Employers Expect Third Consecutive Year of Health Benefit Cost Increases Above 5% in 2025, According to Mercer
12 Septiembre 2024 - 8:00AM
Business Wire
Today, Mercer, a business of Marsh McLennan (NYSE: MMC) and a
global leader in helping clients realize their investment
objectives, shape the future of work and enhance health and
retirement outcomes for their people, released preliminary results
from its 2024 National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health
Plans.
According to an analysis of responses from over 1,800 US
employers, total health benefit cost per employee is expected to
rise 5.8% on average in 2025, even after accounting for planned
cost-reduction measures. Employers estimated that their cost would
rise by about 7%, on average, if they took no action to lower cost.
Smaller employers (those with 50-499 employees), which typically
have fully insured health plans, have been hit the hardest. They
reported that cost would rise by about 9% on average if they took
no action to lower cost.
Based on these projections, 2025 would be the third consecutive
year of health benefit cost increases above 5%, following a decade
of cost increases averaging only around 3%. Meanwhile, general
inflation has cooled, suggesting that other factors are
contributing to the higher health benefit cost trend.
Complex forces driving higher cost trend
According to Sunit Patel, Mercer’s US Chief Actuary for Health
and Benefits, several factors are contributing to faster cost
growth. Mr. Patel said, “While we’ve seen significant increases in
utilization in a few areas, such as for behavioral healthcare and
GLP-1 medications, overall utilization has had a relatively modest
impact on trend this year. The biggest driver of higher costs is
price dynamics, some of which are macro in nature.”
One source of pricing pressure is the widening gap between the
supply of healthcare workers and the demand for healthcare
services, which is building as older Americans become a larger part
of the population. Another is the continuing consolidation of
health systems – which shows no sign of slowing down. Mr. Patel
notes, “Consolidation may generate savings in the future through
increased efficiency and improved integration, but there is
evidence it is putting pressure on pricing, as larger health
systems have greater negotiating power than smaller systems.”
Spending on prescription drugs remains the fastest-growing
component of health benefit cost. Employers reported that drug
benefit cost per employee rose 7.2% in 2024. The ongoing
introduction of very high-cost gene and cellular therapies is
contributing to this higher cost growth.
The employer response to faster cost growth
The survey results suggest that about half of employers (53%)
will make cost-cutting changes to their plans in 2025, an increase
from 44% in 2024. Generally, these changes involve raising
deductibles and other cost-sharing provisions and result in higher
out-of-pocket costs for plan members when they seek care. In recent
years, many employers have avoided making these types of changes,
but this becomes more difficult in a period of sustained higher
cost growth.
According to Tracy Watts, Mercer’s National Leader of US Health
Policy, “Employers are still concerned about healthcare
affordability and ensuring that employees can afford the
out-of-pocket costs when they seek care. But they also need to
manage the overall cost of healthcare coverage to achieve a
sustainable level of spending for the organization. Balancing these
competing priorities will be a challenge over the next few
years.”
Because the cost of healthcare coverage is typically shared
between the employer and employee, managing cost is also important
to minimize growth in employee premium contributions. On average,
employees will pay for 21% of health insurance premiums through
paycheck deductions in 2025, the same as in 2024.
About Mercer’s National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health
Plans
The 2024 National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Plans
launched on June 12. The preliminary results are based on responses
from over 1,800 employers through August 12. The final survey
results, which will include about 2,200 employers, will be released
later this year.
About Mercer
Mercer, a business of Marsh McLennan (NYSE: MMC), is a global
leader in helping clients realize their investment objectives,
shape the future of work and enhance health and retirement outcomes
for their people. Marsh McLennan is a global leader in risk,
strategy and people, advising clients in 130 countries across four
businesses: Marsh, Guy Carpenter, Mercer and Oliver Wyman. With
annual revenue of $23 billion and more than 85,000 colleagues,
Marsh McLennan helps build the confidence to thrive through the
power of perspective. For more information, visit mercer.com, or
follow on LinkedIn and X.
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240912355491/en/
Media: Ashleigh Jang Mercer +1 917 647 0070
Ashleigh.Jang@mercer.com
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