CALGARY, AB, March 11, 2021 /CNW/ - Crew Energy Inc.
(TSX: CR) ("Crew" or the "Company") today announced our operating
and financial results for the three and twelve month periods ended
December 31, 2020. Crew's full
audited consolidated Financial Statements, as well as Management's
Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") for the three and twelve month
periods ended December 31, 2020 are
available on Crew's website and filed on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com.
While 2020 proved to be one of the most challenging years in
recent memory for commodities and energy companies due to the
economic fallout caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Crew remained
focused on the Company's long-term sustainability. In December, we
announced a strategic asset development plan for 2021 and 2022
designed to increase the pace of development of our world-class
Montney resource, capturing value
from stronger commodity pricing while optimizing production and
infrastructure utilization, enhancing margins and ultimately
improving leverage metrics. As a result, we anticipate generating
meaningful Free Adjusted Funds Flow1 targeting a range
of $35 to $65
million2 in 2022, depending on commodity
prices.
2020 OPERATING & FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
- 21,955 boe per day3 (131.7 mmcfe per day)
average annual production in 2020, 4% lower than 2019 on 24% less
capital invested, reflecting the quality of Crew's asset base and
low base decline rate. Q4/20 production averaged 21,666 boe per
day3, 7% higher than Q3/20.
- $41.2 million of Adjusted
Funds Flow (AFF")1 ($0.27 per fully diluted share) in 2020, with
$15.6 million ($0.10 per fully diluted share) generated in
Q4/20, 82% higher than Q3/20 due to stronger commodity pricing and
lower operating costs.
- 8% lower net operating costs1 in Q4/20 over
Q3/20, averaging $5.30 per boe, while
2020 net operating costs of $5.61
were 5% lower than 2019. General and administrative ("G&A")
costs declined 28% to $1.01 per boe
in 2020.
- $28.1 million
($86.3 million gross) net capital
expenditures1 in 2020, 48% of which was invested
during Q4/20, marking the start of Crew's two-year asset
development plan.
- 15.0 net wells were drilled in 2020, including 12.0 net
natural gas wells, 2.0 net heavy oil wells and 1.0 net disposal
well, while 10.0 net wells were completed (including 7.0 net
natural gas wells) at Crew's Septimus and West Septimus areas
("Greater Septimus"), primarily in Q4/20. In Q1/21, Crew drilled
and cased the longest well in our history, drilled to a total depth
of over 20,000 feet in under 11 days at West Septimus.
- 7.0 net wells were drilled, completed, equipped and
tied-in on our 9-5 pad at Greater Septimus in 2020, with per well
costs 12% lower than originally budgeted, averaging an estimated
$5 million.
- Continued positive performance from the 9-5, seven well
pad, with average IP60 production sales rates per well of 1,500 boe
per day (21% condensate and ngl's) with flowing metrics of
approximately $3,300 per
boe4.
- Over 50% of forecast 2021 natural gas production is
hedged at an average price of $3.08 per mcf, reflecting the success of our
marketing activities in 2020.
- Record low Proved Developed Producing ("PDP") F&D
costs5 of $6.83 per boe
and FD&A costs5 of $2.00 per boe in 2020, resulting in recycle
ratios5 of 1.8x and 6.1x, respectively.
- 12.0 MMboe of PDP reserves added in 2020, prior to
accounting for production, bringing the total to 67.1 MMboe at
year-end, a 6% increase over 2019.
- $357.2 million of year-end net
debt6, with no near-term maturities or repayment
requirements on the $300 million of
senior notes termed out until 2024, and 24% drawn on our
$150 million credit facility which
was reconfirmed until June 2021.
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1 Non-IFRS measure that does
not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not
be comparable to similar measures presented for other entities. See
"Advisories - Non-IFRS Measures".
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2 See table in the Advisories
for key budget and underlying material assumptions related to the
two-year development plan and associated guidance.
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3
See table in the Advisories for production breakdown by product
type as defined in NI 51-101.
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4 Amounts exclude
a short cleanup period after 20% of load fracturing fluid is
recovered. Volumes include 7.1 mmcfd of sales gas, 176 bbl/d of
condensate and 140 bbl/d of ngls. See "Advisories - Test Results
and Initial Production ("IP") Rates".
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5 "Finding,
Development and Acquisitions costs" or "FD&A costs", "Finding
and Development costs" or "F&D costs" and "recycle ratio" do
not have standardized meanings and therefore may not be comparable
to similar measures presented for other entities. See "Advisories -
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and
Operational Information".
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6 Non-IFRS measure
that does not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and
therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented for
other entities. See "Advisories - Non-IFRS Measures".
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FINANCIAL & OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
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FINANCIAL
($ thousands, except
per share amounts)
|
Three months
ended
Dec. 31, 2020
|
Three months
ended
Dec. 31, 2019
|
Year ended
Dec. 31, 2020
|
Year ended
Dec. 31, 2019
|
Petroleum and
natural gas sales
|
42,604
|
44,941
|
137,931
|
193,532
|
Adjusted funds
flow (1)
|
15,568
|
16,086
|
41,150
|
81,034
|
Per share -
basic
|
0.10
|
0.11
|
0.27
|
0.53
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- diluted
|
0.10
|
0.11
|
0.27
|
0.53
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Net income /
(loss)
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34,668
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(6,235)
|
(203,180)
|
12,071
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Per share -
basic
|
0.23
|
(0.04)
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(1.34)
|
0.08
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- diluted
|
0.22
|
(0.04)
|
(1.34)
|
0.08
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Exploration and
development expenditures
|
41,007
|
26,390
|
86,260
|
114,094
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Property
acquisitions (net of dispositions)
|
(23,219)
|
82
|
(58,150)
|
(19,084)
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Net capital
expenditures
|
17,788
|
26,472
|
28,110
|
95,010
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Capital
structure
($
thousands)
|
As at
Dec. 31, 2020
|
As at
Dec. 31, 2019
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Working capital
deficiency (surplus) (1)
|
24,361
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(149)
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Bank loan
|
35,994
|
52,136
|
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60,355
|
51,987
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Senior Unsecured
Notes
|
296,851
|
295,868
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Total net
debt (1)
|
357,206
|
347,855
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Common shares
outstanding (thousands)
|
151,182
|
151,534
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Notes:
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(1)
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Non-IFRS measure that
does not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may
not be comparable to similar measures presented for other entities.
See "Advisories - Non-IFRS Measures".
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Operations
|
Three months
ended
Dec. 31, 2020
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Three months
ended
Dec. 31, 2019
|
Year ended
Dec. 31, 2020
|
Year ended
Dec. 31, 2019
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Daily
production
|
|
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|
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Light crude oil
(bbl/d)(1)
|
182
|
251
|
187
|
216
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Heavy crude oil
(bbl/d)
|
1,281
|
1,600
|
1,362
|
1,639
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Natural gas liquids
("ngl")(2) (bbl/d)
|
1,953
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2,011
|
2,070
|
2,056
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Condensate
(bbl/d)
|
2,121
|
2,455
|
2,583
|
2,693
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Natural gas
(mcf/d)
|
96,771
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96,776
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94,519
|
97,398
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Total (boe/d @
6:1)
|
21,666
|
22,446
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21,955
|
22,837
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Average prices
(3)
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Light crude oil
($/bbl)
|
47.38
|
62.85
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39.97
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63.24
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Heavy crude oil
($/bbl)
|
38.79
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44.76
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28.86
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50.65
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Natural gas liquids
($/bbl)
|
13.20
|
8.66
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9.01
|
6.78
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Condensate
($/bbl)
|
47.68
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63.29
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42.99
|
64.40
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Natural gas
($/mcf)
|
2.87
|
2.36
|
2.12
|
2.53
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Oil equivalent
($/boe)
|
21.37
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21.76
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17.17
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23.22
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Notes:
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(1)
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The Company does not
have any medium crude oil as defined by NI 51-101.
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(2)
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Throughout this news
release, natural gas liquids ("ngl") comprise all natural gas
liquids as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"), other than
condensate, which is disclosed separately, and natural gas means
conventional natural gas by NI 51-101 product type.
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(3)
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Average prices are
before deduction of transportation costs and do not include
realized gains and losses on derivative financial
instruments.
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Three months
ended
Dec. 31, 2020
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Three months
ended
Dec. 31, 2019
|
Year ended
Dec. 31, 2020
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Year ended
Dec. 31, 2019
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Netback
($/boe)
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Petroleum and natural
gas sales
|
21.37
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21.76
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17.17
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23.22
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Royalties
|
(0.99)
|
(1.97)
|
(0.81)
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(1.77)
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Realized commodity
hedging gain
|
1.27
|
0.78
|
2.06
|
0.28
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Marketing (loss)
income(1)
|
(0.04)
|
(0.02)
|
(0.11)
|
0.99
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Net operating
costs(2)(3)
|
(5.30)
|
(5.51)
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(5.61)
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(5.93)
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Transportation
costs
|
(4.23)
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(2.88)
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(3.67)
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(2.74)
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Operating
netback(3)
|
12.08
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12.16
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9.03
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14.05
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G&A
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(1.30)
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(1.33)
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(1.01)
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(1.40)
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Financing costs on
long-term debt
|
(2.97)
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(3.06)
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(2.90)
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(2.94)
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Adjusted funds
flow(3)
|
7.81
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7.77
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5.12
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9.71
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Drilling
activity
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Gross wells
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15
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8
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Working interest
wells
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15
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8
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Success rate, net
wells (%)
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100%
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100%
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Notes:
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(1)
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Marketing income was
recognized from the monetization of forward natural gas sales
contracts offset by the cost of committed natural gas
transportation that was not available during the period.
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(2)
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Net operating costs
are calculated as gross operating costs less processing
revenue.
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(3)
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Non-IFRS measure that
does not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may
not be comparable to similar measures presented for other entities.
See "Advisories - Non-IFRS Measures".
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SUSTAINABILITY AND ESG INITIATIVES
Underpinning Crew's long-term strategy is our unwavering
commitment to safely and responsibly operating in the communities
in which we work, while focussing on our environmental, social and
governance ("ESG") initiatives. The Company expects the release of
our inaugural ESG report to stakeholders by mid-2021, meanwhile, we
continue to advance our sustainability goals:
- In the summer of 2021, Crew plans to install a waste heat
recovery system at our West Septimus facility, which is expected to
reduce emissions and increase condensate stabilization capacity.
The system is expected to reduce total greenhouse gas emissions
from the facility by approximately 10-15% and increase condensate
stabilization capacity by 20% to around 5,000 bbls per day. Crew
gratefully acknowledges assistance from the Province of
British Columbia for their support
of this project.
- Crew is the first Canadian energy producer to receive
regulatory approval from the B.C. Oil and Gas Commission for the
installation and operation of a next-generation, spoolable surface
pipeline for produced water transfer, confirming Crew's commitment
to improving efficiencies and reducing emissions. The pipeline
allows for the safe and environmentally responsible transportation
of produced water, dramatically reducing the trucking of water in
Crew's area of operations while significantly reducing emissions.
As a result of this pipeline, 5,940 two-way truckloads were removed
from the road during the completion of the 3-32 pad in Q1 2021,
which is the equivalent distance of three trips around the globe.
In addition to the CO2 emission reductions, removing
vehicles from the road also significantly reduces the risk of
accidents and spills, further contributing to improved safety and
environmental performance.
- We are proud of Crew's safety record, which in 2020 featured no
lost time injuries for a second consecutive year. In 2020, the
Company had only two recordable injuries across our employee and
contractor workforce.
- Crew successfully participated in the provincially funded
dormant well programs and initiated abandonment and reclamation
activities on 79 wells in 2020.
- Through 2020, Crew's regulatory compliance remained on par with
2019 as we achieved a 95% compliance rating, with 220 regulatory
inspections across the three provinces in which we operate.
- Crew has established a new committee, constituted with members
of our Board of Directors, which has a specific focus on our ESG
initiatives.
OPERATIONS & AREA Overview
NE BC Montney - Greater
Septimus
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Production &
Drilling
|
Q4
2020
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Q3
2020
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Q2
2020
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Q1
2020
|
Q4
2019
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Average daily
production (boe/d)(1)
|
18,089
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17,119
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18,565
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19,894
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18,720
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Wells drilled (gross /
net)
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6 /
6.0
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6 / 6.0
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0
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1 / 1.0
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0
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Wells completed (gross
/ net)
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7 /
7.0
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0
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1 / 1.0
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0
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4 / 4.0
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Note:
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(1)
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See table in the
Advisories for production breakdown by product type as defined in
NI 51-101.
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Operating
Netback
($ per boe)
|
Q4
2020
|
Q3
2020
|
Q2
2020
|
Q1
2020
|
Q4
2019
|
Petroleum and natural
gas sales
|
20.41
|
15.73
|
11.97
|
17.61
|
20.13
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Royalties
|
(0.89)
|
(0.42)
|
(0.36)
|
(0.86)
|
(1.76)
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Realized commodity
hedge gain
|
1.45
|
2.18
|
3.06
|
1.44
|
0.90
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Marketing
income(1)
|
(0.05)
|
(0.33)
|
(0.31)
|
0.13
|
(0.02)
|
Net operating
costs(2)(3)
|
(4.33)
|
(4.71)
|
(4.81)
|
(4.52)
|
(3.99)
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Transportation
costs
|
(4.33)
|
(3.86)
|
(3.37)
|
(2.99)
|
(2.61)
|
Operating
netback(3)
|
12.26
|
8.59
|
6.18
|
10.81
|
12.65
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Notes:
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|
(1)
|
Marketing income was
recognized from the monetization of forward physical sales
contracts offset by the cost of committed natural gas
transportation that was not available during the period.
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(2)
|
Net operating costs
are calculated as gross operating costs less processing
revenue.
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(3)
|
Non-IFRS measure that
does not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may
not be comparable to similar measures presented for other entities.
See "Advisories - Non-IFRS Measures".
|
- The seven wells on Crew's 9-5 pad at Greater Septimus were
drilled, completed, equipped and tied-in with all wells currently
flowing through permanent facilities. The estimated per well costs
at this pad averaged $5 million, 12%
lower than the original $5.7 million
budgeted. Average per well sales production over the first 60 days
was approximately 1,500 boe per day (21% condensate and ngl's) with
a flowing IP60 efficiency of approximately $3,300 per boe7.
- From the 9-5 pad, over 120,000
m3 of produced water has been transferred through
above ground lines, saving approximately $550,000 while reducing emissions by removing
trucks from the road.
- At Crew's 3-32 pad, five wells were drilled in Q4/20 and six
wells were completed in Q1/21, with encouraging initial condensate
rates. Production from the 3-32 pad is expected to start in
Q2/21.
- Drilling of our seven-well, 1-8 pad began in Q4 and has
incorporated the longest wells drilled in the Company's history. As
part of our drive to improve returns, and our ongoing ESG strategy,
these ultra-extended reach horizontal wells will reduce future
development capital and minimize surface footprint by eliminating
the number of wells required to effectively deplete the reservoir
while reducing the need for additional pipelines. Following the
finalization of the 1-8 pad, the associated drilling rig is
scheduled to move to our 4-14 pad, targeting gas and condensate in
our ultra-condensate rich area at Greater Septimus.
Other NE BC Montney
- During Q4/20 we initiated the drilling of a three well tenure
retention pad in Groundbirch which has recently been rig released.
The drilling rig has since moved to Attachie to drill the final lease retention
well in that area, which was originally planned to be drilled in
Q3/21 and will conclude the Company's tenure retention program at
Attachie.
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7 Amounts exclude
a short cleanup period after 20% of load fracturing fluid is
recovered. Volumes include 7.1 mmcfd of sales gas, 176 bbl/d of
condensate and 140 bbl/d of ngls. See "Advisories - Test Results
and Initial Production ("IP") Rates".
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OUTLOOK
Crew continues to look forward and plan for the future, which we
believe to be bright for natural gas. Despite the last six years
being challenging for natural gas producers, we have learned to do
more with less which has also led to a period of cost cutting and
under-investment. We strongly believe that natural gas is and will
continue to be an important source of energy as the world
transitions to more socially responsible and cleaner energy. With
society requiring more environmentally-friendly energy sources, the
underlying fundamentals are constructive for natural gas with
demand projected to grow by 33% from 2019 to 2050, rivalling the
growth of renewables as reported by the Energy Information
Administration8. With this important backdrop as
support, and as previously announced, Crew developed our strategic
asset development plan to enhance long-term sustainability and
create meaningful value.
Progress on our Two-Year Plan
Crew's pivotal two-year plan, designed to expand margins and
significantly improve leverage metrics by efficiently matching
production volumes with infrastructure and transportation
commitments, has been successfully initiated.
- Production Growth – Q1/21 production is expected to
average between 25,500 and 26,500 boe per day9,
representing a 20% increase at the midpoint over Q4/20 production
while also accounting for wells shut-in for offsetting completion
operations as the Company ramps up activity.
- Optimizing Commitments - Increasing Q1/21 natural gas
production has resulted in Crew increasing the utilization of our
committed transportation by over 30% as compared to Q4/20. Further
improvements are anticipated as production increases throughout the
year and the Company's committed transportation decreases by over
20% in Q4/21 which is expected to reduce transportation expenses by
over $9 million annually.
- Enhanced Hedging Program – Crew currently has over 50%
of forecast 2021 natural gas production is hedged at an average
price of $2.48 per Gigajoule ("GJ")
(or $3.08 per thousand cubic feet
("mcf") calculated using Crew's heat content factor). In addition,
approximately 35% of targeted natural gas production for 2022 is
hedged at an average price of $2.46
per GJ (or $3.05 per mcf using Crew's
heat content factor).
- Reduced Costs - Crew's plan to reduce unit costs by over
25% is largely based on increasing production volumes into existing
infrastructure, as over 50% of the Company's expenses are fixed. As
production increases, per unit costs associated with operating,
transportation, general and administrative and interest expenses
are expected to decline from $13.19
per boe in 2020 to approximately $10.00 per boe in 2022.
- Q1 2021 Capital Expenditures are expected to range
between $50 and $53 million, a slight increase over initial
projections as the Company was able to access and drill a lease
expiry well in Q1/21 that was originally planned for Q3/21.
- Full Year 2021 Guidance remains unchanged, with plans to
invest between $120 and $145 million of capital over the year, resulting
in average annual production of 26,000 to 28,000 boe per
day9 and an exit rate of over 30,000 boe per
day9.
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8 Source: U.S. Energy
Information Administration: Annual Energy
Outlook 2020
|
9 See table in the Advisories
for production breakdown by product type as defined in NI
51-101.
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The Board, management and our Crew team all remain excited and
focussed on the efficient execution of the Company's business plan.
We have identified numerous opportunities within our portfolio to
further expand margins, develop additional value and foster
profitable growth while participating in the energy transition.
With low average costs to find reserves leading to robust recycle
ratios, and excellent market access, we are poised to capture
additional value from our world-class Montney resource. Crew retains the financial
flexibility and expertise to execute on our plans, with ample
liquidity and the optionality to raise funds through asset
transactions as needed. We commend the hard work of Crew's
employees, contractors and directors whose commitment and
dedication are critical to our ongoing success and thank all
shareholders and bondholders for your ongoing support.
Advisories
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and
Operational Information
All amounts in this news release are stated in Canadian
dollars unless otherwise specified. All reserves information in
this press release is derived from our independent reserves
evaluation effective December 31,
2020, the details of which were announced in our
February 8, 2021 press release (the
"Reserves Press Release"). Our oil and gas reserves statement for
the year ended December 31, 2020,
which will include complete disclosure of our oil and gas reserves
and other oil and gas information in accordance with NI 51-101,
will be contained within our Annual Information Form which will be
available on our SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com on or
before March 31, 2021. The recovery
and reserve estimates contained herein are estimates only and there
is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be
recovered. In relation to the disclosure of estimates for
individual properties or subsets thereof, such estimates may not
reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and
future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of
aggregation.
This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil
and natural gas industry, such as "recycle ratio", "finding and
development costs" and "finding, development and acquisition
costs". Each of these metrics are determined by Crew as
specifically set forth in the Capital Program Efficiency tables
contained in our Reserves Press Release. These terms do not have
standardized meanings or standardized methods of calculation and
therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by
other companies, and therefore should not be used to make such
comparisons. Such metrics have been included to provide
readers with additional information to evaluate the Company's
performance however, such metrics are not reliable indicators of
future performance and therefore should not be unduly relied upon
for investment or other purposes. Recycle Ratio is calculated
as operating netback per boe divided by F&D costs
on a per boe basis. Management uses these metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide readers with measures to
compare Crew's performance over time.
Both F&D and FD&A costs take into account reserves
revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The aggregate
of the costs incurred in the financial year and changes during that
year in estimated FDC may not reflect total F&D costs related
to reserves additions for that year. Finding and development
costs both including and excluding acquisitions and dispositions
have been presented in this press release because acquisitions and
dispositions can have a significant impact on our ongoing reserves
replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result in an
inaccurate portrayal of our cost structure.
Non-IFRS Measures
Certain financial measures referred to in this press release,
such as adjusted funds flow or AFF, free adjusted funds flow,
EBITDA, operating netback, net capital expenditures, net debt, net
operating costs and working capital deficiency and are not
prescribed by IFRS. Crew uses these measures to help evaluate its
financial and operating performance as well as its liquidity and
leverage. These non-IFRS financial measures do not have any
standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers.
"Adjusted funds flow" or "AFF",
presented herein is equivalent to cash flow provided by operating
activities, which is an IFRS measure, adding the change in non-cash
working capital, decommissioning obligation expenditures, excluding
grants, and accretion of deferred financing costs on the senior
unsecured notes. The Company considers this metric as a key measure
that demonstrate the ability of the Company's continuing operations
to generate the cash flow necessary to maintain production at
current levels and fund future growth through capital investment
and to service and repay debt. Crew also presents AFF per share in
this presentation whereby per share amounts are calculated using
fully diluted shares outstanding.
"Free AFF" is calculated by
taking adjusted funds flow and subtracting capital expenditures,
excluding acquisitions and dispositions. Management believes that
free adjusted funds flow provides a useful measure to determine
Crew's ability to improve sustainability and to manage the
long-term value of the business.
"EBITDA" is calculated as
consolidated net income (loss) before interest and financing
expenses, income taxes, depletion, depreciation and amortization,
adjusted for certain non-cash, extraordinary and non-recurring
items primarily relating to unrealized gains and losses on
financial instruments and impairment losses. Crew utilizes EBITDA
as a measure of operational performance and cash flow generating
capability. EBITDA impacts the level and extent of funding for
capital projects investments. This measure is consistent with the
EBITDA formula prescribed under the Company's Credit Facility and
allows Crew and others to assess its ability to fund financing
expenses, net debt reductions and other obligations.
"Operating Netbacks"
equals petroleum and natural gas sales including realized gains and
losses on commodity related derivative financial instruments,
marketing income, less royalties, net operating costs and
transportation costs calculated on a boe basis. Management
considers operating netback an important measure to evaluate its
operational performance as it demonstrates its field level
profitability relative to current commodity prices. The calculation
of Crew's netbacks can be seen under "Operating Netbacks" within
the Company's most recently filed MD&A."
"Net Capital Expenditures"
equals exploration and development expenditures plus property
acquisitions or less property dispositions.
"Net Debt" is defined as
outstanding long-term debt and net working capital.
"Net Operating Costs" equals
gross operating costs less processing revenue.
"Working Capital Surplus
(Deficiency)" equals current assets less current liabilities and
derivative financial instruments.
Please refer to Crew's most recently filed MD&A for
additional information relating to Non-IFRS measures including a
reconciliation of AFF to its most closely related IFRS measure. The
MD&A can be accessed either on Crew's website at
www.crewenergy.com or under the Company's profile on
www.sedar.com.
Forward-Looking Information and Statements
This news release contains certain forward–looking
information and statements within the meaning of applicable
securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends" "forecast" and similar
expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or
statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this
news release contains forward-looking information and statements
pertaining to the following: the ability to execute on its two-year
development plan as described herein; as to our plan to optimize
production and infrastructure utilization, enhance margins,
increase AFF, free AFF and improve leverage metrics; our 2021
capital budget range and associated drilling and completion plans
and guidance; preliminary capital plans and targets for 2022;
production estimates including forecast Q1 and 2021 annual average
and exit production volumes and targets for 2022; commodity price
expectations including Crew's estimates of natural gas pricing
exposure; Crew's commodity risk management programs and future
hedging opportunities; marketing and transportation and processing
plans and requirements; estimates of processing capacity and
requirements; future liquidity and financial capacity; future
results from operations and operating and leverage metrics;
anticipated reductions in expenses and associated estimates
including forecast unit costs in 2022; strong capital efficiencies
and enhanced returns going forward; anticipated reductions in
transportation commitments and costs; estimated maintenance capital
requirements; the potential impact of COVID-19 as well as
government programs associated with COVID-19; world supply and
demand projections and anticipated reductions in industry spending
as a result, and long-term impact on pricing; future development,
exploration, acquisition and disposition activities (including
drilling and completion plans, anticipated on-stream dates and
associated timing and cost estimates); infrastructure investment
plans; the successful implementation of our ESG initiatives
including the anticipated release of Crew's inaugural ESG report in
2021; the amount and timing of capital projects; and anticipated
improvement in our long-term sustainability including the expected
positive attributes discussed herein attributable to our two-year
development plan.
The internal projections, expectations, or beliefs underlying
our Board approved 2021 capital budget and associated guidance, as
well as management's preliminary estimates and targets in respect
of plans for 2022 and beyond, are subject to change in light of the
impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and any related actions taken by
businesses and governments, ongoing results, prevailing economic
circumstances, commodity prices, and industry conditions and
regulations. Crew's financial outlook and guidance provides
shareholders with relevant information on management's expectations
for results of operations, excluding any potential acquisitions or
dispositions, for such time periods based upon the key assumptions
outlined herein. In this press release reference is made to the
Company's longer range 2022 and beyond internal plan and associated
economic model. Such information reflects internal targets
used by management for the purposes of making capital investment
decisions and for internal long-range planning and budget
preparation. Readers are cautioned that events or circumstances
could cause capital plans and associated results to differ
materially from those predicted and Crew's guidance for 2021 and
beyond may not be appropriate for other purposes. Accordingly,
undue reliance should not be placed on same.
In addition, forward-looking statements or information
are based on a number of material factors, expectations or
assumptions of Crew which have been used to develop such statements
and information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although Crew
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking
statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not
be placed on forward-looking statements because Crew can give no
assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In
addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified
herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other
things: that Crew will continue to conduct its operations in
a manner consistent with past operations; results from drilling and
development activities consistent with past operations; the quality
of the reservoirs in which Crew operates and continued performance
from existing wells; the continued and timely development of
infrastructure in areas of new production; the accuracy of the
estimates of Crew's reserve volumes; certain commodity price and
other cost assumptions; continued availability of debt and equity
financing and cash flow to fund Crew's current and future plans and
expenditures; the impact of increasing competition; the
general stability of the economic and political environment in
which Crew operates; the general continuance of current
industry conditions; the timely receipt of any required
regulatory approvals; the ability of Crew to obtain qualified
staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost efficient
manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of the
projects in which Crew has an interest in to operate the field in a
safe, efficient and effective manner; the ability of Crew to obtain
financing on acceptable terms; field production rates and decline
rates; the ability to replace and expand oil and natural gas
reserves through acquisition, development and exploration; the
timing and cost of pipeline, storage and facility construction and
expansion and the ability of Crew to secure adequate product
transportation; future commodity prices; currency, exchange and
interest rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and
environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which Crew operates;
and the ability of Crew to successfully market its oil and natural
gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements included in
this news release are not guarantees of future performance and
should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements,
including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known
and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause
actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated
in such forward-looking information or statements including,
without limitation: the continuing and uncertain impact of
COVID-19; changes in commodity prices; changes in the demand
for or supply of Crew's products, the early stage of development of
some of the evaluated areas and zones the potential for
variation in the quality of the Montney formation; interruptions,
unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in
tax or environmental laws, royalty rates; climate change
regulations, or other regulatory matters; changes in development
plans of Crew or by third party operators of Crew's properties,
increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate
estimation of Crew's oil and gas reserve volumes; limited,
unfavourable or a lack of access to capital markets; increased
costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage; the impact of
competitors; and certain other risks detailed from time-to-time in
Crew's public disclosure documents (including, without limitation,
those risks identified in this news release and Crew's Annual
Information Form).
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about Crew's prospective capital expenditures, all of which
are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations, and
qualifications as set forth in the above paragraphs. The actual
results of operations of Crew and the resulting financial results
will likely vary from the amounts set forth in this press release
and such variation may be material. Crew and its management believe
that the FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting
management's best estimates and judgments. However, because this
information is subjective and subject to numerous risks, it should
not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results.
Except as required by applicable securities laws, Crew undertakes
no obligation to update such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press
release was made as of the date of this press release and was
provided for the purpose of providing further information about
Crew's anticipated future business operations. Readers are
cautioned that the FOFI contained in this press release should not
be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed
herein.
The forward-looking information and statements contained in
this news release speak only as of the date of this news release,
and Crew does not assume any obligation to publicly update or
revise any of the included forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities
laws.
Key Budget and Underlying Material Assumptions
|
2021
|
2022
|
Capital Expenditures
($MM)
|
120-145
|
70-95
|
Annual Average
Production (boe/d)
|
26,000 –
28,000
|
31,000 –
33,000
|
Adjusted Funds Flow
($MM)
|
85-105
|
120-150
|
EBITDA
($MM)
|
111-130
|
144-173
|
Oil price (WTI)($US
per bbl)
|
$45.20
|
$44.60
|
Natural gas price
(AECO 5A) ($C per mcf)
|
$2.60
|
$2.50
|
Natural gas price
(NYMEX) ($US per mmbtu)
|
$2.80
|
$2.70
|
Natural gas price
(Crew est. wellhead) ($C per mcf)
|
$3.00
|
$2.90
|
WCS price ($C per
bbl)
|
$42.00
|
$40.00
|
Foreign exchange
($US/$CAD)
|
$0.77
|
$0.77
|
Royalties
|
4-6%
|
4-6%
|
Net operating costs
($ per boe)
|
$4.75-$5.25
|
$4.25-$4.75
|
Transportation ($ per
boe)
|
$3.00-$3.50
|
$2.25-$2.75
|
G&A ($ per
boe)
|
$0.90-$1.10
|
$0.80-$1.00
|
Interest rate – bank
debt
|
6.0%
|
6.0%
|
Interest rate – high
yield
|
6.5%
|
6.5%
|
|
Notes:
|
1 Reflects a pricing
premium given Crew's higher heat content gas
|
Supplemental Information Regarding Product Types
The following is intended to provide the product type
composition for each of the boe/d production figures provided
herein, where not already disclosed within tables above:
Corporate Production Volume Breakdown
|
Crude
Oil1
|
Natural gas
liquids3
|
Condensate
|
Conventional
Natural gas
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
2020 Q4
Average
|
1,463
|
1,953
|
2,121
|
96,771
|
21,666
|
2020 Annual
Average
|
1,549
|
2,070
|
2,583
|
94,519
|
21,955
|
2021 Q1
Average2
|
5%
|
9%
|
9%
|
77%
|
25,500-26,500
|
2021 Annual
Average2
|
4%
|
10%
|
11%
|
75%
|
26,000-28,000
|
2021 Exit
Average2
|
3%
|
9%
|
16%
|
72%
|
>30,000
|
2022 Annual
Average2
|
3%
|
10%
|
12%
|
75%
|
31,000-33,000
|
Greater Septimus Production Volume Breakdown
|
Crude
Oil1
|
Natural gas
liquids3
|
Condensate
|
Conventional
Natural gas
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
Q4/20
|
0%
|
10%
|
12%
|
78%
|
18,089
|
Q3/20
|
0%
|
11%
|
13%
|
76%
|
17,119
|
Q2/20
|
0%
|
11%
|
14%
|
75%
|
18,565
|
Q1/20
|
0%
|
11%
|
17%
|
72%
|
19,894
|
Q4/19
|
0%
|
10%
|
13%
|
77%
|
18,720
|
|
|
Notes:
|
|
1
|
Crude oil is
comprised primarily of Heavy crude oil, with an immaterial portion
of Light and Medium crude oil.
|
2
|
With respect to
forward looking production guidance, given the potential for
variability in actual product type results, the issuer approximates
percentages for budget planning purposes based on management's
reasonable assumptions including, without limitation, historical
well results.
|
3
|
Excludes condensate
volumes which have been reported separately.
|
Test Results and Initial Production ("IP") Rates
A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has
not been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided
herein should be considered to be preliminary until such analysis
or interpretation has been completed. Test results and initial
production rates disclosed herein, particularly those short in
duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long term
performance or of ultimate recovery. Sales gas used herein reflects
natural gas sales based on historical gas processing shrinkage and
condensate and ngl yields.
BOE, MMCFE and TCFE Conversions
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 mcf:
1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on
the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is
significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing the 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an
indication of value.
TCFe of gas is defined as Trillion Cubic Feet Equivalent, and
MMCFe of gas is defined as Million Cubic Feet Equivalent. Both
terms have been applied using the oil equivalent conversion ratio
of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas (6 mcf) to one barrel of
oil (1 bbl). TCFe and MMCFe amounts may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation.
Crew is a growth-oriented oil and natural gas producer,
committed to pursuing sustainable per share growth through a
balanced mix of financially and socially responsible exploration
and development complemented by strategic acquisitions. The
Company's operations are primarily focused in the vast Montney resource, situated in northeast
British Columbia, and include a
large contiguous land base. Greater Septimus along with Groundbirch
and the light oil area at Tower in British Columbia offer significant development
potential over the long-term. The Company has access to diversified
markets with operated infrastructure and access to multiple
pipeline egress options. Crew's common shares are listed for
trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") under the symbol
"CR".
Financial statements and Management's Discussion and Analysis
for the three and twelve month periods ended December 31, 2020 and 2019 are filed on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com and are available on the Company's website at
www.crewenergy.com.
SOURCE Crew Energy Inc.