TIDM44EB

RNS Number : 4022Y

London & Quadrant Housing Trust

12 May 2021

London & Quadrant Housing Trust Trading Update for the year ending 31 March 2021

London & Quadrant Housing Trust ('L&Q') is today issuing its consolidated trading update for the year ended 31 March 2021 ('2021'). All comparatives are to L&Q's consolidated audited prior year equivalent period being the year ended 31 March 2020 ('2020').

HIGHLIGHTS

   --    There are 118,181 units in management (as at 31 March 2020: 115,003) 
   --    L&Q has completed 2,699 residential homes (2020: 2,439) 
   --    Turnover was GBP1,051m (2020: GBP915m) 
   --    EBITDA(1) was GBP382m (2020: GBP303m) 
   --    EBITDA margin(2) was 31% (2020: 26%) 
   --    EBITDA margin (excluding sales)(3) was 49% (2020: 42%) 
   --    Gross sales margin(4) was 18% (2020: 17%) 
   --    Net sales margin(5) was 10% (2020: 13%) 
   --    EBITDA / interest cover(6) was 260% (2020: 193%) 
   --    EBITDA social housing lettings interest cover(7) was 182% (2020: 137%) 
   --    Operating surplus was GBP313m (2020: GBP279m) 
   --    Debt to assets(8) was 41% (2020: 41%) 
   --    Gross Debt / EBITDA(9) was 14.4x (2020: 18.5x) 
   --    Sales as a % of turnover(10) was 47% (2020: 46%) 

Commenting on the results Waqar Ahmed, Group Director, Finance said:

"L&Q's preliminary unaudited results show EBITDA at GBP382m, a 26% year-on-year increase and net debt at GBP5,385m, a GBP45m year-on-year decrease. We have delivered a material improvement in EBITDA margins, interest coverage and debt metrics that are ahead of Q3 guidance and reflect stronger than expected financial performance during the Covid-19 pandemic, particularly in relation to completions, sales and rent arrears.

Available liquidity at greater than GBP1.1bn demonstrates that we have been successful in implementing prudent measures to conserve cash flows. Our strong liquidity position leaves us well placed to address future external uncertainty that is supported by the strength of our balance sheet and the financial resilience and flexibility that we have demonstrated.

Despite the on-set of the Covid-19 pandemic, housing completions at 2,699 (2020: 2,439) are up 11% year-on-year of which 57% (2020: 49%) are for social housing tenures which further demonstrates our commitment to our social purpose and to lower our risk profile. While the pandemic has impacted our repairs and maintenance service, we invested GBP186m (2020: GBP231m) in our residents' homes including GBP25m (2020: GBP35m) implementing additional fire measures. The expectation, as reflected in our forward guidance for the year ending 31(st) March 2022 is that we divert a greater level of expenditure towards our resident's existing homes as we implement our five year corporate strategy that sets out how we will put our existing customers first, ensuring that their homes are safe, high quality and supported by excellent services in thriving communities."

FORWARD GUIDANCE FOR THE YEARING 31ST MARCH 2022

The following assumes that current market conditions continue.

We project EBITDA to be in the range of GBP340m to GBP360m and gross capital expenditure(11) to be in the range of GBP900m to GBP1bn. Included within our EBITDA projections are c.GBP30m of costs assigned to conduct fire remedial and safety works. Our projections for surplus after tax are expected to be in the range of GBP230m to GBP250m. Net debt is expected to be in the range of GBP5.7bn to GBP5.8bn.

 
 Financial Metrics                                   Forward Guidance to 31 March 2022 
--------------------------------------------------  ---------------------------------- 
 EBITDA margin(2)                                                                  26% 
 EBITDA margin (excluding sales)(3)                                                40% 
 Net sales margin(5)                                                               11% 
 EBITDA interest cover(6)                                                         233% 
 Social housing lettings EBITDA interest Cover(7)                                 152% 
 Debt to assets(8)                                                                 43% 
 Gross debt to EBITDA(9)                                                           16x 
 Sales as a % of turnover(10)                                                      48% 
--------------------------------------------------  ---------------------------------- 
 

HOUSING COMPLETIONS

L&Q, including joint ventures, has completed 2,699 (2020: 2,439) residential homes in the financial year. This comprises of 1,556 (2019/20: 1,188) completions for social housing tenures and 1,143 (2020: 1,251) completions for market tenures. During that same time 3,818 new build residential homes commenced on site (2020: 3,945).

DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE

L&Q, including joint ventures, is operating from 185 (2020: 158) active sites. L&Q has approved an additional 1,994 residential homes during the financial year bringing total homes in the approved development pipeline to 32,482 (2020: 29,504), of which 64% are currently on site, representing a significant investment in new supply and affordable output. Of the homes approved in the development pipeline 60% are for social housing tenures and 40% are for market tenures. L&Q holds a further potential 81,568 (2020: 70,614) strategic land plots.

The future projected cost of the entire development pipeline (including work in progress and developments not yet committed or on site) that extends until the financial year ending 31 March 2040 is estimated at GBP5.2bn (2019/20: GBP5.3bn) of which GBP4.5bn (85%) is currently committed (2020: GBP4.6bn).

UNAUDITED FINANCIALS

The unaudited financials exclude further adjustments that are subject to audit review:

Statement of Comprehensive Income

 
                                                           2021      2020   Change 
                                                         (GBPm)    (GBPm) 
-----------------------------------------------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 Turnover 
 Non-sales                                                  683       645 
 Sales                                                      368       270 
-----------------------------------------------------  --------  --------  ------- 
                                                          1,051       915      15% 
 Operating costs and cost of sales 
 Non-sales                                                (488)     (504) 
 Sales                                                    (350)     (228) 
-----------------------------------------------------  --------  --------  ------- 
                                                          (838)     (732)      14% 
 Surplus on disposal of fixed assets and investments         59        64 
 Share of profits from joint ventures                        37        25 
 Change in value of investment property                       4         7 
-----------------------------------------------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 Operating surplus                                          313       279      23% 
 Net interest charge                                      (100)     (117) 
 Other finance income/ (costs)                              (2)        16 
 Taxation                                                   (1)         1 
-----------------------------------------------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 Pre-exceptional surplus for the period after tax           210       179      17% 
-----------------------------------------------------  --------  --------  ------- 
 

EBITDA and Net Cash Interest Paid

 
                                           2021 (GBPm)   2020 (GBPm)   Change 
----------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  ------- 
 Operating surplus                                 313           279 
 Change in value of investment property            (4)           (7) 
 Amortised government grant                       (24)          (24) 
 Depreciation                                       97            91 
 Impairment                                         30            24 
 Capitalised major repairs                        (30)          (61) 
----------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  ------- 
 EBITDA                                            382           303      26% 
----------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  ------- 
 
 Net interest charge                             (100)         (117) 
 Capitalised interest                             (48)          (42) 
----------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  ------- 
 Net cash interest paid                          (148)         (159)    (11%) 
----------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  ------- 
 

Statement of Financial Position

 
                                               2021 (GBPm)   2020 (GBPm)   Change (GBPm) 
--------------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Housing properties                                 10,855        10,555             330 
 Other fixed assets                                     78            81             (3) 
 Investments                                         1,590         1,622            (32) 
 Net current assets                                    512           926           (414) 
--------------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Total assets less current liabilities              13,061        13,184           (123) 
--------------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 
   Loans due > one year                              5,152         5,528           (376) 
 Unamortised grant liabilities                       2,130         2,105              25 
 Other long term liabilities                           342           324              18 
 Capital and reserves                                5,437         5,227             210 
--------------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Total non-current liabilities and reserves         13,061        13,184           (123) 
--------------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 

Non-Sales Activities

 
                                            2021      2020   Change (GBPm) 
                                          (GBPm)    (GBPm) 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 Net rents receivable                        630       590              40 
 Charges for support services                 10         9               1 
 Amortised government grants                  24        24               - 
 Other income                                 19        22             (3) 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 Turnover                                    683       645              38 
 Management costs                           (59)      (64)               5 
 Service costs                              (89)      (80)             (9) 
 Maintenance costs                         (156)     (172)              16 
 Support costs                              (13)      (10)             (3) 
 Depreciation & impairment                 (121)     (103)              18 
 Other costs                                (50)      (75)              25 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 Operating costs                           (488)     (504)              16 
 Surplus on disposal of fixed assets          59        64             (5) 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 Operating surplus                           254       205              49 
-------------------------------------  ---------  --------  -------------- 
 

Sales Activities

The cost of sales is inclusive of impairment, capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 
                                         2021 (GBPm)   2020 (GBPm)   Change (GBPm) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Property sales income                           277           177             100 
 Land sales income                                91            93             (2) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Turnover from sales (excluding JV's)            368           270              98 
 Cost of property sales                        (247)         (150)            (97) 
 Cost of land sales                             (64)          (63)             (1) 
 Operating costs                                (39)          (15)            (24) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Total costs (excluding JV's)                  (350)         (228)           (122) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Operating Surplus (excluding JV's)               18            42            (24) 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Joint venture turnover                          218           263            (45) 
 Joint venture cost of sales                   (178)         (228)              50 
 Joint venture operating costs                   (3)          (10)               7 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 Share of profits from joint ventures             37            25              12 
--------------------------------------  ------------  ------------  -------------- 
 

AVERAGE SELLING PRICE

The average selling price, including JV's, for outright market sales during the financial year to date was GBP495k (2020: 612k) of which 63% were conducted under Help to Buy (2020: 74%). The average selling price of first tranche shared ownership sales during the financial year to date was GBP427k (2020: 387k) with an average first tranche sale of 33% (2020: 34%).

SALES MARGINS

The cost of sales is inclusive of impairment, capitalised interest and overhead costs:

 
                       Shared          Outright   Land Sales   Outright Sales (JV's)     2021     2020   Change 
                       Owner-    Sales (Non-JV) 
                         ship 
                       (GBPm)            (GBPm)       (GBPm)                  (GBPm)   (GBPm)   (GBPm) 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  -------  -------  ------- 
 Turnover                  66               211           91                     218      586      533       53 
 Cost of sales           (54)             (193)         (64)                   (178)    (489)    (441)     (48) 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  -------  -------  ------- 
 Gross profit              12                18           27                      40       97       92       11 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  -------  -------  ------- 
 Gross margin             18%                9%          30%                     18%      18%      17%       1% 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  -------  -------  ------- 
 Operating costs          (5)              (18)         (16)                     (3)     (42)     (25)     (17) 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  -------  -------  ------- 
 Operating surplus          7                 -           11                      37       55       67     (12) 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  -------  -------  ------- 
 Net margin               11%                2%          13%                     17%      10%      13%     (3%) 
-------------------  --------  ----------------  -----------  ----------------------  -------  -------  ------- 
 

UNSOLD STOCK

As at 31st March 2021, L&Q, including joint ventures, held 575 completed homes as unsold stock with a projected revenue of GBP116m. Projected revenue for shared ownership assumes a first tranche sale of 25%. Of the total unsold stock, 31% has been held as stock for less than one month.

L&Q's forward order book excluding joint ventures consists of 65 exchanged sales with projected revenue of GBP9m and 215 reservations with projected revenue of GBP49m.

 
 Tenure               Projected Revenue   No. of Units   <1 Month   1-3 Months   3-6 Months   6-12 Months   >12 Months 
                                 (GBPm) 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Shared Ownership                    46            377        134           73           78            60           32 
 Commercial units                     2              1          0            0            0             0            1 
 Outright Sale 
  (non-JV's)                         38             91         21            2           13             0           55 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total excluding 
  JV's                               86            469        155           75           91            60           88 
 Outright Sale 
  (JV's)                             30            106         25           34           19             5           23 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total Joint 
  Ventures                           30            106         25           34           19             5           23 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 Total Unsold Stock                 116            575        180          109          110            65          111 
-------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  -----------  -----------  ------------  ----------- 
 

NET DEBT AND LIQUIDITY

As at 31 March 2021, net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) was GBP5,385m (as at 31 March 2020: GBP5,430m) and available liquidity within the group in the form of committed un-drawn revolving credit facilities and non-restricted cash was at GBP1,159m (as at 31 March 2020: GBP606m). Approximately 54% of L&Q's loan facilities and 65% of drawn loan facilities are at a fixed cost.

UNENCUMBERED ASSETS

 
                                                                                   2021       2020 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  --------- 
 No. of units under management                                                  118,181    115,003 
 No. of social housing units provided as collateral against debt facilities    (60,085)   (55,013) 
 No. of private rented units provided as collateral against debt facilities     (1,107)    (1,107) 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  --------- 
 Total no. of unencumbered units under management                                56,989     58,833 
 % of units under management held as collateral against debt facilities             52%        49% 
 Unencumbered asset ratio(12)                                                       44%        42% 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------  ---------  --------- 
 

L&Q CREDIT RATINGS

As at date of trading statement release:

 
 Rating Agency                    S&P     Moody's         Fitch 
-------------------------  ----------  ----------  ------------ 
 Long-term credit ratings   A-/Stable   A3/Stable   A+/Negative 
-------------------------  ----------  ----------  ------------ 
 

Notes:

(1) Operating surplus - change in value of investment properties - amortised government grant + depreciation + impairment - capitalised major repairs +/- actuarial losses/gains in pension schemes

(2) EBITDA / (turnover + turnover from joint ventures - amortised government grant)

(3) EBITDA from non-sales activities / turnover from non-sales activities

(4) Gross profit from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

(5) Operating surplus from sales / turnover from sales including joint ventures

(6) EBITDA / net cash interest paid

(7) EBITDA from social housing lettings / net cash interest paid

(8) Net debt (excluding derivative financial liabilities) / total assets less current liabilities

(9) Gross debt / EBITDA

(10) Sales turnover (including joint ventures) / (turnover plus turnover from joint ventures)

(11) Capitalised development expenditure + acquisition of investment property + purchase of other fixed assets

(12) 100% less (loans due after more than 1 year + derivative liabilities + unamortised grant liability) / total assets less current liabilities

This trading update contains certain forward looking statements about the future outlook for L&Q. Although the Directors believe that these statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, any such statements should be treated with caution as future outlook may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different.

For further information, please contact:

investors@lqgroup.org.uk

   James Howell, Head of External Affairs                    020 8189 1596 

www.lqgroup.org.uk

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