Swiss Franc Drops Amid SNB Rate Cut Speculation
10 Diciembre 2024 - 7:24PM
RTTF2
The Swiss franc weakened against other major currencies in the
Asian session on Wednesday, as traders speculate that the central
bank is likely to reduce its borrowing costs in the policy meeting
due Thursday.
The policy board of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) governed by
Thomas J. Jordan is expected to lower the rate by a quarter-point
to 0.75 percent.
Investors await key U.S. inflation readings and the ECB rate
decision.
The closely watched report on U.S. consumer price inflation is
due later in the day.
The report is expected to show U.S. consumer prices rose by 0.2
percent for the fifth straight month in November. The annual rate
of consumer price growth is expected to tick up to 2.7 percent from
2.6 percent in October.
Core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy prices, are
expected to increase by 0.3 percent for the fourth straight month
while the annual rate of core consumer price growth is expected to
remain at 3.3 percent.
The CPI report along with the release of producer price
inflation figures on Thursday might impact the outlook for U.S.
interest rates.
According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets currently price
in an 85 percent chance of a Fed rate cut next week.
Whatever the policy decision, there is much uncertainty
regarding what could happen to Fed interest rates next year.
Markets have also fully priced in a 25-bps rate cut by the
European Central Bank and a 50-bps cut from the Swiss National Bank
on Thursday.
In the Asian trading today, the Swiss franc fell to nearly a
1-month low of 1.1286 against the pound, from Tuesday's closing
value of 1.1268. The franc may test support near the 1.13
region.
Against the U.S. dollar, the euro and the yen, the franc slipped
to a 6-day low of 0.8838, a 5-day low of 0.9305 and a 2-day low of
171.46 from yesterday's closing quotes of 0.8825, 0.9289 and
172.06, respectively. If the franc extends its downtrend, it is
likely to find support around 0.89 against the greenback, 0.93
against the euro and 168.00 against the yen.
Looking ahead, U.S. MBA mortgage approvals data, U.S. CPI data
for November, U.S. EIA crude oil data and U.S. monthly budget
statement are slated for release in the New York session.
At 9:45 am ET, the Bank of Canada will announce its interest
rate decision. The BoC is expected to lower the benchmark rate by
50 basis points, following the same action in October, to 3.25
percent.
Following the announcement of the BoC monetary policy decision,
the BoC Governor Tiff Macklem will deliver a speech in a press
conference at 10:30 am ET.
Euro vs CHF (FX:EURCHF)
Gráfica de Divisa
De Nov 2024 a Dic 2024
Euro vs CHF (FX:EURCHF)
Gráfica de Divisa
De Dic 2023 a Dic 2024