Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. (“
Pine Cliff” or the
“
Company”) (TSX:PNE) is pleased to announce 2018
guidance, an update on its commodity risk management and 2017
year-end reserves.
2018 Guidance
Pine Cliff’s Board of Directors has approved a
2018 capital budget of $10.4 million that will be funded from cash
flow at an AECO reference price of $1.50 per Mcf for 2018. Pine
Cliff intends to spend approximately $4.0 million drilling six
gross (1.2 net) wells in the liquids rich Edson area of Alberta,
$0.2 million drilling two gross (0.3 net) oil wells in the Central
area, $2.8 million on major maintenance capital, $1.3 million on
abandonments and reclamation and $2.1 million on facility
upgrades. Pine Cliff will monitor its capital spending
throughout the year and may modify expenditures depending on
commodity prices and marketing initiatives to target spending
within cash flow.
Based on the $4.2 million drilling capital
budget, Pine Cliff is budgeting 2018 annual production volumes to
range from 20,000 – 20,500 BOE per day, weighted 95% to natural
gas. Pine Cliff’s fourth quarter 2017 production was 21,489
BOE per day, weighted 95% to natural gas. Pine Cliff exited
2017 with production of approximately 21,340 BOE per day.
Pine Cliff will continue to consider additional
opportunities to enhance its shareholders’ long term value which
may include further asset acquisitions, although maintaining a
strong balance sheet will remain a prime focus.
Commodity Risk Management
Pine Cliff mitigates the near-term commodity
price weakness in western Canadian natural gas pricing through a
combination of fixed-price delivery agreements and diversifying
production exposure to non-AECO markets, including Dawn, Empress
and the TransGas Energy Pool (“TEP”) in
Saskatchewan.
Assuming the success of these market
diversification initiatives, current 2018 forecasted revenue and
production volumes are: 36% and 55% to AECO; 21% and 21% to TEP;
20% and 5% to oil and liquids; 13% and 9% to Dawn; and 10% and 10%
to Empress. By diversifying to non-AECO markets, Pine Cliff is
expecting to reduce the break-even on its funds flow from
operations, before capital expenditures, to an AECO reference price
of $1.31 per Mcf.
Reserve Report Highlights
Pine Cliff’s independent reserve report was
prepared by McDaniel & Associates Limited
(“McDaniel”) in accordance with National
Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities (“NI 51-101”) with the effective date
of December 31, 2017.
As a result of the low natural gas prices
experienced during the second half of 2017, Pine Cliff conducted a
limited capital program, spending $13.5 million (excluding
acquisitions and dispositions but including $3.5 million of major
maintenance and other capital expenses) participating in 11 gross
(1.8 net) non-operated drills and 29 gross recompletions. As
a result of a significantly lower natural gas price forecast, and
after adjusting for 2017 production, Pine Cliff’s remaining
reserves decreased from the previous year.
Highlights of the McDaniel reserve report
include:
- Positive technical revisions of 6.7 MMBOE on a total proved
plus probable basis in Pine Cliff properties due to a
combination of decreased operating costs and strong
performance;
- Prior to adjusting for 2017 production, total positive net
changes to proved reserves were 5.1 MMBOE (9%), largely a result of
improved well performance and a successful well recompletion
program;
- Remaining proved reserves of 51.1 MMBOE (95% natural gas) at
December 31, 2017, decreased by 2.7 MMBOE (5%) from 53.8 MMBOE (94%
natural gas) at December 31, 2016;
- Prior to adjusting for 2017 production, total positive net
changes to proved plus probable reserves were 4.1 MMBOE, largely a
result of improved well performance;
- Remaining proved plus probable reserves of 67.2 MMBOE (94%
natural gas) at December 31, 2017 decreased by 3.7 MMBOE (5%) from
70.9 MMBOE (94% natural gas) at December 31, 2016;
- Approximately 76% of total reserves are classified as proved
reserves and 24% are classified as probable reserves;
- Approximately 98% of proved reserves are classified as proved
developed producing;
- Net present value for proved plus probable reserves of $240.1
million, discounted at 10%, a decrease of $106.8 million, or 31%,
from December 31, 2016, mainly as a result of decreases in the
future natural gas price deck; and
- In line with Pine Cliff’s historical accretive focus rather
than drilling existing reserves, the McDaniel reserve report
reflects a conservative future development capital program of $69.3
million over the next five years.
Pine Cliff’s Reserves
McDaniel is using a price forecast of $2.25 and
$2.65 per Mcf for AECO natural gas and US$58.50 and US$58.70 per
Bbl for WTI oil in 2018 and 2019 respectively.
Summary of Remaining Working Interest Reserves, as of
December 31, 2017
|
|
|
|
Light,
Medium and Heavy Oil |
Natural Gas and CBM |
Natural Gas Liquids |
BOE |
Reserve Category |
|
|
MBbl |
MMcf |
MBbl |
MBOE |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
|
432.5 |
282,598.1 |
2,418.5 |
49,950.7 |
Developed Non-Producing |
|
- |
456.1 |
19.5 |
95.5 |
Undeveloped |
|
|
31.6 |
5,054.3 |
152.7 |
1,026.7 |
Total Proved |
|
|
464.1 |
288,108.5 |
2,590.7 |
51,072.9 |
Probable |
|
|
|
207.2 |
89,323.0 |
1,050.9 |
16,145.3 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
|
671.3 |
377,431.5 |
3,641.6 |
67,218.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Summary of Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue,
Before Income Taxes, as of December 31, 2017
|
|
|
Discounted at (% per year) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
($millions) |
|
|
0% |
|
5% |
|
10% |
|
15% |
|
Reserve Category |
|
|
|
|
|
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
|
170.2 |
|
181.4 |
|
171.6 |
|
157.1 |
|
Developed Non-Producing |
0.7 |
|
0.7 |
|
0.6 |
|
0.6 |
|
Undeveloped |
10.8 |
|
7.0 |
|
4.7 |
|
3.2 |
|
Total
Proved |
|
|
181.7 |
|
189.1 |
|
176.9 |
|
160.9 |
|
Probable |
|
|
149.9 |
|
96.7 |
|
63.2 |
|
42.2 |
|
Total Proved plus Probable |
331.6 |
|
285.8 |
|
240.1 |
|
203.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation of Gross Reserves by Principal Product
Type, as of December 31, 2017
|
Light, Medium, and Heavy Oil and Natural Gas
Liquids |
Natural Gas and Coal Bed Methane |
BOE |
|
Proved |
Proved plus Probable |
Proved |
Proved plus Probable |
Proved |
Proved plus Probable |
|
(MBbl) |
(MBbl) |
(MMcf) |
(MMcf) |
(MBOE) |
(MBOE) |
December 31,
2016 |
3,337.6 |
|
4,496.3 |
|
302,540.7 |
|
398,635.4 |
|
53,801.1 |
|
70,935.5 |
|
Extension |
272.1 |
|
382.7 |
|
3,889.1 |
|
5,391.7 |
|
920.3 |
|
1,281.3 |
|
Technical
Revisions |
(103.5) |
|
(104.2) |
|
45,432.3 |
|
40,806.5 |
|
7,434.1 |
|
6,697.1 |
|
Acquisitions |
30.7 |
|
31.2 |
|
1,692.9 |
|
2,067.0 |
|
307.4 |
|
375.7 |
|
Change in
Working Interest |
33.3 |
|
29.0 |
|
2,664.8 |
|
2,651.1 |
|
477.4 |
|
470.9 |
|
Economic
Factors |
(104.5) |
|
(111.2) |
|
(23,683.9) |
|
(27,692.8) |
|
(4,051.8) |
|
(4,726.7) |
|
Total Changes |
128.1 |
|
227.5 |
|
29,995.2 |
|
23,223.5 |
|
5,087.4 |
|
4,098.3 |
|
Production |
(410.9) |
|
(410.9) |
|
(44,427.4) |
|
(44,427.4) |
|
(7,815.6) |
|
(7,815.6) |
|
December 31, 2017 |
3,054.8 |
|
4,312.9 |
|
288,108.5 |
|
377,431.5 |
|
51,072.9 |
|
67,218.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
About Pine Cliff
Pine Cliff is a natural gas company with a
long-term view of creating shareholder value. Pine Cliff's current
focus is on acquiring, developing and operating long life assets
that are cash flow positive in a low commodity price
environment. Further information relating to Pine Cliff may
be found on www.sedar.com as well as on Pine Cliff's website at
www.pinecliffenergy.com.
For further information, please
contact:
Philip B. Hodge - President, CEO and Director Alan MacDonald –
Interim CFO and Corporate Secretary Telephone: (403) 269-2289
Email: info@pinecliffenergy.com
Website: www.pinecliffenergy.com
Cautionary statements and
definitions:
The Company has not released its audited 2017
financial results, and therefore the financial figures provided
herein are estimates and are unaudited.
Certain statements contained in this news
release include statements which contain words such as
"anticipate", "could", "should", "expect", "seek", "may", "intend",
"likely", "will", "believe" and similar expressions, statements
relating to matters that are not historical facts, and such
statements of our beliefs, intentions and expectations about
development, results and events which will or may occur in the
future, constitute "forward-looking information" within the meaning
of applicable Canadian securities legislation and are based on
certain assumptions and analysis made by us derived from our
experience and perceptions. Forward-looking information in
this news release includes the impact of general economic
conditions, industry conditions, volatility of commodity prices,
currency fluctuations, imprecision of reserve estimates,
environmental risks, competition from other industry participants,
the lack of availability of qualified personnel or management,
stock market volatility, ability to access sufficient capital from
internal and external sources, future acquisition opportunities,
including the timing and nature thereof, development of drilling
and recompletion locations, including the timing and nature
thereof; future capital spending, including the amount and nature
thereof; expected 2018 production levels; fourth quarter 2017
production; 2017 exit production; the budgeted allocation of the
capital budget; the ability to physically deliver natural gas to
delivery points including Dawn, Empress, and TransGas Energy Pool
(“TEP”); business strategy and outlook; and
the expansion and growth of the business and operations. All
such forward-looking information is based on certain assumptions
and analyses made by us in light of our current experience and
expected future developments, as well as other factors we believe
are appropriate in the circumstances. The risks, uncertainties, and
assumptions are difficult to predict and may be impacted by other
factors, many of which are beyond our control.
Actual results, performance or achievements
could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by,
this forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can
be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking
information will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what
benefits will be derived there from. Except as required by
law, Pine Cliff disclaims any intention or obligation to update or
revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
The forward-looking information contained in
this release is expressly qualified by this cautionary
statement. This news release should not be considered a
suitable source of information for readers who are unfamiliar with
Pine Cliff and should not be considered in any way as a substitute
for reading all of Pine Cliff's public disclosure.
Tables may not add due to rounding.
Where amounts are expressed in a BOE, natural
gas volumes have been converted to barrels of oil equivalent on the
basis that six Mcf of natural gas is equal to one Bbl of oil.
This conversion ratio is based on energy equivalence primarily at
the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. The term BOE may be misleading, particularly if
used in isolation.
NON-GAAP MeasuresThis press
release uses the term “funds flow from operations” which is not
recognized under International Financial Reporting Standards
(“IFRS”) and may not be comparable to a similar
measure presented by other companies. This measure should not
be considered as an alternative to, or more meaningful than the
IFRS measure of cash flows from operating activities. The
Company uses this measure to evaluate its performance. Funds
flow from operations is a non-IFRS measure that represents the cash
flows provided by operating activities, before adjusting for
changes in non-cash working capital, and decommissioning
obligations settled.
Definitions and
abbreviations
Bbl |
|
barrel |
|
MMbtu |
|
millions of British
thermal units |
CBM |
|
coal bed methane |
|
Mcf |
|
thousand cubic
feet |
MBbl |
|
thousands of
barrels |
|
MMcf |
|
million cubic feet |
BOE |
|
barrel of oil
equivalent |
|
WTI |
|
West Texas Intermediate
at Cushing Oklahoma |
MBOE |
|
thousands of barrels of
oil equivalent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As defined in NI 51-101, proved reserves are
those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of
certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining
quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves.
Probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less
certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely
that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or
less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable
reserves.
The TSX does not accept responsibility for the
accuracy of this release.
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