German Economy Stuck In Recession
15 Enero 2025 - 12:44AM
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The German economy shrank for the second straight year in 2024
as the euro area struggles with global headwinds and the political
and structural problems on the domestic front. Gross domestic
product contracted 0.2 percent in 2024 after a 0.3 percent decline
in 2023, Destatis reported Wednesday.
"Cyclical and structural pressures stood in the way of better
economic development in 2024," Destatis President Ruth Brand said
at the press conference held in Berlin.
"These include increasing competition for the German export
industry on key sales markets, high energy costs, an interest rate
level that remains high, and an uncertain economic outlook. Against
this backdrop, the German economy contracted once again in 2024,"
Brand added.
Due to the sharp declines in the manufacture of machinery and
equipment and automotive industry, manufacturing shrank 3.0
percent. The construction industry reported a more pronounced
decline of 3.8 percent. On the other hand, the service sector
logged an expansion of 0.8 percent.
On the expenditure-side, gross fixed capital formation declined
2.8 percent, reflecting falls in construction, and machinery and
equipment investment.
Household consumption expenditure moved up 0.3 percent boosted
by pay hikes and the slowing inflation. Government spending gained
2.6 percent due to higher social benefits in kind provided by the
government.
The difficult conditions were reflected in foreign trade too.
Exports decreased 0.8 percent, while imports grew 0.2 percent.
Regarding the labor market, Destatis said employment increased
72,000 from the last year to a new record high of 46.1 million.
These gains were entirely attributable to the service sector.
Data showed that the general government deficit ratio remained
unchanged at 2.6 percent of GDP in 2024. It remained below the 3
percent reference value of the European Stability and Growth
Pact.
Capital Economics' economist Franziska Palmas said the data
suggests that there is still no sign of the country exiting
stagnation.
Although a slight recovery in real household incomes and falling
interest rates might boost consumption and construction investment,
this would be mostly offset by a continued drag from high energy
prices, weak demand for industrial goods and adverse demographics,
the economist noted.
The firm forecasts a very small cyclical recovery in 2025, but
even that could prove too optimistic, Palmas added.
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