TIDMAFMC

RNS Number : 2272D

Aberdeen Frontier Mkts Inv Co Ltd

17 February 2020

Aberdeen Frontier Markets

Investment Company Limited

A UK-listed closed-end fund, offering diversified access

to up-and-coming frontier markets

Legal Entity Identifier ("LEI") 213800X9N731I4IPK361

Half-Yearly Report

31 December 2019

Financial Highlights

For the six month period ended 31 December 2019

 
Investment Objective                                         Reference Benchmark 
The investment objective of the Company is to generate       MSCI Frontier Markets Index. 
long-term capital growth primarily                           Management 
from investment in equity and equity related securities      The Company's Manager is Aberdeen Standard Fund Managers 
of companies listed in, or operating                         Limited ("ASFML", the "AIFM" or the 
in, Frontier Markets.                                        "Manager") which has delegated the investment management 
Frontier Market countries may include constituents of the    of the Company to Aberdeen Asset 
MSCI Frontier Markets Index or additional                    Managers Limited ("AAML" or the "Investment Manager"). 
countries that the Manager deems to be, or displays          Both companies are wholly owned subsidiaries 
similar characteristics to, Frontier Market                  of Standard Life Aberdeen plc. 
countries. 
 Net Asset Value ("NAV") per Ordinary share total return      NAV per Ordinary share (in US dollars) 
 (in US dollar terms) (1, 3) 
 0.4%                                                         $0.6 710 
 six months to 31 December 2019                               As at 31 December 2019 
---------------------------------------------------------    --------------------------------------------------------- 
 Ordinary s hare price total return (in US dollar terms)      NAV per Ordinary share (in GB pounds) 
 (2, 3) 
 2.1%                                                         GBP0.5061 
 six months to 31 December 2019                               As at 31 December 2019 
---------------------------------------------------------    --------------------------------------------------------- 
 Net Assets (in US dollars)                                   Ordinary s hare price (in GB pounds) 
 $48.2 million                                                GBP0.4640 
 As at 31 December 2019                                       As at 31 December 2019 
---------------------------------------------------------    --------------------------------------------------------- 
 (1) Total return, NAV to NAV, gross income reinvested. 
 (2) Ordinary share price total return is on a mid-to-mid 
 basis. 
 (3) These are Alternative Performance Measures ("APMs"). 
 In addition to these APMs, details 
 of other performance measures used by the Company can be 
 found in the APMs section of this 
 report . 
 
 
Chairman's Statement 
==================== 
 

On behalf of your Board, I present to you the Half-Yearly Report for Aberdeen Frontier Markets Investment Company Limited (the "Company") for the six months ended 31 December 2019.

Background and Performance

During the six months ended 31 December 2019, the Company reported net asset value ("NAV") per Ordinary share and Ordinary share price total returns of +0.4% and +2.1%, respectively, in US dollar terms. This compared to an increase of +5.5% for the MSCI Frontier Markets Net Total Return Index (the "Index").

It is pleasing to observe signs of recovery over the six months ended 31 December 2019 as both frontier markets and the Company's portfolio delivered positive returns. Highlights included a turnaround for Pakistan, Egypt, and Vietnam, the Company's three largest country exposures, while it is anticipated that improved corporate earnings will be witnessed across the portfolio's other 20+ market exposures.

The Company's under-performance against the Index resulted from its exposure to the quite exceptional events in Argentina and, to a lesser extent, in Lebanon. The longstanding underweight to Kuwait detracted again as the small representation of bank stocks drove the Index higher ahead of the country's likely elevation to Emerging Market status later this year. Further information on the portfolio's performance may be found in the Manager's Report.

Discount Management Policy

The discount to NAV at which the Company's shares trade narrowed from 9.7% to 8.3% over the period. The Board keeps the share price discount to net asset value under constant review and the Company may purchase its own shares through the market for cash where the Directors believe that such purchases will enhance shareholder value and are likely to assist in narrowing any discount to NAV at which the Ordinary shares may trade.

The Company did not buy back any shares during the six months ended 31 December 2019, resulting in an unchanged issued Ordinary share capital of 71,910,117 Ordinary shares with voting rights and an additional 1,302,450 Ordinary shares held in treasury. No shares were bought back by the Company between 1 January 2020 and the latest practicable date prior to the publication of this Report.

At an Extraordinary General Meeting held on 17 October 2018, shareholders approved a discount management policy (the "Policy") whereby shareholders will be given the opportunity to fully exit their investment in the Company for cash at the then prevailing NAV less applicable direct costs, including any realisation costs of underlying investments, in the event that the Share Price Total Return (in sterling terms) for the two year period from 1 July 2018 to 30 June 2020 fails to exceed the portfolio's Reference Benchmark, being the MSCI Frontier Markets Index (in sterling terms) (the "Sterling Index"). For the 18 month period from 1 July 2018 to 31 December 2019, the Company reported a share price total return of -12.3%, in sterling terms, as compared to +11.0% for the Sterling Index.

The Board recognises the difficulty facing the Company of meeting the share price total return test as set out within the Policy and will review the future of the Company following the conclusion of the Policy at 30 June 2020. The Board expects to provide an update as soon as practicable in July 2020.

In the intervening period, the Board considers that, notwithstanding the Policy, it remains appropriate to continue to prepare the Company's Half- Yearly Report on the going concern basis of accounting; this is explained more fully in note 3 to the Financial Statements.

Dividend

Further to shareholder approval at the Company's Annual General Meeting on 10 December 2019, a final dividend of 0.779313285p per Ordinary share was paid on 18 December 2019 to shareholders on the register on 15 November 2019. This was the sterling equivalent of a dividend of 1.0 cent per share previously announced for the year ended 30 June 2019 based on a USD/GBP exchange rate of 1.283181. The Board, at this stage, expects to declare an interim dividend in May 2020, for the year ending 30 June 2020, which will be paid in June 2020.

Ongoing Charges Ratio

The Board remains very mindful of the costs incurred in managing an investment company and the fact that any decrease in net assets will lead to a higher overall ongoing charges ratio ("OCR"). The Board previously reported that it had secured agreement from the Manager to seek to limit the Company's OCR to no more than 2% when calculated annually as at 30 June.

To the extent that the OCR exceeds 2% in any annual period, the Manager has committed to rebating an equal amount of its management fee to the Company with the objective of reducing the OCR to 2%. This rebate is, however, capped such that the Manager will not rebate more than an amount equal to one third of the Manager's management fee for the relevant year in question. There can, therefore, be no guarantee that the overall OCR of the Company will, even given any rebate by the Manager, be limited to 2% of net assets but the Board continues to monitor all costs on a regular basis and seeks to reduce them wherever possible.

Future prospects

The Board shares the Manager's positive outlook for frontier markets, particularly as the economic preconditions for growth appear to be in place. Added to this, a continuation of the more dovish view from the US Federal Reserve should curb US dollar strength and reverse investor outflows from the asset class. From a strategic viewpoint, the low correlation both of frontier markets to global equities and within frontier markets themselves, underpins their attraction for international investors seeking risk diversification and may act as a hedge against any instability which might be witnessed in more developed market equities.

The performance of the Manager's largest country positions, in Egypt, Pakistan and Vietnam, validates the case for divergence from the Index, which is a mainstay of the Manager's investment approach. Furthermore, the Manager's selection of companies with a quality bias, following extensive due diligence undertaken by the Manager in-country, should lead to an improvement in the Company's prospects.

I should like to thank shareholders for their patience and continued support of the Company.

John Whittle

Chairman

17 February 2020

 
Manager's Report 
================ 
 

Market environment

While the period under review was volatile for a small handful of markets in our investment universe, and the asset class continued to suffer ongoing withdrawals by international investors, we are pleased to report that there have been pockets of solid progress as well, and the majority of the portfolio continues to display good corporate earnings growth.

The MSCI Frontier Markets Index (the "Index"), which shareholders will remember is heavily skewed towards its largest country constituent, Kuwait (which, at the end of December, was a 37.9% weighting in the Index), achieved a 5.5% total return in US dollars, albeit this was largely attributable to the ongoing liquidity-driven bull market in Kuwaiti bank stocks in anticipation of the market's upgrade to Emerging Market status by MSCI at the end of this coming May. Without the support of Kuwait, the Index's return would have been much lower.

In terms of asset class fund flows, figures provided by EPFR Global indicate that the second half of 2019 witnessed slightly over 1.0 billion US dollars of net outflows from dedicated frontier market equity funds. This follows an equally difficult first half, which delivered slightly under 1.0 billion US dollars of net outflows. Thus, 2019 was the second worst year for frontier market equity fund flows since records began, only beaten by 2015's net outflow of 2.4 billion US dollars.

An ongoing issue for frontier markets has been the reoccurrence of capital destructive idiosyncratic risk, a theme that again reared its ugly head in the period under review, this time in the form of spiralling risk in Argentina, which was then exacerbated by the evaporating investor confidence witnessed in Lebanon. Argentina's lurch back to Peronism briefly shook risk assets globally, but the impact was most felt in Argentina itself whose market suffered the second worst stock market collapse ever known - the S&P MERVAL Index lost 48.3% in US dollar terms on 12 August 2019. The new government has since re-introduced exchange controls and commenced talks with the IMF to restructure the largest loan programme in the IMF's history. Lebanon's descent into the economic quagmire was less spectacular, but nonetheless costly, with the MSCI Lebanon Index losing 45.9% in US dollar terms over the course of last year. Lebanon is now struggling to form a new government whose primary purpose will be to tackle the fiscal deficit and stabilise the country's public debt.

It is nonetheless noteworthy that both the asset class and the portfolio delivered positive returns last year despite these pockets of volatility. Frontier markets' intrinsic diversification, as well as low intra-market correlations, meant heightened volatility in Argentina and Lebanon was largely contained to those markets. Meanwhile, other jurisdictions, such as Kenya and Pakistan, enjoyed a substantial improvement in economic prospects as well as investor sentiment.

With regard to Pakistan (portfolio weight 11.4%), we are very pleased to report that the market seems to have turned a corner in August, following the central bank's implementation of a market-driven exchange rate policy. This was a condition stipulated under the terms of the lending programme agreed by the IMF in June 2019. The outcome of this, as well as supporting policy moves on the fiscal side, have so far exceeded expectations, and underscored the credibility of Pakistan's recently appointed economic policymakers. The rupee's final downward adjustment in June, backed by aggressive hikes of the central bank's policy rate to 13.25%, cemented a severe but necessary contraction of imports that resulted in a 73% year-on-year decline of the current account deficit during the first five months of the local fiscal year to June 2020. Policy credibility has been restored, in our view, which is indicated by a dramatic influx of foreign investment into local currency treasury bills; approximately US$2.0 billion in the second half of 2019 alone. With the sovereign bond yield now on a downward trajectory, local investors have piled back into the equity market, driving a 27.9% positive return in US dollar terms during the period. We expect foreign investors will return to the equity market in due course, supporting further market appreciation.

Egypt has also achieved a more balanced growth trajectory, with a serious economic reform programme underpinned by funding from the IMF. Real GDP growth is expected to accelerate to 5.9% in 2020, driven by falling inflation, easing monetary policy, rising real incomes and expansion of consumption. Steady growth of remittances and rising domestic gas production, as well as a recovery in tourism, have kept the current account in balance and in conjunction with still elevated interest rates have supported a steady appreciation of the Egyptian pound. The corporate earnings cycle is yet to fully play out in Egypt but we believe it will do so over the next two to three years.

Turning to Vietnam, which is the portfolio's largest exposure at 23.9%, the economy continues to chart a steady course despite the global trade headwinds, benefiting from large scale foreign direct investment ("FDI") into manufacturing and assembly. Indeed Vietnam has been a beneficiary of US-China trade tensions as manufacturers look for geographic diversification of their supply chains. That said, management of the Vietnamese dong will remain a balancing act for policy-makers, as the country will want to minimise appreciation against the US dollar given regional competitiveness concerns, whilst cogniscent of too much depreciation given the USA's sensitivity to this. FDI (which reached US$20.4 billion in 2019) and private consumption (which registered +11.8% year-on-year in 2019) should continue to support economic expansion, which is projected at 6.5% in 2020 by the IMF.

As highlighted above, the Company's three largest geographic exposures display very supportive economics as well as stable politics and our corporate earnings expectations for next year reflect that. Elsewhere, we are enthused about prospects for most of the portfolio's twenty or so other market exposures and anticipate continued improvement in corporate earnings delivery there too.

Performance

Aberdeen Frontier Markets Investment Company Limited Cumulative performance in USD for the periods ended 31 December 2019

 
               6 Months  1 Year  3 Years  3 Years 
                      %       %        %        % 
-------------  --------  ------  -------  ------- 
 Share Price       +2.1    +5.4    -15.4    -22.2 
-------------  --------  ------  -------  ------- 
 
 NAV               +0.4    +1.4    -14.5    -25.3 
-------------  --------  ------  -------  ------- 
 

Source: Aberdeen Standard Investments, Bloomberg Returns assume dividends are reinvested. All performance numbers are total returns with dividends reinvested as of the ex-dividend date.

The Company's NAV saw a very moderate increase during the first half of the year, rising 0.4% in US dollar total return terms. Pakistan, Vietnam, Egypt, and Kenya all contributed positively to returns, albeit partially offset by declines in Argentina, Bangladesh, and Nigeria.

In Pakistan, the star performers were Jubilee Life Insurance, Habib Bank and Packages, which delivered total returns of 90.2%, 49.2% and 39.5% respectively during the period. All three holdings rose with the tide of improving economic fundamentals in the country.

In Vietnam, FPT Corp and Mobile World made solid gains as a result of returning local investor interest in these two particular names given a series of robust quarterly earnings results. In Egypt, CIRA, the education company, and Cleopatra Hospital, performed well on excellent third quarter results. Finally in Kenya, Equity Group made a strong recovery on the repeal of interest rate caps for banks.

Negative contribution primarily derived from Argentina. Whilst the portfolio's allocation had been pared back significantly into the election to 4.5% the extent of the market and currency slump nevertheless took its toll. Elsewhere, Bangladesh and Nigeria drifted lower on investor apathy and market-unfriendly government policy action. On the flipside, valuations and dividends are very attractive and more than compensate for the difficult environment.

Portfolio positioning

As at the end of December 2019 the portfolio had 54 investments, providing exposure to more than 20 frontier market economies.

Allocation to sub-Saharan Africa was reduced further during the period with the purpose of further containing hard-to-quantify or unknown economic and policy risks. This included the disposals of MTN Group, Nestle Nigeria and Tanzanian Breweries, as well as a reduction in Zenith Bank. In a similar vein, exposure to Argentina was significantly reduced given the myriad of uncertainties there, and Blom Bank in Lebanon was exited. The Company's holding in Bank Muscat was also sold given its unexciting growth outlook and risk that the corporate tax burden in Oman could rise in the future.

The Company initiated eleven new investments in place of the above exits or reductions. Several speak to identified thematic areas that display structural growth prospects in frontier markets. In the digital payments arena, the portfolio introduced holdings in Fawry (Egypt), Hightech Payment Systems (Morocco), and Network International (UAE). In the area of financial inclusion, which can be defined as micro-finance, consumer lending and SME credit, positions were initiated in Addiko (Croatia), CI Capital (Egypt), and IDLC (Bangladesh). In education, Cairo Investment & Real Estate (Egypt) was introduced. And in healthcare, Cleopatra Hospital (Egypt) and Rameda (Egypt) were initiated. In addition, the Company purchased holdings in Halyk Bank (Kazakhstan) and Seplat Petroleum (Nigeria).

Exposure to Frontier Asia increased slightly to 49.2% (which includes UK-listed ASA International). This was driven by an increase in Pakistan and Vietnam's weights in the portfolio, primarily as a result of capital appreciation.

Market outlook

The outlook for the portfolio's major exposures both at the economy and stock level, we believe, is bright and valuations do not reflect the fundamentals of the companies that we own; nor do they reflect the benign, even supportive, economic backdrop evident across much of our universe. Vietnam, Pakistan and Egypt are particularly well positioned today from a cyclical perspective, buttressed by credible and orthodox policymaking as well as loosening monetary policy in the western world. Outside of these three markets, the Company owns a diversified pool of high quality companies playing to a range of attractive opportunities across almost two dozen economies.

While investor confidence in the asset class has taken a knock, and institutional appetite remains subdued, economic and political progress on the ground remains plain to see in the vast majority of our markets as we witness on our regular country visits, and the corporate earnings backdrop is generally very supportive.

The switch in US Federal Reserve policy from tightening to easing reflects late cycle concerns about the US economic cycle, and in normal circumstances this should herald an uptick of investor interest in riskier asset classes, of which frontier markets is perceived to be one. Indeed, at the very least, monetary easing should cap strength in the US dollar and allow frontier market central banks breathing space to moderate their own interest rates if they feel appropriate. All this should be supportive of our asset class over the coming months.

We repeat the point made previously that the very low correlation of the portfolio with global equities imbues it with defensive qualities should the major global economies and equity markets actually lose their footing, especially given the very low valuations that most of our markets now stand at. As a portfolio diversifier, an exposure to equities in frontier markets, we believe, makes utmost sense and, in time, we expect these markets to benefit as global investors rediscover the attractiveness of the asset class's idiosyncratic drivers, cyclical positioning and attractively valued companies.

As ever, the portfolio retains its clear quality bias, which is reflected in the portfolio's statistics: a high blended return-on-equity, low corporate leverage and double digit corporate earnings growth. In all, we believe these fundamentals provide cause to be optimistic about the coming year.

The management style of the portfolio is benchmark aware but importantly not benchmark driven. In this respect we look across a wide array of countries with frontier market characteristics, including outside of the Index, seeking out what we believe to be quality companies to invest in. This diversified portfolio of companies is managed with a mind to delivering strong performance over the medium to longer term at a low level of volatility. That said, there will be divergences away from the benchmark, as well as in relative performance. We remain committed to our investment approach, which entails rigorous interaction and engagement with companies with regular on the ground visits. This allows us to identify those with solid long-term prospects and progressive management teams that should be better placed to negotiate varying economic cycles and safeguard shareholder interests.

Aberdeen Asset Managers Limited

17 February 2020

 
Top Twenty Investments 
====================== 
 

As at 31 December 2019

 
                                                                                        Value  Percentage of net 
  Company                                            Country                        (GBP'000)         assets (%) 
------------------------------------------------   -------------   --------------------------  ----------------- 
 FPT Corporation                                    Vietnam                              3,353                6.9 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Mobile World Investment Corporation                Vietnam                              3,062                6.3 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Square Pharmaceuticals                             Bangladesh                           1,619                3.4 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Guaranty Trust Bank                                Nigeria                              1,483                3.1 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Bank of Georgia Group                              Georgia                              1,433                3.0 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Arabian Centres Company*                           Saudi Arabia                         1,422                2.9 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Purcari Wineries                                   Romania                              1,208                2.5 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Nova Ljubljanska Banka                             Slovenia                             1,172                2.4 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Vietnam Technological & Commercial Joint Stock 
  Bank                                              Vietnam                              1,138                2.4 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Habib Bank                                         Pakistan                             1,111                2.3 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Maple Leaf Cement Factory                          Pakistan                             1,067                2.2 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Grameenphone                                       Bangladesh                           1,062                2.2 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Indus Motor Company                                Pakistan                             1,051                2.2 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 ASA International Group                            UK                                   1,025                2.1 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Commercial International Bank Egypt                Egypt                                1,020                2.1 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Zenith Bank                                        Nigeria                              1,016                2.1 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Vincom Retail                                      Vietnam                                991                2.1 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Shell Pakistan                                     Pakistan                               990                2.1 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Sphera Franchise Group                             Romania                                971                2.0 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Masan Group Corporation                            Vietnam                                966                2.0 
-------------------------------------------------   --------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Top twenty investments                                                                27,160               56.3 
-----------------------------------------------------------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Other holdings                                                                        20,431               42.3 
-----------------------------------------------------------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Total holdings                                                                        47,591               98.6 
-----------------------------------------------------------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Cash and other net assets                                                                657                1.4 
-----------------------------------------------------------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 Net assets                                                                            48,248              100.0 
-----------------------------------------------------------------  --------------------------  ----------------- 
 

* Held through participatory notes issued by Morgan Stanley

 
Relative Country Positions 
                          Fund  Benchmark  Difference 
   Country                   %          %           % 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Africa & Middle East     28.5       70.0       -41.5 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Bahrain                     -        5.7        -5.7 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Dubai                     1.5          -         1.5 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Egypt                    10.9          -        10.9 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Ghana                     0.7          -         0.7 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Ivory Coast                 -        0.1        -0.1 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Jordan                      -        0.8        -0.8 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Kenya                     3.7        5.1        -1.4 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Kuwait                    1.3       37.9       -36.6 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Lebanon                     -        1.2        -1.2 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Mauritius                   -        2.1        -2.1 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Morocco                   1.3        9.2        -7.9 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Nigeria                   6.1        5.4         0.7 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Oman                        -        1.3        -1.3 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Saudi Arabia              3.0          -         3.0 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Senegal                     -        0.6        -0.6 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Tunisia                     -        0.6        -0.6 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Asia Pacific ex Japan    47.1       18.7        28.4 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Bangladesh                6.2        2.0         4.2 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Pakistan                 11.4          -        11.4 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Singapore                 0.8          -         0.8 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Sri Lanka                 3.2        0.9         2.3 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Thailand                  1.6          -         1.6 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Vietnam                  23.9       15.8         8.1 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Europe ex UK             15.8       11.3         4.5 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Croatia                   1.2        1.4        -0.2 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Estonia                     -        0.4        -0.4 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Georgia                   4.5          -         4.5 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Kazakhstan                1.5        1.6        -0.1 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Lithuania                   -        0.2        -0.2 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Romania                   6.2        4.8         1.4 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Serbia                      -        0.2        -0.2 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Slovenia                  2.4        2.7        -0.3 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Latin America             5.5          -         5.5 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Argentina                 2.9          -         2.9 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Peru                      1.1          -         1.1 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Panama                    1.5          -         1.5 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Other                     2.1          -         2.1 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Cash                      1.0          -         1.0 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 Total                   100.0      100.0           - 
-----------------------  -----  ---------  ---------- 
 

At 31 December 2019, the benchmark index was composed of 92 companies across 28 countries (source MSCI).

 
Financial Statements 
 Condensed Unaudited Statement of Comprehensive Income 
                                                                                                       --- 
                                              Six months to 31 December          Six months to 31 December 
                                                                   2019                               2018 
                                 ------  ------------------------------  --------------------------------- 
                                            Revenue    Capital    Total   Revenue    Capital         Total 
                                  Notes       $'000      $'000    $'000     $'000      $'000         $'000 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Capital gains/(losses) 
  on investments                                  -        437      437         -    (9,757)       (9,757) 
 Capital gains/(losses) 
  on currency movements                           -          4        4         -      (170)         (170) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Net investment gains/(losses)                    -        441      441         -    (9,927)       (9,927) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Income                                         493          -      493       715          -           715 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
                                                493        441      934       715    (9,927)       (9,212) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Investment management 
  fees                                         (80)      (160)    (240)      (97)      (195)         (292) 
 Other expenses                               (299)          -    (299)     (357)          -         (357) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Net profit/(loss) from 
  operations before finance 
  costs and taxation                            114        281      395       261   (10,122)       (9,861) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Finance costs                                  (2)          -      (2)      (15)          -          (15) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Net profit/(loss) before 
  taxation                                      112        281      393       246   (10,122)       (9,876) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Withholding tax                      5        (40)          -     (40)      (72)          -          (72) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 Net profit/(loss) after 
  taxation                                       72        281      353       174   (10,122)       (9,948) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 
 Earnings/(losses) per 
  Ordinary share                      6       0.10c      0.39c    0.49c     0.22c   (12.73c)      (12.51c) 
-------------------------------  ------  ----------  ---------  -------  --------  ---------  ------------ 
 
 

The total column of this statement represents the Company's Statement of Comprehensive Income, prepared under IFRS as adopted by the European Union. The revenue and capital columns, including the revenue and capital earnings per Ordinary share data, are supplementary information prepared under guidance published by the Association of Investment Companies.

The Company does not have any income or expenses that are not included in the profit/(loss) for the period and therefore the 'Net profit/(loss) after taxation' is also the total comprehensive income for the period.

All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued during the period.

The notes form an integral part of these financial statements.

 
Condensed Unaudited Statement of Financial Position 
                                                     As at 31    As at 31      As at 
                                                     December    December    30 June 
                                                         2019        2018       2019 
                                            Notes       $'000       $'000      $'000 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
 Non-current assets 
 Investments at fair value through 
  profit or loss                              4        47,591      48,034     46,188 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
 
 Current assets 
 Cash and cash equivalents                                502       1,107      1,939 
 Sales for future settlement                              132          74        800 
 Other receivables                                        157          37        401 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
                                                          791       1,218      3,140 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
 
 Total assets                                          48,382      49,252     49,328 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
 
 Current liabilities 
 Purchases for future settlement                           12           -        593 
 Other payables                                           122         224        121 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
                                                          134         224        714 
 
 Net assets                                            48,248      49,028     48,614 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
 
 Capital and reserves attributable 
  to equity holders 
 Share capital and Share premium account                3,798       3,798      3,798 
 Capital reserve                                       44,377      45,056     44,551 
 Revenue reserve                                           73         174        265 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
 Total equity                                          48,248      49,028     48,614 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
 
 Net assets per Ordinary share (US 
  cents)                                      8        67.10c      68.18c     67.60c 
 Exchange rate GBP/USD (mid market)                   0.75425     0.78380    0.78770 
 Net assets per Ordinary share (pence)                 50.61p      53.44p     53.25p 
-----------------------------------------  ------  ----------  ----------  --------- 
 

The notes form an integral part of these financial statements.

 
Condensed Unaudited Statement of Changes in Equity 
                                                Share capital 
                                                    and share              Capital              Revenue 
                                              premium account              reserve              reserve       Total 
 Six months to 31 December 2019     Note                $'000                $'000                $'000       $'000 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 Balance at 1 July 2019                                 3,798               44,551                  265      48,614 
 Profit for the period                                      -                  281                   72         353 
 Equity dividends paid               9                      -                (455)                (264)       (719) 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 Balance at 31 December 2019                            3,798               44,377                   73      48,248 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 
 
 
                                                Share capital 
                                                    and share              Capital              Revenue 
                                              premium account              reserve              reserve       Total 
 Six months to 31 December 2018                         $'000                $'000                $'000       $'000 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 Balance at 1 July 2018                                12,543               55,546                  351      68,440 
 Tender offer                                         (8,745)                    -                    -     (8,745) 
 (Loss)/profit for the period                               -             (10,122)                  174     (9,948) 
 Equity dividends paid               9                      -                (368)                (351)       (719) 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 Balance at 31 December 2018                            3,798               45,056                  174      49,028 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 
 
 
                                                Share capital 
                                                    and share              Capital              Revenue 
                                              premium account              reserve              reserve       Total 
 Year ended 30 June 2019                                $'000                $'000                $'000       $'000 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 Balance at 1 July 2018                                12,543               55,546                  351      68,440 
 Tender offer                                         (8,745)                    -                    -     (8,745) 
 (Loss)/profit for the year                                 -             (10,626)                  984     (9,642) 
 Equity dividends paid               9                      -                (369)              (1,070)     (1,439) 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 Balance at 30 June 2019                                3,798               44,551                  265      48,614 
---------------------------------  -----  -------------------  -------------------  -------------------  ---------- 
 
 

The notes form an integral part of these financial statements.

 
Condensed Unaudited Statement of Cash Flow 
                                                             Six months        Six months   Year ended 
                                                         to 31 December    to 31 December      30 June 
                                                                   2019              2018         2019 
                                                Notes             $'000             $'000        $'000 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 Operating activities 
 Cash inflow from investment income 
  and bank interest                                                 473               731        2,035 
 Cash outflow from management expenses                            (456)             (543)      (1,217) 
 Cash inflow/(outflow) from foreign 
  exchange movements                                                185             (170)        (440) 
 Cash outflow from taxation                       5                (40)              (72)        (189) 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 Net cash flow from/(used in) operating 
  activities                                                        162              (54)          189 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 Investing activities 
 Cash inflow from disposal of investments                        10,543            21,016       29,864 
 Cash outflow from purchase of investments                     (11,421)          (10,937)     (18,467) 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 Net cash flow (used in)/from investing 
  activities                                                      (878)            10,079       11,397 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 Financing activities 
 Finance charges and interest paid                                  (2)              (15)         (25) 
 Tender offer costs                                                   -             (158)        (158) 
 Tender offer distributions paid                                      -           (8,745)      (8,745) 
 Equity dividends paid                            9               (719)             (719)      (1,438) 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 Net cash flow used in financing activities                       (721)           (9,637)     (10,366) 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 Net (decrease)/increase in cash and 
  cash equivalents                                              (1,437)               388        1,220 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 Cash and cash equivalents opening balance                        1,939               719          719 
 Cash and cash equivalents balance at 
  closing balance                                                   502             1,107        1,939 
---------------------------------------------  ------  ----------------  ----------------  ----------- 
 
 

The notes form an integral part of these financial statements.

 
Notes to the Financial Statements 
 For the six month period ended 31 December 2019 
================================================ 
 
   1.   Company information 

Aberdeen Frontier Markets Investment Company Limited (the "Company") is a UK-listed closed-ended investment company incorporated and resident in Guernsey, offering diversified access to up-and-coming frontier markets. Its Ordinary shares are quoted on AIM. The Company's registered office is 11 New Street, St Peter Port, Guernsey, GY1 2PF.

Manager

The investment activities of the Company were managed by Aberdeen Standard Fund Managers Limited ("ASFML") during the six month period ended 31 December 2019.

Non-mainstream pooled investments ("NMPIs")

The Company currently conducts its affairs so that the shares issued by the Company can be recommended by Independent Financial Advisers to ordinary retail investors in accordance with the Financial Conduct Authority's rules in relation to NMPIs and intends to continue to do so for the foreseeable future.

   2.   Basis of preparation 

The interim financial statements have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting. They are unaudited and do not include all of the information required for full annual financial statements. These interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements of the Company as at and for the year ended 30 June 2019. The financial statements of the Company as at and for the year ended 30 June 2019 were prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and received an unqualified audit report. The accounting policies used by the Company are the same as those applied by the Company in its financial statements for the year ended 30 June 2019.

Under IFRS, the Statement of Recommended Practice (SORP) issued by the Association of Investment Companies has no formal status, but the Company has taken the guidance of the SORP into account to the extent that it is deemed appropriate and compatible with IFRS and the Company's circumstances.

Investments have been classified as "fair value through profit and loss".

After initial recognition, such investments are valued at fair value which is determined by reference to:

(i) primarily market bid price for investments quoted on recognised stock exchanges (market mid or last trade price will be used where deemed to more appropriately reflect fair value);

(ii) net asset value per individual investee funds' administrators for unquoted open-end funds; and

(iii) by using other valuation techniques to establish fair value for any other unquoted investments.

The Company's shares were issued in US dollars and this is considered to be the functional currency of the Company. Therefore, it is the Company's policy to present the accounts in US dollars. The Company's shares are traded in sterling on AIM.

Unless otherwise stated the comparative figures for the prior year stated in these notes are in respect of the six months ended 31 December 2018.

   3.   Going concern status 

The directors have adopted the going-concern basis of accounting in preparing these interim financial statements. The directors formally considered the Company's going concern status at the time of the publication of these interim financial statements and a summary of the assessment is provided below.

The directors have a reasonable expectation that the Company has adequate operational resources to continue in existence for at least twelve months from the date of approval of the interim financial statements. In reaching this conclusion, the directors have considered the liquidity of the Company's portfolio of investments as well as its cash position, income, expenses and other outflows. The Company has substantial operating expenses cover.

The directors are also mindful of the material uncertainty which the Company may face following the conclusion of its discount management policy measured over the two years ending 30 June 2020.

The directors are satisfied that it is appropriate to adopt the going concern basis of accounting in preparing these interim financial statements.

   4.   Fair value estimation 

IFRS requires the Company to classify its investments in a fair value hierarchy that reflects the significance of the inputs used in making the measurements. IFRS 13 establishes a fair value hierarchy that prioritises the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value. The hierarchy gives the highest priority to unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities (Level 1 measurements) and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs (Level 3 measurements). The three levels of fair value hierarchy under IFRS are as follows:

Level 1: Quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities.

Level 2: Inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for the asset or liability, either directly (that is, as prices) or indirectly (that is, derived from prices).

Level 3: Inputs for the asset or liability that are not based on observable market data (that is, unobservable inputs).

The level in the fair value hierarchy within which the fair value measurement is categorised in its entirety is determined on the basis of the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement in its entirety. For this purpose, the significance of an input is assessed against the fair value measurement in its entirety. If a fair value measurement uses observable inputs that require significant adjustment based on unobservable inputs, that measurement is a level 3 measurement. Assessing the significance of a particular input to the fair value measurement in its entirety requires judgement, considering factors specific to the asset or liability.

The determination of what constitutes 'observable' requires significant judgement by the Company. The Company considers observable data to be that market data that is readily available, regularly distributed or updated, reliable and verifiable, not proprietary, and provided by independent sources that are actively involved in the relevant market.

The classification of the Company's investments at fair value through profit or loss is detailed below:

 
                                                     31 December 2019   31 December 2018   30 June 2019 
 Investment at fair value through profit or loss:               $'000              $'000          $'000 
--------------------------------------------------  -----------------  -----------------  ------------- 
 Level 1                                                       47,591             47,590         46,188 
 Level 2                                                            -                444              - 
 Level 3                                                            -                  -              - 
--------------------------------------------------  -----------------  -----------------  ------------- 
 Total                                                         47,591             48,034         46,188 
--------------------------------------------------  -----------------  -----------------  ------------- 
 

There were no transfers between levels during the period.

Level 1 classification basis

Investments whose values are based on quoted market prices in active markets, and therefore classified within Level 1, include active listed equities. The Company does not adjust the quoted price for these instruments.

Level 2 classification basis

Investments that trade in markets that are not considered to be active but are valued based on quoted market prices, dealer quotations or alternative pricing sources supported by observable inputs are classified within Level 2. These include monthly priced funds.

Level 3 classification basis

Investments classified within Level 3 have significant unobservable inputs as they trade infrequently. As at the period end, there were no level 3 classified investments.

   5.   Taxation 

The charge for taxation relates to tax suffered on dividends received from overseas investments.

   6.   Earnings per Ordinary share 

Earnings per Ordinary share is based on the profit of $353,000 (2018: loss of $9,948,000) attributable to the weighted average of 71,910,117 Ordinary shares in issue during the six months to 31 December 2019 (2018: 79,496,525).

   7.   Share capital 
 
                                                                    Allotted, issued 
 Six months to 31 December 2019                       Authorised      and fully paid    Treasury shares 
-------------------------------------------------   ------------   -----------------   ---------------- 
 Opening number of shares as at 1 July 2019              Unlimited         71,910.117          1,302,500 
 Closing number of shares as at 31 December 2019         Unlimited         71,910,117          1,302,500 
--------------------------------------------------   -------------  -----------------   ---------------- 
 
                                                                    Allotted, issued 
 Six months to 31 December 2018                       Authorised      and fully paid    Treasury shares 
-------------------------------------------------   ------------   -----------------   ---------------- 
 Opening number of shares as at 1 July 2018              Unlimited         84,600,108          1,302,500 
 Validly tendered shares cancelled                               -        (12,689,991)                 - 
--------------------------------------------------   -------------  -----------------   ---------------- 
 Closing number of shares as at 31 December 2018         Unlimited         71,910,117          1,302,500 
--------------------------------------------------   -------------  -----------------   ---------------- 
 
                                                                    Allotted, issued 
 Year ended 30 June 2019                              Authorised      and fully paid    Treasury shares 
-------------------------------------------------   ------------   -----------------   ---------------- 
 Opening number of shares as at 1 July 2018              Unlimited         84,600,108          1,302,500 
 Validly tendered shares cancelled                               -        (12,689,991)                 - 
--------------------------------------------------   -------------  -----------------   ---------------- 
 Closing number of shares as at 30 June 2019             Unlimited         71,910,117          1,302,500 
--------------------------------------------------   -------------  -----------------   ---------------- 
 

Voting rights

At General Meetings of the Company, every member present in person or by proxy shall have one vote for every Ordinary share of which they are the registered holder.

   8.   Net asset value ('NAV') per Ordinary share 

Undiluted NAV per Ordinary share is based on net assets of $48,248,000 (31 December 2018: $49,028,000 and 30 June 2019: $48,614,000) divided by 71,910,117 Ordinary shares in issue (excluding shares held in treasury) at the period end (31 December 2018: 71,910,117 and 30 June 2019: 71,910,117).

   9.   Dividends 

A final dividend for the year ended 30 June 2019 of 1 cent (2018: 1 cent), sterling equivalent of 0.779313285 pence (2018: 0.761615 pence), per Ordinary share was paid on 18 December 2019 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 15 November 2019.

Dividends are paid in sterling from the Company's distributable reserves.

10. Investment management fees

Fees payable to the Manager are shown in the Unaudited Statement of Comprehensive Income. At 31 December 2019, Manager's fees of $41,884 (2018: $40,856) were accrued in the Statement of Financial Position.

11. Post balance sheet events

There are no post balance sheet events other than as disclosed in these financial statements.

12. Status of this report

These interim financial statements are not the Company's statutory accounts. They are unaudited. This report will be sent to shareholders and copies will be made available to the public at the registered office of the Company. It is also available on the Company's website, aberdeenfrontiermarkets.co.uk.

This Half-yearly Financial Report was approved by the Board of directors on 17 February 2020.

 
 
  Alternative Performance Measures ("APMs") 
=========================================== 
 
 
 Discount 
 The amount, expressed as a percentage, by which the Ordinary 
  share price is less than NAV per Ordinary Share. 
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                                                             As at 31           As at 31 
                                                             December           December 
                                                                 2019               2019 
                                                           (GB pounds         (US dollar 
                                                          equivalent)        equivalent) 
-----------------------------  --------------  ---  -----------------  ----------------- 
 NAV per Ordinary share                 a                  0.5061               0.6710 
 Ordinary share price                   b                  0.4640               0.6152 
 Discount                          (b÷a)-1              8.3%                 8.3% 
-----------------------------  -------------------  -------------  ------------------- 
 
 
 
 Total return 
 A measure of performance that includes both income and 
  capital returns. This takes into account capital gains 
  and reinvestment of dividends paid out by the Company 
  into its Ordinary shares on the ex-dividend date. 
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 Six months to 31 December                               Ordinary     NAV per Ordinary 
  2019                                                share price                share 
-----------------------------  --------------  ---  -------------  ------------------- 
 Opening at 1 July 2019 (in 
  US dollars)                           a                  0.6106               0.6760 
 Closing at 31 December 2019 
  (in US dollars)                       b                  0.6152               0.6710 
 Price movement (b÷a)-1            c                    0.7%                -0.7% 
 Dividend reinvestment                  d                    1.4%                 1.1% 
 Total return                         (c+d)                  2.1%                 0.4% 
-----------------------------  -------------------  -------------  ------------------- 
 
 
 
Directors, Manager and Advisers 
=============================== 
 
 
Directors                                                   Alternative Investment Fund Manager 
 John Whittle (Chairman)                                     Aberdeen Standard Fund Managers Limited 
 David Warr                                                  Bow Bells House 
 Lynne Duquemin                                              1 Bread Street 
                                                             London EC4M 9HH 
 Company secretary and Administrator                         www.aberdeenstandard.com 
 Vistra Fund Services (Guernsey) Limited 
 11 New Street                                                Investment Manager 
 St Peter Port                                                Aberdeen Asset Managers Limited 
 Guernsey GY1 2PF                                             Bow Bells House 
                                                              1 Bread Street 
 Nominated adviser                                            London EC4M 9HH 
 Grant Thornton UK LLP 
 30 Finsbury Square                                          UK administration agent 
 London EC2P 2YU                                             PraxisIFM Fund Services (UK) Limited 
                                                             3rd Floor, Mermaid House 
 Broker                                                      2 Puddle Dock 
 Numis Securities Limited                                    London, EC4V 3DB 
 The London Stock Exchange Building 
 10 Paternoster Square                                       Solicitors as to English law 
 London EC4M 7LT                                             Gowling WLG 
                                                             4 More London Riverside 
 Auditor                                                     London SE1 2AU 
 Grant Thornton Limited 
 Lefebvre House                                              Advisers as to Guernsey law 
 Lefebvre Street                                             Mourant 
 St Peter Port                                               Royal Chambers 
 Guernsey GY1 3TF                                            St Julian's Avenue 
                                                             St Peter Port 
 Registrar                                                   Guernsey GY1 4HP 
 Link Market Services Limited 
 Mont Crevelt House                                          Depositary services and custodian 
 Bulwer Avenue                                               Northern Trust (Guernsey) Limited 
 St Sampson                                                  Trafalgar Court 
 Guernsey GY2 4LH                                            Les Banques 
                                                             St Peter Port 
 Registered office*                                          Guernsey GY1 3DA 
 11 New Street 
 St Peter Port                                               United States Internal Revenue Service FATCA 
 Guernsey GY1 2PF                                             Registration Number ("GIIN") 
                                                             35VBTN.99999.SL.831 
 Company registration number 
 * Incorporated in Guernsey with registered number 46809     Legal Entity Identifier ("LEI") 
                                                             213800X9N731I4IPK361 
 Website 
 www.aberdeenfrontiermarkets.co.uk 
 

Enquiries:

Aberdeen Standard Fund Managers Limited (Investment Manager to Aberdeen Frontier Markets Investment Company Limited)

William Hemmings / Gary Jones

Tel: +44 (0)20 7463 6000

Grant Thornton UK LLP (Nominated Adviser)

Philip Secrett

Tel: +44 (0)20 7383 5100

Numis Securities Limited (Nominated Broker)

David Benda

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7260 1275

17 February 2020

END

This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution of this information may apply. For further information, please contact rns@lseg.com or visit www.rns.com.

END

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