Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. (“Saturn” or the “Company”) (TSX.V: SOIL)
(FSE: SMK) is pleased to announce the results of our independent
2019 year-end reserves evaluation by Ryder Scott Company, LP
(“Ryder Scott”) with an effective date of December 31, 2019 (the
“Ryder Scott Report”) in accordance with the definitions, standards
and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation
Handbook (“COGE Handbook”) and National Instrument 51-101 Standards
of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”). The
reserves evaluation was based on Evaluator Average forecast pricing
and foreign exchange rates. Reserves included herein are stated on
a company gross basis (working interest before deduction of
royalties without inclusion of any royalty interests) unless noted
otherwise.
Highlights of the Company’s proved developed
producing ("PDP"), total proved ("TP") and total proved plus
probable ("TP+P") reserves from the Ryder Scott Report are provided
below. All finding and development ("F&D")1 and finding,
development and acquisition ("FD&A")1 costs below include
changes in future development capital ("FDC"), and recycle ratios1
are calculated based on Saturn’s 2019 estimated unaudited average
operating netback1 of $51.98/bbl. Additional details of the Ryder
Scott Report, including the Company’s NI 51-101 Forms (F1, F2 and
F3) regarding our Statement of Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas
Information, have been filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and posted
on Saturn’s website at http://saturnoil.com/. Currency
figures presented herein are reflected in Canadian dollars, unless
otherwise noted.
Successful 2019 Capital Program
Significantly Expanded Reserves
Saturn’s 2019 capital program of $16.4 million
focused on the development of the Company’s prolific and highly
economic light oil Viking play in Saskatchewan. Ongoing efforts to
control both capital expenditures and operating costs combined with
strong operating performance led to continued improvements in the
Company’s capital efficiencies. Our disciplined capital program was
directed to the drilling and completion of 17.0 net extended
reach horizontal (“ERH”) Viking light oil wells and the acquisition
of 19.3 net sections of land in our core areas. Following are
highlights of changes within each reserves category compared to
2018.
Proved Developed Producing
- 57% increase to 875.0 thousand barrels (“Mbbls”)
- 53% increase on a per share (basic) basis
- 26% growth in net present value discounted at 10% (before tax)
(“NPV10 BT”)
- Achieved FD&A costs of $29.38/bbl and F&D costs of
$27.34/bbl, 27% and 19% lower than 2018
- Generated FD&A and F&D recycle ratios of 1.8x and 1.9x,
respectively
- Total PDP reserve additions of 600.6 Mbbls replaced 213% of
production
- PDP reserves represent 24% of TP reserves, consistent with the
prior year
Total Proved
- 65% increase to 3,612.5 Mbbls
- 60% increase on a per share (basic) basis
- 29% growth in NPV10 BT
- Achieved FD&A costs of $28.98/bbl and F&D costs of
$28.26/bbl, 23% and 21% lower than 2018
- Generated both FD&A and F&D recycle ratios of 1.8x
- Total TP reserve additions of 1,704.5 Mbbls replaced 603% of
production
- TP reserves represent 49% of TP+P reserves, consistent with the
prior year
Total Proved + Probable
- 63% increase to 7,418.0 Mbbls
- 58% increase on a per share (basic) basis
- 22% growth in NPV10 BT
- Achieved FD&A costs of $26.21/bbl and F&D costs of
$25.82/bbl, 9% and 7% lower than 2018
- Generated both FD&A and F&D recycle ratios of 2.0x
- Total TP+P reserve additions of 3,145.6 Mbbls replaced 1,113%
of production
(1) Non-IFRS Measure. See “Information Regarding Disclosure
on Oil and Gas Reserves and Non-IFRS Measures” within this press
release.
“I am extremely proud of Saturn’s success in
delivering robust reserves growth across all categories while
demonstrating the benefit of maintaining operational excellence,
focusing on cost controls and prioritizing ESG initiatives,” said
John Jeffrey, CEO of Saturn. “Saturn’s long-term sustainability is
underpinned by our ability to respond quickly to changing market
conditions and our active risk management and hedging program.
Despite the prevailing global volatility, Saturn is positioned for
resiliency, and to continue pursuing accretive opportunities to
expand our high-quality asset base, enhance funds flow and support
continued financial flexibility.”
Summary of Corporate Reserves
The following is a summary of the Company’s
estimated corporate reserves as at December 31, 2019, as evaluated
by Ryder Scott.
Reserves Category |
Light and Medium Oil |
Heavy Oil |
Natural Gas Liquids |
Conventional Natural Gas |
Barrels of Oil Equivalent |
Liquids Ratio |
(Mbbls) |
(Mbbls) |
(Mbbls) |
(Mcf) |
(Mboe) |
(%) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
875.0 |
- |
- |
- |
875.0 |
100 |
Developed
Non-producing |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Undeveloped |
2,549.4 |
188.0 |
- |
- |
2,737.5 |
100 |
Total
Proved |
3,424.5 |
188.0 |
- |
- |
3,612.5 |
100 |
Probable |
3,512.5 |
292.9 |
- |
- |
3,805.4 |
100 |
Total Proved + Probable |
6,937.0 |
480.9 |
- |
- |
7,418.0 |
100 |
Reconciliation of Reserves
FACTORS |
Total Proved (Mbbls) |
Total Probable (Mbbls) |
Total Proved + Probable
(Mbbls) |
As of December
31, 2018 |
2,190.6 |
|
2,364.4 |
|
4,555.0 |
|
Acquisitions |
765.8 |
|
2,438.6 |
|
3,204.4 |
|
Dispositions |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Drilling (Extensions and Improved Recovery) |
1,239.6 |
|
(184.9 |
) |
1,054.7 |
|
Discoveries |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Technical Revisions |
(300.0 |
) |
(720.8 |
) |
(1,020.8 |
) |
Pricing (Economic Factors) |
(0.9 |
) |
(91.8 |
) |
(92.7 |
) |
Production |
(282.6 |
) |
- |
|
(282.6 |
) |
As of December
31, 2019 |
3,612.5 |
|
3,805.4 |
|
7,418.0 |
|
Notes: (1) Reserve additions under Infill
drilling, Improved recovery, and Extensions are combined and
reported as “Drilling (Extensions and Improved
Recovery)”.(2) Drilling (Extensions and Improved Recovery)
column has a negative Total Probable reconciliation due to the
substantial volume of reserves converted from probable to
proven/producing.(3) Technical revisions accounted for 12% of
the total proved, 21% of the total probable and 17% of the total
proved plus probable reconciliation.(4) Company Gross Reserves
exclude royalty volumes
Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue Before Income
Taxes
The following table is a summary of the
estimated net present values of future net revenue (before income
taxes) associated with Saturn’s reserves as at December 31, 2019,
discounted at the indicated percentage rates per year, as evaluated
in the Ryder Scott Report.
Reserves Category |
0 |
% |
5 |
% |
10 |
% |
15 |
% |
20 |
% |
(MM$) |
|
(MM$) |
|
(MM$) |
|
(MM$) |
|
(MM$) |
|
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
34.85 |
|
30.09 |
|
26.45 |
|
23.71 |
|
21.61 |
|
Developed
Non-Producing |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Undeveloped |
69.26 |
|
48.80 |
|
34.60 |
|
24.68 |
|
17.59 |
|
Total
Proved |
104.12 |
|
78.89 |
|
61.05 |
|
48.39 |
|
39.19 |
|
Probable |
128.53 |
|
79.08 |
|
50.60 |
|
33.64 |
|
23.13 |
|
Total Proved + Probable |
232.64 |
|
157.97 |
|
111.65 |
|
82.03 |
|
62.32 |
|
Future Development Capital
The following table provides a summary of the
estimated FDC required to bring Saturn’s TP and TP+P undeveloped
reserves to production, as reflected in the Ryder Scott Report,
which costs have been deducted in Ryder Scott’s estimation of
future net revenue associated with such reserves.
|
Total |
Total Proved |
Future Development Costs (MM$) |
Proved |
+ Probable |
2020 |
18.7 |
18.7 |
2021 |
22.1 |
22.1 |
2022 |
26.4 |
26.4 |
2023 |
- |
30.0 |
Remainder |
- |
47.8 |
Total FDC undiscounted |
67.2 |
141.9 |
Price ForecastThe following
table summarizes Ryder Scott’s commodity price forecast and foreign
exchange rate assumptions as at December 31, 2019, as applied in
the Ryder Scott Report, for the next five years.
Year |
Exchange Rate |
WTI @ Cushing |
Canadian Light Sweet 40º API |
Western Canada Select 20.5º API |
US$/C$ |
(US$/bbl) |
(C$/bbl) |
(C$/bbl) |
2020 |
0.76 |
60.00 |
71.08 |
55.74 |
2021 |
0.77 |
63.00 |
73.64 |
58.14 |
2022 |
0.77 |
66.00 |
76.86 |
61.16 |
2023 |
0.77 |
68.00 |
78.99 |
63.17 |
2024 |
0.77 |
70.00 |
81.12 |
65.16 |
No provision for interest, risk management
contracts, debt service charges and general and administrative
expenses have been made and it should not be assumed that the net
present values of the reserves estimated by Ryder Scott represents
the fair market value of the reserves. A reserves committee,
comprised of independent board members, reviews the qualifications
and appointment of the independent reserves evaluator and reviews
the procedures for providing information to the evaluators.
2019 Capital Program Efficiency
|
Finding, Development & Acquisition
(“FD&A”)(1) |
Finding &
Development(“F&D”)(1) |
|
PDP |
TP |
TP+P |
PDP |
TP |
TP+P |
Capital Costs
($000s) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and
Development capital(2) |
16,420.7 |
16,420.7 |
16,420.7 |
16,420.7 |
16,420.7 |
16,420.7 |
Acquisition capital(2)
|
1,224.0 |
1,224.0 |
1,224.0 |
- |
- |
- |
Net change in FDC(3) |
- |
31,753.0 |
64,807.0 |
- |
31,753.0 |
64,807.0 |
Total
capital |
17,644.7 |
49,397.7 |
82,451.7 |
16,420.7 |
48,173.7 |
81,227.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserves Additions
(Mboe) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total reserves, end of
year |
875.0 |
3,612.5 |
7,418.0 |
875.0 |
3,612.5 |
7,418.0 |
Total reserves,
beginning of year |
557.1 |
2,190.6 |
4,555.0 |
557.1 |
2,190.6 |
4,555.0 |
Production |
282.6 |
282.6 |
282.6 |
282.6 |
282.6 |
282.6 |
Total additions |
600.6 |
1,704.5 |
3,145.6 |
600.6 |
1,704.5 |
3,145.6 |
2019 FD&A and
F&D Costs ($/boe) |
29.38 |
28.98 |
26.21 |
27.34 |
28.26 |
25.82 |
2018 FD&A and F&D Costs
($/boe) |
40.09 |
37.54 |
28.73 |
33.92 |
35.69 |
27.89 |
2019 Recycle
Ratio(4) |
1.8x |
1.8x |
2.0x |
1.9x |
1.8x |
2.0x |
2018 Recycle Ratio(4) |
0.8x |
0.8x |
1.1x |
0.9x |
0.8x |
1.1x |
Notes: (1) The calculation of F&D and
FD&A costs incorporates the change in FDC required to bring
proved undeveloped and probable reserves into production. In all
cases, the F&D or FD&A number is calculated by dividing the
identified capital expenditures, after changes in FDC, by the
applicable reserves additions. We have disclosed both F&D costs
and FD&A costs because historically, acquisition costs have
been a significant component of our total capital expenditures and
strategy, and also due to the difficulty in allocating changes in
future development costs between reserve additions from drilling,
technical revisions and acquisitions. (2) Exploration,
development and acquisition capital (unaudited) related to: land
acquisition and retention; drilling; completions; tangible well
site; and tie-ins.(3) FDC as per Ryder Scott, based on Ryder
Scott’s December 31, 2019 forecast prices and
costs.(4) Recycle ratio is defined as operating netback for
the year, divided by F&D or FD&A costs, as applicable, on a
per boe basis. Operating netback is calculated as revenue minus
royalties, operating costs and transportation expense on a per boe
basis. Saturn’s unaudited estimated operating netback in 2019 and
2018 averaged $51.98/bbl and $14.85/bbl,
respectively.(5) Columns may not add due to rounding.
Financial Discipline and Cost Control
In addition to reserves data, Saturn also
announces an update on the Company’s commitment to financial
discipline and cost controls. In response to the impacts of
COVID-19, as well as extremely low commodity prices, Saturn has
proactively reduced corporate salaries for all employees by 20%.
However, the safety and security of Saturn’s employees and service
providers remains a top priority and we continue to follow all
required and recommended practices both in the field and the office
to help curb the spread of the Coronavirus.
Option Grant
Saturn also announces that pursuant to the
Company's Stock Option Plan (the “Plan”) it has granted a total of
500,000 stock options at a price of $0.10 per common share to
Saturn’s new board member, Jim Payne, who was appointed on March
11, 2020. As per the Plan, the options granted are exercisable
until August 14, 2024 and vest over a period of 18 months from the
date of grant. Grant of the options are subject to the approval of
the TSX Venture Exchange. All securities issued on exercise thereof
are subject to a hold period expiring four months and one day from
the date hereof.
About Saturn Oil & Gas Inc.
Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. (TSX.V: SOIL) (FSE:
SMK) is a public energy Company focused on the acquisition and
development of undervalued, low-risk assets. Saturn is driven to
build a strong portfolio of cash flowing assets with strategic land
positions. De-risked assets and calculated execution will allow
Saturn to achieve growth in reserves & production through
retained earnings. Saturn's portfolio will become its key to growth
and provide long-term stability to shareholders.
Investor & Media Contact:
Saturn Oil & GasJohn Jeffrey, MBA - CEO Tel: (306) 955-9946
www.saturnoil.com
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its
Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the
policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for
the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Unaudited Financial
InformationCertain financial and operating information
included in this news release for the quarter and year ended
December 31, 2019, including operating netback, F&D costs and
FD&A costs, are based on estimated unaudited financial results
for the year then ended, and are subject to the same limitations as
discussed under "Forward-looking information" set out below. These
estimated amounts may change upon the completion of audited
financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2019 and
changes could be material.
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil
and Gas Reserves and Non-IFRS Measures
Our oil and gas reserves statement for the year
ended December 31, 2019, which will include complete disclosure of
our oil and gas reserves and other oil and gas information in
accordance with NI 51-101, will be available on our SEDAR profile
at www.sedar.com today. The recovery and reserve estimates
contained herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that
the estimated reserves will be recovered. In relation to the
disclosure of estimates for individual properties or subsets
thereof, such estimates may not reflect the same confidence level
as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties,
due to the effects of aggregation.
This press release contains metrics commonly
used in the oil and natural gas industry, such as "recycle ratio",
"finding and development costs", "finding and development recycle
ratio", "finding, development and acquisition costs", finding,
development and acquisition recycle ratio”, “production
replacement”, and “production replacement ratio”. Each of these
metrics are determined by Saturn as specifically set forth in this
news release. These terms do not have standardized meanings or
standardized methods of calculation and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and
therefore should not be used to make such comparisons. Such metrics
have been included to provide readers with additional information
to evaluate the Company’s performance however, such metrics should
not be unduly relied upon for investment or other purposes.
Management uses these metrics for its own performance measurements
and to provide readers with measures to compare Saturn’s
performance over time.
Both F&D and FD&A costs take into
account reserves revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The
aggregate of the costs incurred in the financial year and changes
during that year in estimated FDC may not reflect total F&D
costs related to reserves additions for that year. Finding and
development costs both including and excluding acquisitions and
dispositions have been presented in this press release because
acquisitions and dispositions can have a significant impact on our
ongoing reserves replacement costs and excluding these amounts
could result in an inaccurate portrayal of our cost structure.
The reserves data estimates contained herein are
estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated
reserves will be recovered or that the related estimates of future
net revenues will be realized. There can be no assurance that the
forecast prices and cost assumptions applied by Ryder Scott in
evaluating the Company's reserves will be attained, and variances
between actual and forecast prices and costs could be material.
Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimated
volumes provided herein, and it should not be assumed that the
estimates of future net revenues presented herein represent the
fair market value of the reserves. Estimates in respect of
individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as
estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties,
due to the effects of aggregation. The Company's belief that it
will establish additional reserves over time with conversion of
probable undeveloped reserves into proved reserves is a
forward-looking statement and is based on certain assumptions and
is subject to certain risks, as discussed below under the heading
"Forward-looking information".
This press release contains financial and
performance metrics that are not defined in IFRS and do not have
standardized meanings or standardized methods of calculation. As
such, these terms may not be comparable to similar measures
presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to
make such comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein
to provide readers with additional information to evaluate the
Company's performance, however such metrics should not be unduly
relied upon. Management uses oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures
to compare Saturn’s operations over time. Readers are
cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or that
can be derived from the metrics presented in this press release,
should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes.
Within this press release, references are made
to “operating netback” which is not defined by IFRS and therefore
may not be comparable to performance measures presented by others.
Operating netback represents revenue less royalties, operating
costs and transportation expense. The operating netback is then
divided by the working interest production volumes to derive the
operating netback on a per Boe basis. Management believes that in
addition to net income (loss) and cash flow from operating
activities, operating netback is a useful supplemental measure as
it assists in the determination of the Company’s operating
performance, leverage and liquidity. Operating netback is
commonly used by investors to assess performance of oil and gas
properties and the possible impact of future commodity price
changes on energy producers. Investors should be cautioned,
however, that these measures should not be construed as an
alternative to either net income (loss) or cash flow from operating
activities, which are determined in accordance with IFRS, as
indicators of the Company’s performance.
Forward-Looking Information and
Statements
Certain statements contained in this release
include statements which contain words such as "anticipate",
"could", "should", "expect", "seek", "may", "intend", "likely",
"will", "believe" and similar expressions, relating to matters that
are not historical facts, and such statements of our beliefs,
intentions and expectations about development, results and events
which will or may occur in the future, constitute "forward-looking
information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities
legislation and are based on certain assumptions and analysis made
by us derived from our experience and perceptions. Forward-looking
information in this release includes, but is not limited to:
expected cash flow provided by continuing operations; future
capital expenditures, including the amount and nature thereof; oil
and natural gas prices and demand; expansion and other development
trends of the oil and gas industry; business strategy and outlook;
expansion and growth of our business and operations; and
maintenance of existing customer, supplier and partner
relationships; supply channels; accounting policies; credit risks;
and other such matters.
All such forward-looking information is based on
certain assumptions and analyses made by us in light of our
experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions
and expected future developments, as well as other factors we
believe are appropriate in the circumstances. The risks,
uncertainties, and assumptions are difficult to predict and may
affect operations, and may include, without limitation: foreign
exchange fluctuations; equipment and labour shortages and
inflationary costs; general economic conditions; industry
conditions; changes in applicable environmental, taxation and other
laws and regulations as well as how such laws and regulations are
interpreted and enforced; the ability of oil and natural gas
companies to raise capital; the effect of weather conditions on
operations and facilities; the existence of operating risks;
volatility of oil and natural gas prices; oil and gas product
supply and demand; risks inherent in the ability to generate
sufficient cash flow from operations to meet current and future
obligations; increased competition; stock market volatility;
opportunities available to or pursued by us; and other factors,
many of which are beyond our control.
Actual results, performance or achievements
could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by,
this forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can
be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking
information will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what
benefits will be derived there from. Except as required by law,
Saturn disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise
any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
The forward-looking information contained herein
is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
Oil and Gas Advisories
Where amounts are expressed on a barrel of oil
equivalent (“Boe”) basis, natural gas volumes have been converted
to Boe using a ratio of 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas to one
barrel of oil (6 Mcf: 1 Bbl). This Boe conversion ratio is based on
an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. Given the value ratio based on the current price of crude
oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the
energy equivalency of 6 Mcf: 1 Bbl, utilizing a conversion ratio at
6 Mcf: 1 Bbl may be misleading as an indication of value. In this
release, Mmboe refers to millions of barrels of oil equivalent.
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