Bitcoin Supply In Profit Continues Decline, But Still Not At Historical Bottom Zone
11 Octubre 2022 - 2:00PM
NEWSBTC
Data shows the Bitcoin supply in profit has continued its decline,
but the metric has still not reached levels as low as the previous
bear market bottoms. Around 50% Of The Bitcoin Supply Is In Profit
At The Moment According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode,
the current profitability levels in the BTC market are still above
the 40%-42% values that were observed during historical bottoms.
The “percent supply in profit” is an indicator that measures the
total percentage of the Bitcoin supply that’s currently holding
some unrealized profit. The metric works by checking the on-chain
history of each coin in the circulating supply to see what price it
was last moved at. If for any coin this previous price was less
than the current BTC value, then that particular coin is in some
profit at the moment, and the indicator accounts for it. Now, here
is a chart that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average Bitcoin
percent supply in profit since the January of 2014: The 7-day MA
value of the metric seems to have been declining in recent days |
Source: Glassnode's The Week Onchain - Week 41, 2022 As you can see
in the above graph, the historical zones of the Bitcoin percent
supply in profit for previous bear markets are highlighted. It
looks like whenever the metric has sunk below the 50% mark, the
price of the crypto has observed cyclical lows. Related Reading:
Bitcoin Volatility Index Suggests Large Price Move Arriving Soon
More specifically, the indicator’s value was round 40%-41% in the
2014-15 bear, while it was 41%-42% during the 2018-19 bear. The
COVID crash saw the profit in supply reaching a 47% mark, but since
the event wasn’t part of a normal cycle, the relatively higher
level during this low may not be as relevant. In the current
2021-22 bear market, the indicator has been declining, but has only
made a slight touch of the historical bottom zone so far as its
value is around 50% currently. Related Reading: Elrond eGold (EGLD)
And Bitcoin (BTC) Under Resistance As The Hideaways (HDWY) Moons If
the 40% to 42% supply in profit target for the cyclical low from
the previous bear markets holds this time as well, then Bitcoin’s
current profitability is still around 10% higher. This would
suggest that the crypto may have to go through another flush of
unrealized profits before the sellers are exhausted and the bear
bottom is in. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price
floats around $18.9k, down 6% in the last week. Over the past
month, the crypto has lost 12% in value. Looks like the price of
the coin has been slowly heading downhill since a few days ago |
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Natarajan
sethuramalingam on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com,
Glassnode.com
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