CALGARY, Dec. 10, 2018 /CNW/ - Crew Energy Inc. (TSX: CR)
("Crew" or the "Company") today is pleased to announce the
Company's 2019 capital expenditure budget, approved by Crew's Board
of Directors.
With continued volatility and weakness in Canadian oil and
natural gas prices, the Company believes it is prudent to develop a
plan that can be adjusted dependent on commodity prices. Crew
will continue to closely monitor prices and differentials and will
adhere to a disciplined and conservative approach for our 2019
capital budget in an effort to maintain balance sheet strength and
flexibility.
2019 BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS
- Capital Expenditure Budget of $95 to 105 Million: The 2019 capital
expenditure budget is expected to approximate annual estimated
Funds From Operations ("FFO"), with drilling activities focused on
building from Crew's success in the Ultra-Condensate Rich ("UCR")
area at Greater Septimus.
- U.S. Sales Exposure and Hedging Provide Support to Capital
Program: Crew's 2019 natural gas sales exposure will be
approximately 43% to Chicago City Gate, 16% to NYMEX, 15% to Dawn,
10% to Alliance ATP, 8% to Malin, 4% to Station 2 and 4% to AECO
5A.
-
- Approximately 30% of budgeted 2019 volumes are hedged at
$2.59 per GJ or approximately
$2.74 per mcf, which increases to
approximately $3.22 per mcf after
adjusting for Crew's higher heat content natural gas. Natural
gas hedges include to 22,500 mmbtu per day of Chicago City Gate gas
at C$3.54 per mmbtu, 5,000 mmbtu per
day of Dawn gas at C$3.56 per mmbtu
and 7,500 mmbtu per day of NYMEX gas at US$2.98 per mmbtu.
- The Company has 1,874 barrels per day of WTI hedged at an
average price of C$75.99 per barrel
for 2019 and 500 barrels per day of WCS hedged for the first
half of 2019 at an average price of C$52.93 per bbl.
- Maintain Average Production of 22,000 to 23,000 boe per
day: 2019 production is expected to be comprised of 27% liquids
and 73% natural gas. The Company currently has approximately
2,000 boe per day of production shut-in, which includes 1,300 boe
per day of non-Montney gas
production, budgeted to remain shut-in for the entire year at
current gas prices. Additionally, 700 barrels per day of shut-in
heavy oil is planned to be phased back on production through the
second and third quarters as Western Canadian Select ("WCS") prices
are forecast to improve.
- Capital Expenditure Focused in the UCR Area: Crew
anticipates entering 2019 with seven (7.0 net) drilled but
uncompleted wells (DUCs), which will accelerate condensate
production into 2019. Drilling and completions activity will
continue to target liquids-rich opportunities with the Company
planning to drill five (5.0 net) and complete three (3.0 net) UCR
wells at West Septimus, as a result of encouraging test results
from our last three completed wells. The Company also plans
to drill one Montney lease
retention well and one exploratory horizontal Montney well in 2019. Crew has also
allocated capital to our heavy oil business, planning to drill
three multi-leg horizontal wells which are expected to maintain
production volumes. Capital expenditures will be allocated 75% to
Greater Septimus, 6% to lease retention and exploration, 6% to
heavy oil, and 13% to land, seismic, general and
administration.
- Managing the Balance Sheet: Given current and future
strip prices for natural gas and liquids as well as differentials,
the Company's 2019 capital program will focus on maintaining
financial flexibility by balancing capital expenditures with
FFO. Crew expects to maintain ample liquidity with planned
draws on our existing $235 million
credit facility anticipated not to exceed 25%, with the majority of
our debt comprised of $300 million of
term debt due in 2024 with no financial maintenance covenants.
2019 budget DETAIL
Crew is targeting a balanced 2019 budget which will be primarily
funded by forecast FFO, enabling the Company to manage our balance
sheet while maintaining flexibility to quickly adjust spending in
response to changes in forward commodity prices or the broader
operating environment.
2019 Budget
Assumptions
|
|
Oil price
(WTI)
|
US$52.00 per
bbl
|
Natural gas price
(AECO 5A)
|
C$1.60 per
GJ
|
Natural gas price
(NYMEX)
|
US$3.30 per
mmbtu
|
Natural gas price
(Crew est. wellhead)
|
$3.70 per
mcf
|
WTI to WCS
differential
|
C$28.00
|
Foreign exchange
($US/$CDN)
|
$0.76
|
Royalties
|
5-7%
|
Operating
costs
|
$5.90 – 6.15 per
boe
|
Transportation
|
$3.60 - 3.85 per
boe
|
G&A
|
$1.40 - 1.65 per
boe
|
Interest rate – bank
debt
|
4.5%
|
Interest rate – high
yield
|
6.5%
|
On January 1, 2019 the Company's
pipeline connecting our West Septimus facility to the existing TCPL
Saturn meter station will be commissioned, providing the Company
with physical access to all three major natural gas egress systems
transporting natural gas out of Western
Canada. This, combined with our diversified gas marketing
portfolio, significantly enhances our natural gas exposure. The
addition of the added transportation options will result in an
increase in the Company's transportation cost per unit as outlined
above.
2019 Budget
Sensitivities
|
Input
Change
|
Cash Flow Impact
($M)
|
Cash Flow per
Fully Diluted
Share Impact ($/share)
|
100 bbls per day
condensate
|
$2.1
|
$0.01
|
CDN $1.00 per bbl
WTI
|
$2.0
|
$0.01
|
1 mmcf per day
natural gas
|
$1.0
|
$0.01
|
$0.10 per mmbtu
NYMEX
|
$5.0
|
$0.03
|
$0.10 per GJ AECO
5A
|
$0.8
|
$0.00
|
$0.01 FX
CDN/US
|
$2.7
|
$0.02
|
As outlined in the Company's third quarter 2018 results release
issued November 5, 2018, through the
fourth quarter of 2018, Crew has been affected by third party
pipeline outages and limited egress across western Canada which has created low, volatile and
occasionally negative natural gas prices, extremely low WCS
benchmark oil prices and depressed condensate prices. In this
environment, Crew has shut-in production volumes that have
challenged economics in the interests of preserving value and as
such, anticipates that 2018 volumes will average near the low end
of our annual guidance range of 23,500 to 24,500 boe per day.
Cautionary Statements
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and
Gas and Operational Information and Non-IFRS Measures
This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil
and natural gas industry, such as "funds from operations". This
term is not defined in IFRS and does not have standardized meanings
or standardized methods of calculation and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and
therefore should not be used to make such comparisons. Such metrics
have been included herein to provide readers with additional
information to evaluate the Company's performance, however such
metrics should not be unduly relied upon. Management uses oil and
gas metrics for its own performance measurements and to provide
shareholders with measures to compare Crew's operations over time.
Readers are cautioned that the information provided by these
metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented in this
press release, should not be relied upon for investment or other
purposes. See "Non-IFRS Measures" contained within Crew's MD&A
for applicable definitions, calculations, rationale for use and
reconciliations to the most directly comparable measure under
IFRS.
Forward-Looking Information and Statements
The Company anticipates remaining disciplined but flexible
with its budgeted 2019 capital expenditures as it monitors business
conditions and commodity prices throughout the fiscal year. Where
deemed prudent, the Company may make adjustments to its 2019
capital budget. Actual spending may vary due to a variety of
factors including, without limitation, drilling results, crude oil
and natural gas prices, economic conditions, prevailing debt and/or
equity markets, field services and equipment availability, and the
impact of any future strategic acquisitions or dispositions. The
Company has flexibility to adjust the level of its capital
investments as circumstances warrant. The corporate guidance for
2019 was determined based on the commodity price and other
financial assumptions disclosed in this press release and certain
guidance estimates may fluctuate with changes in commodity prices
and adjustments made to the 2019 program. The Company's 2019
guidance provides shareholders with relevant information as to
management's current expectations for results of operations,
excluding any material acquisitions or dispositions, based upon the
assumptions noted herein for 2019. Readers are cautioned that
the 2019 guidance may not be appropriate for other purposes.
The internal projections, expectations or beliefs are based on the
2019 capital budget which is subject to change in light of ongoing
results, prevailing economic circumstances, commodity prices and
industry conditions and regulations. Accordingly, readers are
cautioned that events or circumstances could cause results to defer
materially from those predicted.
This news release contains certain forward–looking
information and statements within the meaning of applicable
securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends" "forecast" and similar
expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or
statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this
news release contains forward-looking information and statements
pertaining to the following: the Company's planned 2019 capital
expenditures program, operating and financial assumptions and
guidance, the estimated volumes, including shut-ins, and product
mix of Crew's oil and gas production; production estimates
including 2018 and 2019 annual average production forecasts;
estimated funds from operations and forecasted credit facility
drawings in 2019; plans in regards to bringing shut-in volumes back
on production and the timing thereof; commodity price expectations
including Crew's estimates of natural gas pricing exposure; Crew's
commodity risk management programs; marketing, transportation and
natural gas egress plans; future liquidity and financial capacity
required to carry out our planned program; future results from
operations and operating metrics; future development, exploration,
acquisition and disposition activities (including drilling,
completion and infrastructure plans and associated timing and cost
estimates); all financial assumptions included under the headings
"2019 Budget Assumptions" and "2019 Budget Sensitivities"; and
methods of funding our capital program.
In addition, forward-looking statements or information are
based on a number of material factors, expectations or assumptions
of Crew which have been used to develop such statements and
information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although Crew
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking
statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not
be placed on forward-looking statements because Crew can give no
assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In
addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified
herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things:
that Crew will continue to conduct its operations in a manner
consistent with past operations; results from drilling and
development activities consistent with past operations; the quality
of the reservoirs in which Crew operates and continued performance
from existing wells; the continued and timely development of
infrastructure in areas of new production; the accuracy of the
estimates of Crew's reserve volumes; certain commodity price and
other cost assumptions; continued availability of debt and equity
financing and cash flow to fund Crew's current and future plans and
expenditures; the impact of increasing competition; the general
stability of the economic and political environment in which Crew
operates; the general continuance of current industry conditions;
the timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the
ability of Crew to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services
in a timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the
ability of the operator of the projects in which Crew has an
interest in to operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective
manner; the ability of Crew to obtain financing on acceptable
terms; field production rates and decline rates; the ability to
replace and expand oil and natural gas reserves through
acquisition, development and exploration; the timing and cost of
pipeline, storage and facility construction and expansion and the
ability of Crew to secure adequate product transportation; future
commodity prices; currency, exchange and interest rates; regulatory
framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental matters in
the jurisdictions in which Crew operates; and the ability of Crew
to successfully market its oil and natural gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements included in
this news release are not guarantees of future performance and
should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and statements,
including the assumptions made in respect thereof, involve known
and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause
actual results or events to defer materially from those anticipated
in such forward-looking information or statements including,
without limitation: changes in commodity prices; changes in the
demand for or supply of Crew's products, the early stage of
development of some of the evaluated areas and zones the potential
for variation in the quality of the Montney formation; unanticipated operating
results or production declines; changes in tax or environmental
laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters; changes in
development plans of Crew or by third party operators of Crew's
properties, increased debt levels or debt service requirements;
inaccurate estimation of Crew's oil and gas reserve volumes;
limited, unfavourable or a lack of access to capital markets;
increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage; the impact
of competitors; and certain other risks detailed from time-to-time
in Crew's public disclosure documents (including, without
limitation, those risks identified in this news release and Crew's
Annual Information Form).
The forward-looking information and statements contained in
this news release speak only as of the date of this news release,
and Crew does not assume any obligation to publicly update or
revise any of the included forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities
laws.
The forward-looking information and statements included in
this news release are not guarantees of future performance and
should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and
statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof,
involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from
those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements
including, without limitation: changes in commodity prices;
changes in the demand for or supply of Crew's products, the
early stage of development of some of the evaluated areas and
zones the potential for variation in the quality of the
Montney formation; unanticipated
operating results or production declines; changes in tax or
environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters;
changes in development plans of Crew or by third party operators of
Crew's properties, increased debt levels or debt service
requirements; inaccurate estimation of Crew's oil and gas reserve
volumes; limited, unfavourable or a lack of access to capital
markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage;
the impact of competitors; and certain other risks detailed from
time-to-time in Crew's public disclosure documents (including,
without limitation, those risks identified in this news release and
Crew's Annual Information Form).
The forward-looking information and statements contained in
this news release speak only as of the date of this news release,
and Crew does not assume any obligation to publicly update or
revise any of the included forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities
laws.
BOE equivalent
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of
6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method
primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio
based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas
is significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing the 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an
indication of value.
Crew is a growth-oriented oil and natural gas producer,
committed to pursuing sustainable per share growth through a
balanced mix of financially responsible exploration and development
complemented by strategic acquisitions. The Company's
operations are primarily focused in the vast Montney resource, situated in northeast
British Columbia, and include a
large contiguous land base. Crew's liquids-rich Septimus and
West Septimus areas ("Greater Septimus") along with Groundbirch and
the light oil area at Tower in British
Columbia offer significant development potential over the
long-term. The Company has access to diversified markets with
operated infrastructure and access to multiple pipeline egress
options. Crew's common shares are listed for trading on the
Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") under the symbol "CR".
SOURCE Crew Energy Inc.