Verde AgriTech Ltd (TSX: “NPK”)
(“
Verde” or the “
Company”)
announces its financial results for the third quarter ended
September 30, 2023 (“
Q3 2023”).
“Our Q3 results overcame the turbulent market conditions
experienced in 2023. More importantly, there are reasons for
optimism regarding a market recovery: the Brazilian Central Bank
has reduced its interest rates and its latest announcements
indicate further upcoming reductions, and agricultural commodity
prices have stabilized. These factors provide better conditions for
farmers, who have grappled with a squeeze in working capital from
late 2022 throughout 2023. Furthermore, thanks to a $4.2 million
increase in Q3 2023, we have a positive outlook regarding our cash
position. This reinforces Verde's financial health to successfully
navigate what has been the most challenging agricultural market in
recent years,” commented Cristiano Veloso, Founder, President &
CEO of Verde.
Q3 2023 Financials
- Sales of Verde's multinutrient potassium products, BAKS® and K
Forte® sold internationally as Super Greensand® (the
“Product”) by volume in Q3 2023 were 108,000 tons,
compared to 189,000 tons in Q3 2022.
- Revenue in Q3 2023 was $9.4 million, compared to $27.3 million
in Q3 2022.
- Cash held by the Company in Q3 2023 was $9.3 million, compared
to $5.1 million in Q3 2022.
- Total non-current assets in Q3 2023 were $67.3 million,
compared to $55.8 million in Q3 2022.
- EBITDA before non-cash events in Q3 2023 was -$0.6 million,
compared to $8.1 million in Q3 2022.
- From Q1 to Q3 2023, the Company sold 323,000 tons of Product,
which have the potential to capture up to 38,760 tons of carbon
dioxide equivalent
(“CO2e”) from
the atmosphere via Enhanced Rock Weathering
(“ERW”).1 The net amount of carbon captured,
represented by carbon dioxide removal certificates
(“CORCs”), is estimated at 20,936 tons of
CO2e.2
- In Q3 2023, 8,559 tons of chloride have been prevented from
being applied into soils by farmers who used the Product in lieu of
potassium chloride (“KCl”) fertilizers.3 A total
of 138,241 tons of chloride has been prevented from being applied
into soils by Verde’s customers since the Company started
production.4
“Regarding the progress of our carbon capture project, we are
excited to announce that we will soon provide updates on the
commencement of field monitoring for the CO2 captured through the
application of our products. ERW initiatives seeking to generate
carbon credits must present their carbon removal quantification
methodologies to certification bodies, following strict criteria
and guidelines. Therefore, starting the monitoring of our Product's
carbon capture is crucial to validate the measurability of the
credits generated from its application to soil, ensuring full
compliance with the stringent standards of the carbon market.
Additionally, we are thrilled to announce upcoming results that
compare the carbon footprint of KCl with K Forte. This comparison
could reveal another significant opportunity for farmers to not
only reduce their own carbon footprint but also potentially capture
millions of tonnes of carbon, further advancing our commitment to
sustainable agriculture,” concluded Mr. Veloso.
Carbon Capture Potential
Verde's Products have a carbon capture potential of 120 kg CO2e
per ton of K Forte®
(“CO2e/t”).5 The
Life Cycle Assessment (“LCA”) calculated the
Product’s carbon footprint from cradle-to-gate at 7.44 kg CO2e/t.6
Therefore, the Company’s net carbon capture potential covering
activities from raw material extraction, processing and production
can reach 112.56 kg CO2e/t.7
The greenhouse gas emissions associated with the cradle-to-gate
cycle of K Forte® are relatively low, at less than 10% of the
amount of carbon captured by the Product. This can be attributed to
Verde's sustainable production processes, noticeably the 100% use
of renewable energy (hydroelectric) for the processing plants.
When considering the cradle-to-grave assessment8 of the Product,
which includes the final application of Products by farmers, the
shipping distance between Verde's production facilities and the
application site influences the range of greenhouse gas emissions
within Verde's supply chain.
Between Q1 and Q3 2023, the Company sold 323,000 tons of
Product, which have the potential to capture up to 38,760 tons of
CO2e. This
amount could result in a potential 20,936 tons of CORC, calculated
within the LCA and inclusive of shipping emissions.
Carbon credits for ERW are currently being negotiated in a range
of $138.78/t9 to $563.9/t.10
The following table shows the CORCs derived from the
cradle-to-grave life cycle assessment and market size for K Forte®,
according to the distance radius for the Product’s shipment from
Verde’s production facilities.
Net carbon sequestration for K Forte®’s
cradle-to-grave LCA and market size, according to shipment
distance
Distance from Verde’s production facilities
(km)11 |
CO2 Stored (kg
CO2e / t) |
CO2Supply Chain
Footprintweighted average(kg
CO2e /
t)12 |
CORCs weighted average(kg
CO2e /
t)13 |
Potash Market Size ('000 tons
K2O)14 |
Product’s Market Size ('000 tons K Forte®) |
Product’s Cumulative Market Size ('000 tons K
Forte®) |
0 - 200 |
120.00 |
15.11 |
104.89 |
61.06 |
610.62 |
610.62 |
200 - 400 |
120.00 |
23.62 |
96.38 |
430.66 |
4,306.65 |
4,917.27 |
400 - 600 |
120.00 |
32.52 |
87.48 |
884.40 |
8,844.01 |
13,761.29 |
600 - 800 |
120.00 |
42.51 |
77.49 |
897.40 |
8,974.03 |
22,735.31 |
Subsequent Events
- In October 2023, the Company appointed Lucas Brown as its new
Vice President of Corporate Development. Mr Brown is leading
Verde’s expansion into the carbon market, in addition to overseeing
the Company’s institutional and investor relations. He has
dedicated a decade working in Brazil, in the last four years
serving as the British Consul to Minas Gerais state.15
- In October 2023, the Company announced that it has secured
C$16.2 million in debt financing facility from Banco do Brasil S.A.
and Banco Bradesco S.A., the two largest Brazilian banks. The funds
raised will be used to replace existing debts that were at higher
interest rates and provide the Company with more favorable terms,
including 6 months of grace period for Bradesco’s loan and 12
months for Banco do Brasil’s loan. This will enable Verde to offer
financing solutions to potential customers, whilst fostering growth
and financial stability. The Financing consists of C$10.8 million
in debt from Banco do Brasil, Brazil’s largest bank, and C$5.4
million from Bradesco, the second largest financial Company in
Brazil. Additionally, Verde currently has C$20 million pre-approved
credit with banks in Brazil.16
- In October 2023, Verde announced the results of its first Life
Cycle Analysis, completed by LCA Design Corporation, a leading
Canadian consultancy firm. The LCA determines the climate impacts
associated with the production of Verde’s potassium fertilizer K
Forte® from cradle-to-grave. The LCA was conducted according to ISO
14040/44:2006 Standard and Puro Earth Enhanced Rock Weathering
Methodology.17
Market Overview
Agricultural Inputs Market
At the outset of the Ukrainian conflict in February 2022, there
were concerns in the market that geopolitical sanctions against
Russia would result in a significant shortage of fertilizers.
Amidst this period of uncertainty, with looming concerns over
potential fertilizer shortages, farmers hurried to secure these
essential inputs, often paying steep prices. This urgency to buy,
driven by the fear of scarcity, subsequently led to higher levels
of debt among the farming community. However, these concerns proved
to be unwarranted, as there was actually an oversupply of many
fertilizers in the market due to increased availability, including
potash fertilizers.
Year-end stock in Brazil (’000
tonnes)18
Product |
2021 |
2022 |
YoY |
Ammonium Sulfate |
610 |
848 |
39% |
Urea |
1,202 |
1,271 |
6% |
Monoammonium Phosphate
(MAP) |
872 |
781 |
-10% |
Single Super Phosphate
(SAP) |
816 |
1,288 |
58% |
KCl |
1,740 |
2,148 |
23% |
NPKs |
486 |
803 |
65% |
Total |
5,726 |
7,139 |
25% |
This scenario led to a consistent decline in fertilizer prices
from the second half of 2022 onwards. As the price of fertilizers
started to decrease, many farmers postponed their purchases of
agricultural inputs as much as possible, hoping that the downward
trend would lead to even lower prices. This delay directly impacted
Verde's sales volumes.
Additionally, the weather phenomenon, El Niño, in the latter
half of 2023 led farmers to adopt a more conservative investment
strategy.19 The anticipated severe heat and drought conditions
associated with El Niño, led to farmers adjusting their investment
strategies to mitigate the predicted challenges in crop
production.
Average KCl Price
After the historic high reached in 2022, the Average KCl CFR
price declined by 59% in Q3 2023, compared to Q3 2022, with a 34%
decrease from January to September 2023.
The table below compares Brazil’s monthly average KCl CFR prices
from 2022 to 2023:
KCl Brazil CFR average spot price
(US$)20
Month |
2022 |
2023 |
YoY |
January |
772 |
510 |
-34% |
February |
781 |
498 |
-36% |
March |
1,018 |
463 |
-54% |
April |
1,183 |
415 |
-65% |
May |
1,113 |
366 |
-67% |
June |
1,030 |
333 |
-68% |
July |
943 |
328 |
-65% |
August |
883 |
352 |
-60% |
September |
711 |
351 |
-51% |
October |
624 |
343 |
-45% |
November |
571 |
340* |
-40% |
December |
513 |
- |
- |
*As of November 09, 2023.
Other Fertilizers
The following tables present an overview of the price trends for
essential nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers, as well as sulfur
fertilizers, capturing the market's response to a period of
geopolitical unrest.
Granular Urea Brazil CFR average price
(US$)21
Month |
2022 |
2023 |
YoY |
January |
696 |
439 |
-37% |
February |
597 |
356 |
-40% |
March |
925 |
327 |
-65% |
April |
865 |
333 |
-62% |
May |
706 |
320 |
-55% |
June |
603 |
290 |
-52% |
July |
603 |
369 |
-39% |
August |
614 |
395 |
-36% |
September |
704 |
399 |
-43% |
October |
646 |
404 |
-38% |
November |
586 |
388* |
-34% |
*As of November 09, 2023.
Monoammonium phosphate (“MAP
11-52”)22 CFR Brazil average
price (US$)23
Month |
2022 |
2023 |
YoY |
January |
860 |
654 |
-24% |
February |
873 |
652 |
-25% |
March |
1,179 |
636 |
-46% |
April |
1,266 |
596 |
-53% |
May |
1,119 |
530 |
-53% |
June |
1,035 |
461 |
-56% |
July |
959 |
465 |
-51% |
August |
878 |
517 |
-41% |
September |
730 |
533 |
-27% |
October |
644 |
555 |
-14% |
November |
611 |
555* |
-9% |
*As of November 09, 2023.
Commodity Prices
The agricultural commodities market has been experiencing
significant fluctuations on a downward trend since H1 2022,
impacting the fertilizers’ market worldwide. The following table
shows the shifts in the price of some of the main commodities in
Brazil:
2022-2023 variance in Brazilian
commodities average prices (% R$)24
Month |
YoY ∆ |
Soybeans |
Coffee |
Corn |
Cotton |
January |
-1% |
-32% |
-10% |
-22% |
February |
-11% |
-24% |
-11% |
-25% |
March |
-19% |
-14% |
-15% |
-31% |
April |
-22% |
-12% |
-16% |
-40% |
May |
-29% |
-18% |
-33% |
-51% |
June |
-30% |
-30% |
-36% |
-47% |
July |
-23% |
-38% |
-33% |
-37% |
August |
-21% |
-36% |
-35% |
-36% |
September |
-21% |
-38% |
-35% |
-34% |
October |
-22% |
-27% |
-30% |
-22% |
November* |
-23% |
-10% |
-30% |
-24% |
YTD (Jan/Sep) ∆ |
-20% |
-27% |
-25% |
-34% |
*As of November 09, 2023.
As the prices of commodities initiated a downward trajectory in
2023, many farmers chose to delay their crop sales, anticipating a
market rebound that would fetch more favorable prices. Although the
decline in prices has halted, market values remain considerably
below the levels observed in 2022, further impacting the
agricultural sector.
Working capital constraints for Brazilian farmers
In 2023, the agricultural market is facing extreme conditions
characterized by a substantial depletion of farmers' working
capital.
The convergence of these circumstances aligns with the timeframe
when farmers need to procure essential agricultural inputs,
including fertilizers, for the upcoming planting season.
Consequently, Brazilian farmers are facing significant challenges
in securing financing for their planting activities.
These farmers opt to procure inputs from suppliers that provide
extended payment terms, combined with the most competitive interest
rates achievable. This strategy enables them to cover the expenses
associated with these inputs after generating revenue from the
imminent harvest, usually spanning a period of 9 to 12 months.
As a result, Brazilian farmers situation of reduced working
capital and demanding conditions for extended payment terms has led
to an elevated risk of customer default for fertilizer companies,
including Verde.
Brazilian Economy
In August 2023, the Central Bank of Brazil started lowering the
SELIC rate after a sequence of 12 consecutive rate hikes. On
November 01, 2023, the SELIC rate decreased to 12.25%.25 However,
this rate still represents the country's highest interest rate
since 2017.
The Central Bank of Brazil projects the SELIC rate to reach
11.75% per annum by the end of 2023, 9% in 2024, and 8.5% in 2025
and 2026.26 Annual inflation forecast for 2023 is 4.63%.27
The table below provides an overview of the SELIC rates spanning
from 2018 to 2023, along with the projections for 2024, 2025 and
2026.
SELIC interest rates28
Year |
Selic rate at year-end |
2017 |
7.00% |
2018 |
6.50% |
2019 |
4.50% |
2020 |
2.00% |
2021 |
9.25% |
2022 |
13.75% |
Current
rate |
12.25% |
2023 Forecast |
11.75% |
2024 Forecast |
9.00% |
2025 Forecast |
8.75% |
2026
Forecast |
8.50% |
Global Market Competition and Financing
In the midst of the most challenging conditions witnessed by the
fertilizer market in recent years, the Company is contending with
the intersection of two crucial factors: In 2022, Brazil
experienced its highest interest rates since 2006, a situation that
is beginning to show signs of improvement in 2023 but still impacts
the Company's financing conditions. Additionally, there is a
pressing demand from farmers for credit.
Verde’s average cost of debt is 16.4%. To incentivize sales, the
Company offers its customers a credit line that charges a spread to
its finance cost to comprise operational costs, provisions, and bad
debt, leading to an average lending cost of 18.2% for credit-based
purchases. The Company’s ability to provide financing with longer
tenors is considerably lower compared to international players29,
which translates into less competitive terms for its customers.
Unlike its competitors, Verde does not have the option to incur
most of its cost of debt in US dollar-denominated liabilities.
Overall, the Company is not able to provide financing for more than
20% of its revenue due to constraints related to lines of
credit.
Exchange Rate
The fluctuation in the exchange rate between the Canadian dollar
and the Brazilian Real during the quarter also influences the
Company's results. Canadian dollar devaluated by 7% versus
Brazilian Real in Q3 2023, with and average exchange rate of R$3.72
in the quarter, compared to R$3.99 in Q3 2022.
Market Outlook
The market outlook for agricultural inputs, particularly
fertilizers, is cautiously optimistic. Key trends and expectations
shaping this outlook include:
- Stabilization of Fertilizer
Prices: The global market has witnessed a stabilization in
the prices of KCl. This trend is expected to continue, providing a
more predictable cost environment for fertilizer production. The
stabilization of KCl prices is particularly significant for Verde,
as it could lead to more stable pricing strategies and potentially
improved profit margins.
- The market also demonstrates a
returning stability in urea, MAP 11-52 and sulphur fertilizers
prices following last year’s volatile scenario.
- Steadying of Agricultural
Commodity Prices: After a period of fluctuation,
agricultural commodity prices are showing signs of steadying. This
stabilization is likely to positively influence farmers' investment
capabilities in agricultural inputs, including fertilizers.
- Brazilian Economic
Indicators: The Brazilian Central Bank's recent reduction
in interest rates, with the potential for further cuts, could
alleviate financial constraints on farmers. This would facilitate
their business development and acquisition of essential inputs.
Should the SELIC rate decrease to the anticipated 8.5%, Verde is
projected to benefit from interest expense savings of C$1.1 million
by the end of 2024 and C$2.7 million by Q4 2026.
- Global Potash Market
Dynamics: As a major potash producer, Verde is
well-positioned in the global potash market, particularly with
Brazil's reliance on imported potash. Verde's domestic production
capabilities place it favorably to efficiently meet local
demand.
- Focus on Climate Change and
Sustainability: As the global shift towards sustainable
agriculture gains momentum and environmental impact becomes a
critical evaluation metric, Verde's commitment to sustainable
fertilizers and its carbon capture initiative positions the company
favorably in response to this market transition.
Selected Annual Financial Information
The table below summarizes Q3 2023 financial results compared to
Q3 2022 and year-to-date (“YTD”):
All amounts in CAD $’000 |
Q3 2023 |
|
Q3 2022 |
|
YTD 2023 |
|
YTD 2022 |
|
Tons sold
‘000 |
108 |
|
189 |
|
323 |
|
503 |
|
Average Revenue per
ton sold $ er ton sold
$ |
87 |
|
144 |
|
95 |
|
126 |
|
Average Production
cost per ton sold $ |
(28) |
|
(32) |
|
(24) |
|
(28) |
|
Average Gross Profit
per ton sold $ s fit per ton |
59 |
|
112 |
|
71 |
|
98 |
|
Gross
Margin |
67% |
|
78% |
|
75% |
|
78% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue |
9,375 |
|
27,269 |
|
30,805 |
|
63,434 |
|
Production
costs(1) on
costs |
(3,056) |
|
(6,069) |
|
(7,680) |
|
(14,055) |
|
Gross Profit |
6,319 |
|
21,200 |
|
23,125 |
|
49,379 |
|
Gross Margin |
67% |
|
78% |
|
75% |
|
78% |
|
Sales and marketing
expenses |
(695) |
|
(1,866) |
|
(3,026) |
|
(3,895) |
|
Product delivery
freight expenses |
(3,919) |
|
(9,187) |
|
(11,509) |
|
(19,200) |
|
General and
administrative expenses |
(2,328) |
|
(1,970) |
|
(5,142) |
|
(3,666) |
|
EBITDA
(2) |
(623) |
|
8,177 |
|
3,448 |
|
22,618 |
|
Share Based and Bonus
Payments (Non-Cash
Event)(3) |
(261) |
|
(20) |
|
(145) |
|
(124) |
|
Depreciation,
Amortisation and P/L on disposal of plant and
equipment (3) |
(973) |
|
(84) |
|
(2,852) |
|
(148) |
|
Operating Profit after non-cash events |
(1,857) |
|
8,073 |
|
451 |
|
22,346 |
|
Interest
Income/Expense (4) |
(1,593) |
|
(722) |
|
(3,586) |
|
(1,152) |
|
Net Profit before tax |
(3,450) |
|
7,351 |
|
(3,135) |
|
21,194 |
|
Income tax
(5) |
(14) |
|
(893) |
|
(196) |
|
(2,079) |
|
Net Profit |
(3,464) |
|
6,458 |
|
(3,331) |
|
19,115 |
|
(1) – C$2,693,000 of depreciation in 2023 related to the
investments made in Plant 1, Plant 2 and access routes improvement
in the last 12 months that are included in production costs in the
financial statements have been reclassified to a non-cash event in
the MD&A.(2) – Non GAAP measure.(3) – Included in General and
Administrative expenses in financial statements.(4) – Please see
Summary of Interest-Bearing Loans and Borrowings notes.(5) – Please
see Income Tax notes.
External Factors
Revenue and costs are affected by external factors including
changes in the exchange rates between the US$, C$ and R$ along with
fluctuations in potassium chloride spot CFR Brazil, agricultural
commodities prices, interest rates, among other factors.
For further details, please refer to the Market Overview section
(page 04):
Q3 2023 compared with Q3 2022
EBITDA and EPS
The Company had an EBITDA of -$600,000 in Q3 2023, compared to
$8,200,000 in Q3 2022. This decrease can be mainly attributed to
the factors below, outlined in greater detail within the Market
Overview section (please refer to page 04):
- Increased bad debt provision: The increase in
bad debt provision has increased the general expenses, further
impacting on the Company’s financial position. In Q3 2023, the
Company recognized a bad-debt provision of $563,000, which exerted
a considerable impact on the general expenses and, consequently,
EBTIDA. As outlined in the Market Overview section, 2023 has proven
to be a demanding year for the agricultural sector, However, the
Company is currently in active negotiations with these clients. If
the negotiations are successful, the provision will be
reversed.
- Potassium chloride price decline: The average
price of KCl CFR Brazil experienced a substantial 59% decrease in
Q3 2023 when compared to the same period in 2022, with a 34%
decrease from January to September 2023.
- Extreme market conditions and working capital
constraints: The current agricultural market scenario is
characterized by extreme challenges, including working capital
constraints for Brazilian farmers due to low agricultural commodity
prices and financial market instability. Farmers are encountering
difficulties in financing planting activities and are opting for
extended payment terms with competitive interest rates from
suppliers.
- Intensified competition and financing
conditions: Larger international competitors benefit from
lower financing costs within their countries and possess larger
balance sheets. These advantages enable them to extend more
appealing interest rates and favorable commercial terms to farmers
when supplying products, giving them a distinctive competitive
edge. Verde's capacity to offer competitive credit terms to farmers
encounters limitations due to the Company's higher cost of debt
compared to these well-established competitors. This financial
discrepancy impairs Verde's ability to match the financing terms
offered by its competitors, impacting its appeal to farmers seeking
more favorable credit options.
- Sales price and volume: Verde’s average sales
price per ton had a decrease of 40% in Q3 2023, in addition to a
43% decrease in the sales volume. This was mainly driven by the
lower potassium chloride prices and additional discounts provided
by the Company, aiming to increase market adoption.
- Shift in product mix due to constrained working
capital: With many farmers facing restricted cash flows,
there has been a noticeable shift towards opting for
lower-value-added products. Consequently, the utilization of
micronutrients, which do not fall within the essential NPK elements
for plants, has witnessed a reduction. This shift has culminated in
a decrease in the sales proportion of BAKS, Verde's higher-margin
product, from 11% to 8% in the third quarter of 2023.
Basic loss per share was $0.066 for Q3 2023, compared to
earnings of $0.126 for Q3 2022.
Product Sales
Sales by volume decreased by 43% in Q3 2023, to 108,000 tons
sold, compared to 189,000 tons sold in Q3 2022.
The combination of the previously described factors of extreme
market conditions explained in detail within the Market Overview
section (page 03) has brought forth noteworthy challenges for the
agricultural sector, also impacting Verde's sales volumes.
Revenue
Revenue from sales decreased by 66% in Q3 2023, to $9,375,000
from the sale of 108,000 tons of Product, at average $87 per ton
sold; compared to $27,269,000 in Q3 2022 from the sale of 189,000
tons of Product, at average $144 per ton sold.
Average revenue per ton excluding freight expenses (FOB price)
decreased by 47% in Q3 2023, to $51 compared to $95 in Q3 2022
mainly due to the decrease in Potassium Chloride CFR Brazil, from
US$640-US$980 per ton in Q3 2022 to US$310-US$360 per ton in Q3
2023.30 This reduction was partially offset by the 7% appreciation
of the Brazilian Real against the Canadian
Dollar.
Production costs
Production costs include all direct costs from mining,
processing, and the addition of other nutrients to the Product,
such as Sulphur and Boron. It also includes the logistics costs
from the mine to the plant and related salaries.
Verde’s production costs and sales price are based on the
following assumptions:
- Micronutrients added to BAKS® increase its production cost,
rendering K Forte® less expensive to produce.
- Production costs vary based on packaging type, with bulk
packaging being less expensive than Jumbo Bags.
- Plant 1 produces K Forte® Bulk, K Forte® Jumbo Bag (sold in
1-ton bags), BAKS® Bulk, and BAKS® Jumbo Bag, while Plant 2
exclusively produces K Forte® Bulk. Therefore, Plant 2’s production
costs are lower than Plant 1’s costs, which produces two types of
Products and offers two types of packaging options each.
The table below shows a breakdown of full year 2023 Verde’s
production costs projection for BAKS® and K Forte®, and what
percentage of those costs is not controllable by management:
|
(+) |
(+) |
(=) |
|
Cost per ton of product projected for
202331 (C$) |
Cash cost |
Assets depreciation |
Total cost expected for
202332 |
Non-controllable costs (% of total costs) |
K Forte® Bulk (Plant 1) |
20.2 |
3.8 |
24.0 |
61% |
K Forte® Bulk (Plant 2) |
10.2 |
2.8 |
13.0 |
58% |
K Forte® Jumbo Bag (Plant
1) |
30.4 |
2.8 |
33.2 |
71% |
BAKS® (2%S 0.2%B)33 Bulk
(Plant 1) |
42.1 |
3.8 |
45.9 |
81% |
BAKS®
(2%S 0.2%B) Jumbo Bag (Plant 1) |
51.3 |
3.8 |
55.0 |
85% |
Verde calculates its total production costs as a weighted
average of the production costs for BAKS® and K Forte®, taking into
account the production site and packaging type for each product.
Therefore, comparing the Company’s production costs on a
quarter-over-quarter basis may not be meaningful due to the varying
proportions of the cost factors that impact each quarter.
Production costs decreased by 50% in Q3 2023, to $3,056,000
compared to $6,069,000 in Q3 2022. Average cost per ton decreased
by 11% in Q3 2023, to $28 compared to $32 in Q3 2022.
Plant 2 has lower operational costs than Plant 1 and,
consequently, a lower production cost per ton of K Forte® Bulk. The
construction of Plant 2 in Q4 2022 resulted in a reduction of
production costs due to the increased volume of K Forte® Bulk sold
from Plant 2, representing 70% of the total volume sold in the
quarter. Additionally, there has been a change in the sales mix of
packaging types, with a reduction in the proportion of Products
sold in Jumbo Bags, which decreased to 18% in Q3 2023 from 27% in
the same quarter of the previous year.
Similarly, the sales mix between BAKS® and K Forte® also
underwent a shift, with the percentage of BAKS® sales decreasing to
8% in Q3 2023, compared to 11% in Q3 2022, as many farmers are
opting for lower-value-added products, due to restricted cash
flows. Consequently, the utilization of micronutrients, which do
not fall within the essential NPK elements for plants, has
witnessed a reduction.
Sales Expenses
CAD $’000 |
Q3 2023 |
|
Q3 2022 |
|
YTD 2023 |
|
YTD 2022 |
|
Sales and marketing
expenses |
(890) |
|
(1,385) |
|
(2,990) |
|
(2,919) |
|
Fees paid to independent sales
agents |
195 |
|
(481) |
|
(36) |
|
(976) |
|
Total |
(695) |
|
(1,866) |
|
(3,026) |
|
(3,895) |
|
Sales and marketing expenses
Sales and marketing expenses include employees’ salaries, car
rentals, travel within Brazil, hotel expenses, and the promotion of
the Product in marketing events.
Sales and marketing expenses decreased by 36% in Q3 2023 to
$890,000 compared to $1,385,000 in Q3 2022.
Fees paid to independent sales agents
As part of Verde's marketing and sales strategy, the Company
pays out commissions to its independent sales agents.
Fees paid to independent sales agents in Q3 2023, had a credit
balance of $195,000 compared to $481,000 expenses in Q3 2022, in
accordance with the decrease in revenue for the quarter.
The decrease in fees paid to independent sales agents is in
accordance with the decrease in revenue of 66% for the quarter. In
addition, Sales made through Sales Agents experienced a
proportional decline in the period.
The Company has reversed a provision of $249,000 in the quarter,
significantly contributing to the credit balance in the
quarter.
Product Delivery Freight Expenses
Product delivery freight expenses decreased by 57% in Q3 2023,
to $3,919,000 compared to $9,187,000 in Q3 2022. This reduction can
be attributed to the lower sales volume on a Cost Insurance and
Freight (CIF) basis, which decreased to 84,000 tons in Q3 2023,
down from 148,000 tons in Q3 2022. Notably, the volume sold as CIF
as a percentage of the total sales in the quarter remained stable
at 78% during this period.
The Company achieved a reduction in average freight costs per
ton for products sold on a CIF basis, to $46.58 in Q3 2023 from
$62.06 in the comparable period of the previous year. The 24.97%
decrease in freight costs can primarily be attributed to a
reduction in the percentage of sales made to regions that are more
distant from Verde's production facilities. For instance, sales to
Mato Grosso state significantly dropped to 14% of overall sales in
Q3 2023, compared to 33% of the total sales volume accounted for in
Q3 2022.
General and Administrative Expenses
CAD $’000 |
Q3 2023 |
|
Q3 2022 |
|
YTD 2023 |
|
YTD 2022 |
|
General administrative
expenses |
(1,203) |
|
(1,096) |
|
(2,983) |
|
(1,895) |
|
Bad debt provision |
(563) |
|
0 |
|
(592) |
|
0 |
|
Legal, professional,
consultancy and audit costs |
(332) |
|
(667) |
|
(939) |
|
(1,155) |
|
IT/Software expenses |
(190) |
|
(180) |
|
(532) |
|
(570) |
|
Taxes and licenses fees |
(40) |
|
(27) |
|
(96) |
|
(46) |
|
Total |
(2,328) |
|
(1,970) |
|
(5,142) |
|
(3,666) |
|
General administrative expenses
These costs include general office expenses, rent, bank fees,
insurance, foreign exchange variances and remuneration of executive
and administrative staff in Brazil.
General administrative expenses increased by 10% in Q3 2023, to
$1,203,000 compared to $1,096,000 in Q3 2022.
This increase can primarily be attributed to general expenses
related to Plant 2, such as the rental of water trucks and metallic
structures to support operations.
Bad Debt Provision
In 2023, for the first time, the Company had to record a Bad
Debt Provision in its accounts. As per Verde's sales policy, any
outstanding customer payments overdue for more than 12 months must
be provisioned. The total bad debt provision booked in Q3 2023
amounted to $563,000, in contrast to no provision being recorded in
Q3 2022.
Legal, professional, consultancy and audit costs
Legal and professional fees include legal, professional,
consultancy fees along with accountancy, audit and regulatory
costs. Consultancy fees are consultants employed in Brazil, such as
accounting services, patent process, lawyer’s fees and regulatory
consultants.
Expenses decreased by 50% in Q3 2023, to $332,000 compared to
$667,000 in Q3 2022.
The primary reason for this decrease can be attributed to
expenses related to the Company's re-domiciliation to Singapore in
2022, which was completed in August 2022. However, the Company has
appointed EY as its new audit firm, resulting in higher costs
compared to the former auditors starting from 2023 onwards.
IT/Software expenses
IT/Software expenses include software licenses such as Microsoft
Office, Customer Relationship Management (CRM) software and
enterprise resource planning (ERP).
Expenses increased by 6% in Q3 2023, to $190,000 compared to
$180,000 in Q3 2022, primarily due to higher license expenses
related to the Company's new ERP system, SAP Business One, which
was implemented in H2 2022.
Taxes and licenses
Taxes and license expenses include general taxes, product
branding and license costs.
Expenses increased in Q3 2023, to $40,000 compared to $27,000 in
Q3 2022 and increase of $13,000. This increase was mainly driven by
federal taxation on the Company's financial revenues.
Share Based, Equity and Bonus Payments (Non-Cash Events)
These costs represent the expense associated with stock options
granted to employees and directors along with equity compensation
and non-cash bonuses paid to key management.
Share Based, equity and bonus payments costs in Q3 2023
increased by $241,000 to $261,000 compared to $20,000 in Q3
2022.
This value is attributed to stock options issuance to the
Company’s Board members and senior management team.
Liquidity and Cash Flows
On September 30, 2023, the Company held cash of $9,275,000, an
increase of $4,221,000 on the same period in 2022.
Cash received from / (used for): CAD
$’000 |
Q3 2023 |
|
Q3 2022 |
|
YTD 2023 |
|
YTD 2022 |
|
Operating activities |
(9,216) |
|
5,398 |
|
(16,090) |
|
16,872 |
|
Investing activities |
504 |
|
(13,797) |
|
(1,985) |
|
(29,659) |
|
Financing activities |
11,883 |
|
11,767 |
|
25,823 |
|
16,079 |
|
Q3 2023 Results Conference Call
The Company will host a conference call on Wednesday, November
22, 2023, at 10:00 am Eastern Time, to discuss Q3 2023 results and
provide an update. Subscribe using the link below and receive the
conference details by email.
Date: |
Wednesday, November 22, 2023 |
Time: |
10:00 am Eastern Time |
Subscription link: |
https://bit.ly/Q3_2023-ResultsPresentation |
The questions can be submitted in advance through the following
link: https://bit.ly/Questions_Q3-2023
The Company’s third quarter financial statements and related
notes for the period ended September 30, 2023 are available to the
public on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and the Company’s website at
www.investor.verde.ag/.
About Verde AgriTech
Verde is an agricultural technology Company that
produces potash fertilizers. Our purpose is to improve the health
of all people and the planet. Rooting our solutions in nature, we
make agriculture healthier, more productive, and profitable.
Verde is a fully integrated Company: it mines
and processes its main feedstock from its 100% owned mineral
properties, then sells and distributes the Product
Verde’s focus on research and development has
resulted in one patent and eight patents pending. Among its
proprietary technologies are Cambridge Tech, 3D Alliance, MicroS
Technology, N Keeper, and Bio Revolution.34 Currently, the Company
is fully licensed to produce up to 2.8 million tonnes per year of
its multinutrient potassium fertilizers K Forte® and BAKS®, sold
internationally as Super Greensand®. In 2022, it became Brazil's
largest potash producer by capacity.35 Verde has a combined
measured and indicated mineral resource of 1.47 billion tonnes at
9.28% K2O and an inferred mineral resource of 1.85 billion tonnes
at 8.60% K2O (using a 7.5% K2O cut-off grade).36 This amounts to
295.70 million tonnes of potash in K2O. For context, in 2021
Brazil’s total consumption of potash in K2O was 6.57 million37.
Brazil ranks second in global potash demand and
is its single largest importer, currently depending on external
sources for over 97% of its potash needs. In 2022, potash accounted
for approximately 3% of all Brazilian imports by dollar
value.38
Corporate Presentation
For further information on the Company, please view
shareholders’ deck:
https://verde.docsend.com/view/qsh7p2h49u3hmzzt
Investors Newsletter
Subscribe to receive the Company’s updates at:
http://cloud.marketing.verde.ag/InvestorsSubscription
The last edition of the newsletter can be accessed at:
http://bit.ly/InvestorNL-August2023
Cautionary Language and Forward-Looking
Statements
All Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resources
estimates reported by the Company were estimated in accordance with
the Canadian National Instrument 43-101 and the Canadian Institute
of Mining, Metallurgy, and Petroleum Definition Standards (May 10,
2014). These standards differ significantly from the requirements
of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Mineral Resources
which are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic
viability.
This document contains "forward-looking
information" within the meaning of Canadian securities legislation
and "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United
States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This
information and these statements, referred to herein as
"forward-looking statements" are made as of the date of this
document. Forward-looking statements relate to future events or
future performance and reflect current estimates, predictions,
expectations or beliefs regarding future events and include, but
are not limited to, statements with respect to:
(i) |
the estimated amount and grade of Mineral Resources and Mineral
Reserves; |
(ii) |
the estimated amount of CO2 removal per tonne of rock; |
(iii) |
the PFS representing a viable development option for the
Project; |
(iv) |
estimates of the capital costs of constructing mine facilities and
bringing a mine into production, of sustaining capital and the
duration of financing payback periods; |
(v) |
the estimated amount of future production, both produced and
sold; |
(vi) |
timing of disclosure for the PFS and recommendations from the
Special Committee; |
(vii) |
the Company’s competitive position in Brazil and demand for potash;
and, |
(viii) |
estimates of operating costs and total costs, net cash flow, net
present value and economic returns from an operating mine. |
|
|
Any statements that express or involve
discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs,
plans, projections, objectives or future events or performance
(often, but not always, using words or phrases such as "expects",
"anticipates", "plans", "projects", "estimates", "envisages",
"assumes", "intends", "strategy", "goals", "objectives" or
variations thereof or stating that certain actions, events or
results "may", "could", "would", "might" or "will" be taken, occur
or be achieved, or the negative of any of these terms and similar
expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be
forward-looking statements.
All forward-looking statements are based on
Verde's or its consultants' current beliefs as well as various
assumptions made by them and information currently available to
them. The most significant assumptions are set forth above, but
generally these assumptions include, but are not limited to:
(i) |
the presence of and continuity of resources and reserves at the
Project at estimated grades; |
(ii) |
the estimation of CO2 removal based on the chemical and
mineralogical composition of assumed resources and reserves; |
(iii) |
the geotechnical and metallurgical characteristics of rock
conforming to sampled results; including the quantities of water
and the quality of the water that must be diverted or treated
during mining operations; |
(iv) |
the capacities and durability of various machinery and
equipment; |
(v) |
the availability of personnel, machinery and equipment at estimated
prices and within the estimated delivery times; |
(vi) |
currency exchange rates; |
(vii) |
Super Greensand® and K Forte® sales prices, market size and
exchange rate assumed; |
(viii) |
appropriate discount rates applied to the cash flows in the
economic analysis; |
(ix) |
tax rates and royalty rates applicable to the proposed mining
operation; |
(x) |
the availability of acceptable financing under assumed structure
and costs; |
(xi) |
anticipated mining losses and dilution; |
(xii) |
reasonable contingency requirements; |
(xiii) |
success in realizing proposed operations; |
(xiv) |
receipt of permits and other regulatory approvals on acceptable
terms; and |
(xv) |
the fulfilment of environmental assessment commitments and
arrangements with local communities. |
|
|
Although management considers these assumptions
to be reasonable based on information currently available to it,
they may prove to be incorrect. Many forward-looking statements are
made assuming the correctness of other forward looking statements,
such as statements of net present value and internal rates of
return, which are based on most of the other forward-looking
statements and assumptions herein. The cost information is also
prepared using current values, but the time for incurring the costs
will be in the future and it is assumed costs will remain stable
over the relevant period.
By their very nature, forward-looking statements
involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and
specific, and risks exist that estimates, forecasts, projections
and other forward-looking statements will not be achieved or that
assumptions do not reflect future experience. We caution readers
not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as
a number of important factors could cause the actual outcomes to
differ materially from the beliefs, plans, objectives,
expectations, anticipations, estimates assumptions and intentions
expressed in such forward-looking statements. These risk factors
may be generally stated as the risk that the assumptions and
estimates expressed above do not occur as forecast, but
specifically include, without limitation: risks relating to
variations in the mineral content within the material identified as
Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves from that predicted;
variations in rates of recovery and extraction; the geotechnical
characteristics of the rock mined or through which infrastructure
is built differing from that predicted, the quantity of water that
will need to be diverted or treated during mining operations being
different from what is expected to be encountered during mining
operations or post closure, or the rate of flow of the water being
different; developments in world metals markets; risks relating to
fluctuations in the Brazilian Real relative to the Canadian dollar;
increases in the estimated capital and operating costs or
unanticipated costs; difficulties attracting the necessary work
force; increases in financing costs or adverse changes to the terms
of available financing, if any; tax rates or royalties being
greater than assumed; changes in development or mining plans due to
changes in logistical, technical or other factors; changes in
project parameters as plans continue to be refined; risks relating
to receipt of regulatory approvals; delays in stakeholder
negotiations; changes in regulations applying to the development,
operation, and closure of mining operations from what currently
exists; the effects of competition in the markets in which Verde
operates; operational and infrastructure risks and the additional
risks described in Verde's Annual Information Form filed with SEDAR
in Canada (available at www.sedar.com) for the year ended December
31, 2021. Verde cautions that the foregoing list of factors that
may affect future results is not exhaustive.
When relying on our forward-looking statements
to make decisions with respect to Verde, investors and others
should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other
uncertainties and potential events. Verde does not undertake to
update any forward-looking statement, whether written or oral, that
may be made from time to time by Verde or on our behalf, except as
required by law.
For additional information please
contact:
Lucas Brown, Vice-President of
Corporate Development
Tel: +55 (31) 3245 0205; Email:
investor@verde.ag
www.verde.ag | www.investor.verde.ag
1 The carbon capture potential of Verde's products, through
Enhanced Rock Weathering (ERW), is 120 kg CO2e per ton of K Forte®.
For further information, see “Verde’s Products Remove Carbon
Dioxide From the Air”.2 CO2 Removal Certificate (CORC) is an
electronic document, which records the Attributes of CO2 Removal
from registered Production Facilities. Each CORC represents a Net
Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) volume of 1 ton of Long-Term CO2
Removal, equivalent to 1 carbon credit. Source: Puro.earth, V3.1.3
Verde’s Product is a salinity and chloride-free replacement for KCl
fertilizers. Potassium chloride is composed of approximately 46% of
chloride, which can have biocidal effects when excessively applied
to soils. According to Heide Hermary (Effects of some synthetic
fertilizers on the soil ecosystem, 2007), applying 1 pound of
potassium chloride to the soil is equivalent to applying 1 gallon
of Clorox bleach, with regard to killing soil microorganisms. Soil
microorganisms play a crucial role in agriculture by capturing and
storing carbon in the soil, making a significant contribution to
the global fight against climate change.4 1 ton of Product (10%
K2O) has 0.1 tons of K2O, which is equivalent to 0.17 tons of
potassium chloride (60% K2O), containing 0.08 tons of chloride.5
The estimated amount of CO2 captured by K Forte® is equivalent to
120 kg CO2e per ton of Product. The calculation was provided by Dr.
Manning, determined through an independent study conducted at
Newcastle University. For further information, see “Verde’s
Products Remove Carbon Dioxide From the Air”.6 Cradle-to-gate is
the assessment of a product’s life cycle from raw material
extraction (cradle) to its production facility gate. It does not
include the carbon footprint associated with product transportation
to the final customer. Source:
https://circularecology.com/glossary-of-terms-and-definitions.html7
For further information, see “Verde Announces Life Cycle Assessment
Results in Accordance with ISO Standards”.8 'Cradle-to-grave'
assessment considers impacts at each stage of a product's
life-cycle, from the time natural resources are extracted from the
ground and processed through each subsequent stage of
manufacturing, transportation, product use, and ultimately,
disposal. Source: European Environment Agency.9 Source: Puro.earth
(Nasdaq), a crediting platform for engineered carbon removal.
Available at: https://puro.earth/carbon-removal-index-price/.
Exchange rate: €1.00 = $1.07.10 Average price of carbon credits
sold by Frontier between 2022 and 2023. Frontier is an advance
market commitment that aims to accelerate the development of carbon
removal technologies by guaranteeing future demand for them. It was
founded by Stripe, Alphabet, Shopify, Meta, McKinsey and tens of
thousands of businesses using Stripe Climate. Available at:
https://frontierclimate.com/11 Shipping distances were calculated
as the weighted average distance from Verde's production facilities
to the geographical center of each city, determined through
geoprocessing.12 Considers the weighted average of CO2e emissions
within the different shipping distances.13 Considers the weighted
average of CORCs generated within the different shipping
distances.14 The potash market size was determined based on the
potential demand for K2O. This calculation was derived from the
total planted areas in Brazil in 2021 (Source: IBGE, 2022),
considering the typical dosages of potash fertilizers for the main
crops: Cotton = 100 kg of K2O/ha; Coffee = 200 kg of K2O/ha;
Soybean/Maize System = 150 kg of K2O/ha; Other Crops = 100 kg of
K2O/ha. On October 27, 2023, the Company updated the dosages of
potash fertilizers considered for the main crops to better align
with the most recent market data.15 See “Verde appoints Vice
President of Corporate Development”. Available at:16 See “Verde
Cultivates Financial Resilience with Banco do Brasil and Bradesco
Backing”.17 See “Verde Announces Life Cycle Assessment Results in
Accordance with ISO Standards”.18 Source: Brazilian Fertilizer
Mixers Association (from "Associação Misturadores de Adubo do
Brasil", in Portuguese).19 Source: Coface for Trade. Available at:
https://www.coface.com/News-Publications/News/El-Nino-a-threat-to-global-agriculture20
Acerto Limited Report.21 Acerto Limited Report.22 MAP 11-52 is a
type of fertilizer known as Monoammonium Phosphate. The "11-52"
notation refers to the nutrient content of the fertilizer,
indicating that it contains 11% nitrogen in the form of ammonia
(ammoniacal nitrogen) and 52% phosphorus.23 Acerto Limited
Report.24 Source: Economic Research Center of the ESALQ/University
of São Paulo. Available at:
https://www.cepea.esalq.usp.br/br/indicador/soja.aspx25 Source:
Brazilian Central Bank. Available at:
https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/pressdetail/2500/nota26 Source: Brazilian
Central Bank. Available at:
https://www.bcb.gov.br/content/focus/focus/R20231027.pdf27 Source:
Boletim FOCUS. Available at:
https://www.bcb.gov.br/publicacoes/focus28 Source: Brazilian
Central Bank. Available at: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en29 Verde has
an average of 93 days of receivables, while competitors can provide
180-360 days to collect its payments.30 Source: Acerto Limited
Report.31 The costs were estimated based on the following
assumptions: Costs in line with Verde’s 2023 budget. Sales volume
of 1.0Mt per year. Crude Oil WTI (NYM US$/bbl) = US$80.00. Diesel
price = US$1.26. Currency exchange rate: US$1.00 = R$5.25; C$1.00 =
R$4.20. Total cost per ton includes all costs directly related to
production and feedstock extraction in addition to assets
depreciation.32 Total cost per ton includes labor mining, mining,
crushing, processing, maintenance of support facilities, product
transportation from mine pits to production plants, laboratory
expenses, G&A, and environmental compensation expenses.33 BAKS®
can be customized according to the crop’s needs, so it can have
several compositions. The 2%S 0.2%B composition is responsible for
most of Verde’s sales.34 Learn more about our technologies:
https://verde.docsend.com/view/yvthnpuv8jx6g4r935 See the release
at:
https://investor.verde.ag/verde-starts-ramp-up-of-plant-2s-second-stage-to-reach-production-of-2-4mtpy/36
As per the National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure for
Mineral Projects within Canada (“NI 43 -101”), filed on SEDAR in
2017. See the Pre-Feasibility Study at:
https://investor.verde.ag/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/NI-43-101-Pre-Feasibility-Technical-Report-Cerrado-Verde-Project.pdf37
Source: Brazilian Fertilizer Mixers Association (from "Associação
Misturadores de Adubo do Brasil", in Portuguese).38 Source:
Brazilian Comex Stat, available at:
http://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/en/geral
Verde Agritech (TSX:NPK)
Gráfica de Acción Histórica
De Nov 2024 a Dic 2024
Verde Agritech (TSX:NPK)
Gráfica de Acción Histórica
De Dic 2023 a Dic 2024