SILVER (SILVER) Noticias

Gold & Silver Bull Has More Time Left Than You Think
By: Jordan Roy-Byrne | December 16, 2024

Gold’s break out of a 13-year cup and handle pattern is likely the start of a new secular bull market.

However, as we wrote last week, a new secular bull market in the entire precious metals sector cannot begin until Gold breaks out against the conventional 60/40 investment portfolio.

Some are concerned that the weak relative performance indicates the bull market is over or that precious metals are dead money forever.

The reality is the secular bull market in precious metals has yet to start.

There are two key indicators to watch.

The first is Gold breaking out against the 60/40 portfolio, while the other is the S&P 500, after years of an uptrend, losing its 40-month moving average.

We plot the S&P 500, Gold against the 60/40 portfolio, and Gold.



The last two secular bull markets in Gold and precious metals ended 11 years after the S&P 500 reached its secular peak or 10 years after the S&P 500 lost its 40-month moving average (late 1969 and 2001).

Gold and precious metals peaked 9 years and 10 years after the Gold to 60/40 Portfolio ratio began its advance to the breakout.

At present, precious metals are trending higher, as they did with the stock market in the mid 1960s. That is the best historical comparison.

Even if in 2025, we get these bullish signals for precious metals (S&P 500 peaks, Gold breaks out against the 60/40 Portfolio), the secular bull market could last midway through the next decade. If the secular bull in the stock market continues for another 13 months, we could see a precious metals peak in 2036-2037.

When Gold begins to outperform the 60/40 Portfolio and stock market in earnest, Gold, Silver, and other leveraged plays will soar as fresh capital moves into the sector.

For now, it is best to position in the quality companies that will lead in the current macro environment.

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Silver Continues to See Support
By: Christopher Lewis | December 16, 2024

• The support level that we tested overnight seems to be intriguing enough for people to get involved, and now it looks like the silver market is ready to start recovering for the next few days.

Silver Markets Technical Analysis

Silver bounces early during the trading session on Monday, as it looks like we are going to try to turn the trend right back around to the upside. Underneath, we have a lot of support, especially in the form of the uptrend line and the crucial $30 level. As long as we can stay above the $30 level, I do believe that silver has a shot at going higher over the longer term and in the short term I think we’re going to go look to the 50 day EMA near the $31.10 level.

If we can break above there, then the possibility is that the market could go looking to the $32.35 level, an area that’s been like a brick wall. Short-term pullbacks should continue to be buying opportunities and I think that given enough time, we will continue to go much higher. If we can break above the $32.50 level, then we go looking to the $34.50 level. It’s really not until we break down below the 200 day EMA near the $29.33 level that I begin to worry about the overall trend.

We do have the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on Thursday, so that could be a little bit of an issue as far as volatility is concerned. We are very much still in an uptrend so I would expect more momentum to enter the market sooner or later. For those of you a bit concerned about dabbling in silver, you could also trade the gold market as it tends to be a bit more stable and there are certainly plenty of reasons to get long of it.

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$Silver - At the high of the week it retraced 50% of the October-November downtrend, but it closed the week way off the high...
By: CyclesFan | December 14, 2024

• $Silver - At the high of the week it retraced 50% of the October-November downtrend, but it closed the week way off the high. Next week is money time. We either extend the bounce to at least the 62% ret, or break the November low and decline into the next 14 week low in February.



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NY Silver COMEX Futures »» Weekly Summary Analysis
By: Marty Armstrong | December 14, 2024

The NY Silver COMEX Futures closing today at 31028 is immediately trading down about 4.85% for the year from last year's settlement of 32611. Presently, this market is currently trading below last month's close and it had been weak for the past 2 months and if the market continues to remain beneath the previous month's close of 31108, then it will be in a weak position just yet. This price action here in December is reflecting that this is within the scope of a bearish reactionary move on the monthly level thus far. As we stand right now, this market has made a new high exceeding the previous month's high reaching thus far 33330 intraday while it is still trading above last month's close of 31108.

ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MODEL CORRELATION

Here in NY Silver COMEX Futures, we do find that this particular market has correlated with our Economic Confidence Model in the past. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle low to line up with this market was 2020 and 2015 and 2001. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle high to line up with this market was 2024 and 2011 and 1998.

MARKET OVERVIEW
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK

The historical perspective in the NY Silver COMEX Futures included a rally from 2020 moving into a major high for 2024, the market has pulled back for the current year. The last Yearly Reversal to be elected was a Bullish at the close of 2024.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models. Pay attention to the Monthly level for any serious change in long-term trend ahead.

The perspective using the indicating ranges on the Daily level in the NY Silver COMEX Futures, this market remains moderately bearish position at this time with the overhead resistance beginning at 31320 and support forming below at 30960. The market is trading closer to the support level at this time.

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of October 21st at 35070, which was up 11 weeks from the low made back during the week of August 5th. We have been generally trading up for the past 4 weeks from the low of the week of November 11th, which has been a move of 12.03%. When we look deeply into the underlying tone of this immediate market, we see it is currently still in a weak posture. Immediately, this decline from the last high established the week of October 21st has been important, closing sharply lower as well. Before, this recent rally exceeded the previous high of 33225 made back during the week of September 30th. That high was likewise part of a bullish trend making higher highs over the week of August 26th. This immediate decline has thus far held the previous low formed at 26505 made the week of August 5th. Only a break of that low would signal a technical reversal of fortune and of course we must watch the Bearish Reversals. Right now, the market is neutral on our weekly Momentum Models warning we have overhead resistance forming and support in the general vacinity of 30350. Additional support is to be found at 30940. Looking at this from a wider perspective, this market has been trading up for the past 9 weeks overall.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM OUTLOOK

YEARLY MOMENTUM MODEL INDICATOR

Our Momentum Models are rising at this time with the previous low made 2023 while the last high formed on 2024. However, this market has rallied in price with the last cyclical high formed on 2024 warning that this market remains strong at this time on a correlation perspective as it has moved higher with the Momentum Model.

Critical support still underlies this market at 27440 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Nevertheless, the market is trading above last month's high showing some strength.

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$SLV $1.1 Million Jan. 2025 Calls
By: Cheddar Flow | December 13, 2024

• Large $TSLA & $SLV Call Prints

*Above the Ask*



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Silver $SLV - Failed to hold the B/Out of its 50/MA (Green)...
By: Sahara | December 13, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Failed to hold the B/Out of its 50/MA (Green).

And has subsequently slipped its 12 & 20/MA's. Forming a 'Broadening' Plot (Red) Which unless recovers MA's will target the Lwr-Band. Which aligns with its 200/DMA...



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Silver Continues to Look Bullish
By: Christopher Lewis | December 11, 2024

• The silver market has seen a bit of a pullback in the early hours of the Wednesday session, as the market continues to see a lot of noisy behavior, as the markets are trying to sort out the interest rate situation around the world, and the industrial demand for the metal, making a bit different than the gold market.

Silver Markets Technical Analysis

Silver has been all over the place during the early hours on Wednesday as we continue to bang around just below the crucial $32.35 level. If we can break above there, then it’s likely that we could rip to the upside, perhaps looking towards the $34 level. Ultimately, this is a market that I believe needs to perhaps build up enough inertia and pressure in order to really get going. If and when we can take over the $32.35 level on a move to the upside, then you have the possibility of a continued FOMO trade.

Short-term pullbacks, I believe, will continue to see a lot of support at a particularly interesting area, the 50-day EMA at $31.21. In general, this is a market that I have no interest in shorting, but I do recognize that it placed second fiddle to gold and that is something that you always have to pay attention to. Luckily, it looks like gold is trying to pick things up. So that might just drag silver right along with it.

CPI numbers came in as expected, so that was a non-factor, and now we pay close attention to the Federal Reserve going forward. Ultimately, this is a market that will be watching the Fed and what it does going forward. The Fed is likely to get to the point where the statement will be the next major mover of markets, especially the metals.

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Silver Double Bottom Breakout Signals Bullish Continuation for Silver
By: Bruce Powers | December 9, 2024

• Silver broke out of a double bottom, reclaiming key MAs and confirming bullish momentum with a five-week high and an initial target of 33.87.

Silver broke out of a double bottom pattern on Monday as it rallied above 31.54 to hit a high of 32.28 for the day. That high completed a 50% retracement of the recent decline at 32.26. The advance also reclaimed the 50-Day MA at 31.71, further indicating strength. Also, silver pulled back from the high intraday. If it can close above 31.76, the double bottom breakout will be confirmed. And a daily close above the 50-Day line would provide an additional indication of strength.



Bullish Reversal Should Lead Higher

The minor swing low of 30.83 from last Friday provides near-term support along with the 20-Day MA, now at 30.79. If silver remains above the 20-Day line, it has a chance to continue to strengthen. Support for the recent correction was seen from the two bottoms at 29.68 and 29.64. Moreover, a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement was completed at 29.68. In addition, notice that support for the double bottom was seen around trendline support for the line declining from the May 2024 swing high.

Several Bullish Signs Today

Notice that today’s breakout followed a minor test of support around the purple 20-Day MA last Friday and again today with the day’s low of 30.87. A successful test of support around the 20-Day MA just prior to an upside breakout provides an additional bullish sign. The line was reclaimed on December 3, followed by a pullback to test support last Friday. Today’s advance confirms the signs of strength and triggered a bullish continuation of the small uptrend that began from the second bottom at 29.64.

Reaches Five-Week High

Today’s advance took silver to a five-week high. This further confirms strength as the higher time frame weekly chart (not shown) also shows a bullish breakout. Above today’s high of 32.28 will be the interim swing high of 32.51 from May at 32.51. There could be minor resistance seen there. The double bottom pattern provides a potential upside minimum target of 33.87. That is derived by measuring the price range from the top to bottom of the pattern and then adding it to the breakout level around 31.76.

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Silver $SLV - Piercing that Daily 50/MA (Green) after holding 12 & 20/MA B/Test. Needs to maintain posture...
By: Sahara | December 9, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - BOOM

Piercing that Daily 50/MA (Green) after holding 12 & 20/MA B/Test. Needs to maintain posture...



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$Silver - The most likely scenario is that it will retrace at least 62% of the October-November downtrend before turning down again...
By: CyclesFan | December 7, 2024

• $Silver - The most likely scenario is that it will retrace at least 62% of the October-November downtrend before turning down again. If the November low is broken we will see a long downtrend into the next 14 week cycle low that is due in February.



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NY Silver COMEX Futures »» Weekly Summary Analysis
By: Marty Armstrong | November 7, 2024

At this time, the NY Silver COMEX Futures closed today at 31588. This price action here in December is reflecting that this is within the scope of a bearish reactionary move on the monthly level thus far.

ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MODEL CORRELATION

Here in NY Silver COMEX Futures, we do find that this particular market has correlated with our Economic Confidence Model in the past. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle low to line up with this market was 2020 and 2015 and 2001. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle high to line up with this market was 2024 and 2011 and 1998.

MARKET OVERVIEW
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK

The historical perspective in the NY Silver COMEX Futures included a rally from 2020 moving into a major high for 2024, the market has pulled back for the current year. The last Yearly Reversal to be elected was a Bullish at the close of 2024.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models. Pay attention to the Monthly level for any serious change in long-term trend ahead.

Focusing on our perspective using the indicating ranges on the Daily level in the NY Silver COMEX Futures, this market remains moderately bullish currently with underlying support beginning at 31570 and overhead resistance forming above at 31615. The market is trading closer to the support level at this time. An opening below this level in the next session will imply a decline is unfolding.

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of October 21st at 35070, which was up 11 weeks from the low made back during the week of August 5th. We have been generally trading up for the past 3 weeks from the low of the week of November 11th, which has been a move of 7.798%. When we look deeply into the underlying tone of this immediate market, we see it is currently still in a weak posture. Immediately, this decline from the last high established the week of October 21st has been important, closing sharply lower as well. Before, this recent rally exceeded the previous high of 33225 made back during the week of September 30th. That high was likewise part of a bullish trend making higher highs over the week of August 26th. This immediate decline has thus far held the previous low formed at 26505 made the week of August 5th. Only a break of that low would signal a technical reversal of fortune and of course we must watch the Bearish Reversals. Right now, the market is neutral on our weekly Momentum Models warning we have overhead resistance forming and support in the general vacinity of 29750. Resistance is to be found starting at 32460. Looking at this from a wider perspective, this market has been trading up for the past 8 weeks overall.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM OUTLOOK

YEARLY MOMENTUM MODEL INDICATOR

Our Momentum Models are rising at this time with the previous low made 2023 while the last high formed on 2024. However, this market has rallied in price with the last cyclical high formed on 2024 warning that this market remains strong at this time on a correlation perspective as it has moved higher with the Momentum Model.

Critical support still underlies this market at 27440 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Immediately, the market is trading within last month's trading range in a neutral position.

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Silver $SLV - Holding that Chanel B/Out...
By: Sahara | December 6, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Holding that Chanel B/Out.

Still needs to takeout its Daily 50/MA. Though 5/12/20 DMA's Turning up which need to hold as spprt...



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Silver Year to date through November >=20.00%
By: Nautilus Research | December 4, 2024

• #silver Year to date through November >=20.00%



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Silver is busting a move above the 21-day EMA, looking like a short-term bottom is in!
By: Markets & Mayhem | December 4, 2024

• Silver is busting a move above the 21-day EMA, looking like a short-term bottom is in!



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Good read
https://m.jpost.com/business-and-innovation/precious-metals/article-816695

Silver $SLV - Having a go at Breaking/Out the Channel & Daily 20/MA...
By: Sahara | December 3, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Having a go at Breaking/Out the Channel & Daily 20/MA...



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Silver At a Crossroads that Could Swing Either Way
By: Bruce Powers | December 2, 2024

• Silver's next move hinges on key resistance and support levels, with a potential double bottom forming against a backdrop of bearish continuation risks.

Silver is in an interesting technical position currently as it is compressed between several lines showing potential resistance and possible support. One or more of the lines is very close to breaking, which should assist in identifying the next possible direction for the price of silver.

There is a downtrend line that shows similar potential dynamic resistance to the 20-Day MA, which is at 30.85. It should be watched along with the minor daily swing high at 3.90 from Friday. There are two trendlines around recent lows that reflect potential support as well, one rising and one falling. They crossed on November 28.



Potential Double Bottom Established

Last week’s low of 29.64 was the second low recently. It led to a quick bullish recovery that day and into the following day (Friday). A second bottom of a potential double bottom pattern was thereby established. If silver strengthens above Friday’s high and keeps rising, it will have a chance to trigger the double bottom pattern.

An upside breakout is triggered on a rally above the neckline at 31.54. Notice that the 50-Day MA, which also marks a pivot level, is at 31.76 currently, slightly above the neckline. Another view of the current price range can be seen in the weekly chart (not shown), as it shows a three-week high at 31.54 and a low at 29.64.

Retaining Support

When considering the bigger picture, following a trend high of 34.87 on October 22, silver began to retrace its previous advance. That high looks to have completed a rising five-wave Elliott Wave structure. Support was subsequently seen at 29.68 on November 14 and last Friday at 29.64. Last Friday was a retest of support around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Further, support has been seen around the trendline at the top of the prior retracement channel that started from top of wave-3 at 32.52. In other words, that is a full cycle back to prior trendline resistance that marked a bullish breakout price level.

Break Below 29.64 Could Lead Lower

Regardless of the above bullish scenario, a decisive drop through 29.64 will indicate a possible continuation of the bearish trend. Potential support then looks to be in a range from around 29.24, the 78.6% retracement, and the 200-Day MA, now at 29.15. Lower prices could also be in the works if the weekly lows fail to hold as support.

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$Silver - The October high was potentially a 4 year cycle high...
By: CyclesFan | December 1, 2024

• $Silver - The October high was potentially a 4 year cycle high. At the last intermediate term low in August it bottomed around the 10 month MA and then went on to make a new high for the year, so the top will be confirmed only if silver closes below the 10 month MA.



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'Demand for silver has been so strong since 2021 that supply from mines cannot keep up. The market is expected to record its fourth straight year of shortages in 2024.'
By: Jesse Felder | November 26, 2024

• 'Demand for silver has been so strong since 2021 that supply from mines cannot keep up. The market is expected to record its fourth straight year of shortages in 2024.'



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NY Silver COMEX Futures »» Weekly Summary Analysis
By: Marty Armstrong | November 30, 2024

NY Silver COMEX Futures closed today at 31108 and is trading up about 29% for the year from last year's settlement of 24086. This price action here in December is reflecting that this is within the scope of a bearish reactionary move on the monthly level thus far.

ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MODEL CORRELATION

Here in NY Silver COMEX Futures, we do find that this particular market has correlated with our Economic Confidence Model in the past. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle low to line up with this market was 2020 and 2015 and 2001. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle high to line up with this market was 2011 and 1998.

MARKET OVERVIEW
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK

The NY Silver COMEX Futures has continued to make new historical highs over the course of the rally from 2020 moving into 2024. Noticeably, we have elected four Bullish Reversals to date.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models. Pay attention to the Monthly level for any serious change in long-term trend ahead.

From a perspective using the indicating ranges on the Daily level in the NY Silver COMEX Futures, this market remains moderately bullish currently with underlying support beginning at 30930 and overhead resistance forming above at 31470. The market is trading closer to the support level at this time.

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of October 21st at 35070, which was up 11 weeks from the low made back during the week of August 5th. We have been generally trading up for the past 2 weeks from the low of the week of November 11th, which has been a move of 6.033%. When we look deeply into the underlying tone of this immediate market, we see it is currently still in a weak posture. Immediately, this decline from the last high established the week of October 21st has been important, closing sharply lower as well. Before, this recent rally exceeded the previous high of 33225 made back during the week of September 30th. That high was likewise part of a bullish trend making higher highs over the week of August 26th. This immediate decline has thus far held the previous low formed at 26505 made the week of August 5th. Only a break of that low would signal a technical reversal of fortune and of course we must watch the Bearish Reversals. Right now, the market is neutral on our weekly Momentum Models warning we have overhead resistance forming and support in the general vacinity of 30940. Resistance is to be found starting at 33260. Looking at this from a wider perspective, this market has been trading up for the past 7 weeks overall.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM OUTLOOK

YEARLY MOMENTUM MODEL INDICATOR

Our Momentum Models are declining at this time with the previous high made 2021 while the last low formed on 2023. However, this market has rallied in price with the last cyclical high formed on 2021 and thus we have a divergence warning that this market is starting to run out of strength on the upside.

Critical support still underlies this market at 27440 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Immediately, the market is trading within last month's trading range in a neutral position.

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Silver $SLV - These huge Patterns don't show up very often. So when they do, make sure you take it...
By: Sahara | November 28, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - What better gift for Thanksgiving?

These huge Patterns don't show up very often. So when they do, make sure you take it...



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Silver $SLV - Holding its Daily 150/MA...
By: Sahara | November 26, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Holding its Daily 150/MA.

So far so good for the 62/Fib & Pattern B/Test too. Needs to recover its 12/MA, Pop the Dn/Trend Channel & Hghr/MA's now...



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Silver Bearish Engulfing Pattern Signals Weakness
By: Bruce Powers | November 25, 2024

• Resistance near the 20-Day MA and bearish momentum challenge silver's recovery, with key support at 29.68 aligning with Fibonacci and trendline levels.

Silver formed a one-day bearish engulfing pattern on Monday as sellers took control following a short pop to a four-day high of 31.48 earlier in the session. Resistance for the day was seen a little below the 20-Day MA (purple), now at 31.55. The subsequent decline followed a test of resistance around the 20-Day line is bearish behavior. And bearish sentiment will likely be confirmed with a daily close today below Friday’s low of 30.74.

Other bearish supporting evidence was recently indicated by the 20-Day MA crossing below the 50-Day MA (orange). Further, silver has been below resistance of the 50-Day line for 11 days after being above it previously. Although, recent daily highs failed to rise to the 50-Day line, but since it is close to the 20-Day line today’s bearish price action can also be considered a successful test of resistance at the 50-Day line.



Successful Test of 20-Day MA Resistance is Bearish

While silver is finding resistance just below both the 20-Day and 50-Day MAs, it has been seeing support recently around the confluence of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 29.68, an internal uptrend line, and a downtrend line. The bottom of the range is at the most recent swing low of 29.68, which matches the 61.8% price level. Therefore, until there is a decline below 29.68, silver has the potential to attempt to strengthen. However, a decisive decline below 29.68 will likely see silver retrace to the 78.6% level at 29.24, or the 200-Day MA at 28.96. Declines below either of the trendlines show weakening.

200-Day MA at 28.97 is Key Level

The long-term trend indicator, the 200-Day MA, has marked a dynamic support for the uptrend since it was reclaimed on March 4. Subsequently, a successful test of support at the 200-Day line was completed at the early-August swing low of 26.47. If the 200-Day line is tested again, it be the second test of the line as support since it was reclaimed.

Since the decline started towards the 200-Day line began from the 34.87 trend high that was hit about a month ago, there is a good chance it will mark support again. In other words, since downward momentum began from the peak, by the time the 200-Day line is reached, if it is to be reached, selling pressure may have diminished by then.

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Gold & Silver Still Near Ground Floor Opportunity
By: Jordan Roy-Byrne | November 25, 2024

Gold broke out from a 13-year cup and handle pattern earlier this year to a new all-time high and advanced to $2800/oz.

Silver broke out from 4-year resistance and recently reached an 11-year high, touching $35/oz.

However, the ongoing secular bull market in US Stocks and the emerging bubble in cryptocurrency have stolen its shine.

In nominal terms, Gold and Silver have made higher highs and are in a bull market.

But in real terms, Gold and Silver have barely moved off the ground floor.

Gold and Silver have yet to make progress against the conventional investment portfolio (the 60/40 portfolio) in the last 6 years.

They have yet to make a higher high since the secular bear market began at the end of 2011.



Near the end of 2011, the share of Gold ETFs against all ETF assets was 8%.

A few months ago, the share was barely 1%.



The last two secular bull markets in Gold peaked with Gold backing well over 100% of the monetary base. The legal mandate under the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 was 40% backing.

Backing has increased from an all-time low of 7% a few years ago to 12.4% today. Reaching the 2008 peak of nearly 30% would put the Gold price at almost $6,500/oz.



Gold and Silver have advanced quite a bit in recent years but remain cheap in real terms.

Relative to the stock market and the 60/40 portfolio especially, Gold and Silver remain on ground floor territory. The same can be said for their allocation relative to equities and their value against the monetary base.

The secular bull market in precious metals has barely started.

When Gold begins to outperform the 60/40 portfolio and stock market in earnest, Gold and precious metals will have moved beyond the ground floor.

Until then, one can position in quality junior companies that will lead the next leg higher.

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NY Silver COMEX Futures »» Weekly Summary Analysis
By: Marty Armstrong | November 23, 2024

NY Silver COMEX Futures closed today at 31338 and is trading up about 30% for the year from last year's settlement of 24086. Caution is required for this market is starting to suggest it may now decline on the MONTHLY level. Currently, this market has been rising for 2 months going into November reflecting that this has been only still, a bullish reactionary trend. As we stand right now, this market has made a new low breaking beneath the previous month's low reaching thus far 29750 yet it is trading below last month's close of 32796.

ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MODEL CORRELATION

Here in NY Silver COMEX Futures, we do find that this particular market has correlated with our Economic Confidence Model in the past. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle low to line up with this market was 2020 and 2015 and 2001. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle high to line up with this market was 2011 and 1998.

MARKET OVERVIEW
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK

The NY Silver COMEX Futures has continued to make new historical highs over the course of the rally from 2020 moving into 2024. Noticeably, we have elected four Bullish Reversals to date.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models. Pay attention to the Monthly level for any serious change in long-term trend ahead.

Solely focusing on only the indicating ranges on the Daily level in the NY Silver COMEX Futures, this market remains moderately bearish position at this time with the overhead resistance beginning at 31485 and support forming below at 31125. The market is trading closer to the resistance level at this time.

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of October 21st at 35070, which was up 11 weeks from the low made back during the week of August 5th. We have been generally trading up for the past week from the low of the week of November 11th, which has been a move of 6.268%. When we look deeply into the underlying tone of this immediate market, we see it is currently still in a weak posture. Immediately, this decline from the last high established the week of October 21st has been important, closing sharply lower as well. Before, this recent rally exceeded the previous high of 33225 made back during the week of September 30th. That high was likewise part of a bullish trend making higher highs over the week of August 26th. This immediate decline has thus far held the previous low formed at 26505 made the week of August 5th. Only a break of that low would signal a technical reversal of fortune and of course we must watch the Bearish Reversals. Right now, the market is below momentum on our weekly models casting a bearish cloud over the price action as well as trend, long-term trend, and cyclical strength. Looking at this from a wider perspective, this market has been trading up for the past 6 weeks overall.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM OUTLOOK

YEARLY MOMENTUM MODEL INDICATOR

Our Momentum Models are declining at this time with the previous high made 2021 while the last low formed on 2023. However, this market has rallied in price with the last cyclical high formed on 2021 and thus we have a divergence warning that this market is starting to run out of strength on the upside.

Interestingly, the NY Silver COMEX Futures has been in a bullish phase for the past 8 months since the low established back in February.

Critical support still underlies this market at 27440 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Nevertheless, the market is trading below last month's low warning of weakness at this time.

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Silver Has a Stable Week
By: Christopher Lewis | November 22, 2024

• The silver market is essentially stable at this point. It is mildly positive, but at the end of the day, it is a market that is still looking for its momentum to take off again. With this, I think that the effect of gold rallying will eventually catch on here as well.

Silver Markets Weekly Technical Analysis

The silver market has rallied a bit during the course of the week as the $30 level has offered significant support. The $30 level of course is a large round psychologically significant important number that we’ve been paying attention to for some time. So, I just don’t see a situation where you would have any need whatsoever to short this market anytime soon as it has been so important to stay above this $30 level and we have in fact done so.

Even if we were to break down below there, the 50-week EMA sits just about a dollar underneath. We’ve been in an uptrend for some time, and of course there are a lot of concerns around the world about protecting wealth, and while silver isn’t necessarily the same thing as gold, it does tend to move in the same general direction, and gold is absolutely on fire right now, so I think gold will end up dragging silver higher, as it will often do. This is a correlation trade more than anything else at this point.

Speaking of higher, I suspect that silver is probably going to try to target the $35 level, which was where we struggled at previously. I have no interest in shorting this market, at least not at the moment, and I do think that silver continues to be a mildly bullish market, basically just riding the coattails of gold, which of course, as I said previously, has been on fire.

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Silver $SLV - 'Cup & Handle' Update...
By: Sahara | November 21, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - 'Cup & Handle' Update.

12 & 20/MA's Bullishly Aligned. Inlaid Panel shows the Spprt of the ''Broadening' Patterns B/Test & Bi/Wkly 12/MA (Mustard) is holding up...



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Silver Continues to Bounce
By: Christopher Lewis | November 19, 2024

• The silver market bounced again in the early hours of the Tuesday session, as we continue to see the momentum from the bounce at the crucial $30 level play a big part. The markets all continue to see a lot of traders get involved, as the gold market has been leading the way, with silver following.

Silver Markets Technical Analysis

The silver market rallied a bit during the early hours of Tuesday and at this point in time is threatening the 50 day EMA. If the market were to continue going higher, I don’t see much stopping it from going to the $32 level, and then possibly even as high as $35. Underneath current trading conditions are still supportive, with the $30 level being a massive support level, followed by the 200 day EMA. Keep in mind that silver is extraordinarily volatile, so it’s not a huge surprise to see that we have bounced here, nor would it be a huge surprise to see a little bit of a pullback.

That being said, gold has been rallying and that typically will drag silver right along with it. So, at this point in time, it looks like we are in fact trying to continue the overall uptrend in what has been a pretty bullish asset since March of this year. If we were to somehow break above the $35 level, and I don’t expect that to happen in the short term, that could lead to much bigger things.

Silver, of course, is a bigger contract position size-wise than the gold market. So, make sure you have that settled before you put any money to work. If we were to turn around and break down below the 200 day EMA, which is near the $29 level, that could change a lot of things. But right now, it looks like silver is trying to recover and continue the overall uptrend.

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Silver Counter-Trend Rally Eyes 50-Day MA
By: Bruce Powers | November 18, 2024

• Silver rebounds strongly, reaching a five-day high as it targets key resistance levels, with buyers eyeing 50-Day and 20-Day moving averages.

Silver triggered a bullish reversal on Monday, as it rallied to a five-day high of 32.27 before stalling. The five-day high is at 31.15 and silver is currently trading around that price level. A daily close above that high would provide an additional piece of evidence supporting a continuation of the bounce into higher potential resistance levels. Nonetheless, silver is on track to close strong, in the top third of the day’s trading range. A strong close signifies improving demand that remains in control till the close, and therefore possibly longer.



Decisive Bull Hammer Reversal

A false breakout of a bullish hammer candlestick pattern potential bottom occurred last Friday as the day ended near the lows of the day after an earlier daily upside breakout triggered above Thursday’s high. Silver rebounded strongly and is set to complete a bullish daily pattern reflected in the long green body. This puts silver in sight of a test of possible resistance around the 50-Day MA, now at 31.67. It could get there quickly. A reclaim of the 50-Day line shows the 20-Day MA around 32.31 as the next higher target. Also, watch the May swing high at 32.52 if the 20-Day line is approached.

Targets 31.67 and 32.31

Today looks to be the beginning of a counter-trend rally following the breakdown of key price levels over the past couple of weeks. Therefore, the expectation is for an eventual turnback down once higher resistance levels are tested. However, support seen last week at 29.68 has a chance of holding. It was a test of support around the declining trendline at the top of a trend channel. And it was further indicated by finding support around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 29.67. But given the additional signs of weakness seen in the drop below both the 20-Day and 50-Day MAs, a recovery doesn’t look like it would proceed without some up and down movement.

Short-term Weakness Likely to See Buyers

For now, short-term weakness seems likely to see continued support and signs of demand. As the counter-trend rally progresses it should start to provide clues as to important price levels and patterns to watch for clearer signs of demand.

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Silver $SLV - Recall I was looking for a Wkly 'Hammer' Candle
By: Sahara | November 18, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Recall I was looking for a Wkly 'Hammer' Candle.

Well not quite a 'Hammer' but a recovery which is seen by the 'Rickshaw-Man Doji' Candle on last two days of the week (Bi/Daily).

Note at its 50/MA here too. Now has to recover that Lwr-Band (GOLD) & Daily MA's...



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$Silver - Potentially made a 14 week cycle low this week. This cycle started as a 15 week cycle, so there's a chance it reverts back to 15 weeks and makes a lower low next week. In order to confirm a bullish reversal it has to close above 31.56 at the end of next week.
By: CyclesFan | November 16, 2024

• $Silver - Potentially made a 14 week cycle low this week. This cycle started as a 15 week cycle, so there's a chance it reverts back to 15 weeks and makes a lower low next week. In order to confirm a bullish reversal it has to close above 31.56 at the end of next week.



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NY Silver COMEX Futures »» Weekly Summary Analysis
By: Marty Armstrong | November 16, 2024

NY Silver COMEX Futures closed today at 30432 and is trading up about 26% for the year from last year's settlement of 24086. Caution is required for this market is starting to suggest it may now decline on the MONTHLY level. Immediately, this market has been rising for 2 months going into November reflecting that this has been only still, a bullish reactionary trend. As we stand right now, this market has made a new low breaking beneath the previous month's low reaching thus far 29750 yet it is trading below last month's close of 32796.

ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MODEL CORRELATION

Here in NY Silver COMEX Futures, we do find that this particular market has correlated with our Economic Confidence Model in the past. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle low to line up with this market was 2020 and 2015 and 2001. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle high to line up with this market was 2011 and 1998.

MARKET OVERVIEW
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK

The NY Silver COMEX Futures has continued to make new historical highs over the course of the rally from 2020 moving into 2024. Distinctly, we have elected four Bullish Reversals to date.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models. Pay attention to the Monthly level for any serious change in long-term trend ahead.

Looking at the indicating ranges on the Daily level in the NY Silver COMEX Futures, this market remains moderately bearish position at this time with the overhead resistance beginning at 30570 and support forming below at 30280. The market is trading closer to the resistance level at this time.

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of October 21st at 35070, which was up 11 weeks from the low made back during the week of August 5th. We have seen the market drop sharply for the past week penetrating the previous week's low and it closed beneath that low which was 30940. This was a very bearish technical indicator warning that we have a shift in the immediate trend. We are trading below the Weekly Momentum Indicators warning that the decline is very significant and we need to pay attention to the timing and reversals. When we look deeply into the underlying tone of this immediate market, we see it is cautiously starting to strengthen as the stochastics are beginning to flatten out since the previous low at 26505 made 14 weeks Immediately, this decline from the last high established the week of October 21st has been important, closing sharply lower as well. Before, this recent rally exceeded the previous high of 33225 made back during the week of September 30th. That high was likewise part of a bullish trend making higher highs over the week of August 26th. This immediate decline has thus far held the previous low formed at 26505 made the week of August 5th. Only a break of that low would signal a technical reversal of fortune and of course we must watch the Bearish Reversals. Right now, the market is below momentum on our weekly models casting a bearish cloud over the price action as well as trend, long-term trend, and cyclical strength. Looking at this from a wider perspective, this market has been trading up for the past 5 weeks overall.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM OUTLOOK

YEARLY MOMENTUM MODEL INDICATOR

Our Momentum Models are declining at this time with the previous high made 2021 while the last low formed on 2023. However, this market has rallied in price with the last cyclical high formed on 2021 and thus we have a divergence warning that this market is starting to run out of strength on the upside.

Interestingly, the NY Silver COMEX Futures has been in a bullish phase for the past 8 months since the low established back in February.

Critical support still underlies this market at 27440 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Nevertheless, the market is trading below last month's low warning of weakness at this time.

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Silver $SLV - Daily 'Hammer' in my Red-Box at the 150/MA & Fib-Cluster now being bullishly confirmed. For a bounce at least...
By: Sahara | November 15, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Daily 'Hammer' in my Red-Box at the 150/MA & Fib-Cluster now being bullishly confirmed.

For a bounce at least...



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Silver tested the $30.41 level and is now making a push back above...
By: Markets & Mayhem | November 14, 2024

• Silver tested the $30.41 level and is now making a push back above. Precious metals are under pressure here as the dollar and rates firm up and they lack catalysts for further upward pricing. Silver, in particular, is also more economically sensitive. 50% of demand is industrial.



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Silver - Now failed to hold the recovered band, & was rejected at the Dn/Channels Uppr-Parallel (Shaded) Now retesting the 100/DMA...
By: Sahara | November 13, 2024

• $SILVER - I did give fair warning of a Wkly 'Radial' Candle end of October.

Now failed to hold the recovered band, & was rejected at the Dn/Channels Uppr-Parallel (Shaded) Now retesting the 100/DMA. If it fails it will target the 150/MA & 62/Fib with a close within the Red-Box..



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Silver Continues to Look For Momentum to The Upside
By: Christopher Lewis | November 13, 2024

• The silver continues to see a lot of interest from traders, as the $30 level has offered a bit of support over the last 48 hours. Furthermore, the Consumer Price Index numbers have come and gone, with readings being as expected, and now we continue to see value hunting.

Silver Markets Technical Analysis

The silver market has rallied a little bit during the early hours on Wednesday, and now that we have the consumer price index numbers coming out of the United States basically as expected, I think the market is breathing a sigh of relief and silver is starting to gain as a result. We do have the 50-day EMA sitting just above that could cause a little bit of resistance, but ultimately, I think that is but a minor footnote when it comes to what happens next. Over the longer term, I fully anticipate that this market will go looking to much higher levels, perhaps to the $32.50 level.

That’s an area that’s been important multiple times, and therefore it wouldn’t be surprising at all to see this market react to that. Anything above the $32.50 level then opens up the possibility of going all the way back to the swing high, which is at the $35 level. Keep in mind that silver is an extraordinarily volatile contract under the best of circumstances, and it is bigger than gold, so don’t trade it with a massive position size.

I have seen a lot of retail traders wipe their accounts out trading silver thinking it behaves exactly the same as gold. It really doesn’t. There are other fundamentals you have to think of, although some do overlap, such as interest rates. Silver is an industrial metal, so we’ll have to see how that comes into play, but really at this point in time, I think the most important thing to notice is that we have the $30 level offering support, and it does look like it’s going to hold.

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Silver $SLV - Taped my Red-Box. Bounced now has recovered the Lwr-Band. Can it hold?...
By: Sahara | November 12, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Taped my Red-Box.

Bounced now has recovered the Lwr-Band. Can it hold?...



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Silver $SLV - Slipped its 50/DMA (Green). Now testing the Lwr-Band. Red-Box & 150/MA are Magnets as it is also the 62/Fib...
By: Sahara | November 11, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Slipped its 50/DMA (Green).

Now testing the Lwr-Band. Red-Box & 150/MA are Magnets as it is also the 62/Fib...



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Silver Correction Deepens; Key Levels for Support
By: Bruce Powers | November 11, 2024

• Silver declines to 30.42, nearing critical support zones. Elliott Wave analysis marks a top and moving averages shows further weakness.

Silver fell on Monday to a new pullback low of 30.42 before finding at least temporary support. That low was 4.45 points or 12.8% below the recent peak of 34.87. It was also slightly below the 50% retracement at 30.67 of the full swing starting from the August swing low, and right at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the internal upswing.

Trading remains near the lows of the day at the time of this writing, and silver will likely close the day’s trading session below last week’s low of 30.83. And it will likely close at its lowest daily closing price in 21 trading days.



Next Support at Top Channel Line?

It looks like silver is heading next to test support around the top of a falling parallel trend channel. The top channel line identifies a potential support zone along with a prior interim swing low at 30.12. For now, 30.12 can be used as a proxy for the channel line.

If the top line fails to hold as support, the 61.8% retracement of the larger advance is at 29.67, along with a rising trend line. The 78.6% retracement level is at 29.24. However, if that level is reached it means that silver has fallen below both the top declining channel line and an internal rising trendline that begins from the February swing low.

Completed Five Wave Structures

Basic Elliott Wave analysis shows the recent top of 34.87 may have completed five waves of a rising impulse wave beginning from the September 2022 lows. Further, there is a smaller five wave price structure starting from the more recent August swing low at 26.47 that may have completed as well. Nonetheless, silver remains in a larger up trending price structure if it can stay above the 200-Day MA (blue), which is now at 28.56. Notice that the 200-Day line is below the rising internal trendline.

20-Day Confirmed Weakness, Crossing Below 50-Day MA

During the current decline both the 50-Day MA and small internal rising trendline failed to show support as silver fell hard through those levels last Wednesday. Bearish sentiment was subsequently confirmed as the 20-Day MA fell below the 50-Day line after being largely above it since August 19. Silver is clearly in a correction that may take a little time to work through given the decisive decline below the 50-Day line. Nevertheless, going forward, price behavior should provide clues as to when the environment is beginning to change towards a more bullish tone.

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NY Silver COMEX Futures »» Weekly Summary Analysis
By: Marty Armstrong | November 9, 2024

Here in NY Silver COMEX Futures, we do find that this particular market has correlated with our Economic Confidence Model in the past. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle low to line up with this market was 2020 and 2015 and 2001. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle high to line up with this market was 2011 and 1998.

MARKET OVERVIEW
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK

The NY Silver COMEX Futures has continued to make new historical highs over the course of the rally from 2020 moving into 2024. Prominently, we have elected four Bullish Reversals to date.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models. Pay attention to the Monthly level for any serious change in long-term trend ahead.

The perspective using the indicating ranges on the Daily level in the NY Silver COMEX Futures, this market remains in a bearish position at this time with the overhead resistance beginning at 31650.

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of October 21st at 35070, which was up 11 weeks from the low made back during the week of August 5th. We have seen the market drop sharply for the past week penetrating the previous week's low and it closed beneath that low which was 32460. This was a very bearish technical indicator warning that we have a shift in the immediate trend. We are still trading neutral on the Weekly Momentum Indicators and this is a warning that initial support has been breached. This strongly implies we should pay close attention now to the Weekly Bearish Reversals. If we begin to elect Weekly Bearish Reversals, then we are dealing with a more sustainable near-term correction. When we look deeply into the underlying tone of this immediate market, we see it is currently still in a semi neutral posture despite declining from the previous high at 35070 made 2 weeks ago. Still, this market is within our trading envelope which spans between 26347 and 36065. Immediately, this decline from the last high established the week of October 21st has been important, closing sharply lower as well. Before, this recent rally exceeded the previous high of 33225 made back during the week of September 30th. That high was likewise part of a bullish trend making higher highs over the week of August 26th. This immediate decline has thus far held the previous low formed at 26505 made the week of August 5th. Only a break of that low would signal a technical reversal of fortune and of course we must watch the Bearish Reversals. Right now, the market is neutral on our weekly Momentum Models warning we have overhead resistance forming and support in the general vacinity of 30940. Additional support is to be found at 31155. Looking at this from a wider perspective, this market has been trading up for the past 4 weeks overall.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM OUTLOOK

YEARLY MOMENTUM MODEL INDICATOR

Our Momentum Models are declining at this time with the previous high made 2021 while the last low formed on 2023. However, this market has rallied in price with the last cyclical high formed on 2021 and thus we have a divergence warning that this market is starting to run out of strength on the upside.

Interestingly, the NY Silver COMEX Futures has been in a bullish phase for the past 8 months since the low established back in February.

Critical support still underlies this market at 27440 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Immediately, the market is trading within last month's trading range in a neutral position.

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Silver Continues to See Supportive Action on Thursday
By: Christopher Lewis | November 7, 2024

• The silver market was slightly bullish on Thursday, as the market waits for the FOMC interest rate decision. This of course will have a lot of influence on what happens next.

Silver Markets Technical Analysis

The silver market bounced slightly during the early hours on Thursday as traders continue to pay close attention to interest rates, geopolitics, and of course the fact that we have the Federal Reserve later in the day. With this being the case, I think you have to look at this through the prism of a market that may end up showing signs of upward volatility as we get closer to the interest rate decision.

But eventually, I think the same reasons that we rallied before are still very much in play, not the least of which would be the fact that the United States is going to spend a lot. That debases the dollar with plenty of fiat currency being printed, some people will run to the precious metal sector. Furthermore, we still have plenty of geopolitical issues out there to worry about, so let us not forget that. And ultimately, I think what you have is a situation where traders will eventually head back to the overall long-term trade they had been in for a while.

Anyway, so once we clear the $32.50 level, I think it opens up the possibility of a move to the $35 level, although it might take a minute or two to get there. I do think that is ultimately what we are, in fact, going to try to do. So, with that being the case, I am bullish, but I’m not willing to jump in with a huge amount of money because silver of course is very volatile. This is a situation where we should continue what we have seen previously.

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Silver $SLV - 'Inv Hammer' Candle Yesterday at key level
By: Sahara | November 5, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - 'Inv Hammer' Candle Yesterday at key level.

Want to see it Bullishly Confirm the 'Hammer' & push up from the Up/Channels Lwr-Parallel & Bull 'Wedge', recover the 20/MA & to then aim for my remaining targets here...



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Silver Hovers Around 20-Day Support Amid Bearish Signals
By: Bruce Powers | November 4, 2024

• Silver continues to test support around the 20-Day MA, as recent closes below key levels suggest a risk of further downside before a potential rebound.

Once again silver is flirting with potential support around the 20-Day MA. On Monday it fell to a new pullback low of 32.29 before finding support and bouncing intraday. Nonetheless, silver is in a precarious position technically as it closed below the 20-Day MA on Friday and will likely do so again today.

But it is not only the relationship to the 20-Day line that is of concern. The 50% retracement at 32.49 failed to retain support today and Friday the close was below it. Moreover, natural gas is also testing support around the internal uptrend line. Natural gas traded a little below it earlier today.



Next Lower Target is the 61.8% Retracement at 31.93

Natural gas traded briefly below the 20-Day MA on the prior test of test of the line earlier in October. It may do so again. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement is a little lower at 31.93. If natural gas falls below today’s low of 32.29 it may head to the 61.8% price zone. A little lower is the 50-Day MA at 31.20. Also, keep an eye on the price zone around the most recent swing low at 30.12. It is part of the price structure of the uptrend that began from the August swing low, and therefore is potentially significant as a drop below it would violate the trend structure.

Downward Pressure Dominates

Although natural gas is in an area where it might see support that leads to a bullish reversal, there are no signs of it currently. Rather, there are additional short-term bearish signs. Notice the candlestick tail from Friday due to the close in the lower third of the day’s trading range. Today is set to leave a similar one-day bearish pattern. It shows sellers dominating trading activity in the later part of the trading session.

Short-term Strength Above 32.88

Once silver finds support in the pullback that leads to a bullish reversal, it can challenge the recent high of 34.87 and attempt to reach higher targets. For now, a rise above today’s high of 32.88 shows short-term strength and could be the beginning of an advance. A subsequent rise above Friday’s high of 33.12 will then show further strength.

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NY Silver COMEX Futures »» Weekly Summary Analysis
By: Marty Armstrong | November 2, 2024

NY Silver COMEX Futures closed today at 32681 and is trading up about 35% for the year from last year's settlement of 24086. Caution is required for this market is starting to suggest it may now decline on the MONTHLY level. Up to this moment in time, this market has been rising for 2 months going into November reflecting that this has been only still, a bullish reactionary trend.

ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MODEL CORRELATION

Here in NY Silver COMEX Futures, we do find that this particular market has correlated with our Economic Confidence Model in the past. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle low to line up with this market was 2020 and 2015 and 2001. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle high to line up with this market was 2011 and 1998.

MARKET OVERVIEW
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK

The NY Silver COMEX Futures has continued to make new historical highs over the course of the rally from 2020 moving into 2024. We have elected four Bullish Reversals to date.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models. Pay attention to the Monthly level for any serious change in long-term trend ahead.

Focusing on our perspective using the indicating ranges on the Daily level in the NY Silver COMEX Futures, this market remains moderately bearish position at this time with the overhead resistance beginning at 33020 and support forming below at 32035. The market is trading closer to the resistance level at this time.

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of October 21st at 35070, which was up 11 weeks from the low made back during the week of August 5th. We have seen the market drop sharply for the past week penetrating the previous week's low and it closed beneath that low which was 33260. This was a very bearish technical indicator warning that we have a shift in the immediate trend. We are still trading above the Weekly Momentum Indicators so we have not undermined critical support as of yet. When we look deeply into the underlying tone of this immediate market, we see it is currently still in a semi neutral posture despite declining from the previous high at 35070 made 1 week ago. Still, this market is within our trading envelope which spans between 26096 and 35722. Immediately, this decline from the last high established the week of October 21st has been important closing sharply lower as well. Before, this recent rally exceeded the previous high of 33225 made back during the week of September 30th. That high was likewise part of a bullish trend making higher highs over the week of August 26th. This immediate decline has thus far held the previous low formed at 26505 made the week of August 5th. Only a break of that low would signal a technical reversal of fortune and of course we must watch the Bearish Reversals.

Right now, the market is above momentum on our weekly models hinting this is still bullish for now. Looking at this from a wider perspective, this market has been trading up for the past 3 weeks overall.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM OUTLOOK

YEARLY MOMENTUM MODEL INDICATOR

Our Momentum Models are declining at this time with the previous high made 2021 while the last low formed on 2023. However, this market has rallied in price with the last cyclical high formed on 2021 and thus we have a divergence warning that this market is starting to run out of strength on the upside.

Interestingly, the NY Silver COMEX Futures has been in a bullish phase for the past 8 months since the low established back in February.

Critical support still underlies this market at 27440 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Immediately, the market is trading within last month's trading range in a neutral position.

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Silver $SLV - I warned prior of last weeks 'Radial' Candle...
By: Sahara | October 31, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - I warned prior of last weeks 'Radial' Candle.

Which is now being bullishly confirmed and unless a change occurs prior to tomorrows close will more than likely leave a Bearish 'Evening Star' Get-up targeting the Wkly 12/MA (Mustard)...



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Silver Bullish Potential on Advance Above 34.02
By: Bruce Powers | October 28, 2024

• Silver holds strong at a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with buyers eyeing a breakout above $34.02 for potential bullish continuation beyond recent highs.

Silver consolidated on Monday as it is on track to close as an inside day. A new trend high of 34.87 was reached last week before silver pulled back. So far, the pullback found support around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement with a low of 33.09 from Friday. If silver can rally from there and break out above Friday’s high of 34.02 it will be in a strong bullish position to challenge and likely exceed the recent high. That would signal the completion of a minimum retracement of 38.2%, which reflects relatively strong demand.



Bullish Hammer Candle Sets Up

Notice that that Friday candlestick pattern takes the form of a bullish hammer, providing an additional piece of evidence for a possible continuation of the rally. But a trigger above Friday’s high is needed first. Strong demand is indicated if a bull trend continues following a relatively shallow 38.2% retracement, as it reflects strong underlying demand. Buyers don’t want to wait for lower prices and risk missing out on the next swing higher.

Next Higher Target Begins at 35.13

A decisive rally above 34.02 will put silver in position to test resistance around the recent high of 34.87. If it is exceeded there is a potential resistance zone close by from 35.13 to 35.38. That price range begins with the 200% extended target (D) for a rising ABCD pattern (purple). It includes a long-term 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 35.23.

That measurement is the extended retracement of the downswing that began from the April 2011 peak at 49.81. The target range ends with the completion of a small ascending ABCD pattern (not shown). Given the long-term nature of the 35.23 price level, it should be given special attention. If resistance is seen it could last for a little while, and a breakout signals likely higher prices in the near-term.

Support Indicated at 33.09

On the downside, a drop below Friday’s low of 33.09 signals a deeper pullback. Lower support looks to be around confluence of several indicators near a range of 32.49 to 32.31. Those prices consist of the 50% retracement and 20-Day MA, respectively. Subsequently, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement is at 31.93 and support may be seen there. Also, keep an eye on the internal uptrend line for possible support.

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Silver $SLV - Shrank back from that 4th Target Leaving a Wkly 'Radial' Candle as an omen for some backing & filling before continuing up, unless negated of course...
By: Sahara | October 28, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Shrank back from that 4th Target

Leaving a Wkly 'Radial' Candle as an omen for some backing & filling before continuing up, unless negated of course....



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NY Silver COMEX Futures »» Weekly Summary Analysis
By: Marty Armstrong | October 26, 2024

NY Silver COMEX Futures closed today at 33779 and is trading up about 40% for the year from last year's settlement of 24086. Immediately, this market has been rising for this month going into October reflecting that this has been only still, a bullish reactionary trend. As we stand right now, this market has made a new high exceeding the previous month's high reaching thus far 35070 while it has not broken last month's low so far of 28010. Nevertheless, this market is still trading above last month's high of 33020.

ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE MODEL CORRELATION

Here in NY Silver COMEX Futures, we do find that this particular market has correlated with our Economic Confidence Model in the past. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle low to line up with this market was 2020 and 2015 and 2001. The Last turning point on the ECM cycle high to line up with this market was 2011 and 1998.

MARKET OVERVIEW
NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK

The NY Silver COMEX Futures has continued to make new historical highs over the course of the rally from 2020 moving into 2024. Clearly, we have elected four Bullish Reversals to date.

This market remains in a positive position on the weekly to yearly levels of our indicating models. Pay attention to the Monthly level for any serious change in long-term trend ahead.

Solely focusing on only the indicating ranges on the Daily level in the NY Silver COMEX Futures, this market remains moderately bullish currently with underlying support beginning at 32020 and overhead resistance forming above at 33970. The market is trading closer to the resistance level at this time.

On the weekly level, the last important high was established the week of October 21st at 35070, which was up 11 weeks from the low made back during the week of August 5th. So far, this week is trading within last week's range of 35070 to 33260. Nevertheless, the market is still trading downward more toward support than resistance. A closing beneath last week's low would be a technical signal for a correction to retest support.

When we look deeply into the underlying tone of this immediate market, we see it is currently still in a semi neutral posture despite declining from the previous high at 35070 made 0 week ago. The broader perspective, this current rally into the week of October 21st reaching 35070 has exceeded the previous high of 33225 made back during the week of September 30th.

Right now, the market is above momentum on our weekly models hinting this is still bullish for now as well as trend, long-term trend, and cyclical strength. Looking at this from a wider perspective, this market has been trading up for the past 2 weeks overall.

INTERMEDIATE-TERM OUTLOOK

YEARLY MOMENTUM MODEL INDICATOR

Our Momentum Models are declining at this time with the previous high made 2021 while the last low formed on 2023. However, this market has rallied in price with the last cyclical high formed on 2021 and thus we have a divergence warning that this market is starting to run out of strength on the upside.

Interestingly, the NY Silver COMEX Futures has been in a bullish phase for the past 11 months since the low established back in October 2023.

Critical support still underlies this market at 28720 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Nevertheless, the market is trading above last month's high showing some strength.

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Silver $SLV - Holding that B/Out...
By: Sahara | October 25, 2024

• $SILVER $SLV - Holding that B/Out...



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Silver Price Forecast: Breakout Targets $38.65
By: Christopher Aaron | October 25, 2024

Silver has just broken higher out of a short-term consolidation. This price behavior results in a target of $38.65, a 16% anticipated gain for silver over the months ahead. For investors seeking increased profit above this figure, silver miners have recently begun to provide positive leverage above and beyond the bullion price.

Silver’s Breakout

Silver’s breakout is clear to see on the chart below:



Note the five-month cup consolidation below the $32.50 figure (black dashed line). This consolidation began in May, and has just recently broken upward to trigger the pattern.

In the case of silver, the consolidation had an amplitude of $6.15 below the breakout point. We can reasonably now expect that $6.15 worth of short-sellers and hedgers will be incentivized to cover those positions. Silver thus has a reasonable target of $6.15 + $32.50, yielding a target of $38.65 for the coming months.

Timing the Target

We now need to place silver’s $38.65 target into the visible pattern boundaries in order to project an anticipated timeline for the advance.

Note the wedge-like pattern (blue dashed lines) that is forming in the silver market, with both sellers and buyers emerging at higher intervals since 2022. When we place the amplitude target of $38.65 within the visible pattern, we see that silver should be expected to achieve its target no later than Q2 – Q3 of 2025.

Invalidation Point

We must always identify a point at which we observe that something has changed in the market, and that a target has been invalidated. In the case of silver above, should the breakout point of $32.50 fail to act as support for at least two days over the coming weeks, it would suggest that the breakout has failed. In other words, a new swath of sellers would have emerged to overpower the short-coverers and hedge-closers. While this scenario is unlikely, we must always identify the point at which it would occur on the chart.

In technical analysis, breakouts are considered valid until proven otherwise. We thus maintain the $38.65 target assuming the market does not close back below $32.50 for multiple daily closes.

Leverage in Silver Miners

An advance from the current silver price of $33.30 to the $38.65 target will equate to a 16% increase in the price of silver over the coming months.

For those investors seeking profits above and beyond this 16% figure, we have recently begun to observe positive leverage within the silver mining complex.

Below is the price of silver since the August lows, juxtaposed to a silver mining company (Silver Miner “X”) that we have recently purchased. Note that as silver itself is higher by 22% from the August lows, Silver Miner “X” is higher by 58%, or nearly triple the gain of silver bullion.

While we do not give away the names of the silver mining companies we invest in for free, investors who would like to achieve these types of gains may find more on our premium research available at www.iGoldAdvisor.com



Takeaway on Silver

The silver market has just triggered a breakout which yields an official target of $38.65 over the months ahead. This will represent a 16% gain above the current price for spot silver and bullion.

For those investors who would like to achieve higher gains, silver miners have recently begun to show positive leverage to the underlying bullion price.

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