Kamala Harris
is among the potential replacements to eclipse Biden in support,
but the vice president is far from a front-runner, the poll
shows.
WASHINGTON,
July 10,
2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Several Democratic leaders hold
an edge in support over President Joe
Biden among young adults in a head-to-head race against
former President Donald Trump, a new
survey from U.S. News & World Report and Generation Lab
reveals.
Uniquely examining the attitudes and opinions of
the nation's youngest voting bloc in key battleground states, the
survey results come as part of a collaboration between U.S. News
and Generation Lab.
Among the key findings of the survey of adults
ages 18-34:
- In a head-to-head matchup against Trump, the poll finds
that Biden beats Donald Trump among
young adults, 59% to 41%. In 2020, survey respondents who voted
preferred Biden over Trump, 69% to 25% (MoE: +/- 3.9 percentage
points).
- Other Democrats do better than Biden in
head-to-head matchups against Trump, including Vice
President Kamala Harris, Michigan
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and
California Gov. Gavin Newsom – each of whom earned 63% support
compared with Trump's 37%.
- Former first lady Michelle
Obama, who has never expressed interest in running,
beats Trump 72% to 28%.
- When given a slate of 13 Democratic and Republican candidates
and asked who they would vote for if the election were held that
day, 22% of overall survey respondents chose
Trump, compared with 17% who chose Biden and
just 4% who chose Harris.
- Biden's most fervent message – that democracy is on the
ballot this election – hasn't broken through to young adults:
38% say they neither agree nor disagree with that statement,
compared with 46% who agree or strongly agree and 17% who disagree
or strongly disagree.
- Young adults are split when asked whether they agree or
disagree with the statement, "I am better off right now than I was
four years ago": 37% say they disagree or strongly disagree,
31% say they agree or strongly agree, and 32% say they neither
agree nor disagree. Among those reporting they are not better off,
70% cite the state of the economy.
- Just 49% of young adults definitely plan to vote in
the upcoming presidential election.
"Our survey makes it clear that President Biden
is bleeding support among young Americans as Democrats consider
whether the 81-year-old president is the party's best candidate to
face off against former President Donald
Trump in November," said Dafna
Linzer, U.S. News' editorial director and executive vice
president. "In this crucial election cycle, our work with
Generation Lab will help U.S. News provide comprehensive data to
those seeking insights into the hearts and minds of our nation's
young voters as we approach the 2024 presidential election."
"The upcoming presidential election will likely
be decided by a small margin, so these polls will be vital in
understanding where the younger generation stands, and what may
ultimately tip the scales of the election one way or the other,"
said Jira Smith, Generation Lab's
director of research.
The survey was conducted online by Generation Lab
on June 28-July 5, 2024, among a
nationally representative sample of 2,040 U.S. adults, ages
18-34 living in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio,
Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, yielding a margin error of +/- 2.2
percentage points.
For additional survey findings, U.S. News has
published related content including an overview as well as an
analysis on Biden's pain points with young Americans.
About U.S. News & World Report
U.S.
News & World Report is the global leader in quality rankings
that empower consumers, business leaders and policy officials to
make better, more informed decisions about important issues
affecting their lives and communities. A multifaceted digital media
company with Education, Health, Money, Travel, Cars, News, Real
Estate and 360 Reviews platforms, U.S. News provides rankings,
independent reporting, data journalism, consumer advice and U.S.
News Live events. More than 40 million people visit USNews.com each
month for research and guidance. Founded in 1933, U.S. News is
headquartered in Washington,
D.C.
About Generation Lab
Generation Lab is
one of the leading polling firms in the country; tapping the
largest database of young respondents in America, Generation Lab
conducts polling and research that's scientific enough for
Stanford, quick enough for Axios,
valuable enough for Walmart, impactful enough for Rockefeller
Foundation, and innovative enough for Andreesen Horowitz.
Generation Lab helps governments, corporations, journalists, and
the public understand and make decisions about young people. To
learn more, visit https://www.generationlab.org/.
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SOURCE U.S. News & World Report, L.P.