Bitcoin Supply Structure Very Similar To Early 2019, Bull Run Ahead?
18 Abril 2023 - 08:00AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency in the market, reached a
new yearly high last week. However, since then, it has been trading
within a new range between $29,500 and $30,000, failing to
consolidate above this key level and continue its rally towards
higher territories. According to new data analyzed by Satoshi Club,
a leading cryptocurrency platform, Bitcoin has built a strong
foundation below $30,000, with the current supply structure
resembling that of early 2016 and 2019. This news comes as a
promising sign for bulls, suggesting that Bitcoin’s future may be
brighter than previously thought. Is Bitcoin Poised For New Highs?
According to Satoshi Club, the supply distribution of Bitcoin has
been split into two: pre-FTX collapse for long-term holders (LTH)
supply and post-collapse for short-term holders (STH)
supply. This has resulted in LTH supply near all-time highs
for several months or even a year. Furthermore, according to
Satoshi Club, BTC’s Long-Term Holder supply has reached a new
all-time high of 14.161 million BTC. Meanwhile, the Short-Term
Holder supply remains steady at 2.914 million BTC. Related
Reading: Binance Coin (BNB) Rallies 8% Ahead Of Hard Fork Upgrade
The most recent bull runs in 2016 and 2019 took 18-24 months to
start, and during those times, Bitcoin saw a quick spike in
long-term holdings in profit, followed by profit-taking. Currently,
Bitcoin is experiencing strength in its price, with year-to-date
(YTD) gains backed by an “explosive uptick” in coins held at a
profit. This means that more and more investors are holding onto
their BTC, as they are currently in profit. This is a positive sign
for the market as it indicates that investors have faith in the
long-term potential of Bitcoin. Additionally, Satoshi Club
highlights that in the current market environment, the foundation
of Bitcoin appears to be much stronger than in previous bear
markets. In 2023, 6.2 million Bitcoin returned to profit, which
represents 32.3% of the total supply. This indicates a strong cost
basis foundation below $30,000, which is a positive sign for the
long-term prospects of BTC. Moreover, according to Satoshi Club,
Bitcoin is unlikely to visit prices below $15,500 in the short
term. This prediction is based on the current supply structure of
Bitcoin, which indicates that there is significant support for the
cryptocurrency at this price point. BTC Bulls Rejoice CryptoQuant,
a leading crypto market data analytics platform, has released an
analysis on the use of the “net volume” movement in predicting
Bitcoin price fluctuations in the futures market. The analysis
suggests that using a 72-day moving average to analyze the
difference between long and short position volumes can help to some
extent in predicting BTC price fluctuations. According to
CryptoQuant’s analysis, the current Bitcoin position in the futures
market is similar to what was observed in November and December
2020. From a sentiment perspective, the potential for Bitcoin’s
price to rise is greater as increasing short positions are being
liquidated. Related Reading: Shiba Inu (SHIB) Breakout Fails, But A
Huge Rally Is Still Possible At the time of writing, the largest
cryptocurrency in the market is trading at $30,000 and has been
trading sideways for the past 24 hours. However, if BTC can
maintain its current trading zone, there is potential for it to
bounce from the support level and reach new yearly highs. Featured
image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView.com
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