- Key Performance Indicators:
- US$2.03B Net Present Value (“NPV”) (8%
discount, after-tax)
- 24% Internal rate of return (“IRR”)
- 4.9 years Payback Period
- Life of Mine (“LoM”) Gross Revenue of $20.8 billion
- LoM Free Cash Flow (“FCF”) of $7.3 billion
(unlevered)
- Cash costs (C1) of $1.82 and All in Sustaining
Costs (“AISC”) of $2.00 per pound of copper
- Financial and operational executability now through
transition to Open Pit operation
- 94% material from open pit mining (Cactus West and
Parks/Salyer), 6% from the Stockpile and Cactus East
underground
- 232 million pounds (“lbs”) (116,052 short tons (“st”))
average annual copper cathode production over the first 20
years of operation and a total of 5,339 million lbs (2,669,342 st)
of copper cathode produced over the 31-year operating mine
life
- Cactus Project is well positioned to add value in a variety
of copper price environments
- Copper Price Assumption
- NPV8 (after-tax)
- $2,032 million
- $2,927 million
- IRR (after-tax)
- Payback (after-tax)
- Development Capital
- $668 million
- $668 million
- LoM FCF (After Tax)
- 7,295 million
- 9,777 million
Arizona Sonoran Copper Company Inc. (TSX:ASCU |
OTCQX:ASCUF) (“ASCU” or the “Company”) today reports the results
from an NI 43-101 Preliminary Economic Assessment (“PEA”) on
its 100%-owned brownfield Cactus Project in Arizona, USA. The PEA
supersedes the previously released Pre-Feasibility Study
(“PFS”) in all respects, and rescopes Parks/Salyer as an
open pit operation resulting from the inclusion of the MainSpring
property. The inclusion materially improves the economics and
operations of the project, producing a total of 5.3 billion lbs or
2.7 million st of LME Grade A Copper Cathodes over a 31-year
operating LoM via heap leaching and solvent extraction and
electrowinning (“SXEW”), an established and industry
standard hydrometallurgical extraction technology. All dollar
amounts referenced herein in US dollars, and all references to tons
are imperial or short tons, unless otherwise noted; 1 short ton
equals approximately 0.91 metric tonnes. The Company previously
issued a news release on JUL 16, 2024 (the "MRE News
Release"), disclosing an updated mineral resource estimate (the
"2024 MRE") for the Cactus Project which formed the basis
for the PEA.
This press release features multimedia. View
the full release here:
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240807400084/en/
FIGURE 1: Cumulative Stacked Recoverable
Copper (Graphic: Business Wire)
A webinar will be held on August 8, 2024, at 10:30 am ET.
Please join George Ogilvie, Nick Nikolakakis, Bernie Loyer, Steve
Dixon and Anthony Bottrill in discussion of the PEA and the
Company’s next steps by registering here
https://www.bigmarker.com/vid-conferences/ASCU-newdevelopments.
The PEA is preliminary in nature and it includes inferred
mineral resources that are considered too speculative geologically
to have the economic considerations applied to them that would
enable them to be categorized as mineral reserves. There is no
certainty that the project described in the PEA will be realized.
Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have
demonstrated economic viability.
TABLE 1: SUMMARY OF KEY METRICS
Valuation Metrics (Unlevered)
Unit
2024 PEA
$3.90/lb Cu
Net Present Value @ 8%
(pre-tax)
$ millions
2,769
Net Present Value @ 8%
(after-tax)
$ millions
2,032
Internal Rate of Return
(after-tax)
%
24.0
Payback Period (after-tax)
# years
4.9
Project Metrics (Imperial)
Unit
2024 PEA
$3.90/lb Cu
Construction Period – SXEW
plant
# years
1.5 - 2
Life of Mine (“LoM”)
# years
31
Strip Ratio
Waste : Feed
2.23
LoM Mineralized Material Mined
ktons
889,004
LoM Copper Grade
% CuT
0.46
LoM Avg Annual Contained Copper
Production
000 tons
millions lbs
86
172
LoM Annual Crusher Throughput
millions tons
29
Annual Copper Production
(years 1-20)
000 tons
millions lbs
116
232
Recovery (years 1-20)
%CuTSol
83
LoM Recoveries (LOM)
% CuTSol
73
LoM Oxide
% CuTSol
92
LoM Enriched
% CuTSol
85
LoM Primary (conventional
leaching)
% CuT
25
LoM Recovered Copper Cathodes
K pounds
5,338,683
Initial Capital (including
contingency)
$ millions
668
Sustaining Capital
$ millions
1,169
Cash Cost (C1)*
$/lb Cu
1.82
All in Sustaining Cost (AISC)*
$/lb Cu
2.00
LoM Revenues
$ millions
20,821
LoM EBITDA
$ millions
11,292
LoM FCF (unlevered) after tax
$ millions
7,295
Notes:
*Project operating costs include mine
operating, process plant operating, and general and administrative
costs (“G&A”). Total production costs include royalty expense.
The AISC additionally includes initial Capex, sustaining Capex,
reclamation & closure.
George Ogilvie, ASCU President and CEO commented, “We
achieved, and far surpassed each goal to demonstrate leading NPV,
IRR and payback and all other operational and economic metrics from
the Cactus Project. The PEA represented herein delivers a highly
compelling copper mining operation, on a standalone basis. The
project size and top-tier location are complemented by a highly
skilled operations and development team already based in Casa
Grande and motivated to deliver an executable plan. After
completing the MainSpring title transfer in March 2024, and
subsequently obtaining the General Plan Arrangement approval,
MainSpring’s integration to Parks/Salyer positively impacts the
operations, lowers mining risks and is overall transformational to
the economics.
He continued, “We now look forward to completing metallurgical
programs and the infill drilling to support a PFS expected in
1H2025. Clearly, Cactus shows merit on a standalone basis and we
will continue to move forward with this mine plan, while continuing
to work with our partner, Nuton Technologies, a Rio Tinto Venture.
We envisage Cactus, a brownfield Copper Mine as having the size and
scale capable of making a meaningful positive impact to the US
copper mining industry.”
Key Impacts on the NPV:
- Mine plan execution rescopes to 94% open pit
- Parks/Salyer and Cactus West are open pit operations; changes
positively impact annual throughput, mining costs, operating costs
and processing costs.
- Mineralized material impacts
- LoM tonnage processed of 889 million st, including:
- 659 million st of oxides and enriched material
- Parks/Salyer: 69%
- Including: new MainSpring inferred mineral resources of 245 Mst
@ 0.39% CuT (PR dated JUL 16, 2024)
- Cactus West: 23%
- Cactus East: 6%
- Stockpile 2%
- 230 million st of primary sulphides to the leach pads with
current recoveries reported at an average of 25% from year 15
- Parks/Salyer 34%
- Cactus West: 66%
- Processing cost impacts
- Processing initial capital expenditure (“capex”) of $511
million including contingency (SXEW plant and owner’s costs)
- Processing sustaining capital of $553 million (process plant -
average of $18 million per year)
- Processing operating costs (“opex”) of $2.29/st
- Other cost impacts
- Updated salvage cost, land sales, closure and royalties
- Mining cost impacts
- Mining opex and capex impacted by Parks/Salyer rescope to an
open pit mining operation
- Initial Capex of $157 million (pre-production stripping)
- Mining sustaining capital of $544 million, optimizing the per
ton mining costs (average of $18 million per year)
- Operating expenditures of $8.16/t processed
Bernie Loyer, ASCU SVP Projects commented, “The evolution
of the MainSpring and Parks/Salyer open pit combination as
demonstrated by this PEA presents a profound change to the Cactus
Mine business case. That impact can be gauged in the project’s
robust economics and also in the contribution that this
generational asset is expected to make to our local communities for
years to come. With the anticipated creation of more than 3,000
direct and indirect jobs and more than $2.2 billion in life of mine
federal and state tax revenues, Cactus Mine is anticipated to
become a cornerstone business for the local economy. Great copper
projects are where you find them and that often translates to
remote and sometimes complicated jurisdictions around the world. In
contrast, the combined heritage of the Arizona and Pinal County
copper mining legacy married to a Casa Grande venue sets an
incredible launch platform for this great project.”
Nick Nikolakakis, ASCU CFO commented, “The economics at
Cactus in the PEA afford us an opportunity to begin seeking project
financing. The Company has been in initial discussions with a group
of lenders including commercial banks and an export credit agency.
Cactus is projected to generate robust cash flows over a 30+ year
mine life. The current economic metrics present a unique
opportunity for the Company to actively pursue financing
alternatives as the project advances towards a pre-feasibility and
definitive feasibility study in 2025.”
The Company intends to file a technical report (the
“Technical Report”) in respect of the PEA in accordance with
National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral
Projects (“NI 43-101”) on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) under
the Company’s issuer profile and the Company’s website within 45
days of the MRE News Release.
Preliminary Economic Assessment Summary The 2024 PEA
supersedes the PFS titled “Cactus Mine Project NI 43-101 Technical
Report and Pre-Feasibility Study, Arizona, United States of
America”, dated March 28, 2024 (with an effective date of February
21, 2024) (“March 2024 PFS”) in its entirety. The PEA integrates
the new Parks/Salyer additions from the MainSpring property as
inferred mineral resources, re-scoped as an open pit. By applying
open pit mining costs to the Parks/Salyer mineral resource
estimate, it now contributes 531 M tons of feed material grading
0.530% CuT to the total 889 million tons of feed material at 0.46%
CuT over the LoM. FIGURE 1 illustrates the cumulative
stacked production in this PEA. Overall, the Cactus Project PEA
envisages a 31-year mine life with annual average throughput of 29
million tons, for an average of 86 kstpa of copper cathodes
produced annually. The result is a lower risk brownfield open pit
mining operation with a long life and a streamlined permitting
process on private land in Arizona with water rights and access to
water from in-situ water wells.
A total of 2,872 million tons will be mined and a total of 889
million tons processed, recovering 5.34 billion pounds of copper
cathodes over the LoM or 2,669,000 tons. Copper cathodes will be
produced directly onsite via heap leach and SXEW, including a four
year ramp up period. Total Copper recoveries are planned at an
average of 73%, extracting copper from the oxides, enriched and
primary sulphides. See Exhibit 1 and 2 for mine plan,
sequencing, costs and economics. Gross acid usage is calculated at
22 lbs per ton at a cost of $160 per ton.
Onsite facilities at the mine site will consist of two open
pits, one underground mining operation, a fine crushing plant
incorporating all crushing, classification, agglomeration and
conveying systems, heap leach pad, water supply and distribution
systems, technical and operational support offices, additional
electrical substation, warehousing and an SXEW process plant.
Onsite supporting infrastructure will include site power
distribution, access roads, mine operations infrastructure, and
heap leach facilities, of which the power and roads are already in
use.
Current onsite and nearby infrastructure includes:
- Onsite administration buildings, geology, core storage,
completed earthworks, substation, parking lot and access roads
- Clean power via onsite substation for $0.07/kWh
- Paved access roads and easy access to interstate highways I-8
and I-10
- Union Pacific railroad line adjacent to the property
- Casa Grande, Maricopa and Phoenix are all located nearby to
supply materials/consumables in addition to a skilled labour
pool
- Permitted water available onsite, and additional water may be
available through the city
- Flat land and low altitude
- Located within the City of Casa Grande industrial park
TABLE 2: Report Sensitivities to the Copper Price
Revenue, NPV and IRR
Sensitivity Based on Copper Price
Metal Price
Copper Price
Revenue
(US$000)
NPV, before tax @ 8%
(US$000)
NPV, after tax @ 8%
(US$000)
IRR
after Tax
Base Case
$3.90
$20,820,863
$2,769,280
$2,031,671
24%
20%
$4.68
$24,985,035
$4,237,162
$3,196,838
32%
10%
$4.29
$22,902,949
$3,503,221
$2,612,817
28%
-10%
$3.51
$18,738,777
$2,035,338
$1,450,505
20%
-20%
$3.12
$16,656,690
$1,301,397
$861,488
16%
Mining and Processing Operations Mineralized material
will be sourced mainly from the two open pits with an overall LoM
strip ratio of 2.3:1. The Cactus West pit (1.0:1 strip ratio) and
new Parks/Salyer pit (3.2:1 strip ratio) comprise 94% of the total
material to the leach pads. The remaining 5% of material will be
sourced from the Cactus East underground deposit utilizing
sub-level cave from the 1,200 ft (366 m) level, and 1% from the
Stockpile.
Both Parks/Salyer and Cactus West will be mined using 40 ft
(12.1 m) single benches, with ramps sized to allow 320-ton class
haul trucks. At Parks/Salyer, all walls have been designed with
45-degree inter-ramp slopes, while geotechnical step-outs are
employed to reduce the overall slope to approximately 40 degrees.
At Cactus West, inter-ramp slopes range from 45–50 degrees
depending on material type, with typical overall slope angles of
41-43 degrees. Gila conglomerate and alluvium constitute the large
majority of the waste in the pits.
The mine schedule for open pit mining at Parks/Salyer consists
of 531 million tons of feed material grading 0.530% CuT, including
453 million tons of oxide and enriched leach feed material grading
0.55% CuT and 78 million tons of primary sulphide leach feed
material grading 0.41% CuT. Open pit mining will initiate in
Parks/Salyer in Year -1 and operate continuously for 23 years over
seven pit phases. Total waste mined in Parks/Salyer is 1,680
million tons.
The mine schedule for open pit mining at Cactus West consists of
306 million tons of feed material grading 0.29% CuT, including 154
million tons of oxide/enriched leach feed material grading 0.26%
CuT and 152 million tons of primary leach feed material grading
0.32% CuT. Open pit mining will take place at Cactus West in the
years of 7-11, 15, 19, and 23-31. Phase 1 Cactus West is used to
smooth stripping requirements of Parks/Salyer in the middle-years
of the mine plan, while Phase 2-3 are mined in the later years and
predominantly supply primary feed material. Total waste mined from
Cactus West is 299 million tons.
The Stockpile project contributes 9.8 million tons of
conventional leach feed material grading 0.24% CuT which will be
used for project commissioning in Year 1 of processing.
After a comprehensive review of Cactus East¸ sub-level caving
(“SLC”) was selected as the preferred underground mining
method. A sublevel cave underground mine is planned for Cactus East
with development beginning in Year 8 and mining completed in Year
22, peaking at 3.9 million tons per year. Total Cactus East feed
material mined is projected to be 42 million tons grading 0.83%
CuT. The initial Cactus East SLC level will begin at 1,325 ft (404
m) below the surface over 7 sublevels, to a final depth of 1,845 ft
(562 m). Access will be via a single decline with a portal located
within the existing Cactus West pit. Haulage of mineralized
material to surface will be via a vertical conveyor which can be
supplemented with truck haulage to surface via the open pit if
necessary.
The Cactus Project heap leaching process design includes
crushing of all material types for leaching to a minus ¾” P80 size.
All material types, oxides, enriched and primary are to be leached
in on a single pad with an initial leaching cycle of 180 days. A
maximum 3-year leaching cycle has been assumed (3 lifts) as the
practical limit for effective recovery based on experience and
hydrodynamic analysis of the materials by HydroGeoScience Inc.
(HGS). The copper leaching metallurgical test data has been
extrapolated from the testing data at one year based on the rates
prevailing after one year using a logarithmic curve fit projection
that considers the decaying rate of copper extraction.
Average annual water consumption is planned at approximately
1,200 gallons per minute, the equivalent of 1,935 acre feet per
year, well within ASCU’s permitted 3,600 acre feet per year
industrial use allocation, using in place onsite wells.
The PEA envisages that overall tonnage will comprise
approximately 25% oxide material, 50% enriched (secondary
sulphides) and 25% primary sulphides within the LoM. From year 15
to 22 placed tons will consist of approximately 25% primary,
whereas from year 23, will comprise 100% of the operation. Overall
copper extraction is impacted by the lower rates from primary
sulphides. In the PEA, ASCU includes a conservative 25% extraction
rate.
The total LoM costs, operating costs per ton ($/st) of processed
material, and dollars per pound ($/lb) of cathode produced are
summarized in the three tables below. Project operating costs
include mine operating, process plant operating, and general and
administrative costs (“G&A”). Total production costs
include royalty expense. The AISC additionally includes
initial Capex, sustaining Capex, reclamation & closure.
Mining operating cost estimates, prepared by AGP Mining
Consultants Inc., are based on a small owner’s team managing mining
activities using an owner-operator model. Process operating cost
estimates were prepared by Samuel Engineering and G&A cost
estimates were prepared by M3 Engineering with input from ASCU, as
summarized in TABLES 3-5 below (note numbers may not add due
to rounding). Sequencing of operations and annual cash flows are
detailed in Exhibit 1 and 2, at the end of this
release.
TABLE 3: LoM OPERATING AND
PRODUCTION COSTS
Cost Elements
LoM (US$)
Total Cost (US$M)
US$ / st Processed
US$ / lb Copper
Mine Operating Cost
$7,252
$8.16
$1.36
Process Plant Operating Cost
$2,039
$2.29
$0.38
G & A
$50
$0.06
$0.01
Operating Costs
$9,341
$10.51
$1.75
Royalties
$388
$0.44
$0.07
Total Production Costs
$9,729
$10.94
$1.82
Sustaining Capex
$1,169
$1.31
$0.22
Reclamation & Closure
$25
$0.03
$0.00
Salvage
-$225
-$0.25
-$0.04
All-In Sustaining Costs
$10,697
$12.03
$2.00
Property & Severance Taxes
$562
$0.63
$0.11
Initial Capex (non-sustaining)
$668
$0.75
$0.13
All-In Costs
$11,927
$13.42
$2.23
TABLE 4: LoM OPERATING COST
AND CASH FLOW
ACTIVITY (LOM)
US$M
US$ / st
LOM REVENUE
20,821
-
Mining (OP and UG)
7,252
8.16
Process Plant
2,039
2.29
General & Administration
50
0.06
Total Cash Operating Cost
9,341
10.51
Royalties
388
0.44
Salvage Value
-$225
-0.25
Reclamation & Closure
$25
0.03
Total Production Cost
9,529
10.72
EBITDA
11,292
-
Total CAPEX
1,836
2.07
Net Income Before Taxes
9,456
-
Taxes and Depreciation
2,161
2.43
Free Cash Flow (unlevered)
7,295
-
The capital cost estimates for the PEA were developed with a
-25% to +30% accuracy. The Company uses an estimated overall mining
contingency of approximately 18% and according to the Association
of the Advancement of Cost Engineering International (AACE) Class 5
estimate requirements.
TABLE 5: CAPITAL COST
ESTIMATES
AREA
DETAIL
INITIAL
CAPEX
(US$000’s)
SUSTAINING
CAPEX
(US$000’s)
TOTAL
CAPEX
(US$000’s)
Direct Costs
Mine Costs
156,856
543,609
700,465
Processing Plant
259,320
408,240
667,560
Infrastructure
95,740
17,211
112,951
Indirect Costs
45,470
16,944
62,414
Owner's Costs, First Fills, & Light
Vehicles
22,921
72,030
94,951
Total CAPEX without Contingency
580,307
1,058,034
1,638,341
Contingency
87,558
110,599
198,157
Total CAPEX with
Contingency
667,865
1,168,633
1,836,498
The PEA is based on the updated 2024 MRE, as published in the
MRE News Release on JUL 16, 2024, showing a 41% increase of
Measured and Indicated (“M&I”) pounds and an 89% increase of
the inferred pounds. The Mineral Resources for the Cactus Project
are shown in TABLE 6 and illustrated in FIGURE 2
below. For more details relating to the 2024 MRE, please refer to
the MRE News Release, a copy of which is available on SEDAR+
(www.sedarplus.ca) under the Company’s issuer profile and the
Company’s website (www.arizonasonoran.com).
TABLE 6: Cactus Project Mineral Resource Estimate
Material Type
Tons kt
Grade
CuT %
Grade
Cu Tsol %
Contained Total Cu (k
lbs)
Contained Cu Tsol (k
lbs)
Measured
Total Leachable
55,200
0.94
0.79
1,032,200
873,800
Total Primary
12,300
0.51
0.05
124,400
13,400
Total Measured
67,500
0.86
0.66
1,156,500
887,200
Indicated
Total Leachable
414,800
0.60
0.53
4,965,000
4,365,700
Total Primary
150,400
0.39
0.04
1,173,300
126,000
Total Indicated
565,200
0.54
0.40
6,138,200
4,491,700
M&I
Total Leachable
470,000
0.64
0.56
5.997,200
5,239,500
Total Primary
162,700
0.40
0.04
1,297,600
139,400
Total M&I
632,600
0.58
0.43
7,294,800
5,378,900
Inferred
Total Leachable
299,600
0.43
0.38
2,572,400
2,262,800
Total Primary
174,500
0.36
0.04
1,267,500
124,700
Total Inferred
474,000
0.41
0.25
3,839,900
2,387,500
NOTES:
1. Total soluble copper grades (Cu TSol)
are reported using sequential assaying to calculate the soluble
copper grade. Tons are reported as short tons.
2. Stockpile resource estimates have an
effective date of 1st March, 2022, Cactus Project mineral resource
estimates have an effective date of 29th April, 2022,
Parks/Salyer-MainSpring mineral resource estimates have an
effective date of 11th July, 2024. All mineral resources use a
copper price of US$3.75/lb.
3. Technical and economic parameters
defining mineral resource pit shells: mining cost US$2.43/t;
G&A US$0.55/t, 10% dilution, and 44°-46° pit slope angle.
4. Technical and economic parameters
defining underground mineral resource: mining cost US$27.62/t,
G&A US$0.55/t, and 5% dilution. Underground mineral resources
are only reported for material located outside of the open pit
mineral resource shells. Designation as open pit or underground
mineral resources are not confirmatory of the mining method that
may be employed at the mine design stage.
5. Technical and economic parameters
defining processing: Oxide heap leach (“HL”) processing cost
of US$2.24/t assuming 86.3% recoveries, enriched HL processing cost
of US$2.13/t assuming 90.5% recoveries, sulphide mill processing
cost of US$8.50/t assuming 92% recoveries. HL selling cost of
US$0.27/lb; Mill selling cost of US$0.62/lb.
6. Royalties of 3.18% and 2.5% apply to
the ASCU properties and state land respectively. No royalties apply
to the MainSpring property.
7. Variable cut-off grades were reported
depending on material type, potential mining method, potential
processing method, and applicable royalties. For ASCU properties -
Oxide open pit or underground material = 0.099% or 0.549% Cu TSol
respectively; enriched open pit or underground material = 0.092% or
0.522% Cu TSol respectively; primary open pit or underground
material = 0.226% or 0.691% CuT respectively. For state land
property – Oxide open pit or underground material = 0.098 % or
0.545% Cu TSol respectively; enriched open pit or underground
material = 0.092% or 0.518% Cu TSol respectively; primary open pit
or underground material = 0.225% or 0.686% CuT respectively. For
MainSpring properties – Oxide open pit or underground material =
0.096% or 0.532% Cu TSol respectively; enriched open pit or
underground material = 0.089% or 0.505% Cu TSol respectively;
primary open pit or underground material = 0.219% or 0.669% CuT
respectively. Stockpile cutoff = 0.095% Cu TSol.
8. Mineral resources, which are not
mineral reserves, do not have demonstrated economic viability. The
estimate of mineral resources may be materially affected by
environmental, permitting, legal, title, sociopolitical, marketing,
or other relevant factors.
9. The quantity and grade of reported
inferred mineral resources in this estimation are uncertain in
nature and there is insufficient exploration to define these
inferred mineral resources as an indicated or measured mineral
resource; it is uncertain if further exploration will result in
upgrading them to an indicated or measured classification.
10. Totals may not add up due to
rounding
Metallurgical Testwork Metallurgical testwork used for
the PEA shows good metallurgical recoveries from all deposits with
no deleterious elements. Testing in the PEA shows an average of 73%
of total copper extracted overall. A column leach testing program
for oxides and enriched sulphides, from Parks/Salyer and the
Stockpile, is ongoing at BaseMet and McClelland labs (Tucson, AZ
and Reno, NV, respectively). Primary sulphide column leaching is
expected to begin in the fourth quarter.
Project Overview The Cactus Project is a brownfield
project located approximately 6 mi (10 km) northwest of the city of
Casa Grande and 40 road miles south-southwest of the Greater
Phoenix metropolitan area in Arizona. The Greater Phoenix area is a
major population centre (approximately 4.8 million persons) with a
major airport and transportation hub and well-developed
infrastructure and services that support the mining industry. The
Cactus Mine Project is accessible on North Bianco Road off of West
Maricopa-Casa Grande Highway with direct access to interstate
highway 10. During historic ASARCO operations (1974-1984), a rail
spur was connected directly with the United Pacific Railroad to
ship concentrates to its El Paso refinery in Texas; while the spur
has been removed, the onsite rail line is still in existence.
Current onsite infrastructure includes power lines and substation,
water wells and a water pond, geological buildings, core sheds and
administrative offices, keeping the capital intensity low and
demonstrating robust economics.
The Cactus Project is host to a large porphyry copper system
that has been dismembered and displaced by Tertiary extensional
faulting. The major host rocks are Precambrian Oracle Granite and
Laramide monzonite porphyry and quartz monzonite porphyry. The mine
trend features the formation of horst and graben blocks of
mineralization where the Cactus deposits are situated, extending
from the Cactus East deposit, southwest to the Parks/Salyer
deposit. Drilling to the northeast and southwest along the trend
indicates that mineralization continues in both directions and at
depth at the Cactus West deposit.
Ownership, Social License and Permitting The Cactus
Project is 100% controlled by ASCU through its wholly owned
subsidiary Cactus 110 LLC and encompasses an area of approximately
5,720 acres. The Cactus Project includes exploration and mining on
private land and on two Arizona State Land Department ("ASLD”)
leases. There is no federal nexus for permitting the project and
all permitting is limited to State of Arizona-required permits
including the Aquifer Protection Permit, Industrial Air permits and
the Mined Land Reclamation Permit, each of which ASCU has received
from state regulators. Modifications will be required to address
changes in the mine plan presented in the PEA.
Of the 5,720 acres, 4,732 acres are considered fee simple and
private land. The remaining acreage is State land where ASCU owns
either the surface or mineral rights and is in the process of
acquiring the surface rights from the State.
ASCU has a well-developed community engagement plan that it has
implemented through numerous public meetings and outreach. With the
presence of legacy mining in the Casa Grande area and the
determination of Cactus as a “brownfield” and disturbed site, the
local community is supportive of the Cactus Project. The Company
anticipates the Project to create multiple decades of high paying
jobs that will benefit the local communities and the state. There
is no significant opposition to the Cactus Project.
Royalties The Cactus Project is subject to three net
smelter return (“NSR”) royalties based on potential mining
production. The MainSpring property does not contain any royalties.
The Tembo/Elemental Altus NSR royalty applied to the originally
acquired land package including, Cactus and Parks/Salyer may be
reduced to 2.54% from 3.18%, with a total payment of $8.9 million.
On a portion of the Parks/Salyer deposit, BCE holds a 1.5% NSR
royalty, with an option to reduce it to 0.5% for payment of $0.5
million, and ASLD owns a sliding net return royalty (2.0% to 8.0%
and estimated at 2%), payable to ASLD and the State Trust. ASCU
will formalize the royalty percentages with ASLD once the Company
submits a Mineral Development Report to ASLD, thus converting the
existing Mineral Exploration Permit, to a Mineral Lease.
Opportunities and Next Steps, including
Nuton Technologies
Technical Studies Following the issuance of the PEA, the
anticipated next steps for the Cactus Project include a PFS (which
is expected to be completed in 1H2025) (the “2025 PFS”),
followed by an early works program, and expects to initiate a
Feasibility Study in 2H2025. The Company is planning Project
financing for the Cactus Project in conjunction with a potential
construction decision.
It is expected that the 2025 PFS will include the major economic
and operational rescope; specifically, rescoping Parks/Salyer to an
open pit and the additional integration of the Nuton Technologies.
Infill drilling programs are planned for Parks/Salyer composing the
first 10 years of operations, and into Cactus West for the
expansion of primary mineralization suitable for leaching via the
Nuton Technologies. Pursuant to the option to joint venture
agreement entered into between ASCU and Nuton, a PFS which includes
the application of the Nuton Technologies should be issued no later
than December 31, 2024, unless mutually extended by written
agreement of both parties. Assuming both ASCU and Nuton agree to an
extension of such PFS, completion is expected in 1H2025. Completion
of the 2025 PFS will require the completion of infill to indicated
drilling and updated metallurgical studies, including Phase 2 Nuton
metallurgical testing.
Parks/Salyer’s grade, scale and scope secures it as the main
contributor from day one to the Cactus Project. Cactus West,
drilling and finding more primary material. Any future work on the
project is not expected to change the mine plan within the first 10
to 15 years of the operation. It provides further optionality on a
robust standalone plan.
An Early Works program is in the early phases of being defined
and planned for mid-2025, dependent upon funding. The program
includes executing the permitting and bonding requirements and
optimizing a pre-stripping program for the Parks/Salyer pit. Due to
the brownfield nature of the project, roads, power and onsite
administration buildings are currently in place.
Nuton Opportunity The PEA proposes a robust standalone
project incorporating conventional leaching technology. In order to
capitalize on the primary sulphides, initial test work has
validated the application of Nuton proprietary technology. As per
the strategy outlined in the option to Joint Venture (“JV”) press
release, dated DEC 14, 2023, Phase 2 metallurgical
testing and Cactus West pit expansion drilling targeting the
primary sulphides will be included to the 2025 PFS.
Nuton LLC, a Rio Tinto Venture, is a copper heap leaching
technology. Nuton™ became a shareholder in 2022, and a potential JV
partner in late 2023. Its Nuton™ suite of proprietary technologies
provide opportunities to leach both primary and secondary copper
sulfides, providing significant opportunity to optimize the mine
plan and the overall mining and processing operations.
Other Future Opportunities The project has several other
opportunities available to continue the optimization of the
operation.
- The addition of an In-Pit-Crush-Convey (IPCC) for waste
handling instead of truck haulage will be evaluated for improvement
in the economics of the project.
- There is a potential to access the high-grade Parks/Salyer
material earlier, by moving the Parks/Salyer open pit centroid
further northward
Exhibit 1: Mine Plan and Key Financial
Assumptions
Exhibit 1: Production and Cash
Costs
Year
Production (000’s)
tons
Head Grade
Recovered Copper
Costs (/lb)
Open Pit
U/G
OP
UG
Parks/Salyer
Cactus West
Stockpile
Open Pit Rehandle
Total Open Pit Moved
Open Pit Material
Open Pit Waste
Cactus East
% TCu
% TCu
ktons
klbs
C1 Cost
AISC
0
70,000
0
0
0
70,000
170
69,829
0
0.12
48.78
87,427
1
130,000
10,000
9
140,009
24,527
115,473
0
0.23
64.24
111,826
$3.84
$5.01
2
150,000
0
0
0
150,000
34,303
115,697
0
0.24
61.62
106,669
$3.42
$3.65
3
140,000
0
0
303
140,303
30,621
109,379
0
0.25
72.72
126,910
$3.56
$3.96
4
150,000
0
0
0
150,000
35,538
114,462
0
0.25
210.96
360,507
$3.16
$3.61
5
150,000
0
0
0
150,000
77,997
72,003
0
0.48
177.01
302,233
$1.16
$1.23
6
152,363
0
0
10,312
162,675
21,428
130,935
0
0.87
65.26
112,749
$1.15
$1.32
7
131,119
8,881
0
20,859
160,859
4,282
135,718
0
0.32
66.71
116,778
$2.79
$2.93
8
97,685
65,000
0
5,712
168,397
18,160
144,525
132
0.36
0.37
176.94
303,147
$2.99
$3.48
9
94,478
50,522
0
0
145,000
36,401
108,599
920
0.60
0.69
86.70
154,276
$1.34
$1.72
10
88,593
50,558
0
0
139,151
33,780
105,371
2,462
0.31
0.79
116.63
207,731
$2.80
$3.46
11
105,000
22,301
0
0
127,301
33,486
93,815
3,456
0.33
0.82
295.39
507,032
$2.25
$2.42
12
125,000
0
0
0
125,000
49,458
75,542
3,328
0.80
0.84
220.54
378,173
$1.01
$1.21
13
125,000
0
0
4,601
129,601
33,652
91,348
3,825
0.76
0.92
151.19
261,603
$1.33
$1.44
14
115,000
0
0
10,582
125,582
27,174
87,826
3,822
0.50
0.86
109.64
156,352
$1.82
$1.87
15
86,891
28,109
0
2,719
117,719
29,972
85,028
3,828
0.32
0.79
177.80
269,472
$2.93
$3.37
16
100,000
0
0
4,848
104,848
24,733
75,267
3,693
0.56
0.88
203.53
306,859
$1.59
$1.61
17
85,724
0
0
5,478
91,202
25,134
60,590
3,502
0.72
0.88
219.74
341,302
$1.24
$1.30
18
53,497
0
0
2,040
55,537
28,686
24,810
3,584
0.75
0.84
170.78
254,961
$0.94
$1.11
19
18,367
7,763
0
2,958
29,087
25,854
275,559
3,603
0.57
0.90
122.81
176,092
$0.96
$0.98
20
17,015
0
0
12,096
29,111
16,669
346
3,535
0.47
0.75
76.39
97,761
$1.20
$1.20
21
9,294
0
0
20,527
29,821
9,254
41
2,520
0.41
0.76
61.52
70,315
$1.76
$2.26
22
16,097
0
0
22,520
38,617
16,079
17,895
0
0.37
54.06
61,131
$1.94
$2.17
23
0
20,813
0
27,195
48,008
4,265
16,547
0
0.16
99.51
62,746
$2.45
$2.46
24
0
67,119
0
22,332
89,451
15,490
51,629
0
0.22
88.77
58,543
$3.58
$4.42
25
0
67,584
0
0
67,584
35,186
32,398
0
0.28
87.71
63,674
$4.04
$4.05
26
0
60,000
0
5,000
65,000
30,480
29,520
0
0.28
72.18
61,623
$3.45
$3.46
27
0
60,000
0
0
60,000
41,640
18,360
0
0.24
92.68
81,688
$3.72
$4.75
28
0
30,000
0
4,361
34,361
26,939
3,060
0
0.32
94.36
68,405
$2.04
$2.04
29
0
34,018
0
1,997
36,015
29,305
4,712
0
0.32
92.06
58,879
$2.54
$2.55
30
0
30,000
0
6,651
36,651
24,783
5,217
0
0.35
16.51
11,817
$3.07
$3.89
31
0
2,805
0
7,061
9,865
1,343
1,462
0
0.33
$5.00
$5.00
Exhibit 2: Annual
Economics
Year
Revenue
Operating Cost
Operating Income
EBITDA
Capex
FCF
1
$340,967
$332,627
$8,340
$5,397
$102,706
-$71,907
2
$436,120
$382,077
$54,043
$54,043
$25,670
$30,440
3
$416,010
$379,520
$36,489
$36,489
$43,144
-$6,621
4
$494,949
$398,917
$96,032
$93,897
$57,236
$36,231
5
$1,405,976
$389,412
$1,016,564
$987,861
$26,734
$935,152
6
$1,178,711
$329,272
$849,439
$829,972
$49,795
$780,917
7
$439,719
$311,686
$128,033
$125,338
$16,223
$127,771
8
$455,433
$341,343
$114,090
$106,808
$57,718
$51,196
9
$1,182,272
$377,582
$804,690
$777,214
$115,440
$646,986
10
$601,678
$417,705
$183,974
$169,690
$101,252
$88,500
11
$810,151
$448,298
$361,853
$343,759
$36,426
$305,103
12
$1,977,426
$467,196
$1,510,230
$1,463,166
$99,477
$1,334,095
13
$1,474,876
$468,718
$1,006,158
$970,532
$39,170
$945,067
14
$1,020,251
$453,686
$566,565
$544,759
$14,287
$542,463
15
$609,773
$446,648
$163,125
$151,118
$68,164
$91,679
16
$1,050,943
$403,691
$647,252
$623,353
$5,512
$601,360
17
$1,196,752
$355,360
$841,392
$814,791
$16,933
$788,938
18
$1,331,076
$298,244
$1,032,832
$1,008,617
$55,195
$945,061
19
$994,347
$221,191
$773,156
$750,838
$5,241
$747,369
20
$686,759
$196,789
$489,970
$476,033
$872
$481,319
21
$381,268
$166,281
$214,987
$208,780
$48,300
$165,033
22
$274,229
$133,755
$140,474
$137,529
$15,943
$120,137
23
$238,411
$147,415
$90,996
$88,846
$560
$92,237
24
$244,709
$223,111
$21,598
$20,182
$53,006
-$25,226
25
$228,319
$235,193
-$6,874
-$8,453
$581
-$7,506
26
$248,330
$217,178
$31,152
$28,796
$470
$26,082
27
$240,331
$226,661
$13,670
$10,784
$63,237
-$51,526
28
$318,583
$162,159
$156,424
$152,150
$232
$143,451
29
$266,781
$171,065
$95,717
$93,146
$871
$94,773
30
$229,629
$179,241
$50,388
$48,994
$48,238
$2,650
31
$46,086
$58,728
-$12,642
-$12,642
$0
-$22,436
Exhibit 3:
PRICE DECK -
ASSUMPTIONS
PRICE / RATE
UNIT
LONG TERM
Copper
$/lb
3.90
Weighted Average Recovery
%
73
Sulfuric Acid
$/ton
160.00
Electricity (Nuclear)
$/kWh
0.071
NSR Royalty
%
2.54% (assumes buyback) on Cactus
and a portion of Parks/Salyer
%
0.5% on Bronco Creek (portion of
PS)
Effective Taxes
%
22.9
Quality Assurance and Quality Control Procedures Skyline
Labs is accredited in accordance with the recognized International
Standard ISO/IEC 17025:2005. Their quality management system has
been certified as conforming to the requirements defined in the
International Standard ISO 9001:2015. The standard operating
procedure (SOP) used while processing the ASCU samples was to
process samples in groups of 20. Each tray consisted of 18 samples
with samples No. 1 and No. 10 repeated as duplicates. The results
from each tray were analyzed and any variance in the duplicates of
more than 3% would result in the entire tray being re-assayed.
The results of these analyses, including the QA/QC checks, were
transmitted to a select set of individuals at ASCU and the
qualified persons.
Qualified Persons
Each of the persons listed below are authors preparing the 2024
PEA and have reviewed and verified the contents of this news
release as it relates to their area of responsibilities. By virtue
of their education, experience and professional association
membership, each of the below listed persons are considered
“qualified person" as defined by NI 43-101.
Scientific and technical aspects of this news release have been
reviewed and verified by these Qualified Person’s listed below and
Dan Johnson, ASCU Director of Projects, as defined by National
Instrument 43-101.
Project Management, M3 Engineering, John Woodson, PE,
SME-RM
Metallurgy, M3 Engineering, Laurie Tahija, QP-MMSA
Mineral Resources, Allan L. Schappert, CPG, SME-RM, ALS
Geo Resources LLC
Water and Environmental, R. Douglas Bartlett, CPG, PG.
Clear Creek Associates, a subsidiary of Geo-Logic Associates
Mine Planning, Gordon Zurowski, P.Eng., AGP Mining
Consultants Inc.
Links from the Press Release: Webinar:
https://www.bigmarker.com/vid-conferences/ASCU-newdevelopments
Figures and Tables:
https://arizonasonoran.com/projects/cactus-mine-project/press-release-images/
July 16, 2024:
https://arizonasonoran.com/news-releases/arizona-sonoran-updates-cactus-project-mineral-resource-estimate-to-7.3-b-lbs-of-copper-in-m-i-and-3.8-b-lbs-of-copper-in/
December 14, 2023:
https://arizonasonoran.com/news-releases/arizona-sonoran-and-nuton-llc-announce-option-to-joint-venture-on-cactus-project-in-arizona/
SEDAR+: https://www.sedarplus.ca
About Arizona Sonoran Copper Company (www.arizonasonoran.com |
www.cactusmine.com) ASCU’s objective is to become a mid-tier copper
producer with low operating costs and to develop the Cactus and
Parks/Salyer Projects that could generate robust returns for
investors and provide a long term sustainable and responsible
operation for the community and all stakeholders. The Company's
principal asset is a 100% interest in the Cactus Project (former
ASARCO, Sacaton mine) which is situated on private land in an
infrastructure-rich area of Arizona. Contiguous to the Cactus
Project is the Company’s 100%-owned Parks/Salyer deposit that could
allow for a phased expansion of the Cactus Mine once it becomes a
producing asset. The Company is led by an executive management team
and Board which have a long-standing track record of successful
project delivery in North America complemented by global capital
markets expertise.
Non-IFRS Financial Performance Measures This news release
contains certain non-IFRS measures, including sustaining capital,
sustaining costs, EBITDA, C1 cash costs and AISC. The Company
believes that these measures, together with measures determined in
accordance with IFRS, provide investors with an improved ability to
evaluate the underlying performance of the Company. Non-IFRS
measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under
IFRS, and therefore they may not be comparable to similar measures
employed by other companies. The data is intended to provide
additional information and should not be considered in isolation or
as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance
with IFRS.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Estimates of Mineral
Resources This news release uses the terms measured, indicated
and inferred mineral resources as a relative measure of the level
of confidence in the resource estimate. Readers are cautioned that
mineral resources are not mineral reserves and that the economic
viability of resources that are not mineral reserves has not been
demonstrated. The mineral resource estimate disclosed in this news
release may be materially affected by geology, environmental,
permitting, legal, title, socio-political, marketing or other
relevant issues. The mineral resource estimate is classified in
accordance with the Canadian disclosure requirements of Institute
of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum’s “CIM Definition Standards on
Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves” incorporated by reference
into NI 43-101. Under NI 43-101, estimates of inferred mineral
resources may not form the basis of feasibility or pre-feasibility
studies or economic studies except for preliminary economic
assessments. Readers are cautioned not to assume that further work
on the stated resources will lead to mineral reserves that can be
mined economically.
Forward-Looking Statements This news release contains
“forward-looking statements” and/or “forward-looking information”
(collectively, “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of
applicable securities legislation. All statements, other than
statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements.
Generally, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use
of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “expect”, “is
expected”, “in order to”, “is focused on” (a future event),
“estimates”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “believes” or variations of
such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events
or results “may”, “could”, “would”, or the negative connotation
thereof. In particular, statements regarding ASCU’s future
operations, future exploration and development activities or other
development plans constitute forward-looking statements. By their
nature, statements referring to mineral reserves or mineral
resources constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking
statements in this news release include, but are not limited to
statements with respect to the results (if any) of further
exploration work to define and expand or upgrade mineral resources
and reserves at ASCU’s properties; the anticipated exploration,
drilling, development, construction and other activities of ASCU
and the result of such activities; the mineral resources and
mineral reserves estimates of the Cactus Project (and the
assumptions underlying such estimates); the estimates and
assumptions underlying the PEA; projected production; pre-tax and
after-tax NPV; [pre-tax] and after-tax IRR; payback period; LOM
estimates; free-cash flows estimates; AISC and cost estimates; job
creation estimates; expected revenues, EBITDA or recoveries; the
ability of exploration work (including drilling) to accurately
predict mineralization; the ability of management to understand the
geology and potential of the Cactus Project; the focus of the 2024
drilling program at the Cactus Project including the Parks/Salyer
deposit and MainSpring property; the ability to generate additional
drill targets; the ability of ASCU to complete its exploration
objectives in 2024 in the timing contemplated (if at all); the
completion and timing for the filing of the PEA; the timing and
ability of ASCU to publish the 2025 PFS (if at all); the
possibility of obtaining an extension of time to issue the 2025 PFS
(if at all); the timing and ability to publish a feasibility study
(if at all); the scope of any future technical reports and studies
conducted by ASCU; the ability to realize upon mineralization in a
manner that is economic; the impact of bringing the MainSpring
property into the mine plan; the ability and timing of ASCU to
commence operations (if at all); the robust economics and
opportunity represented by the Cactus Project; the expected impact
of the Cactus Project on the local economy and stakeholders; the
impact of the Nuton™ technologies on ASCU operations and cost
relating to same; the impact of the relationship with Nuton on ASCU
and its operations and any other information herein that is not a
historical fact.
ASCU considers its assumptions to be reasonable based on
information currently available but cautions the reader that their
assumptions regarding future events, many of which are beyond the
control of the Company, may ultimately prove to be incorrect since
they are subject to risks and uncertainties that affect ASCU, its
properties and business. Such risks and uncertainties include, but
not limited to, the global economic climate, developments in world
commodity markets, changes in commodity prices (particularly prices
of copper), risks relating to fluctuations in the Canadian dollar
and other currencies relative to the US dollar, risks relating to
capital market conditions and ASCU’s ability to access capital on
terms acceptable to ASCU for the contemplated exploration and
development at the Company’s properties, changes in exploration,
development or mining plans due to exploration results and changing
budget priorities of ASCU or its joint venture partners, the
effects of competition in the markets in which ASCU operates,
results of further exploration work, the ability to continue
exploration and development at ASCU’s properties, the ability to
successfully apply the Nuton™ technologies in ASCU’s properties,
the impact of the Nuton™ technologies on ASCU operations and cost
relating to same, the timing and ability for ASCU to prepare and
complete the 2025 PFS and the costs relating to same, errors in
geological modelling, changes in any of the assumptions underlying
the PEA, the ability to expand operations or complete further
exploration activities, the ability to obtain regulatory approvals,
the impact of changes in the laws and regulations regulating mining
exploration, development, closure, judicial or regulatory judgments
and legal proceedings, operational and infrastructure risks and the
additional risks described in ASCU’s most recently filed Annual
Information Form, annual and interim management’s discussion and
analysis, copies of which are available on SEDAR+
(www.sedarplus.ca) under ASCU’s issuer profile. ASCU’s anticipation
of and success in managing the foregoing risks could cause actual
results to differ materially from what is anticipated in such
forward-looking statements.
Although management considers the assumptions contained in
forward-looking statements to be reasonable based on information
currently available to it based on information available at the
date of preparation, those assumptions may prove to be incorrect.
There can be no assurance that these forward-looking statements
will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events
could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements.
Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements and are urged to carefully consider the
foregoing factors as well as other uncertainties and risks outlined
in ASCU’s public disclosure record.
ASCU disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking
statements, whether as a result of new information, future events
or results or otherwise, except as required by law.
View source
version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240807400084/en/
Alison Dwoskin, Director, Investor Relations 647-233-4348
adwoskin@arizonasonoran.com
George Ogilvie, President, CEO and Director 416-723-0458
gogilvie@arizonasonoran.com
Arizona Sonoran Copper (TSX:ASCU)
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