Who Profited During Bitcoin’s $100,000 Surge? Analyst Breaks Down the Data
26 Diciembre 2024 - 5:30PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin ongoing price movement has sparked intense analysis as it
continues to hover below the $100,000 mark. Despite reaching an
all-time high above $108,000 last week, the cryptocurrency has
struggled to maintain upward momentum ever since. With this
performance, BTC’s on-chain data has been brought to the spotlight
to uncover the factors driving recent selling pressures and
investor behavior. One key focus has been the Spent Output Age
Bands (SOAB) indicator, which provides valuable insights into
Bitcoin holders’ activity based on their holding periods. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Is Forming A Symmetrical Triangle – Can BTC
Reclaim $100K? Who Cashed Out Their Bitcoin Gains? According to a
CryptoQuant analyst known as Yonsei Dent, data reveals that Bitcoin
investors who bought their holdings between six to twelve months
ago were the most active sellers during the recent price surge.
This group largely entered the market during the initial excitement
surrounding the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs)
earlier in the year. While this selling activity exerted downward
pressure on Bitcoin’s price, the asset has managed to stabilize
within the $90,000–$100,000 range. Interestingly, long-term
holders, defined as those holding Bitcoin for over a year, have
shown minimal selling activity. Historical trends suggest that
these seasoned investors are likely anticipating elevated price
levels before considering substantial profit-taking. Meanwhile,
Dent pointed to the Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric showing
a noticeable decline in older Bitcoin being moved in December
compared to November. Historically, reduced activity from long-term
holders during price corrections often signals market resilience
and potential for future upward momentum. The analyst wrote: The
‘Binary CDD’ indicator at the bottom of the chart shows a decline
in the selling of older Bitcoin in December compared to November.
This suggests that many long-term holders may anticipate even
higher prices before selling. Binance Reserves Signal Market
Confidence Speaking of higher prices, another crucial metric
suggesting a significant move brewing for Bitcoin comes from
Binance’s Bitcoin reserves, which have been steadily declining
since August. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost highlighted that
Binance’s reserves recently hit their lowest level since January.
This trend is significant because a similar decline earlier in the
year preceded a 90% surge in Bitcoin’s price. The reduction in
exchange reserves typically indicates that investors are moving
their Bitcoin holdings away from centralized exchanges and into
private wallets. Such behavior suggests reduced selling pressure
and a preference for long-term holding strategies. Historically,
declining reserves on exchanges have often aligned with periods of
strong market optimism and price rallies. Notably, as BTC currently
still trades at a price of $95,567 down by 2.7% in the past day,
the confluence of these factors—long-term holder confidence,
reduced activity from older wallets, and declining exchange
reserves—presents a cautiously optimistic picture for Bitcoin’s
near-term trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Still
Close To Extreme Greed: More Cooldown Needed For Bottom? However,
it is cautioned that sustained buying activity will be required to
break through psychological resistance levels and maintain upward
momentum. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from
TradingView
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