US GAS: Futures Fall To 10-Month Low As Temperatures Moderate
21 Septiembre 2011 - 2:55PM
Noticias Dow Jones
Natural gas futures fell to a 10-month low Wednesday as
moderating temperatures across the U.S. keep a lid on demand for
heating and cooling.
Natural gas for October delivery settled down 6.8 cents, or
1.8%, to $3.730 a million British thermal units on the New York
Mercantile Exchange, the lowest settlement since November.
The natural gas market is entering the autumn "shoulder season,"
a period of sluggish demand due to falling electricity consumption.
Across the U.S., falling temperatures prompt consumers to turn off
their air conditioners. But they likely won't be turning on the
heat for several weeks.
"It's a triple punch here. We're seeing production rising to
record levels, we're seeing demand at its lowest level for the year
with temperatures dropping and tomorrow we've got storage coming in
above 90," said Matt Smith, an analyst with Summit Energy.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration is expected to report
that 91 billion cubic feet of gas was added to storage last week,
according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey of analysts and traders.
An injection of that size would be represent a larger increase than
normal, due to mild weather limiting demand for heating and power
plant fuel.
The EIA is scheduled to release its storage data at 10:30 a.m.
EDT Thursday.
Elevated production and a relatively mild hurricane season
pushed gas futures under the psychologically significant $4/MMBtu
marker earlier this month and traders haven't looked back. Futures
and are down 9% since the beginning of September.
Still, analysts said that prices are reaching levels low enough
to discourage bets on a deeper drop. A bout of cold weather in the
next couple weeks would likely bring a rebound, and traders are
keeping one eye on the tropics for any potential disruptions to
output.
"The real support as we get closer to November is the risk of an
early onset of cold. That's going to prevent people from adding on
much more to their short position," said Gene McGillian, a broker
and analyst with Tradition Energy.
Tropical Storm Ophelia, the 15th named storm in the Atlantic
this year, is strengthening as it moves westward over the tropical
Atlantic with sustained winds increasing to 60 miles per hour, the
National Hurricane Center said.
FUTURES SETTLEMENT NET CHANGE
Nymex Oct $3.730 -6.8c
Nymex Nov $3.820 -6.5c
Nymex Dec $4.099 -4.3c
CASH HUB RANGE PREVIOUS DAY
Henry Hub $3.7625-$3.83 $3.78-$3.85
Transco 65 $3.755-$3.79 $3.825-$3.86
Tex East M3 $3.96-$4.02 $4.025-$4.07
Transco Z6 $4.005-$4.04 $4.04-$4.10
SoCal $4.00-$4.03 $4.05-$4.1075
El Paso Perm $3.63-$3.72 $3.70-$3.73
El Paso SJ $3.59-$3.72 $3.65-$3.71
Waha $3.64-$3.69 $3.73-$3.79
Katy $3.695-$3.73 $3.77-$3.84
-By Jerry A. DiColo, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2155;
jerry.dicolo@dowjones.com