E*TRADE Study Reveals the Wide Majority of Investors View Inflation as Transitory
24 Agosto 2021 - 7:05AM
Business Wire
Yet most investors are considering increasing
exposure to inflation-hedging strategies
E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC today announced results from the
most recent wave of StreetWise, the E*TRADE quarterly tracking
study of experienced investors. Results reveal investor views on
Fed policies and inflation:
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- The majority of investors believe inflation is
transitory. Almost four out of five investors (78%) are aligned
with the Federal Reserve’s view that current inflation is
transitory.
- Most predict a rate hike in the first half of 2022. Over
two in three investors (67%) expect the Fed to raise rates in 2022,
with 42% anticipating the decision happening in the first half of
the year—the top choice among respondents, and somewhat accelerated
from Fed officials, the majority of whom predict rate increases
will start in 2023.¹
- They’re looking to make portfolio moves. Specific to the
current inflationary environment, over two out of five investors
(43%) said they’re considering investing in stocks sensitive to
higher interest rates, followed by real estate investment trusts
(REITs) (29%).
- And while they think inflation isn’t here to stay, fears
spiked. Inflation jumped to the top portfolio risk among
investors (35%), increasing 21 percentage points from last quarter,
followed by market volatility (27%), and coronavirus (23%).
“While inflation has been in the spotlight for quite some time
now, we’re starting to see the pace moderate a bit, supporting the
Fed’s transitory position,” said Mike Loewengart, Managing Director
of Investment Strategy at E*TRADE Financial. “But as consumers face
rising prices in their day-to-day lives amid supply bottlenecks,
labor shortages, and increased demand, inflation is pretty hard to
ignore. So, it’s no surprise that investors are taking inflation
seriously when it comes to their portfolios. Inflation always has
the potential to eat into returns, so now could be a good time to
check allocations and make adjustments, while keeping long-term
goals and risk tolerance top of mind.”
Mr. Loewengart offered additional guidance when considering your
portfolio amid inflation concerns:
- Consider inflation strategies. While there’s no perfect
inflation hedge, there are investments that can benefit when
inflation is on the rise. A diversified portfolio likely already
captures these, but historically equities have tended to keep up
with, or stay a little ahead of, inflation. Treasury
inflation-protected securities (TIPS), commodities, and REITs could
also help diversify during rising inflation.
- Diversification remains key. Maintaining a diversified
portfolio can help weather varying market conditions. A mix of
investments and asset classes can ward off volatility while taking
advantage of areas of the market that may be outperforming.
- Remember to curb emotions. Chasing performance is a
risky business—you’re always looking in the rear-view mirror. And
amid rising inflation concerns, it may be tempting to shift to the
sidelines. While checking in on positions every so often is
prudent, avoid making rash decisions during market downturns or
increased macro concerns.
- The Federal Reserve now forecasts at least two rate hikes by
the end of 2023 (6/16/21)
About the Survey
This wave of the survey was conducted from July 1 to July 9 of
2021 among an online US sample of 898 self-directed active
investors who manage at least $10,000 in an online brokerage
account. The survey has a margin of error of ±3.20 percent at the
95 percent confidence level. It was fielded and administered by
Dynata. The panel is broken into thirds of active (trade more than
once a week), swing (trade less than once a week but more than once
a month), and passive (trade less than once a month). The panel is
60% male and 40% female, with an even distribution across online
brokerages, geographic regions, and age bands.
About E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC and Important
Notices
E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC and its subsidiaries provide
financial services including brokerage and banking products and
services to retail customers. Securities products and services are
offered by E*TRADE Securities LLC (Member SIPC). Commodity futures
and options on futures products and services are offered by E*TRADE
Futures LLC (Member NFA). Managed Account Solutions are offered
through E*TRADE Capital Management, LLC, a Registered Investment
Adviser. Bank products and services are offered by E*TRADE Bank,
and RIA custody solutions are offered by E*TRADE Savings Bank, both
of which are national federal savings banks (Members FDIC). More
information is available at www.etrade.com.
The information provided herein is for general informational
purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past
performance does not guarantee future results.
E*TRADE Financial, E*TRADE, and the E*TRADE logo are registered
trademarks of E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC. ETFC-G
© 2021 E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC, a business of Morgan
Stanley. All rights reserved.
E*TRADE Financial engages Dynata to program, field, and tabulate
the study. Dynata provides digital research data and has locations
in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. For more
information, please go to www.dynata.com.
Referenced Data
Please rate how much you agree with the
following statement about inflation: The current inflation our
economy is experiencing is transitory.
Q3’21
Top 2
78%
Strongly agree
24%
Somewhat agree
54%
Somewhat disagree
17%
Strongly disagree
5%
Bottom 2
22%
When do you expect the Fed to first
raise rates above its current level of 0 to .25%?
Q3’21
Top 2
67%
First half of 2022
42%
Second half of 2022
25%
Second half of 2021
25%
2023
5%
2024 and later
3%
And specific to the current inflation
environment, are you considering increasing exposure to any of the
following?
Q3’21
Stocks sensitive to higher rates
(financials, energy, materials)
43%
Real estate investment trusts (REITs)
29%
Cash
26%
Commodities
21%
Treasury inflation-protected securities
(TIPS)
20%
None
24%
Other
1%
Which of the following risks are you
most concerned about when it comes to your portfolio? (Top
Two)
Q2'21
Q3'21
Inflation
14%
35%
Market volatility
26%
27%
Coronavirus and other pandemic
concerns
22%
23%
Recession
25%
17%
US trade tensions
25%
17%
Current presidential administration
23%
16%
Job market
3%
15%
Gridlock in Washington
14%
14%
Economic weakness abroad
21%
12%
Fed monetary policy
15%
12%
The yield curve
6%
7%
None of these
2%
3%
Other
1%
1%
ETFC
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210824005484/en/
E*TRADE Media Relations 646-521-4418
mediainq@etrade.com
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