Finds GFL has Obfuscated its Executives' Failures and
Highly-Questionable Relationships, Including CEO Patrick Dovigi's Connections to What Observers
Have Dubbed "Organized Crime"
Makes the Case that GFL is an Opaque, Unsustainable
Roll-Up of Roll-Ups Failing to Grow Free Cash Flow and Failing to
Provide an Accurate Depiction of its Leverage
Highlights Aggressive Accounting and Reporting of Revenue,
EBITDA, Cash Flow, Adjusted EPS and Capex – Pointing to Financial
Control Issues Overlooked During GFL's 2020 IPO led by Underwriters
JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs
Underscores Belief that H1 2020 Adjusted Free Cash Flow is
60% Lower Than it Appears on the Surface
Spruce Point – Which has
a Proven Record of Exposing Governance and Financial Lapses at
Canadian Companies and Industrial Roll-Ups – Estimates 100%
Downside Risk to GFL's Shares
NEW YORK, Aug. 18, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Spruce Point
Capital Management, LLC ("Spruce
Point"), a New York-based
investment management firm that focuses on forensic research and
short-selling, today issued a 107-page report entitled "Green for
Life, Red for Losses" that outlines why shares of GFL Environmental
Inc. (NYSE: GFL and GFLU and TSX: GFL) ("GFL" or the "Company")
face 100% downside risk. The full report can be downloaded and
viewed at www.sprucepointcap.com.
Based on an extensive forensic analysis and holistic review of
GFL's accounting practices, financial controls and reporting, and
corporate governance, Spruce Point
believes that without access to new capital, the Company's shares
are worthless and likely uninvestable for institutional investors.
GFL's executives have not only fostered what appears to be an
extremely aggressive and opaque business model, but they have
either deliberately concealed, or inattentively omitted, past
failures and questionable business connections. Our report's
textual and visual evidence shows that Chief Executive Officer
Patrick Dovigi has obfuscated his
connections to what some observers have dubbed "organized
crime" figures. We have also discovered that former General
Counsel and current Senior Vice President Joy Grahek has failed to disclose her role
advising Philip Services Corporation ("Philip Services"), which was
a dual-listed roll-up of metal and industrial businesses that
collapsed, was pursued by the Ontario Securities Commission,
settled $80 million in shareholder
claims, and was described as a "house of cards" and "one
of the great unprosecuted frauds in Canadian business
history."
Spruce Point's assessment of
GFL's accounting and financials leads us to believe that the
Company's true leverage is understated by an aggressive reporting
of revenue and EBITDA. This is evidenced by the Company making
financial restatements without explanation and by minimizing its
material weaknesses of financial controls. We also believe GFL's
depiction of its debt is understated by at least C$460 million. By our estimate, GFL's staggering
C$5.6 billion in total debt and its
ongoing financial losses make it reliant on new capital to sustain
itself – never mind its prospective growth via an increasingly
expensive acquisition strategy. Given that a meaningful portion of
GFL's stock is pledged as collateral for loans, we contend there is
a real risk that the stock may collapse and the Company's auditor
may not sign-off on its financials after reviewing the evidence
included in our report.
A high-level overview of some of the detailed findings in
Spruce Point's 107-page report
includes:
- Mr. Dovigi and GFL executives have ties to controversial
individuals, including parties that have plead guilty to breaking
various laws and been dubbed "organized crime" figures.
Spruce Point's report shows that
GFL's Securities and Exchange Commission and SEDAR filings were
modified to omit Mr. Dovigi's connections to parties that have
faced regulatory infractions, legal issues and allegations of
securities fraud. Our research also lays out a web of Mr. Dovigi's
first-degree and second-degree connections that we believe should
be alarming to investors.
-
- GFL currently uses Campus Auto Collision & Heavy Equipment
Refinishing ("Campus Auto Collision") for its vehicle and equipment
refurbishment. Photographic evidence in Spruce Point's presentation shows that this
commercial relationship reconnects Mr. Dovigi with
Claudio Villa, who plead guilty to
dumping toxic soil in 2015 when he was an owner and Director of
Earthworx Industries ("Earthworx"). The soil, which came from GFL,
was reported to have been "contaminated with heavy metals, with
elevated concentrations of lead, cadmium, copper, and zinc
exceeding Environmental Protection Act standards."1
GFL was also charged with violating the Environmental Protection
Act, but those charges were dropped and only Earthworx and Mr.
Villa faced legal repercussions and fines.
- Mr. Dovigi was previously a Director of No Good TV ("NGTV"), a
now-bankrupt company that involved individuals such as Andy DeFrancesco (tied to Aphria and Fareport
Capital scandals), Romeo DiBattista
Jr. (tied to Fareport Capital scandal) and Frank Mersch (settled with the Canadian
securities regulators for misleading statements).2
NGTV's Chief Financial Officer was previously the Vice President of
Finance and Administration at Simon Marketing, which was the
company involved in the mafia-linked McDonald's Monopoly scandal
featured by HBO in a documentary.3
- GFL also obscures the role of Paul ("Paolo") Borrelli, a former
executive and current employee according to GFL's phone records.
Mr. Borrelli is connected through social media to Antonio Borrelli, who was convicted of attempted
murder. Antonio is the nephew of Peter
Scarcella, who Canadian police have noted "is one of
Toronto's top mob figures."
- GFL is a poorly-organized and opaque roll-up of roll-ups
that has grown through an unsustainable acquisition strategy.
Department of Justice ("DOJ") approvals are now required to further
its haphazard U.S. expansion efforts. Spruce Point believes GFL has amassed
$6.5 billion of goodwill and
intangibles through expensive acquisitions. We find examples of GFL
touting what appear to be highly-questionable deals that have
ultimately yielded operational or financial challenges due to
shoddy pre-acquisition diligence or poor post-acquisition
execution. We believe our research illustrates that GFL is simply a
financially motivated investment scheme that failed multiple times
to go public and has investment parallels to Philip Services, a
scandalous roll-up that went bankrupt.
-
- In one case, GFL bought a company that itself acquired 60
companies, making GFL a roll-up of roll-ups.
- In an extreme case, GFL bought Rizzo Environmental before U.S.
authorities indicted its CEO for fraud.
- GFL's current U.S. expansion efforts, including purchases of
assets from Waste Management/ADS and WCA Waste Corporation, require
DOJ approval. We believe this adds increased regulatory risk to
investors, yet sell-side analysts give GFL full credit for
successful completion as if these cross-border transactions have
already been approved.
- GFL employs an aggressive accounting and reporting approach
when it comes to revenue, EBITDA, Free Cash Flow, Adjusted EPS and
its assets – pointing to financial control issues being
minimized.
-
- Spruce Point's report shows
that GFL's initial prospectus for its 2020 public offering
discussed a material weakness of financial controls, which is a
troubling issue for a Company founded more than 12 years ago. The
Company ultimately removed the material weakness statement and
suggested it was addressed. However, Spruce Point finds evidence that GFL has
restated both revenue and EBITDA without any explanation by pulling
from "intercompany" revenues.
- Spruce Point also finds
accounting anomalies tied to operating cash flow ("OCF") and
capital expenditures ("capex"). In total, Spruce Point estimates that cash burn (OCF -
capex) is 60% more than depicted by GFL.
- Spruce Point also has concerns
that GFL may be misrepresenting capex requirements of its latest
planned acquisition of WCA Waste Corp for $1.2 billion. A recent Moody's credit report
shows WCA's capex margin is 15% vs. 10.5% depicted by GFL, an
$18 million discrepancy.
- GFL's financial targets are unlikely to be achieved and its
premium valuation reflects dubious numbers promoted by historically
perilous underwriters like Barclays, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan
Chase. Spruce Point believes
that GFL is uninvestable to institutions given its numerous
financial issues, and questions why underwriters like Barclays,
Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase (who have designated "reputational
risk" committees) continue to promote this risky stock to
investors.
-
- Based on extensive research in our report and conversations
with former GFL employees, Spruce
Point contends that GFL is unlikely to stem its cash burn
and turn a profit any time soon – especially as it continues a
torrid acquisition pace.
- Spruce Point finds that
sell-side analysts appear to have universally ignored GFL's
financial control issues pertaining to unexplained revenue
restatements, capex anomalies and understated debt burdens. We
question how analysts can take GFL's word that it is growing
organically (with little data to verify) and can continue to
acquire (yet overpay for acquisitions) while improving margins
(despite evidence of wasteful spending and operational
mishaps).
- Spruce Point also believes
analysts and market data providers have failed to capture the
impact of GFL's tangible equity units ("GFLU") in the valuation,
and that the ICE index has misclassified the security as a
"preferred" instrument.
Please note that the items summarized in this press release are
expanded upon and supported with data, public filings and records,
and images in Spruce Point's full
report. As a reminder, our full report, along with its investment
disclaimers, can be downloaded and viewed at
www.sprucepointcap.com.
Spruce Point Capital has a short position in securities tied to
GFL and stands to benefit if its share price falls.
About Spruce Point
Spruce Point Capital Management, LLC is a forensic
fundamentally-oriented investment manager that focuses on
short-selling, value and special situation investment
opportunities. Spruce Point Capital Management, LLC is a member of
the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, CRD number 288248.
Contact
To contact Spruce Point, please
reach us online.
1 The Iron Warrior, "Leafy Thoughts: Earthworx
Convicted and Fined for Providing Contaminated Soil to Sheep Farm,"
March 18, 2015. (link)
2 Securities and Exchange Commission filing
(Amendment No 5. to Form S-1) dated July 21,
2006.
3 CNBC, "How the 'McMillions' scammers rigged
McDonald's Monopoly game and stole $24
million," February 9, 2020.
(link)
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SOURCE Spruce Point Capital Management, LLC