CALGARY, AB, Jan. 31, 2022 /CNW/ - Pan Orient Energy Corp.
("Pan Orient" or the "Company") (TSXV: POE), on behalf of Pan
Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd. ("POS"), announced the results of
its December 31, 2021 independent
reserves evaluation for Thailand
on-shore Concession L53/48 where POS is the operator and has a
100% working interest. Pan Orient has a 50.01% equity interest in
POS, which is classified as a Joint Venture under International
Financial Reporting Standards and accounted for using the equity
method. Pan Orient's 50.01% equity interest in the assets,
liabilities, working capital, operations and capital expenditures
of POS are recorded in Investment in the Thailand Joint Venture and
Pan Orient does not have any direct interest in, or control over,
the crude oil reserves or operations of on-shore Concession
L53/48.
The evaluation for the Thailand
assets as at December 31, 2021 was
conducted by Sproule International Limited of Calgary ("Sproule") and was prepared in
accordance with Canadian Securities Administrators National
Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities.
Please note that all amounts are in Canadian dollars unless
otherwise stated and BOPD refers to barrels of oil per day.
Reserves volumes reported below are "Company Gross Reserves", a
classification of reserves used in the evaluation which represents
production and reserves before deduction of
royalties.
Summary of Thailand Reserves at December 31, 2021 for Concession L53/48
- Thailand crude oil reserves
and values at December 31, 2021 of
POS (representing the 100% working interest of POS in Concession
L53/48):
-
- Proved oil reserves ("1P") of 3,079,000 barrels at December 31, 2021, a 9% increase from the
2,836,000 barrels at December 31,
2020.
- Proved plus probable oil reserves ("2P") decreased 3% to
4,625,000 barrels at December 31,
2021 compared with proved plus probable oil reserves of
4,753,000 barrels at December 31,
2020. The decrease in 2021 reflects the following changes
during 2021:
-
- Oil sales increased 15% in 2021 to 1,018,286 barrels (2,790
BOPD), with 874,060 barrels (2,395 BOPD) from the L53DD field,
53,847 barrels (148 BOPD) from the L53G field, 32,649 barrels (89
BOPD) from the L53A field, 32,557 barrels (89 BOPD) from the L53D
field, 15,730 barrels (43 BOPD) from the L53B field, 5,625 barrels
(15 BOPD) from the L53AA field and 3,818 barrels (10 BOPD) from the
L53AA South field.
- Proved plus probable reserves increased 890,000 barrels at
December 31, 2021 (19% of
December 31, 2020 proved plus
probable reserves) from positive technical revisions of 821,000
barrels, 59,000 barrels for economic factors and 10,000 barrels for
extension of fields.
- The L53DD field had 874,060 barrels of oil sales in 2021
compared with 734,006 barrels in 2020. The L53DD field at
December 31, 2021 has been assigned
proved plus probable reserves of 3,345,000 barrels, including a
positive technical revision (inclusive of economic factors) of
proved plus probable reserves in 2021 of 751,000 barrels relating
to revised geological mapping and well performance. This compared
with 3,468,000 barrels at December 31,
2020.
- Net present value (after tax) of Thailand proved plus probable oil reserves at
December 31, 2021, using forecast
prices and costs discounted at 10% per year, of Cdn$108.2 million. The 39% increase in the net
present value (after tax) of Thailand proved plus probable oil reserves
from $77.8 million at December 31, 2020 is the result of the 31%
increase average oil sales prices more than offsetting the 3%
decrease in proved plus probable reserves. The average oil sales
price increased to $88.64 per barrel
in the December 31, 2021 reserves
report compared with $67.82 in the
December 31, 2020 reserves
report.
- Possible oil reserves have been reported for the last four
years to better define the potential upside of the L53DD field
discovered in 2018. Possible reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There
is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will
equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible
reserves.
Possible oil reserves at December 31,
2021 are 1,346,000 barrels and decreased 745,000 barrels
from the prior year as possible reserves were moved into proved and
probable reserves. Total proved plus probable plus possible oil
reserves ("3P") are 5,971,000 barrels at December 31, 2021 with a net present value (after
tax) using forecast prices and costs discounted at 10% per year, of
Cdn$131.4 million.
- Thailand Concession L53/48 reserves are from conventional
sandstone reservoirs.
- Net to Pan Orient's 50.01% equity interest in POS:
-
- Pan Orient does not have any direct interest in, or control
over, the crude oil reserves or operations of on-shore Concession
L53/48. The values at December 31,
2021 identified as "Net to Pan Orient's 50.01% Equity
Interest in Pan Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd." represent 50.01% of POS
reserves and values.
- Net to Pan Orient's 50.01% equity interest in POS, proved plus
probable crude oil reserves of 2,313,000 barrels at December 31, 2021. Net to Pan Orient's 50.01%
equity interest in POS, net present value (after tax) of
Thailand proved plus probable
crude oil reserves at December 31,
2021, using forecast prices and costs discounted at 10% per
year, of Cdn$54.1 million, or
$1.09 per Pan Orient share based on
the 49.8 million Pan Orient shares outstanding at December 31, 2021.
- Net to Pan Orient's 50.01% equity interest in POS, proved plus
probable plus possible crude oil reserves of 2,986,000 barrels at
December 31, 2021. Net to Pan
Orient's 50.01% equity interest in POS, net present value (after
tax) of Thailand proved plus
probable plus possible crude oil reserves at December 31, 2021, using forecast prices and
costs discounted at 10% per year, of Cdn$65.7 million, or $1.32 per Pan Orient share based on the 49.8
million Pan Orient shares outstanding at December 31, 2021.
Summary of Thailand
Crude Oil Reserves as of December 31, 2021, as provided by
Sproule
|
Net to Pan
Orient's 50.01% Interest in Pan Orient Energy (Siam)
Ltd
|
Marketable Reserves –
Company Gross (thousands of
barrels)
|
Light and
Medium Oil
|
Heavy Oil
|
Total
|
Proved
|
1,057
|
483
|
1,540
|
Probable
|
540
|
233
|
773
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
1,597
|
716
|
2,313
|
Possible
|
428
|
245
|
673
|
Total Proved,
Probable & Possible
|
2,025
|
961
|
2,986
|
Summary of Thailand
Net Present Values as of December 31, 2021, as provided by Sproule
(After Income Tax)
|
Net to Pan
Orient's 50.01% Interest in Pan Orient Energy (Siam)
Ltd
|
Present Value - After
Tax
(Cdn$
million)
|
Undiscounted
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
Proved
|
48
|
43
|
39
|
36
|
Probable
|
25
|
19
|
15
|
12
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
73
|
62
|
54
|
48
|
Possible
|
23
|
16
|
12
|
9
|
Total Proved,
Probable & Possible
|
96
|
78
|
66
|
57
|
Per Pan Orient share
- Proved & Probable Note
|
$ 1.46
|
$ 1.24
|
$ 1.09
|
$ 0.97
|
Per Pan Orient share
- Proved & Probable & Possible Note
|
$ 1.93
|
$ 1.56
|
$ 1.32
|
$ 1.15
|
|
Note: Per share
values were calculated based on 49,793,907 Pan Orient shares
outstanding at December 31, 2021
|
|
Summary of Thailand
Crude Oil Reserves as of December 31, 2021, as provided by
Sproule
|
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in Concession
L53/48)
|
Marketable Reserves –
Company Gross (thousands of
barrels)
|
Light and
Medium Oil
|
Heavy Oil
|
Total
|
Proved
|
2,113
|
966
|
3,079
|
Probable
|
1,080
|
466
|
1,546
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
3,193
|
1,432
|
4,625
|
Possible
|
856
|
490
|
1,346
|
Total Proved,
Probable & Possible
|
4,049
|
1,922
|
5,971
|
Summary of Thailand
Crude Oil Reserves as of December 31, 2021, by Major
Field
as provided by
Sproule – Company Gross (thousands of barrels)
|
|
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in Concession
L53/48)
|
|
Concession L53/48 (by
Major Field)
|
Proved
|
Probable
|
Proved plus
Probable
|
Possible
|
Proved,
Probable &
Possible
|
L53A Field
|
169
|
107
|
276
|
121
|
397
|
L53B Field
|
156
|
71
|
227
|
90
|
318
|
L53D Field
|
192
|
143
|
336
|
176
|
511
|
L53G Field
|
235
|
80
|
315
|
78
|
392
|
L53DD
Field
|
2,290
|
1,055
|
3,345
|
782
|
4,127
|
L53AA South
Field
|
-
|
77
|
77
|
89
|
165
|
L53AA
Field
|
37
|
12
|
49
|
12
|
61
|
|
3,079
|
1,546
|
4,625
|
1,346
|
5,971
|
Reconciliation of
Changes in Thailand Crude Oil Proved plus Probable Reserves as of
December 31, 2021,
as provided by
Sproule – Company Gross (Light and Medium Oil and Heavy
Oil)
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in Concession
L53/48)
|
(thousands of
barrels)
|
|
Proved
|
Probable
|
Proved plus
Probable
|
December 31,
2020
|
|
2,836
|
1,917
|
4,753
|
Discoveries
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Extensions
|
|
-
|
10
|
10
|
Infill
Drilling
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Improved
Recovery
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Acquisitions
|
|
|
|
-
|
Dispositions
|
|
|
|
-
|
Economic
Factors
|
|
13
|
46
|
59
|
Technical
Revision
|
|
1,248
|
(427)
|
821
|
Production
|
|
|
(1,018)
|
-
|
(1,018)
|
December 31,
2021
|
|
3,079
|
1,546
|
4,625
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Summary of Thailand
Net Present Values as of December 31, 2021, as provided by Sproule
(After Income Tax)
Pan Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in
Concession L53/48)
|
Present Value - After
Tax (Cdn$
million)
|
Undiscounted
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
Proved
|
95
|
86
|
78
|
72
|
Probable
|
51
|
38
|
30
|
25
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
146
|
124
|
108
|
97
|
Possible
|
46
|
32
|
23
|
18
|
Total Proved,
Probable & Possible
|
192
|
155
|
131
|
115
|
Thailand Concession
L53/48 Reserves Evaluation as of December 31, 2021, as provided by
Sproule
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. (with a 100% working interest in Concession
L53/48)
|
Notes:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1)
|
Pan Orient Energy
(Siam) Ltd. is the operator and 100% working interest owner of
Concession L53/48. Pan Orient holds a 50.01% equity interest
in Pan Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd.
Thailand reserves and
values at December 31, 2021 shown as "100% working interest of Pan
Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd." represent a 100% working interest in
Concession L53/48.
|
|
2)
|
Reserves volumes
reported above are "Company Gross Reserves", a classification of
reserves used in the evaluation which represents production and
reserves before deduction of royalties.
|
|
3)
|
The tables shown have
assessed reserves at forecast crude oil reference prices &
costs.
|
|
4)
|
The US$ reference
price for crude oil per barrel (US$ UK Brent per barrel) is $75.00
for 2022, $72.00 for 2023, $70.00 for 2024, $71.40 for 2025, $72.83
for 2026, and prices increase at 2.0% per year
thereafter.
|
|
5)
|
Oil revenue for these
reserves is based on 94% of the forecast crude oil Brent reference
price.
|
|
6)
|
Tables show assessed
reserves with a foreign exchange rate of CDN$1=US$0.80.
|
|
7)
|
The capital cost and
operating expense inflation rate is 0% per year in 2022 and 2.0%
per year starting in 2023.
|
|
8)
|
Estimated future
undiscounted development costs, in dollars, at December 31, 2021
were Cdn$8.0 million for proved reserves, Cdn$10.2 million for
proved plus probable reserves and Cdn$10.2 million for proved plus
probable plus possible reserves.
|
|
9)
|
Net present values
after income tax are after deduction of the SRB (Special
Remuneratory Benefit tax) and income tax in
Thailand.
Based on the forecast
oil rates and prices, SRB is forecast to be paid in 2022 with SRB
tax rate of Cdn$1.3 million for proved plus probable reserves and
Cdn$2.6 million for proved plus probable plus possible
reserves.
|
|
10)
|
Well abandonment and
reclamation costs of Cdn$5.3 million for the proved plus probable
case were included in this report and include abandonment and
reclamation costs for all existing and future wells. Well
abandonment and reclamation costs of Cdn$5.8 million were included
for the proved plus probable plus possible case. No allowances
for salvage values were made.
|
|
11)
|
The net present
values disclosed may not represent fair market value.
|
|
12)
|
Totals may not add
exactly due to rounding.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pan Orient is a Calgary,
Alberta based oil and gas exploration and production company
with operations currently located onshore Thailand and in Western Canada.
This news release contains forward-looking information.
Forward-looking information is generally identifiable by the
terminology used, such as "expect", "believe", "estimate",
"should", "anticipate" and "potential" or other similar
wording. Forward-looking information in this news release
includes, but is not limited to, references to: estimates of
reserves and the net present value of those reserves, anticipated
future production performance, estimates of future crude oil
reference prices and the percentage of those prices received by Pan
Orient, and estimates of development costs, foreign exchange rates,
inflation rates, taxes and well abandonment and disconnect
costs. By their very nature, the forward-looking statements
contained in this news release require Pan Orient and its
management to make assumptions that may not materialize or that may
not be accurate. The forward-looking information contained in
this news release is subject to known and unknown risks and
uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results,
expectations, achievements or performance to differ materially,
including without limitation: imprecision of reserves estimates and
estimates of recoverable quantities of oil, changes in project
schedules, operating and reservoir performance, the effects of
weather and climate change, the results of exploration and
development drilling and related activities, demand for oil and
gas, commercial negotiations, other technical and economic factors
or revisions and other factors, many of which are beyond the
control of Pan Orient. Although Pan Orient believes that the
expectations reflected in its forward-looking statements are
reasonable, it can give no assurances that the expectations of any
forward-looking statements will prove to be correct.
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services
Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX
Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or
accuracy of this release.
SOURCE Pan Orient Energy Corp.