The Group's organic revenue performance in the fourth quarter improved as clients in Education and Business & Industry began to return to schools and offices in our main markets.

 
                           Organic revenue 
                  Q3 2020    Q4 2020 [1]   FY 2020(1) 
                ---------- 
 North America     (45)%       c(38)%        c(19)% 
                ----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Europe          (53)% [2]     c(39)%        c(25)% 
                ----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Rest of World   (21)% [3]     c(18)%        c(9)% 
                ----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Group             (44)%       c(36)%        c(19)% 
                ----------  ------------  ----------- 
 

The reopening of units and initial increase in volumes, combined with positive contract renegotiations and a relentless focus on efficiencies are expected to improve the Group's fourth quarter operating margin to breakeven, before any contract impairments. We are reviewing our contract portfolio [4] and at this preliminary stage we estimate, subject to audit, that we will have to impair around GBP100 million(1, [5]) of contract assets. Including estimated contract impairments, the fourth quarter underlying operating margin is expected to be around (3)%(1) (Q3 2020: (5.2)%) [6] . The full year underlying operating profit margin is expected to be around 3%(1, [7]) .

 
                                  Q4 2020 (1)   FY 2020 
                                                  (1) 
 Underlying operating margin          c0%        c3.5% 
  pre- impairments 
                                 ------------  -------- 
 Estimated contract impairments      c(3)%      c(0.5)% 
                                 ------------  -------- 
 Underlying operating margin         c(3)%      c3% (7) 
  after estimated impairments 
                                 ------------  -------- 
 

Resizing costs in the fourth quarter were around GBP90 million(1) , bringing total FY2020 resizing costs to around GBP130 million(1) . These costs have been excluded from underlying operating profit to avoid distorting the progress in the underlying operating margin.

Regions

Performance in North America improved as clients in Education began to re-open for the school year and Business & Industry slowly started to recover. Healthcare remained strong, whilst our Sports & Leisure business was still closed.

We have made some changes to our management structure in Europe. As of the fourth quarter, our Middle East business has been managed within our European business. Full restated numbers for Europe including the Middle East and Rest of World excluding the Middle East are included in the Appendix of this announcement.

In Europe - now including the Middle East - we saw continued good performance in Healthcare and a meaningful increase in clients reopening in both Business & Industry and Education across the region. Our Sports & Leisure sector remained mostly closed.

In Rest of World - now excluding the Middle East - we saw an improvement in Education in our Asia Pacific business, however we did not see a material change in reopening rate in the rest of the sectors around the region.

Tax

As a result of the distortive impact of unrelieved foreign taxes and other non-tax-deductible expenses against a low profit base, we expect the 2020 full year tax rate to be a few percentage points higher than the HY 2020 rate of 24%.

Capital expenditure

Capital expenditure was around GBP175 million (1) in the fourth quarter, mostly contractually committed spend but also included investments to support new business wins in North America. FY 2020 capital expenditure is expected to be around GBP720 million (1) .

Financial position

Our liquidity remains strong and we expect our liquidity at 30 September 2020, to be around GBP5 billion (1) (GBP2.8 billion in undrawn credit facilities, GBP600 million available CCFF limit and around GBP1.6 billion in cash (1) ). Our solid financial position is allowing us to continue to invest in the business through the crisis to strengthen our competitive advantages and support our long-term growth prospects.

Currency

Trading results from our overseas operations are translated at the average exchange rates for the period. At current spot rates [8] , foreign exchange translation is expected to reduce 2019 reported revenue and underlying operating profit by around GBP355 million and GBP28 million respectively.

Summary

We are pleased with our progress in the quarter and that the business is now at breakeven at a trading level. We continue to proactively manage the business, reducing our costs, rebuilding our margins and investing to strengthen our competitive advantages. However, the pace at which our revenues and margins will recover remains unclear, especially given the possible increase in lockdown measures in the Northern Hemisphere through the winter months.

Despite the current challenges, when looking further ahead, we remain excited about the significant structural market opportunity globally, and the return to organic revenue growth, margin improvement and returns to shareholders over time.

We will provide a further update on trading at our full year results on 24 November 2020.

Enquiries

   Investors         Sandra Moura, Agatha Donnelly & Helen Javanshiri +44 (0) 1932 573000 
   Press               Tim Danaher & Fiona Micallef-Eynaud, Brunswick   +44 (0) 207 404 5959 
   Website           www.compass-group.com 

APPIX

Regional Restatement

We have made minor changes to our regional reporting structure. Our Europe region now includes the Middle East which is now excluded from Rest of World. Our North America region remains unchanged. To enable comparison with prior periods we are providing restated 3 year historical figures for the new regional structure. While these restatements affect regional results, they do not affect the Group's overall income statement, balance sheet, or cash flow.

 
 Reported figures GBP's million                           Full Year 
                                                Europe                   ROW 
 
                                         2020    2019    2018    2020   2019    2018 
                                        ------  ------  ------  -----  ------  ------ 
 Revenue              Old                        6,160   6,050          3,298   3,379 
------------------- 
   Net restatement                                 231     206          (231)   (206) 
 
   New                                           6,391   6,256          3,067   3,173 
  -------------------------  -----------------  ------  ------  -----  ------  ------ 
 
 Organic revenue 
  growth              Old                         5.1%    3.0%           2.4%    1.4% 
------------------- 
   New                                            5.2%    3.1%           2.0%    1.1% 
  -------------------------  -----------------  ------  ------  -----  ------  ------ 
 
 Operating profit     Old                    .     389     414            264     257 
------------------- 
   Net restatement                                  32      23           (32)    (23) 
 
   New                                             421     437            232     234 
  -------------------------  -----------------  ------  ------  -----  ------  ------ 
 
 Margin               Old                         6.3%    6.8%           8.0%    7.6% 
------------------- 
   New                                            6.6%    7.0%           7.6%    7.4% 
  -------------------------  -----------------  ------  ------  -----  ------  ------ 
 
 Cash flow            Old                          380     420            269     187 
------------------- 
   Net restatement                                  25      21           (25)    (21) 
 
   New                                             405     441            244     166 
  -------------------------  -----------------  ------  ------  -----  ------  ------ 
 
 ROCE                 Old                        10.0%   10.9%          31.8%   29.8% 
------------------- 
   New                                           10.8%   11.6%          28.6%   27.7% 
  -------------------------  -----------------  ------  ------  -----  ------  ------ 
 
 
 Reported figures in GBP's million                         Half Year 
                                                 Europe                    ROW 
 
                                          2020    2019    2018    2020    2019    2018 
                                        -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 Revenue              Old                 3,061   3,130   3,072   1,474   1,647   1,688 
------------------- 
  Net restatement                           124     114     100   (124)   (114)   (100) 
 
  New                                     3,185   3,244   3,172   1,350   1,533   1,588 
 -------------------------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 
 Organic revenue 
  growth              Old                (4.3%)    6.4%    1.5%    3.1%    1.4%    1.7% 
------------------- 
  New                                    (3.9%)    6.4%    1.6%    2.6%    1.0%    1.6% 
 -------------------------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 
 Operating profit     Old                   148     205     210      91     108     111 
------------------- 
  Net restatement                            17      14      12    (17)    (14)    (12) 
 
  New                                       165     219     222      74      94      99 
 -------------------------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 
 Margin               Old                  4.8%    6.5%    6.8%    6.2%    6.6%    6.6% 
------------------- 
  New                                      5.2%    6.8%    7.0%    5.5%    6.1%    6.2% 
 -------------------------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 
 Cash flow            Old                    77     170     192      66     120      76 
------------------- 
  Net restatement                            24      11     (0)    (24)    (11)       0 
 
  New                                       101     181     192      42     109      76 
 -------------------------------------  -------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 

Note to Editors

a) Compass Group PLC is the world's leading food service company, which generated annual revenues of GBP25.2 billion in the year to 30 September 2019. The Company specialises in providing food and a range of support services across the core sectors of Business & Industry, Healthcare & Seniors, Education, Sports & Leisure and Defence, Offshore & Remote, with an established brand portfolio.

b) Organic revenue growth, a term used throughout the announcement, is calculated by adjusting for acquisitions (excluding current period acquisitions and including a full period in respect of prior period acquisitions), disposals (excluded from both periods) and exchange rate movements (translating the prior period at current period exchange rates).

   c)     Forward looking statements 

Certain information included in this announcement is forward-looking and involves risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements cover all matters which are not historical facts and include, without limitation, projections relating to results of operations and financial conditions and the Company's plans and objectives for future operations, including, without limitation, discussions of expected future revenues, financing plans, expected expenditures and divestments, risks associated with changes in economic conditions, the strength of the foodservice and support services markets in the jurisdictions in which the Group operates, fluctuations in food and other product costs and prices and changes in exchange and interest rates. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including terms such as "believes", "estimates", "anticipates", "expects", "forecasts", "intends", "plans", "projects", "goal", "target", "aim", "may", "will", "would", "could" or "should" or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. All forward-looking statements in this announcement are based upon information known to the Company on the date of this announcement. Accordingly, no assurance can be given that any particular expectation will be met and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only at their respective dates. Additionally, forward-looking statements regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Other than in accordance with its legal or regulatory obligations (including under the UK Listing Rules and the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules of the Financial Conduct Authority), the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Nothing in this announcement shall exclude any liability under applicable laws that cannot be excluded in accordance with such laws.

d) A copy of this release, together with all other recent announcements and presentations can be found on Compass Group's website at www.compass-group.com .

[1] Expected figures based on unaudited positions.

[2] Restated to include Middle East.

   [3]   Restated to exclude Middle East. 

[4] As per IAS 36 - Impairment of assets and as per IAS 37 - Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets.

[5] Of the GBP100m charge, around half is in North America and the other half in Europe.

[6] Excluding Q3 resizing costs of GBP42m.

[7] Excluding full year resizing costs of around GBP130m.

[8] Closing rates as at 25 September 2020.

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