TIDM44EB

RNS Number : 9689M

London & Quadrant Housing Trust

15 May 2020

London & Quadrant Housing Trust Trading Update for the period ending 31 March 2020

London & Quadrant Housing Trust ('L&Q') is today issuing its consolidated trading update for the year ended 31 March 2020 ('2020').

These consolidated unaudited results include the trading activities of Trafford Housing Trust ('THT') from 1 October to 31 March 2020. All comparatives are to L&Q's consolidated audited financial statements for the year ended 31 March 2019 ('2019').

Highlights:

   --    There are 113,525 units in management (2019: 103,917) 
   --    L&Q has completed 2,439 residential units (2019: 2,874) 
   --    Turnover was GBP914m (2019: GBP937m) 
   --    EBITDA(1) was GBP302m (2019: GBP236m) 
   --    EBITDA margin(2) was 26% (2019: 22%) 
   --    EBITDA margin (excluding sales)(3) was 39% (2019: 40%) 
   --    Gross sales margin(4) was 17% (2019: 13%) 
   --    Net sales margin(5) was 10% (2019: 8%) 
   --    EBITDA / interest cover(6) was 189% (2019: 166%) 
   --    EBITDA social housing lettings interest cover(7) was 134% (2019: 111%) 
   --    Operating surplus was GBP297m (2019: GBP305m) 
   --    Debt to assets(8) was 41% (2019: 40%) 
   --    Gross debt to EBITDA(9) was 18.5x (2019: 21.3x) 
   --    Sales as a % of turnover(10) was 45% (2019: 46%) 

Commenting on the results Waqar Ahmed, Group Director, Finance said:

"L&Q's preliminary unaudited results show EBITDA at GBP302m and net debt at GBP5.4bn with better than expected performance on margins, interest coverage and debt metrics compared to Q3 guidance, further reflecting the expected stabilisation in financial results. Surplus after tax at GBP202m excludes a material credit to the statement of comprehensive income that will be applied to the audited financial statements to represent the fair value of THT on acquisition.

The year-on-year improvement in EBITDA reflects the prudent measures that L&Q has implemented during the course of the financial year as we continue to focus on our priorities being the safety of our residents, the quality of the homes and services we provide and delivering on our social purpose. We completed 2,439 (2019: 2,874) residential units of which 49% are for social housing tenures, invested GBP61m (2019: GBP91m) in our existing stock and spent GBP168m (2019: GBP159m) on planned and reactive maintenance including GBP35m (2019: GBP24m) implementing additional fire safety measures.

We have planned extensively for the inevitable material impact that COVID-19 will have on future trading performance and have put in place a number of mitigating measures in order to conserve cash flows. Given this ongoing uncertainty we have temporarily suspended financial guidance until the overall impact of COVID-19 becomes clearer. However, we remain confident that L&Q retains the financial flexibility to adapt to a changing economic outlook supported by our strong balance sheet, robust liquidity position and G1/V1 ratings, the highest possible ratings for governance and viability as reaffirmed by the Regulator of Social Housing in March 2020."

COVID-19 Update

On 24 March 2020, L&Q issued a RNS outlining its response to COVID-19 inclusive of actions taken to date and headline mitigating actions. This included, in the interest of customer and employee safety, the immediate closure of all L&Q construction sites.

L&Q's Pandemic Crisis Response Team are monitoring service delivery and key trends across all business activities daily with notable trends from the period 31 March 2020 to 7 May 2020 outlined below:

-- There have been 957 payment deferral requests made by residents on a portfolio of 113,525 units;

-- Rolling 4 week arrears have increased from 5.04% to 5.43% (6.03% for social tenures and 3.35% for non-social tenures) equating to a GBP3m increase in arrears; and

-- 47% of projected residential sales have completed achieving 50% of projected profits, demonstrating continued demand supported by the ability to sell homes remotely.

Detailed mitigating actions that have been implemented to date are set out below:

   --    Completion of multivariate stress-tests and contingency planning; 

-- GBP300m increase in debt facilities, materially increasing available liquidity which stands at over GBP800m;

-- Removal of GBP66m of non-essential operating expenditure for the financial year ending 31 March 2021;

-- Postponement of GBP300m of capital expenditure during the financial year ending 31 March 2021;

   --    Maintenance spend restricted to priority repairs and fire safety; 
   --    Additional GBP3m bad debt provision included within these preliminary and unaudited results; 
   --    Recruitment freeze and a freeze on pay increases; 
   --    Successful launch of virtual property tours; and 

-- Plans to prepare for the phased remobilisation of construction and planned maintenance work sites smoothly and safely and as soon as the time is right.

Housing Completions

L&Q, including joint ventures, has completed 2,439 (2019: 2,874) residential units in the financial year. This comprises of 1,188 (2019: 1,582) completions for social housing tenures and 1,251 (2019: 1,292) completions for market tenures. During that same time, 3,945 new build residential units commenced on site (2019: 6,428).

Development Pipeline

L&Q, including joint ventures, is operating from 158 (2019: 157) active sites. L&Q has approved an additional 2,947 residential units during the financial year bringing total units in the approved development pipeline to 50,000 (2019: 50,400). Some 39% of the approved pipeline (19,500 units) is on site.

The future projected cost of the entire development pipeline (including work in progress and developments not yet committed or on site) that extends until the financial year ending 31 March 2040 is estimated at GBP6.6bn (2019: GBP6.8bn) of which GBP5.5bn (83%) is currently committed. L&Q holds a further potential 50,125 (2019: 46,800) strategic land plots.

Unaudited Financials

The unaudited financials exclude further adjustments that are subject to audit review:

 
 Statement of Comprehensive Income                          2020       2019   Change 
                                                          (GBPm)     (GBPm) 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
 Turnover 
    Non-sales                                                645        597 
    Sales                                                    269        340 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
                                                             914        937     (2%) 
 Operating costs and cost of sales 
    Non-sales                                              (472)      (420) 
    Sales                                                  (243)      (319) 
                                                           (715)      (739)       3% 
 Surplus on disposal of fixed assets and investments          65         50 
 Share of profits from joint ventures                         25         20 
 Change in value of investment property                        8         37 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
 Operating surplus                                           297        305     (3%) 
 Net interest charge                                       (116)      (110) 
 Other finance income/ (costs)                                21        (9) 
 Taxation                                                      -         16 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
 Surplus for the period after tax                            202        202        - 
-----------------------------------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------- 
 
 
 Capitalised Interest    (43)   (33) 
                        -----  ----- 
 
 
 Statement of Financial Position                  2020       2019   Change (GBPm) 
                                                (GBPm)     (GBPm) 
--------------------------------------------  --------  ---------  -------------- 
 Housing properties                             10,334      9,469             865 
 Other fixed assets                                 81         69              12 
 Investments                                     1,590      1,649            (59) 
 Net current assets                                974        966               8 
--------------------------------------------  --------  ---------  -------------- 
 Total assets less current liabilities          12,979     12,153             826 
--------------------------------------------  --------  ---------  -------------- 
 
 Loans due > one year                            5,528      5,011             517 
 Unamortised grant liabilities                   2,120      2,039              81 
 Other long term liabilities                       353        327              26 
 Capital and reserves                            4,978      4,776             202 
--------------------------------------------  --------  ---------  -------------- 
 Total non-current liabilities and reserves     12,979     12,153             826 
--------------------------------------------  --------  ---------  -------------- 
 

Non-Sales Activities

 
 Activity                               2020 (GBPm)   2019 (GBPm)   Change (GBPm) 
-------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Net rents receivable                           590           550              40 
 Charges for support services                    10             9               1 
 Amortised government grants                     24            23               1 
 Other income                                    21            15               6 
-------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Turnover                                       645           597              48 
-------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Management costs                              (63)          (57)             (6) 
 Service costs                                 (81)          (71)            (10) 
 Maintenance costs                            (168)         (159)             (9) 
 Support costs                                 (11)           (8)             (3) 
 Depreciation & impairment                     (93)          (91)             (2) 
 Other costs                                   (56)          (34)            (22) 
-------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Operating costs                              (472)         (420)            (52) 
-------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Surplus on disposal of fixed assets             65            50              15 
-------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Operating surplus                              238           227              11 
-------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 
 
 Capitalised Major Repairs    (61)   (91)   30 
---------------------------  -----  -----  --- 
 

Sales Activities

The cost of sales is inclusive of capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 
 Activity                                2020 (GBPm)   2019 (GBPm)   Change (GBPm) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Property sales income                           176           185             (9) 
 Land sales income                                93           155            (62) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Turnover from sales (excluding JV's)            269           340            (71) 
 Cost of property sales                        (148)         (179)              31 
 Cost of land sales                             (63)         (118)              55 
 Operating costs                                (32)          (22)            (10) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Total costs (excluding JV's)                  (243)         (319)              76 
 Operating Surplus (excluding JV's)               26            21               5 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Joint venture turnover                          263           167              96 
 Joint venture cost of sales                   (228)         (142)            (86) 
 Joint venture operating costs                  (10)           (5)             (5) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Share of profits from joint ventures             25            20               5 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 

Average Selling Price

The average selling price, including JV's, for outright market sales during the financial year was GBP612k of which 74% were conducted under Help to Buy. The average selling price of first tranche shared ownership sales during the financial year was GBP387k with an average first tranche sale of 34%.

Sales Margins

The cost of sales is inclusive of capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 
 Activity            Shared Owner-ship     Outright Sales   Land Sales     Outright Sales      2020      2019   Change 
                                (GBPm)    (Non-JV) (GBPm)                   (JV's) (GBPm) 
                                                                (GBPm) 
                                                                                             (GBPm)    (GBPm) 
------------------  ------------------  -----------------  -----------  -----------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 Turnover                           60                116           93                263       532       507       25 
 Cost of sales                    (49)               (99)         (63)              (228)     (439)     (439)        - 
------------------  ------------------  -----------------  -----------  -----------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 Gross profit                       11                 17           30                 35        93        68       25 
------------------  ------------------  -----------------  -----------  -----------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 Gross sales 
  margin                           18%                15%          32%                13%       17%       13%       4% 
------------------  ------------------  -----------------  -----------  -----------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 Operating costs                   (6)               (10)         (16)               (10)      (42)      (27)     (15) 
 Operating surplus                   5                  7           14                 25        51        41       10 
------------------  ------------------  -----------------  -----------  -----------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 Net sales margin                   8%                 6%          15%                10%       10%        8%       2% 
------------------  ------------------  -----------------  -----------  -----------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 

Unsold Stock

As at 31 March 2020, L&Q, including joint ventures, held 526 completed units as unsold stock with a projected value of GBP133m. Of these, 26% have been held as stock for less than one month. L&Q's forward order book excluding joint ventures consists of 45 exchanged units with projected revenue of GBP6m and 143 reservations with projected revenue of GBP36m.

 
 Tenure               Projected Revenue   No. of Units   <1 Month   1-3 Months   3-6 Months   6-12 Months   >12 Months 
                                 (GBPm) 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Shared Ownership                    16            147         33            2           18            82           12 
 Outright Sale 
  (non-JV's)                         86            259         30            4           77            92           56 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total excluding 
  Joint Ventures                    102            406         63            6           95           174           68 
 Outright Sale 
  (JV's)                             31            120         73           16            8            11           12 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total Joint 
  Ventures                           31            120         73           16            8            11           12 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total Unsold Stock                 133            526        136           22          103           185           80 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 

Net Debt and Liquidity

As at 31 March 2020, net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) was GBP5,430m (2019: GBP4,886m) and available liquidity within the group in the form of committed un-drawn revolving credit facilities and non-restricted cash was at GBP595m (2019: GBP751m). Since 31 March 2020, L&Q has secured an additional GBP300m of committed loan facilities increasing available liquidity to over GBP800m. Approximately 50% of L&Q's loan facilities and 54% of drawn loan facilities are at a fixed cost.

Unencumbered Assets

 
                                                                                   2020       2019 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  --------- 
 No. of units under management                                                  113,525    103,917 
 No. of social housing units provided as collateral against debt facilities    (55,013)   (48,993) 
 No. of private rented units provided as collateral against debt facilities     (1,107)    (1,107) 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  --------- 
 Total no. of unencumbered units under management                                57,405     53,817 
 % of units under management held as collateral against debt facilities             49%        48% 
 Unencumbered asset ratio(11)                                                       41%        42% 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  --------- 
 

L&Q Credit Ratings - as at date of trading statement release

 
 Rating Agency                    S&P     Moody's         Fitch 
-------------------------  ----------  ----------  ------------ 
 Long-term credit ratings   A-/Stable   A3/Stable   A+/Negative 
-------------------------  ----------  ----------  ------------ 
 

Notes:

(1) Operating surplus + depreciation and impairment - amortised government grant - capitalised major repairs +/- actuarial losses/gains in pension schemes

(2) EBITDA / (turnover + turnover from joint ventures - amortised government grant)

(3) EBITDA from non-sales activities / turnover from non-sales activities

(4) Gross profit from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

(5) Operating surplus from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

(6) EBITDA / net cash interest paid

(7) EBITDA from social housing lettings / net cash interest paid

(8) Net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) / total assets less current liabilities

(9) Gross debt / EBITDA

(10) Sales turnover (including joint ventures) / (turnover plus turnover from joint ventures)

(11) 100% less (loans due after more than 1 year + derivative liabilities + unamortised grant liability) / total assets less current liabilities

This trading update contains certain forward looking statements about the future outlook for L&Q. Although the Directors believe that these statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, any such statements should be treated with caution as future outlook may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different.

For further information, please contact:

 
 James Howell, Head of External Affairs    0300 456 9998 
 Cathryn Rowley, Assistant Director, 
  Communications                           0300 456 9998 
 

www.lqgroup.org.uk

END

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END

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