Big Banks' Oil Outlook Unfazed By Mounting Economic Woes
08 Agosto 2011 - 8:18AM
Noticias Dow Jones
The steep sell-off in oil in the last week hasn't fazed many of
Wall Street's banks, which continue to forecast soaring oil
prices.
Concerns that the stumbling global economic recovery could dent
oil demand have caused prices to decline around 10% since last
Monday, but big banks have largely maintained their oil price
forecasts.
In a note published Monday, Goldman Sachs Group (GS) defended
its view that European benchmark Brent crude be at $120 a barrel by
the end of the year.
Other big banks, such as Barclays Capital and Morgan Stanley
(MS), have also kept their price forecasts unchanged.
Price forecasts from major banks are closely watched by
investors seeking indications of where the market is headed next,
and in recent months the banks have pointed in only one direction:
up.
However, many analysts are critical of the banks' price view
given clear signs that the global economy is now facing some very
serious stumbling blocks.
"It seems overly optimistic at the moment," said Ole Hansen
manager of the futures and fixed income trading desk at Saxo Bank.
"Brent is trading in the $105-$120 a barrel range it has done since
May so all is not lost for the bulls, but given the economic
backdrop it seems a bit far-fetched at the moment."
-By Sarah Kent, Dow Jones Newswires; 4420-7842-9376;
sarah.kent@dowjones.com