Eurozone Economic Confidence At 15-Month Low
29 Junio 2022 - 02:11AM
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Eurozone economic confidence weakened to a 15-month low in June,
reflecting the deterioration of morale among consumers and
construction managers, survey results from the European Commission
showed Wednesday.
The economic confidence index fell to 104.0 in June from 105.0
in May. This was the lowest score since March 2021 but remained
above economists' forecast of 103.0.
The improvements in industrial and services confidence were
offset by the falls in sentiment among consumers, retailers and
construction managers. The industrial sentiment index advanced
unexpectedly to 7.4 from 6.5 in the previous month. The score was
forecast to fall to 4.6.
Similarly, the services confidence index improved to 14.8 from
14.1 a month ago, while the reading was seen falling to 12.5.
Meanwhile, the consumer confidence index dropped to -23.6 in
June, as initially estimated, from -21.2 in May.
Construction confidence also weakened in June due to the sharp
fall in employment expectations and a decline in the level of order
books. The construction sentiment index plunged to 3.7 from 6.3.
Likewise, the retail confidence index slid to -5.1 from -4.2 in the
previous month.
The employment expectations index in the currency bloc dropped
1.7 points to 110.9 in June. The downturn was driven by a sharp
deterioration in employment plans in construction.
In the EU27, the economic confidence index fell 1.7 points to
102.5 in June. The European Commission's Economic Uncertainty
Indicator rose again in June, driven by a substantial increase
among consumers, which pushed consumer uncertainty to its highest
on record. While uncertainty picked up again in industry, it eased
in retail trade, services and construction. Selling price
expectations rose to a new all-time high in retail trade and
remained unchanged in services. In industry and construction, price
expectations eased for the second consecutive month. At the same
time, consumers' price expectations eased for the third straight
month.
The Purchasing Managers' survey results last week showed that
private sector expanded at the slowest pace in more than a year in
June as the manufacturing output contracted for the first time in
two years.
The economic confidence in the euro area was not as bad as
feared and paints a more upbeat picture than the PMIs published
last week, Michael Tran, an economist at Capital Economics,
said.
Nevertheless, the survey also pointed to inflationary pressures
remaining strong, which is likely to weigh on demand and sentiment
further ahead, Tran noted.
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