Black Iron Updates Bankable Feasibility Study Showing 48% IRR, 2
Year Payback and US$3.3 Billion NPV for Shymanivske Project
Feasibility study outlines an operation producing 9.9 million
tonnes per year of high-grade 68% iron ore concentrate, projecting
a 48% IRR, 2 year payback and a US$3.3 billion NPV at an 8%
discount rate
Changing to wet cobbing at a finer particle size results in an
increase from 10% to 40% rejection of waste rock prior to grinding
and elimination of the second grinding stage resulting in a 14%
reduction in total operational running power
Reduction of plant footprint through a more optimal layout and
an 8% increase in iron ore concentrate production from 9.2 to 9.9
million tonnes per year with essentially no change in capital
cost
TORONTO, ONTARIO--(Marketwired - Jan 23, 2014) - Black Iron Inc.
("Black Iron" or the "Company") (TSX:BKI) (FRANKFURT:BIN) has
updated its current Bankable Feasibility Study ("BFS"),
incorporating pilot plant test work, completed on its Shymanivske
Iron Ore Project located in Krivoy Rog, Ukraine (the "Project").
The updated BFS outlines an operation producing 9.9 million tonnes
per year of high-grade 68% iron ore concentrate, projecting a 48%
internal rate of return ("IRR"), two year payback and a US$3.3
billion net present value ("NPV") at an 8% discount rate.
The primary reason for updating the previous report filed in
December 2012 is to include results from pilot plant test work
conducted throughout 2013, which resulted in an optimized process
design and layout, along with revised infrastructure usage rates
confirmed through several recently signed protocols of intent. The
most significant changes implemented are: changing from dry cobbing
to more efficient wet cobbing at a finer particle size resulting in
an increase from 10% to 40% rejection of waste rock prior to
grinding; elimination of the second grinding stage resulting in a
14% reduction in total operational running active power; reducing
the plant footprint through a more optimal layout; and an 8%
increase in iron ore concentrate production from 9.2 to 9.9 million
tonnes per year with essentially no change in capital cost.
Financial metrics contained in the BFS report are shown on a pre
and after tax basis and in both cases are inclusive of royalties.
Ukraine has a corporate tax rate of 16% effective January 1, 2014
and a mining royalty rate of $0.09 per tonne of ore mined (<1%)
payable to the State.
The Table below summarizes the key elements of the BFS:
High-Grade 68% Concentrate (all currency is US$)
Measured and Indicated Resources (at 31.6% Total Fe)* |
|
646 Mt |
Proven and Probable Reserves (at 31.1% Total Fe)* |
|
449 Mt |
Annual Production Rate (average life of mine, post ramp-up
year) |
|
9.9 Mt |
Estimated Mine Life (based on Proven and Probable Reserves
only) |
|
14 years |
Final Product Iron Grade (Fine Iron Ore Concentrate) |
|
68% Fe |
Projected Plant Start-up and Commissioning |
|
Q4 2016 |
Projected Commencement of Revenue Generation |
|
Q1 2017 |
Long Term CFR Benchmark Iron Ore Concentrate Price Estimate (62%
Fe) |
|
$95 /t |
Total Estimated Capital Costs (excluding sustaining capital) |
|
$1,097 million |
Life of Mine FOB OPEX (Beneficiation, Mine, Transportation &
Loading) Mine Gate OPEX (Beneficiation & Mine) |
|
$44.54 /t $29.64 /t |
Average Annual Cash Flow (pre-tax) Average Annual Cash Flow
(after-tax) |
|
$630 million $536 million |
NPV at 8% discount (pre-tax) NPV at 8% discount (after-tax) |
|
$3.3 billion $2.6 billion |
IRR (pre-tax) IRR (after-tax) |
|
48.0% 39.1% |
Projected Years to Payback (at 8% Discount Rate, pre-tax) Projected
Years to Payback (at 8% Discount Rate, after-tax) |
|
2.0 years 2.5 years |
|
|
|
* |
See
"About Black Iron" section at end of this press release |
Matt Simpson, Black Iron's President and CEO, commented, "The
operation outlined by this BFS for the Shymanivske Project
continues to clearly illustrate the potential for a high-value, low
net cost iron ore development project. The optimized process design
and layout developed for this new study, based on significant pilot
scale test work, results in increased annual iron ore concentrate
production of approximately 8%, while holding initial capital costs
virtually unchanged. As a result of these improvements, the
Project's access to significant existing infrastructure (railway,
power lines and port), and the availability of competitively-priced
skilled labour, the BFS continues to show extremely attractive and
robust economics."
Financial Sensitivities at Various Discount Rates
|
(pre-tax) |
(after-tax) |
IRR (pre-tax) |
48.0% |
39.1% |
Discount Rate |
|
NPV US$ (Millions) |
Payback (Years) |
|
NPV US$ (Millions) |
Payback (Years) |
0% |
$ |
7,165 |
1.8 |
$ |
5,877 |
2.1 |
6% |
$ |
3,997 |
1.9 |
$ |
3,177 |
2.4 |
8% |
$ |
3,304 |
2.0 |
$ |
2,609 |
2.5 |
10% |
$ |
2,756 |
2.1 |
$ |
2,148 |
2.6 |
The Project has favourable economic potential across a range of
discount rates. The operations outlined in this BFS are projected
to generate over U.S. $1,216 million in average annual revenue over
the life of mine.
The life of mine strip ratio is estimated at 1.64:1, which is
essentially unchanged from the December 2012 reported value of
1.63:1. On the basis of the metallurgical test and beneficiation
plant design work completed for this BFS, it is estimated that the
449 million tonnes of reserves will result in a project life of 14
years based on the average 9.9 million tonnes per year iron ore
concentrate production rate. The Company believes that additional
exploration and definition drilling work have the potential to
expand the existing resource and upgrade the 188 Mt of Inferred
mineral resources to the Measured and Indicated classification,
potentially adding up to five years to the Project life. With
successful exploration in the North end of Shymanivske and the
addition of resources from the nearly adjacent Zelenivske Project,
Black Iron expects to be able to support an even higher annual
production rate through a potential second phase expansion, which
would be expected to further increase the Project NPV.
George Mover, Black Iron's Chief Operating Officer, added, "We
are pleased with the level of detailed engineering proficiency and
precision that went into this BFS. Through this process, we
confirmed and implemented several improvements to the work
completed in the previous BFS study. As a result, we are now
considering an initial operation with 8% higher annual production,
relatively unchanged initial capital requirements, and only a
modest 1.3% increase in operating costs relative to our previous
study. The updated operating costs are inclusive of firm letters of
intent signed with several infrastructure and utility service
providers and were benchmarked against our development partner's
actual operating experience. The Project's capital
intensity is improving, positioning it even lower into the first
quartile of worldwide development projects that should bode well to
source project financing; particularly when coupled with our
relatively low operating cost, and proximity to end-user markets of
Turkey, Middle East and Europe."
Details and Assumptions
The total capital expenditure to develop the mine, concentrator
and infrastructure tie-ins is estimated at U.S. $1,097 million to
produce 9.9 million tonnes per year of high-grade 68% iron ore
concentrate. The capital cost estimate excludes the sustaining
capital cost of U.S. $483 million spread over the life of mine.
Assessment of the preferred port facility, backed up by a formal
protocol (letter) of intent, confirms that sufficient capacity
exists for the planned production.
Summary of Estimated Initial Capital Costs |
(US$ in Millions) |
Mine |
162 |
Beneficiation Plant |
475 |
Tailings and Waste |
21 |
Project Infrastructure |
113 |
Project In-directs (mainly EPCM) |
102 |
Owner's Costs (includes land acquisition) |
81 |
Contingencies (15%) |
143 |
TOTAL |
1,097 |
The 15% contingency estimate includes a 5% design allowance. The
total average Freight On Board operating costs over 14 years are
estimated at U.S. $44.54 per tonne of high grade 68% iron ore
concentrate broken out as follows:
Summary of Estimated Operating Costs |
|
US$/tonne of Concentrate |
|
(Average Mine Life ) |
Mine |
$ |
15.46 |
Beneficiation Plant |
$ |
12.50 |
Tailings & Waste |
$ |
0.08 |
Environmental |
$ |
0.26 |
Infrastructure (primarily rail & port) |
$ |
15.65 |
General & Administration |
$ |
0.59 |
|
TOTAL |
$ |
44.54 |
Consistent with practice in the industry, this BFS has been
prepared with an engineering accuracy of +/-15%.
Currency Sensitivity
For the purpose of the BFS an exchange rate of 8.2 UAH per US$
has been used for the CAPEX (up to January 2016) and 9.5 UAH per
US$ for the OPEX and Sustaining Capital (2017 and beyond) based on
review of several economic forecasts. Variations in the exchange
rates from year 2016 onward impact the financial analysis as
follows:
Impact of Ukraine Hryvna Exposure - BFS Currency Sensitivity
(US$)
Exchange Rate as of year 2016 onward |
(UAH/US$) |
|
8:1 |
|
9:1 |
|
9.5:1 |
|
10:1 |
|
11:1 |
NPV @ 8% discount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
pre-tax
(billion) |
$ |
3.2 |
$ |
3.3 |
$ |
3.3 |
$ |
3.3 |
$ |
3.4 |
|
after-tax (billion) |
$ |
2.5 |
$ |
2.6 |
$ |
2.6 |
$ |
2.6 |
$ |
2.7 |
Total Estimated Capital Cost (million) |
$ |
1097 |
$ |
1097 |
$ |
1097 |
$ |
1097 |
$ |
1097 |
Estimated Operating Cost (per tonne) |
$ |
47.71 |
$ |
45.48 |
$ |
44.54 |
$ |
43.70 |
$ |
42.24 |
Average Annual Cash Flow |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
pre-tax
(million) |
$ |
575 |
$ |
586 |
$ |
590 |
$ |
594 |
$ |
601 |
|
after-tax (million) |
$ |
494 |
$ |
502 |
$ |
506 |
$ |
509 |
$ |
515 |
Updated Bankable Feasibility Study Report
The updated BFS has been prepared in accordance with the
guidelines of National Instrument 43-101 by the independent firms
of Lycopodium Minerals Canada Ltd.; Soutex Mineral &
Metallurgical Consultants; Watts, Griffis and McOuat Limited; and
P&E Mining Consultants Inc. The final BFS technical report,
which will also include the current mineral resource and reserve
estimate, will be filed on SEDAR within 45 days of the publication
of this news release.
Analyst and Shareholder Conference Call
Black Iron will host a conference call today, January 23, 2014,
at 8:30 a.m., EST (1:30 p.m., GMT and 3:30 p.m., EET) to discuss
the updated BFS results. To participate in the call please dial the
following:
International: +1 647 788 4901
Toll Free (North America): 1 877 201 0168
To register and listen to the webcast of the call, please go to
Black Iron's website at www.blackiron.com.
Qualified Persons
The contents of this press release have been prepared under the
supervision of and reviewed and approved by Qualified Persons, as
follows:
- Balaji Thangavel, P.Eng., Mauro Batista, P.Eng. and Enayat
Shahrokni, P.Eng., Lycopodium Minerals Canada Ltd., QP for the
Plant Infrastructure, CAPEX, and OPEX;
- Daniel Roy, P.Eng, Soutex Inc., QP for Metallurgical testing
and Process design;
- Michael Kociumbas, P.Geo. and Rick Risto, P.Geo., Watts,
Griffis and McOuat Limited, QPs for mineral resources estimate and
QA/QC and data verification;
- Eugene Puritch, P.Eng., P&E Mining Consultants Inc., QP for
the mine engineering aspects and the mineral reserves
estimate.
These persons are Qualified Persons as defined by NI 43-101, are
independent of Black Iron, and have reviewed the content of this
press release.
About Black Iron
Black Iron is an iron ore exploration and development company,
advancing its 100 percent-owned Shymanivske project located in
Kryviy Rih, Ukraine. This project contains an NI 43-101 compliant
resource, with 645.8 Mt Measured and Indicated mineral resources,
consisting of 355.1 Mt Measured mineral resources grading 32.0%
Total iron and 19.5% Magnetic iron, and Indicated mineral resources
of 290.7 Mt grading 31.1% Total iron and 17.9% Magnetic iron, using
a cut-off grade of 10% Magnetic iron. Additionally, the project
contains 188.3 Mt of Inferred mineral resources grading 30.1% Total
iron and 18.4% Magnetic iron. The project is surrounded by five
other operating mines, including ArcelorMittal's iron ore complex.
The Company believes that existing infrastructure, including access
to power, rail and port facilities, will allow for a quick
development timeline to production. Further, the Company holds an
exploration permit for the adjacent Zelenivske project, which it
intends to further explore to determine its potential. Please visit
the Company's website at www.blackiron.com or write us at
info@blackiron.com for more information.
Forward-Looking Information
This press release contains forward-looking information
which may include, but is not limited to, statements about the
results of the BFS and the development potential of the Company and
its project; the timing and amount of future exploration and
development of the project; and the future financial or operating
performance of the Company and its projects. Often, but not always,
forward-looking information can be identified by the use of words
such as "plans," "expects," "is expected," "budget," "scheduled,"
"estimates," "forecasts," "intends," "anticipates" or "believes" or
variations (including negative variations) of such words and
phrases, or by the use of words or phrases that state that certain
actions, events or results "may," "could," "would," "might" or
"will" be taken, occur or be achieved.
Forward-looking information is based on certain assumptions
and analyses made by the Company and based on known facts at the
time. Forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results,
performance or achievements of the Company and/or its subsidiaries
to be materially different from any future results, performance or
achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking
information contained in this press release, including, without
limitation, those described in the Company's public disclosure
documents which may be found under the Company's profile on SEDAR.
Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors
that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ
materially from those described in such forward-looking
information, there may be other factors that may cause actions,
events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or
intended. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties
materialize, or should assumptions underlying such forward-looking
information prove incorrect, actual results, performance or
achievements may vary materially from those expressed or implied by
the forward-looking information contained in this press release.
The forward-looking information contained herein is made as of the
date of this press release and the Company disclaims any obligation
to update or review such information or statements, whether as a
result of new information, future events or results or otherwise,
except as required by law.
Black Iron Inc.Michael McAllisterManager, Investor Relations+1
(416) 309-2950info@blackiron.comBlack Iron Inc.Matt
SimpsonPresident & Chief Executive Officer+1 (416)
309-2138info@blackiron.com
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