Crypto Analyst: Bull Market Hinges On This Indicator Reaching 45%
19 Septiembre 2024 - 9:30PM
NEWSBTC
In a detailed post on X, crypto analyst Jamie Coutts outlined
various indicators he monitors to gauge when the market might pick
up bullish momentum. Crypto Market Might Be In The Final Stage Of
The Bearish Phase Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at the financial
knowledge and education platform RealVision, noted that the
cryptocurrency market has gradually declined. The top 200
equal-weight index (EWI) shows that the leading 200
cryptocurrencies by market cap have experienced a 55% pullback over
the past six months. Despite this downward trajectory, Coutts
believes the risk/reward ratio is favorable for adding select
digital assets at current levels. Related Reading: Ethereum ETFs
Launch About To Kickstart The Altseason? Analysts Weigh In Coutts
highlighted the steep surge in the alt season indicator, a data
point that measures the degree by which altcoins outperform Bitcoin
(BTC). However, this rise is not accompanied by a sustained Bitcoin
rally, which requires its price to be above its all-time-high (ATH)
value. As a result, the upward-moving altseason indicator may be
short-lived. Still, Coutts suspects the market is “in the final
throes of the bearish thrust.” The analyst emphasized that even
when altcoins outperform BTC in terms of price, investing in them
may not always be wise if they are still in a downward trend.
Coutts recalled a similar situation in 2022, during the collapse of
the FTX exchange. He suggests that the ideal time to invest in
altcoins is when they are trending upward not only on the absolute
price chart but also on the relative price chart. This Indicator
Must Hit 45% For Bull Market To Resume According to Coutts, one key
metric to determine whether the market has entered bullish
territory is the percentage of digital assets above their 200-day
moving average (MA). Currently, only 11% of digital assets are
above the 200-day MA. For a bull market to resume, at least 45% of
digital assets must be above this level. For the uninitiated, the
200-day MA is a technical analysis indicator that represents the
average price of an asset over the past 200 trading days. Traders
and analysts use it to identify the long-term trend of an asset,
including digital assets like BTC. Related Reading: Altcoins
Season: Analyst Predicts 2x Surge Post-Bitcoin Rally Despite the
recent market downturn, certain fundamental metrics within the
crypto ecosystem, such as daily active users (DAU), daily
transactions, and network value-to-fee ratio, have increased in the
past six months. Further, daily fees are down 84%, a decrease that
can be attributed to the implementation of EIP-4844, which slashed
transaction fees for Ethereum (ETH) ecosystem users. Coutts added
that a bull market could be on the horizon when prices and fees
begin to trend upward together. “We’re not there yet, but prices
will lead, and fees will naturally follow,” he noted. As of press
time, the total crypto market cap, excluding BTC, is $879.676
billion. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from x.com and
Tradingview.com
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