PARIS, October 7, 2013 /PRNewswire/ --
Thierry Ehrmann, CEO and founder
of Artprice.com, discusses the future of Artprice.com and the Art
Market with Thierry Folcher, founder
of Trading and IPO, from France's
decline to China's ascension,
including the evolutions on the US marketplace.
Thierry Folcher,
Founder of Trading and IPO: First of all... why in European
equity markets, particularly in France, does Artprice trigger such irrational
reflexes, both positive and negative? Some traders regard Artprice
as some kind of magical stock that escapes the rules of technical
analysis and common reasoning.
Thierry Ehrmann, Founder and
CEO of Artprice: our story (Artprice) is a story that has had a
colossal impact on the Art Market. I remember the famous Art Market
sociologist, Raymonde Moulin, who
thirteen years ago explained to me that, whatever Artprice's fate,
Artprice's existence had already had such an impact on the Art
Market that turning back would be impossible.
It took me a number of years to understand exactly what the
great Lady - who more or less invented art market sociology -
really meant.
Thierry Folcher: What do
you mean by "impossible to turn back"? Can you explain this
idea?
Thierry Ehrmann: For
reasons of supply and demand as well as production techniques
several centuries old, the art market was unknown to the general
public in terms of information and the margins practiced by a large
number of players (dealers, galleries, brokers, etc.) were
generally charging more than 700% supported by a very high level of
market opacity and the total absence of centralized global
data.
Thierry Folcher: How could
such a margin exist?
Thierry Ehrmann: In
effect, that type of margin - in any sector- would almost certainly
lead to accusations of criminal fraud or, in the best case, of
willful misrepresentation.
The simplest explanation is that, among other factors, for
centuries artworks such as oil paintings took months to produce and
then months to dry. Today, in addition to acrylic paint that dries
in one day, artists now have a whole range of methods derived from
industrial and information technologies at their disposal, allowing
them to significantly increase their production. As a result,
today's art market can operate with more standard commercial
margins reflecting the pace with which artworks are produced and
exchanged.
Our databases contain biographical data for over a million
artists who every year inject a considerable number of works into
the art market.
Thierry Folcher: Why then
do some Art Market players not take into account this revolution by
trimming their surreal margins?
Thierry Ehrmann: You have
just put your finger on the origin of the intense anger expressed
against Artprice on stock market trading forums by Art Market
players, posing as Artprice shareholders. In the past, dealers,
brokers and market operators, primarily French, operated within a
form of quasi-monopoly that allowed stratospheric margin (sometimes
exceeding a coefficient of 10). Since 1556, for example, French
auctioneers have functioned in a de facto monopoly that
lasted for more than five centuries and created very strong
addictions in terms of economic behavior, especially in such a
closed environment where family transmission from generation to
generation was standard practice.
I would however like to stress that 98% of the negative
commentaries regarding Artprice come directly from the Paris market. This is very disappointing
indeed: we work with 72 countries, with which we have never
experienced any problems in nearly 27 years. In fact... only
France has these kinds of
monopolies... and look where France's art market is today... more or less
ruined, with a 3% share of the global market.
Thierry Folcher: So some
members of this "monopolistic corporation" consider Artprice as the
cause of their fall?
Thierry Ehrmann: It's much
worse than that. Since the advent of two factors in particular,
namely the 3 billion people worldwide connected to the Internet and
mobile Internet (Gartner Group predicts 2.4 billion new connectors
in 2014), some members of this corporation see their clients
consulting the Artprice databases for price information, indices
and statistics on the very place of their sales.
To illustrate... imagine a collector who has trusted a dealer
for 20 years. He consults Artprice and realizes that his next
acquisition is pure folly in terms of margin. So he goes home and
intuitively checks his major acquisitions in recent years in
Artprice's databases. And that's when the penny drops. Not only has
he been the victim of willful misrepresentation (to say the least),
but his social status as a collector has been undermined by
expensive purchases over many years.
This example illustrates what amounts to a complete overturn of
the existing status quo: our collector launches legal proceedings
against his dealer and radically changes his purchasing behaviour
by making Artprice his permanent reference.
Thierry Folcher: How is it
that no-one else has tried to set up another Artprice in the 20th
or 21st century?
Thierry Ehrmann: The
reason is simple: to be a competitor to Artprice you would need, on
the one hand, huge capital to purchase the main historical price
quotation books, editorial archives, publishing companies,
manuscripts and catalogues in different continents, and on the
other hand, to perform over a million hours of work over almost 18
years to build and develop more than 120 databases that are
protected in the United States,
Europe and Asia by Intellectual Property rights covering
both the content and its organization.
Thierry Folcher: If I
follow your reasoning, Artprice has done that?
Thierry Ehrmann: Indeed;
step by step that is what we have done. This daunting task could
not be undertaken by just any industry because it requires - in
addition to colossal investment - a passionate interest, an
incredible amount of patience and, above all, an extraordinary
level of determination to acquire art information throughout the
world in all formats, whether it be publishing companies, editorial
archives, manuscripts and catalogues, and then build up the
databases that underpin Artprice's standardized art information
database. In effect, the combination of my legal training and my
activity as an artist-sculptor for over 30 years has helped me to
develop close exchanges with the art world. My retrospective
exhibition (1982 - 2012) last year made me realize just how
important this unique relationship has been for the development of
Artprice as a business.
Thierry Folcher: Returning
to my first question... how do you explain the persistence of
certain criticism leveled against Artprice in France?
Thierry Ehrmann: The
answer is very simple. Every day Artprice impacts hundreds of
thousands of transactions in the world, particularly through its
millions of members who constantly consult its databases to know
the price of a work, understand its basis, and obtain transparent
market statistics in a market which until recently was totally
opaque, allowing certain players to accumulate immense
fortunes.
Every day we are officially solicited via a multitude of letters
rogatory and court requisitions from legal teams (operating in 70
different countries) working on cases relating to works of art and,
of course, by Interpol.
Indeed, as we are the only organization capable of ensuring the
perfect traceability of works of art over time, we are a veritable
gold mine for legal departments around the world, a fact that helps
to explain the blind hatred of certain people with regard to
Artprice, particularly among a certain number of French operators
whose indictment or status as assisted witnesses does not make
things easier...
It is obvious that our impact on the art market significantly
reduces the various forms of fraud and, believe me, there are
lots.
Thierry Folcher: So
Artprice destroys the sky-high margins of some... but are there
also some positive impacts?
Thierry Ehrmann: Yes
indeed; fortunately our business has a number of very positive
consequences. In fact our comprehensive art market information has
allowed some players to become very wealthy. I am currently in the
process of collecting these stories for a forthcoming book I am
writing about the secret workings of the art market which will
include a chapter on this subject. Artprice is the global reference
database with by far the most comprehensive information about
artists and their works (past and present) all over the world and
we also have a totally unique database for signatures and monograms
which is automatically consulted at the beginning of any search
involving a re-discovered art work.
Thierry Folcher: Why was
Artprice the only company in the late 1990s to start this titanic
task without any real competitor?
Thierry Ehrmann: The
explanation is simple: the main operators were working on the
assumption that collectors are people of a certain age who are
rich, powerful and disdainful of computers, considering their time
as valuable and therefore un-inclined to consult databases on the
art market via the Internet.
For these operators, the transparency risk was limited to the
price quotation books that gave a simple selection of auction
results for just one year, without reproducing any pictures of the
works involved. Moreover, no-one, apart from us, imagined that the
number of people connected to Internet would soon exceed three
billion.
Thierry Folcher: So,
compared to that assumption, what is actually happening today?
Thierry Ehrmann: In 2013,
with Artprice and an iphone, ipad or an Android smartphone, in just
a few seconds, for a few euros, the collector or art enthusiast has
access, wherever he may be, to comprehensive information about an
artist and the work he would like to acquire without the
constraints of using a computer.
Thierry Folcher: I get the
impression you are saying that the real revolution was not so much
the advent of the Internet in the 2000s but rather the arrival of
mobile Internet with smartphones and tablets?
Thierry Ehrmann: That's
right; the Internet with its 50 million users worldwide in the
early 2000s fuelled all kinds of speculative fantasies, but
ultimately no-one expected that the tablet and smartphone would
allow billions of people to connect to the Internet anywhere,
without any computer knowledge in just a few years.
Thierry Folcher: So... do
you see any other revolution on the horizon for 2014 - 2015?
Thierry Ehrmann: Yes. The
technologies 4G, LTE (Long Term Evolution) and 4G + in Asia and the USA will revolutionize the Internet by
allowing automatic payment and incredible connection speeds.
Thierry Folcher: What do
you mean by "automatic payment"?
Thierry Ehrmann: Did you
know that, according to several major research firms, in 2013 it
takes a minimum of 14 minutes to buy information worth just a few
dollars or euros?
For example if you try to buy a press article in French or
English costing between €1 and €5, you have to type in your name
and address, your bank card details (number, expiry date, security
code), and, since last year, to make matters worse, a security sms
sent by the bank to type into the vendor site. The whole rigmarole
is far too cumbersome!
Thierry Folcher: If I
understand your reasoning, France's Minitel in the 1980s, with its
automatic kiosk system, was a futuristic experiment?
Thierry Ehrmann: Well in
that respect yes. Joking aside, you are absolutely right. With the
4G kiosk, anyone will be able to consume paid information in just a
few seconds and information will be automatically charged to
his/her phone bill or company. Apple with its Apple Store has
perfectly understood this. To understand how the current situation
of purchasing information on the Internet is grotesque, I often
invite my staff to imagine a situation, by analogy, where for each
local or international telephone call they make, they would have to
spend 14 minutes entering personal data and bank details before
being able to place the call.
Thierry Folcher: The 4G
and LTE kiosks... are they are adaptable to Artprice?
Thierry Ehrmann: Of
course. In 1991, you could connect to Artprice via 3617 (FFr 5.57
per minute, i.e. with inflation, €1.20 / minute) and it generated a
net margin of 45%, despite the fact that the data had no pictures
or statistics and were not exhaustive.
Thierry Folcher: So it's a
case of "Back to the Future" then?
Thierry Ehrmann: In
reality, from an IT point of view, the Minitel and the tablet are
exactly the same. They are passive devices, without hard drives,
functioning with operating systems that are insensitive to bugs and
viruses and which allow access to information, such as that
accumulated by Artprice, in just a few seconds, on ultra powerful
servers that host all the IT, as in the case of Artprice, which has
its own clean rooms and which operates on its own optical fiber
network. The reality is that Internet commerce, whether for
tangible goods or intangible services, represents such a percentage
of the global economy that the banks, contrary to their best
interests, sacrificed simplicity of payment via the kiosk system
for a credit card payment system, with the whole rigmarole
mentioned above, in an attempt to keep control over dematerialized
transactions in the 21st century.
Thierry Folcher: So are
the telecom operators going to take over online payments?
Thierry Ehrmann: It's
obvious. They have proprietary engineering on their 4G networks
that is ten times superior to that of a banking network of the
credit card type, and they are looking for revenue on content with
real added value. They will charge a commission of about 18 to 25%
on a kiosk at €1 per minute. This commission will cover the payment
service, its promotion and the payment guarantee. And client
anonymity, if desired, can also be guaranteed.
Eventually, kiosk revenue will become by far the largest revenue
per user for telecom operators who need irreproachable and credible
multi-lingual content. In fact, for telecom operators Artprice
represents a perfect example of what they are looking for in the
area of paid, irreproachable content... and available in seven
languages including Mandarin, with a truly global market. With 4G
kiosks, the operators will see a massive increase in net
profits.
Thierry Folcher: You seem
very sure about this new economic model...!
Thierry Ehrmann : Yes,
because we are in exactly the same logic as when France Telecom, 33
years ago, did not have a kiosk system because the data flow on
Minitel was too slow to bill customers on a per minute basis. This
was the initial period of Minitel with 3614 involving tedious
subscriptions... as we currently have on Internet.
In the second phase, France Telecom introduced a much faster
dadta flow to the Minitel network via its professional subsidiary
Transpac and switched to a kiosk mode which at the high end cost
between €1 and €2.20 per minute.
Indeed, this was the origin of the fortune of our holding
company Server Group which validated this economic model for 25
years in all the sectors of the economy in which our databases
operated.
Thierry Folcher: Do you
have any special relationships with 4G operators?
Thierry Ehrmann: We are
fortunate to have, among others, Verizon USA, which is wired to our data centers'
proprietary fiber optic networks. This is rare in France.
Verizon is launching in a 4G LTE network in New York and it worth noting that Verizon has
the majority share of the market in New
York State of and that New
York represents, alone, more than 90% of American art
market. I also invite you to an article published in Les
Echoes of 30September 2013, whose title sums up Artprice's
vision of the 4G revolution: "In the
United States, a real goose that lays golden eggs for
operators"... and the article starts with "Americans spend
almost twice as much as Europeans on their mobile
subscriptions".
Thierry Folcher: Does the
4G technology really work?
Thierry Ehrmann: Our
tests, both in terms of speed and in terms of the analysis of
Artprice clients connected via 4G to our databases, show that
customers with connection speeds multiplied by 10 spend more time
connected (average connection time) and are released by the kiosk
system from the archaic payment method I have already
described.
This is why I can state with the utmost certainty that we are
only just at the very beginning of the digital economy over the
Internet.
In 2015, we will be wondering: how did we put up with such a
level of unparalleled stupidity in terms of payment?
And how did we live with such slow Internet speeds? It's
difficult to imagine the extent to which the new Internet with its
new protocols such as 4G, LTE and the new IPv6 standard will make
the current period look completely passé. According to all
the major research firms, there are 3 million people accessing
Internet for the first time every day! No media in the world has
ever experienced such phenomenal growth in such a short time.
Thierry Folcher: A lot of
people still do not understand your assertion that Artprice is
responsible for the standardization of the art market and therefore
the owner of this standardization. Could you explain this concept
in a simple way?
Thierry Ehrmann: It is
true that in most economic sectors standardization is often
associated with ISO standards or very sophisticated specifications.
Artprice, simply put, after more than a million hours of work by
art historians, researchers, editors and IT specialists managed to
create a unique identifier per artist and a sort of registration
card (by analogy ) for the artworks that determines their
traceability and therefore their provenance.
Unfortunately this daunting task, in accordance with accounting
standards, is now recognized as an expense in the framework of
prudential approach.
Thierry Folcher: So are
you saying Artprice's balance sheet does accurately represent the
economic reality of the company and could therefore mislead
investors and shareholders?
Thierry Ehrmann: Indeed...
the current chart of accounts for the financial statements of
individual companies reflects the economic history of the twentieth
century when intangible wealth was in its infancy and thus booked
as an expense item. Today, enriched data (Artprice's raw material)
is considered by all the major consultants like Roland Berger, Deloitte and Gartner Dataquest as
becoming the principal source of wealth creation and profit in the
21st century.
Remember what Paul Getty said:
that the petroleum of the 21st century would be intellectual
property, and that is precisely the raw material that is at the
heart of the Artprice's industry.
Thierry Folcher: There is
a lot of argument and debate about Artprice's market capitalization
- in both directions. What is your view?
Thierry Ehrmann: Once
again, the people who criticize our market capitalization have a
backward-looking approach. I could mention many companies,
including some listed in France
such as Genfit, Nicox, Carmat, ABScience that all have very strong
capitalizations between €100 million and €500 million and turnovers
of between €0 and €5 million, with annual recurring losses of more
than €10 million on average.
These companies face a common industrial challenge, given their
chronic losses, with the potential risk of not being able to raise
the capital they need through capital increase. Nevertheless, their
businesses are very courageous and necessary for the economy of the
future.
Thierry Folcher: So you do
consider Artprice as being comparable to these four companies?
Thierry Ehrmann: Not at
all. While I deeply respect these four companies, I remind you that
Artprice does not post any structural losses, has enjoyed capital
growth without any capital increase since its IPO in 2000 and that
its research and development had led to the normalization of the
art market and therefore to a dominant position. Moreover, this
position has been achieved in a perfectly lawful manner from a
regulatory perspective - i.e. without any abuse of its position -
and from the intellectual property perspective.
Thierry Folcher: So you
consider that your capitalization is not representative of the true
value of the company?
Thierry Ehrmann: It's
obvious; our capitalization does not take into account a multitude
of intangible and tangible resources that are perfectly real,
highly sought-after and growing every day.
Thierry Folcher: Turning
now to the art market which is the core of your business: what is
your outlook?
Thierry Ehrmann: The first
is democratization of the market. The number of collectors has
grown from roughly half a million major collectors in the 1950s to
over 70 million with investment capacities above $1 million
per year in the art market (excluding their business and real
estate assets). In terms of global revenue, the art market has
experienced exponential sales growth. I don't mind telling you that
the major international banks and stock exchanges have all asking
us to create derivative financial products based on our indices
that are quoted every year in over 6,300 print, online and
broadcast media. Similarly, there are lots of new art-based funds
appearing and some are not small. In short, the financialization of
the Art Market is indeed underway.
Thierry Folcher: How do
you explain the fact that the art market is experiencing continuous
growth, even in countries in recession?
Thierry Ehrmann: Over the
last decade the democratization of art has been spectacular. Let me
remind you that 51% of the world's artworks change hands for less
than €1,500 and are therefore in direct competition with the luxury
goods industry. However, a work of art appreciates in value over
time, a rule which does not apply to luxury goods. Moreover, the
art market is now universally recognized as a genuine safe haven in
major economic crises.
Thierry Folcher: You often
talk in your press releases about the phenomenal growth of museums
in the world. Can you quantify the impact of this growth?
Thierry Ehrmann: Yes; I
can confirm that more museums have opened over the last decade than
during the entire 20th century, and that the number will nearly
triple over the next ten year. You see, we have evolved from a
situation of a cultural elite who visited museums to a situation of
mass cultural tourism that affects hundreds of millions of people.
The business press on all continents regularly comments on the
double-digit growth of the museum industry, a rare growth rate
these days, and this naturally has a positive impact on the art
market by creating demand for new works for the museum's
collections.
Thierry Folcher: To return
to the Internet... the key word is Big Data . Where are you in this
area?
Thierry Ehrmann: I invite
you to read our regulated information releases in which, as early
as 2005, we were already talking about storing and analyzing
billions of client behavioral logs in full compliance with the
European and American French legislation. This marketing term (Big
Data) refers to the perfection of data mining which was only
accessible to groups with powerful IT infrastructure, which is
indeed our case.
Thierry Folcher: Are you
still having problems with the French auction market supervisory
body (the CVV)?
Thierry Ehrmann: Yes, our
relations are difficult because the CVV has fuelled irrational
fears regarding the Internet. We are regularly accused, along with
Ebay, of being "Internet giants who mislead the consumer" which is
a) absolutely false and b) has caused real material harm both
vis-à-vis our clients and our shareholders.
In France, which represents
less than 3% of the global market fine art auction market, the last
thing we need is to be fighting a rearguard action when
Asia's global market share has
increased from 2% in 2000 to over 50% of this year, with
China now accounting for over 41%.
That's why we have decided to set up a permanent physical presence
in Hong Kong and have developed
long-term partnerships and alliances in both Singapore and China.
Thierry Folcher: Indeed,
you often talk about the Asian market. Where are you in concrete
terms?
Thierry Ehrmann:
Greater Asia, including
China, Taiwan, Singapore, South
Korea and Indonesia,
requires a very different cultural approach to that used in the
West in terms of marketing and customer support and this logically
requires management styles that are specific to the West and to
Greater Asia.
Thierry Folcher: Could you
be more clear?
Thierry Ehrmann:
Greater Asia weighs currently
accounts for more than 50% of global fine art auction turnover and
by 2015 this share will be 70%. That said, we are talking about
several million wealthy collectors who are new to collecting and
who have a notion of the historical time scale that is very
different to ours in the West.
As such, in collaboration with our partners, we have produced
several digital and paper books such as "The collector's guide"
co-edited with our long-time partner Art Stage Singapore. We
did the same with our Chinese partner Artron.
These various works for Greater
Asia represent advice about how to start and subsequently
build up a collection of works. It is an educational approach that
does not exist in the West and that will require time and
resources. In exchange, we are certain of creating clients who will
fully appreciate the usefulness of our databases and whose loyalty
will only grow as they develop their collections.
Thierry Folcher: Do you
consider that the auction brokerage arm of your Standardized
Marketplace has not had the success you were expecting?
Thierry Ehrmann: The
answer is complicated. The start-up exceeded our expectations in
terms of the volume and quality of artworks. Unfortunately, on the
very first day of its launch, the Conseil des Ventes Volontaires
(CVV) issued a statement mentioning non-existent legal proceedings
against us... which, to say the least, was a significant blow.
Moreover, Artprice's share price took a sharp dive in the
minutes after the CVV's fictitious statement was issued. As I say,
a most unfortunate turn of events... And the wound is still very
present in our share price, particularly as it has been exacerbated
by various interviews given by the CVV during 2013. (see Les
Echos of 25 March 2013 ). And all
this despite the fact that in order to meet the specifications of
the law of 10 July 2011, we
implemented a highly sophisticated infrastructure in which we
forbid ourselves any form of intervention so as to satisfy the
recommendations of the CVV.
Thierry Folcher: Your
answer leaves me somewhat confused. Are you saying you are not
interested in providing a service to your customers if the process
is tedious and cumbersome. What exactly is your position?
Thierry Ehrmann: Our
position is almost impossible because we built a perfect IT and
legal structure resulting in 27 steps, but, under the Law of
10 July 2011, we are prohibited from
any form of intervention or from giving advice to our customers and
trusted third parties (escrow and release). The transfer of these
works to the fixed-price arm of our Standardized Marketplace -
which has experienced dramatic growth since its creation in 2005 -
completely confirms these obstacles in all respects. Remember that
we receive no commissions on the phenomenal reservoir of artworks
that are bought and sold on our fixed-price Marketplace.
Thierry Folcher: At one
point we saw a number of 7-digit bids placed on Artprice.com. What
happened to them?
Thierry Ehrmann: Once
again, faced with the specifications, the legislation and the CVV,
the deals' protagonists (buyers and sellers) - who were well known
in Asia - were subjected to
constraints that for Asians, with their very developed culture of
honor, were nothing short of humiliating. And that is why we
eventually decided to withdraw all the works with 7-digits from the
auction-brokerage site and not accept any others, in order to
improve our chances of succeeding when our Asian equivalent of this
auction-brokerage site is launched.
Thierry Folcher: So what
is the solution... if there is one?
Thierry Ehrmann: We have
to physically set up the entire infrastructure of the auction
brokerage arm of our Standardized Marketplace at our Hong Kong offices with an autonomous
jurisdiction that, under the laws in force, will allow us to
operate an auction brokerage activity via internet perfectly
lawfully.
Are you aware that the CVV is planning to introduce additional
legislation (for the third time) during the fourth quarter of 2013
that will make it even more difficult for Internet operators? From
an economic perspective, it is incomprehensible when we see the
state of the French art market which, every year, is becoming
increasingly marginalized on the global art map.
Thierry Folcher: So are
you going to leave France?
Thierry Ehrmann: Put it
this way... quite apart from any conflict that Artprice may be
having in its home territory, it behoves any industrialist to move
closer to the heart of his market, and, for us, that means
Greater Asia, which accounts for
50% of the global art market today and 70% in 2015. France accounts for 3%.
We are not talking about relocation, but a carefully planned act
of management, both for the company, its customers and its
shareholders. The database activity will remain in France.
Thierry Folcher: Speaking
of shareholders, there are rumors of a second stock market listing
outside of France?
Thierry Ehrmann: In our
capacity as the global leader in art market information, we have
been penalized by ICE's successful takeover in the Unites States of
the famous NYSE Euronext which has now been dismembered, leaving
Euronext somewhat stranded with much reduced trading volumes and
unable to find a buyer. Not even Deutsche Boerse is interested.
So, yes, we are seeking to optimize Artprice's capitalization on
a financial market that meets our requirements and those of our
shareholders. I invite you to consult a Reuters dispatch in which
the CEO of Maurel & Prom, Mr Jean- Francois Henin, said "being listed in
Paris is a handicap, especially
when we are the only company in our industry. In London, everyone knows what we are talking
about".
I fully appreciate his point of view, which perfectly describes
the exact problems we have with Artprice's listing in Paris.
Thierry Folcher: Many
people were surprised to see Amazon launch an art sales activity.
What is your position?
Thierry Ehrmann: First,
you need to understand that Jeff
Bezos, Amazon's founder, only approaches mature markets to
dematerialize them. In order to do this, Amazon needs to
standardize its marketplace and provide the necessary information
to buyers and sellers to promote the trust and confidence that is
indispensable for the functioning of Amazon's digital economy.
For Artprice this represents a superb opportunity that we are
developing with Amazon's APIs (application programming interface,
open to software developers) in the form of products and services
that will enhance the level of standardization, and the inclusion
of Artprice data, which is unique in the world, will provide a high
level of confidence for Amazon's commercial activity. Lastly, I
would add that Amazon's initiative proves that we were right in
believing that the art market was ready for dematerialization.
The Artprice logo will feature on Amazon APIs.
Thierry Folcher: What do
you think then is the future for physical auction houses?
Thierry Ehrmann: Once
again, it is clear we were on the right track long before anyone
else: all the auction houses who hated or ignored Internet in the
early 2000s are now the first to seek our assistance as they see
the Internet becoming essential for their survival. Christie's CEO
said recently that the middle market (i.e. artworks valued between
€800 and €12,000) is migrating rapidly to the Internet.
According to our Statistics & Econometrics Department, this
price segment (€800 to €12,000) represents 81% of the global art
market and therefore a colossal potential for Artprice's
Standardized Marketplace (the average price of artworks on Artprice
is around €11,000).
Thierry Folcher: So, if I
understand you correctly, the auction firms could finally see you
as a partner rather than a competitor?
Thierry Ehrmann: Exactly.
We are currently setting up colossal IT infrastructures that will
enable the auction houses to conduct their entire sales process,
from the catalogue to final adjudication, via a secure intranet. In
addition, we are offering them lists of people who are looking for
precisely the artist and/or the works that they are offering for
sale, based on our behavioral analysis of our 2.3 million
members.
Thierry Folcher: Where are
you with your Artprice Insider social network? Has it been
dropped?
Thierry Ehrmann: No, but
we changed its development model by launching a Facebook-type open
social network that allows us to capitalize on new customers in
different languages, in countries with very strict internet
communication barriers.
Subsequently, these new customers can access Artprice
Insider with their true identity and a confidence rating and,
between members, exchange ultra-sensitive information on the art
market that cannot be communicated on a public network.
The delay in the development of this network has in fact been
beneficial to us because we were able to include Twitter, which,
for us, is mainly a tool intended for issuers of "primary news"
such as news agencies, and Artprice is indeed an art market news
agency.
Once again, patience must prevail over the temptation to
generate publicity through bold but ultimately empty media
announcements. And this is something our historical shareholders
perfectly appreciate.
Thierry Folcher: At the
beginning of this interview, you mentioned a radical change in the
buying behavior of art collectors. Could you be more specific?
Thierry Ehrmann: It is
clear that the purchasing behavior of collectors, both for amateurs
and art market professional, is undergoing a historic
transformation. The change began in the 1980s when buy orders at
public auctions started arriving over the phone. Since then,
auction room populations have gradually thinned out and phone
orders became much more common.
By the 2000s, the major auctioneers were operating with an army
of operators behind them taking telephone bids. Today, the Internet
has supplanted the telephone and provides buyers with perfect
reproductions of the works they are interested in, far superior in
terms of views and picture quality than the picture in a paper
catalogue. In addition, with Artprice, the buyer has all the
necessary information in real time to form an objective opinion,
similar to a qualified expert's, to determine the work's purchase
or sale value and view its history in the sales room.
Thierry Folcher: So
basically you are saying that physical sales facilities and then
art galleries will gradually disappear, having migrated to the
Internet?
Thierry Ehrmann: That's
right. The major auctioneers are trying to sell or convert their
massive physical sales rooms in the framework of the transfer their
business to the Internet.
Likewise, galleries are reducing their leases investing large
sums to reach a wider customer base via internet and they can also
display their entire stock online thereby expanding their offer. I
am very surprised when I hear art market operators aged over 60 who
tell us that their only solution is to migrate to the Internet,
which for Artprice is excellent news, because a few years ago, the
use of Internet-related information technology was very rare in the
art world. Once again... patience is a virtue when the history of
the art market is moving in your direction.
Thierry Folcher: Listening
to you, I get the impression that there is no obstacle to Artprice.
Is this really the case?
Thierry Ehrmann: If you
want to talk about potential risks... over the last decade Artprice
has overcome risks one by one. The worst of all was in the early
2000s when there was a very low rate of Internet connection among
art market operators compared with other economic sectors.
I remember that a number of financial analysts and fund managers
tried to tell me that less than 10% of global art market operators
were connected to the Internet and that, at that rate, it would
take at least 30 years to have get to a 90% connection rate.
History has decided otherwise, thanks to the mobile internet,
tablets and smartphones, the penetration rate is already over 80%
in 2013, a fact that completely changes the fundamentals of the
global art market.
Thierry Folcher: In
analyzing Artprice, the principal strength that makes it an
unavoidable player in the art market is standardization. In this
respect, how will the growth of the Internet impact standardization
going forward? In other words... how can you be sure that your
standard will prevail?
Thierry Ehrmann: Once
again, it's all a question of time. In 2003, we signed a
partnership with Google and gradually released standardised data
free of charge. This year, we are taking a huge leap forward by
injecting 540 million standardized data in free access mode onto
the Internet with Google and Baïdu (China's leading search engine). We decided to
offer freeware which consists of a proprietary software license
distributed freely, but with certain usage limitations.
Thierry Folcher: So you
have lost much of your pay data?
Thierry Ehrmann: Many
people think that, and they take as an example the press, which has
in fact never been good at knowing where to draw line between free
information and paid information.
Artprice is very lucky in that auction results, indices and
econometric statistics represent 20% of the total data; but without
this information the other 80% of free data that standardizes the
market loses its value.
Artprice's approach, which is to not lose revenue whilst
distributing 80% of its data free, is a rare case among the
different business models that can be found on Internet, including
in the Press, which is still trying to achieve the right balance
between free and paid data.
Thierry Folcher: Why not
impose a tariff, even a very low one on your various products and
services?
Thierry Ehrmann: This
question keeps coming back; but, once again we must think in terms
of a 21st century economy in which Artprice's proprietary data on
its customer's behavior is undoubtedly its main asset and source of
revenue.
Thus by distributing 80% of our products and services free, we
record every day hundreds and sometimes thousands of new customers
with their behavior, their favorite artists, their research logs
and their collections. In fact, we consider that this information
represents a daily creation of wealth; but for the accounting
reasons mentioned earlier, these assets are not present in our
balance sheets.
Thierry Folcher: Do you
have an example of standardization on a specific economic sector,
such as that practiced by Artprice on the art market?
Thierry Ehrmann: Two
examples come to mind. First, British Railways which, by imposing
the standard distance between the rails (track gauge) in
England managed to impose the
narrower gauge in Europe.
Likewise, Thomas Edison, with his
General Electric Company, imposed a number of major electricity
standards.
On the automotive market, the arrival of the Argus-type
newspapers (paper and online) has literally transformed the market
for used vehicles. The Argus operates with exactly the same logic
as Artprice in its field. Before its arrival, garages were charging
phenomenal margins on used vehicles.
Thierry Folcher: Would it
be appropriate to imagine an alliance or a friendly takeover of
Artprice?
Thierry Ehrmann: We have
talked a lot with the major Anglo-Saxon auction companies who
realize that, despite their hundreds of years of existence and
their financial resources, they are unable to acquire the culture
and the understanding of the Internet to a satisfactory level.
Indeed, if you look at the largest sectors of the economy, you will
find that the majors of the old economy are all trying to acquire
the global leaders in the digital economy.
That said, we have concrete offers from Asian partners which
could be very interesting both for us and our shareholders. Again,
coherent and sustainable offers take time to construct...
We should not forget that the Internet is still in its infancy,
especially in terms of speed. In less than two years, very high
speed internet for smartphones, tablets, televisions and video
conferencing will be the basic package and will allow the delivery
of new services that the general public has not even dreamt of. In
this context, we have fixed ourselves a target of 10 million
customers.
Thierry Folcher: In your
opinion, how much of the global economy will pass through the
Internet in 2015?
Thierry Ehrmann:
Unquestionably, more than 50%. Do not forget that Pythagoras - one
of the greatest philosophers - stated that everything can be
translated into numbers, except the emotions and the soul.
Virtually all parts of the global economy are "dematerializable";
hence it is vital for Artprice to impose its standardization of the
art market now. Those who imagine that Artprice's quarterly
financial statements are the only thing to watch are seriously
mistaken.
Contrary to popular belief, stock market investment is a
calculated bet on the future with an in-depth analysis of the
industrial vision of the targeted company. When the market becomes
aware of the wealth of Artprice, which is based on the history and
the future of the art market - especially if we change continent -
some will regret have jumped ship too early.
Thierry Folcher: I want to
return to a recurring criticism of Artprice, namely its overall
design; the website presentation seems to have evolved little.
Thierry Ehrmann: We are
well aware of this criticism. The good news is that we have
redesigned the entire fixed-price and auction-brokerage sections of
our Standardized Marketplace as well various databases, with a very
attractive design. The real reason for having waited so long is in
fact revolutionary.
Thierry Folcher: What do
you mean by "revolutionary"?
Thierry Ehrmann: For the
latest version, we have made sure that, regardless of the which
smartphone, tablet, operating system, including Android, iOS and
Windows Phone - in fact nearly 3,000 versions altogether - Artprice
users will have absolutely no need to download applications, as is
currently the case.
Everything is written so that the Artprice user, whatever mobile
Internet system he/she is using worldwide, will be able to connect
to an optimized version of Artprice with very intuitive ergonomics.
The future site is superb; but again, we needed time, especially to
include the new payment methods such as the kiosk system of course,
with the possibility of placing our databases at the heart of the
4G operator, without any hacking risk.
Thierry Folcher: With all
these developments, can we hope to see Artprice in video
format?
Thierry Ehrmann: Indeed,
the explosion of bandwidth will allow us a real change with respect
to video streaming in real time.
Artprice is fortunate to have a parent company that has two
video production and editing studios that can make "ready-to-play"
videos for television channels.
Thierry Folcher: will your
customers and shareholders have to wait long to find out?
Thierry Ehrmann: Not at
all! We will be introducing video as of the fourth quarter of 2013
and it will have additional functions that will radically change
the art market.
Thierry Folcher: Speaking
of the art market, a lot of people are surprised by its good health
compared with that of the global economy. What is your view on
this?
Thierry Ehrmann: The art
market, which has tracked the S&P 500 (the main U.S. stock
index) for years now, is experiencing continued growth with a very
strong growth driver in Asia.
There have never been so many international Contemporary art fairs,
biennials and openings of large museum structures in the world. In
fact, it is no exaggeration that every day of the year sees some
major event in the global Art world.
Indeed there is no doubt in terms of the figures produced by our
Statistics & Econometrics Department that markets and investors
now see the art market as a real safe haven and, moreover, a market
that is today sufficient liquid to allow rapid entry and exit.
Thierry Folcher: Is not
the growth of the art market essentially driven by Contemporary
art, which is inherently volatile?
Thierry Ehrmann: You are
right about Contemporary art being the driver, but you are wrong
about its volatility. That was true in the 1990s. But today, for
the first time in the history of the art market, the Contemporary
segment has overtaken the Modern and Old Masters segments in terms
of turnover volumes and the number of works arriving on the market
is staggering.
Thierry Folcher: Why do
you think Contemporary art has taken off in such a big way?
Thierry Ehrmann: The most
important factor is that from a macro-economic perspective,
Contemporary art was previously considered volatile because the
artist was alive and therefore capable of saturating the
market.
Nowadays, art market operators and living artists have learned
how to adapt very quickly supply to global demand. In effect, this
rapid adaptation represents concrete proof that the art market, and
all of its players, has become very mature in economic terms.
We process millions of artist's biographies covering four
centuries of artistic creations, all bought and sold in auctions
throughout the world or, in some cases, waiting to be sold on the
basis of original documents or documents certified by the artists
themselves, and we are regularly surprised by the biographies of
young Contemporary artists with faultless CVs. In fact, the myth of
the "cursed artist" is a thing of the past.
Thierry Folcher: Speaking
of the art market boom, are you planning to introduce low cost
access to your databases for amateurs?
Thierry Ehrmann: Yes, in
addition to the 70 million "millionaire" collectors I mentioned
earlier, there are now more than 250 million young art amateurs. In
the United States, they are
referred to as "beginners" or "art consumers". Obviously they need
a very low cost access to our databases.
We are therefore planning a subscription for less than €5
deducted directly by the mobile operator on a monthly basis. Once
again, European banks have been unable to offer us this very simple
product although it concerns purely electronic data flows. Frankly,
in the twenty-first century economy, I find that quite
pathetic.
Thierry Folcher: You seem
to consider the banks, and particularly the French banks, as the
"laggards" of the digital economy.
Thierry Ehrmann: To
illustrate what I mean, consider the announcement at the end of
September 2013 by three major French
banks, with tremendous fanfare, that they are going to release an
electronic payment system equivalent to PayPal.
The problem is PayPal was founded in 1995, eighteen years before
the French project, and has nearly 300 million customers, and
Artprice has been a World Seller with Paypal for several years.
Thierry Folcher: To return
to your auction-brokerage activity, how do you explain the fact
that the major Auction Houses are raising their prices when
Artprice charges almost a third of what they charge?
Thierry Ehrmann: Once
again, this price differential needs a certain degree of
interpretation. To start with, the major auction firms are laying
off staff, selling off their physical sales rooms, investing
heavily in the migration to the Internet and suffering from a high
level of unpaid bids.
I think that in the long run they are wrong to raise their
tariffs because their intermediation margin with respect to buyer
and seller fees is around 37% when we are at between 5 and 9%.
Moreover, our auction brokerage service provides a guarantee that
the seller will be paid via our trusted third party
(escrow/release) system. So, in my view, these rising costs at
auction firms represent an additional handicap in the digital
economy.
Thierry Folcher: From what
you are saying, the auction firms are heading for the wall. Are
there studies that support this view?
Thierry Ehrmann: Yes,
there are several. I recommend "The Death of Auction Houses" by
Artemundi Global Fund with commentary by Art Media Agency. The
title summarizes the situation quite succinctly...
Thierry Folcher: Speaking
of margins, you often indicate that Artprice, with annual costs of
roughly €5 million, is capable of generating up to €90 million in
turnover. How is this possible without increasing your fixed
costs?
Thierry Ehrmann: Artprice
and its parent company Server Group have been in the economy of
databases since 1985. The basic economic and industrial logic of
the database industry is massive investment in the early years,
both in terms of human cost and IT infrastructure.
As regards Artprice, for the same annual turnover, we have
divided our workforce by three. We have also exceeded the threshold
of one million hours of work by art historians, editors and IT
specialists, and all of that has been now been fully absorbed as an
expense item.
In fact, our industry can be summed up very simply: when costs
take the staircase, turnover takes the elevator.
The millions of additional subscribers that we hope to acquire
will be extremely marginal in terms of additional costs, which
essentially represent additional bandwidth and data storage. These
requirements will probably add no more than 5-7% to our costs.
Thierry Folcher: I have
heard it rumored that Artprice is thinking of setting up an online
advertising sales agency. Is that true?
Thierry Ehrmann: Indeed,
Artprice has traditionally built its business model around the
notion of no online advertising as the group's culture is not
primarily to sell advertising space. That said, now that we are
injecting hundreds of millions of critical data onto the Internet,
Artprice has become completely unavoidable on the market. As a
result numerous art market operators, mainly galleries and auction
houses, have spontaneously asked us to create tailored campaigns
for them.
So in 2014 we will create of an agency that will also offer
short format videos. This change in our corporate culture is not a
regression but rather a response to a natural demand without having
to canvass our customers.
Thierry Folcher: Since the
creation of Artprice, you have experienced difficult periods and
other extremely buoyant periods like very few companies in
Europe have experienced. Today,
what assessment would you make of the past, and what do you expect
in the future?
Thierry Ehrmann Before
answering your question, I would like to tell you a very telling
anecdote.
A few years ago, we received about ten requests per month to
withdraw works of art sold at public auctions (and their
corresponding hammer prices) from Artprice listings.
Today we have a full-time department managing dozens of
permanent applications for withdrawals of artworks with their
auction price results (or their unsold status) every day. Our
answer is always the same: a categorical refusal because an auction
sale conducted by an auction house, with its hammer price or unsold
status (reserve price not reached), cannot be censored.
But the most interesting part is when we ask the applicant
(usually one of the top global auction companies) why they leave
the result visible on their website.
It transpires, and it is logical, that what bothers them is that
Artprice keeps a record of the full traceability of artworks in the
world, and they know that this sensitive information concerning
their works will eventually come to light.
Thierry Folcher: I see...
I detect a contradiction. Can you explain this?
Thierry Ehrmann: This is
where the anecdote becomes very interesting. The applicant's
response is always that the auction house, however well known it
may be, is a minor problem whereas Artprice's notoriety is such
that their future transactions on the "offending" work will be
permanently affected by Artprice.
This illustrates what some call the "price of success". Here
again, some people are very bitter about the fact that the
permanent economic reality of their works sold or purchased at
public auctions is tracked by Artprice. This point clearly explains
the rage of some operators against Artprice, which constantly
receives threats of all kinds. That said, it does not change our
position.
Our position is admittedly legalistic and strict, but it is our
business integrity that is at stake and that we wish to defend. In
any case, the individual applicants can always take their works
into the opaque market of private transactions conducted by
galleries and art dealers.
Thierry Folcher: Returning
now to the question of Artprice's share price. What advice would
you give to Artprice shareholder today? What attitude should they
adopt?
Thierry Ehrmann: First, I
would take the time to analyze the IPO prospectus of 1999 and I
would check to see if all the promises of development leading to a
position of global leader in art market information have been
fulfilled. How can you trust a listed company if it has not kept
its promises for 14 years? It is the past which validates the
future and we have far exceeded all our ambitious of 1999.
Thierry Folcher: Yes, it
is true that you have gone beyond the promises outlined in that
prospectus. But now you have adopted new challenges. What should an
Artprice shareholder do?
Thierry Ehrmann: After
checking the promises made in 1999, the current shareholder should
perform an analysis to ensure that there is no real competitor on
the heels of Artprice, which is the case, and which is supported by
our software patents and other rights protecting the
standardization of the art market and our databases. Next he should
reflect upon the exponential growth of the art market in five
continents of the globe.
In addition, he should take stock of the new art market reality,
i.e. that its survival necessarily involves migration to the
Internet. At the same time, he should look at the continual growth
of the Internet, including the mobile Internet, to ensure that
there is no technological barrier to Artprice, which is also the
case.
Lastly - and this is a fundamental starting point - he should
consult our official documentation registered with the French
Financial Market Authority (AMF) and our regulated communications,
which includes all our accounts and the legal structure of the
company, to confirm that Artprice has no debt of any kind
whatsoever and has never used capital increases.
Thierry Folcher: OK, but
right now, today, should he buy or sell?
Thierry Ehrmann: I have
always been motivated by the idea of making my loyal shareholders
as rich as possible. For them, and for my own personal
satisfaction, I still work 70 hours a week with tremendous passion.
Shareholders with a genuine stock market culture know that
investment is not a game or a casino bet; it is a partnership over
several years in which the shareholder, with access to our abundant
regulated documentation, possesses a similar level of information
to the members of our board of directors.
In this perspective, I believe Artprice will eventually make its
loyal shareholders wealthy, as we have already done on two
occasions by posting the best French stock market progression in
all sectors of activity.
Thierry Folcher: Would you
be willing to advance a price target for your shareholders?
Thierry Ehrmann: As I have
already said, the majority of our intangible assets are perfectly
real and have real market value. These assets are not included in
Artprice's balance sheet.
In my view, shareholders can independently fix a target that
corresponds to the reality of these assets and, most importantly,
that corresponds to the very thorough and regulated information we
disclose. Shareholders must understand that Artprice is unique in
the world and indispensable even to its worst enemies who do not
support art market transparency.
Considering that the art market is one of the oldest markets in
the world, shareholders must be aware that Artprice - which was way
ahead of the game by understanding the importance of the Internet
for the art market - is today considered one of the pioneers of the
Internet.
Lastly, in thousands of different printed and broadcast media
around the world, Artprice is consistently cited as the source in
99% of the cases when figures concerning the art market, artists
and their works are advanced.
Thierry Folcher: So
despite the fall in value, shareholders should remain
optimistic?
Thierry Ehrmann: As you
know, the intervention of certain persons mentioned in this
interview has consciously impacted Artprice's share price; but they
will not have the last word because the direction of history is on
our side, and the market, which operates without qualms or remorse,
will crush them ruthlessly. A genuine stock market investor must be
able to understand and verify the reasoning of a management team
and disconnect from that element of the market seeking profits in a
week or a day.
The shareholder must be proud to contribute to the development
of Artprice, which let us not forget, is a veritable and undisputed
global leader.
Thierry Folcher: Being a
shareholder in a world leader is fine; but when will the share
price truly reflect this world leader position?
Thierry Ehrmann: Few
people are aware of exactly how much Artprice has definitively
changed the art market, one of the oldest markets in the world.
As an Artprice shareholder, all you have to do is imagine 5
billion mobile Internet users connected by broadband in 2015, and
then tell yourself that patience is the best quality for stock
market success.
Thierry Folcher: What do
you think is Artprice's "fair value" in terms of
capitalization?
Thierry Ehrmann: One day,
Artprice's market cap will approach €1 billion. In early 2012,
before the intervention of the CVV, it was around €450 million.
This estimate is not mine; it has been communicated to me on
numerous occasions by major players in the art market who, more
than anyone, are familiar with the real underbelly of this historic
market.
One anecdote among many others summarizes the positions of these
players. One day I was in Switzerland, at Art Basel, and one of the art
market's biggest "market makers" took me to task. At the end of a
heated discussion (to say the least), he abruptly told me that he
is one of my major shareholders. His predator's logic is simple:
what he loses on the erosion of art market margins will be very
largely offset by what he gains on Artprice's share!
© 2013 Trading and Ipo
http://www.tradingandipo.com
http://www.artprice.com (c)1987-2013
thierry Ehrmann
About Artprice
:
Artprice is the global Leader in
databank on Artprices and indices with more than 27 million indices
and auction results covering more than 500,000 artists. Artprice
Images® offers unlimited access to the largest Art Market resource
in the world, a library of 108 million images or engravings of
artworks from 1700 to the present day along with comments by
Artprice's art historians. Artprice permanently enriches its
databanks with information from 4,500 international auction houses
and auctioneers and publishes a constant flow of art market trends
for the main news agencies and 6,300 international written media.
For its 2.3 million members (member log in), Artprice posts
standardized adverts in what is today the world's leading
Standardised Marketplace® for buying and selling works of art by
private contract or at auctions -regulated by French law alinéas 2
et 3 de l'article L 321.3 du code du commerce.
Artprice is listed on Eurolist B SBF
120 by Euronext Paris (SRD long only): Euroclear: 7478 - Bloomberg:
PRC - Reuters: ARTF
http://twitter.com/artpricedotcom
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Discover the Alchemy and the universe
of Artprice http://web.artprice.com/video, whose headquarters are
the famous Museum of Contemporary Art, the Abode of Chaos
http://goo.gl/mwsqp
Contact: ir@artprice.com
SOURCE Artprice.com