UK Economy Logs Stronger Than Estimated Growth
29 Septiembre 2023 - 2:45AM
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The UK economy registered a stronger than estimated recovery in
the first half of the year despite high inflation and tighter
monetary policy.
Gross domestic product registered a sequential growth of 0.2
percent in the second quarter, which was unchanged from the first
estimate, the Office for National Statistics reported Friday. This
followed an upwardly revised growth of 0.3 percent in the first
quarter.
As a result, GDP was 1.8 percent above the pre-coronavirus
pandemic levels in the second quarter. Britain's growth rate has
now exceeded those of France and Germany.
On the production-side, services output expanded 0.2 percent,
unrevised from the previous estimate.
The growth in production sector was revised up to 1.2 percent
from 0.7 percent, while growth in construction output was confirmed
at 0.3 percent.
Although GDP data showed that the economy was a bit more
resilient than previously thought, higher interest rates will
trigger a mild recession involving a 0.5 percent fall in GDP in the
coming quarters, Capital Economics' economist Ruth Gregory
said.
The expenditure-side of GDP showed that there were increases in
household consumption and government spending. This was partially
offset by a fall in the volume of net trade.
Household spending grew 0.5 percent and government spending
moved up 2.5 percent.
Gross fixed capital formation posted a sequential growth of 0.8
percent, revised up from no growth estimated previously. The
increase in business investment was revised up to 4.1 percent from
3.4 percent.
Inventories fell by GBP 3.2 billion in the second quarter,
revised down from a fall of GBP 2.0 billion in the first
estimate.
The total trade deficit was 1.5 percent of nominal GDP, revised
up from a first estimate deficit of 2.4 percent.
Data showed that with income growing more than expenditure, the
household saving ratio increased 9.1 percent, up from 7.9 percent a
quarter ago.
The ONS revised up economic growth for 2022 to 4.3 percent from
4.1 percent.
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