IMS Health Study: Global Market for Cancer Treatments Grows to $107 Billion in 2015, Fueled by Record Level of Innovation
01 Junio 2016 - 11:01PM
Business Wire
Seventy New Oncology Therapies Launched in
Past Five Years; Health Systems Seek to Adapt to Shifting Treatment
Landscape
More than 20 tumor types are being treated with one or more of
the 70 new cancer treatments that have been launched in the past
five years, with the sustained surge in innovative therapies
driving the global oncology market to $107 billion in 2015.
However, many of these drugs are not yet available to patients in
most countries, and even when registered they may not be reimbursed
under public insurance programs, according to a new study released
today by the IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics.
The study—Global Oncology Trend Report: A Review of 2015 and
Outlook to 2020—finds that growth in global spending on oncology
therapeutics and supportive care drugs increased 11.5 percent on a
constant-dollar basis last year. Growth is measured using
ex-manufacturer prices and does not reflect off-invoice discounts,
rebates or patient access programs. A large and diverse set of more
than 500 companies is actively pursuing oncology drug development
around the world. Collectively, they are advancing nearly 600 new
molecules through late-stage clinical development, most frequently
for non-small cell lung cancer and breast, prostate, ovarian and
colorectal cancers.
Annual global growth in the oncology drug market is expected to
be 7.5 – 10.5 percent through 2020, reaching $150 billion. Wider
utilization of new products—especially immunotherapies—will drive
much of the growth, offset by reduced use of some existing
treatments with inferior clinical outcomes. Payers also are
expected to tighten their negotiation stance with manufacturers and
adopt new payment models in an effort to drive greater value from
their expenditures on these drugs.
“The new science redefining cancer as a large number of narrowly
defined diseases and yielding therapeutic options for an expanding
number of patients is rapidly transforming the oncology treatment
landscape,” said Murray Aitken, IMS Health senior vice president
and executive director of the IMS Institute for Healthcare
Informatics. “Most health systems are struggling to adapt and
embrace this evolution—including the regulatory systems, skilled
professionals, diagnostic and treatment infrastructures, and
financing mechanisms that are required to serve the needs of cancer
patients around the world. These challenges demand urgent attention
in light of the strong near-term pipeline of clinically distinctive
therapies, and new programs such as the U.S. government’s ‘cancer
moon shot’ that are galvanizing research efforts to change the
trajectory of cancer.”
The report’s other key findings include the following:
- Sustained level of innovation
expected through 2020. The pipeline of oncology drugs in
clinical development has expanded by more than 60 percent during
the past decade, with almost 90 percent of the focus on targeted
agents. The median time from patent filing to approval for oncology
drugs in 2015 was 9.5 years, down from 10.3 years in 2013. A series
of initiatives, including the FDA Breakthrough Therapy designation
introduced in 2012, may be contributing to the reduction. In the
past three years, three molecules were approved within four years
of patent registration.
- The availability of new cancer
treatments varies widely around the world. Of the 49 oncology
New Active Substances analyzed that were initially launched between
2010 and 2014, fewer than half were available to patients by the
end of 2015 in all but six countries: the U.S., Germany, UK, Italy,
France and Canada. This reflects manufacturers’ efforts to file for
registration in each country, as well as the regulatory process and
timing. Targeted immunotherapies are available in most developed
countries, but none of the emerging markets outside of the European
Union has yet registered these treatments. Even when available
through the regulatory review process, not all cancer drugs are
accessible to patients due to lack of reimbursement under public
insurance programs. Of the drugs approved in 2014 and 2015 by a set
of developed countries analyzed, only the U.S., France and Scotland
have more than half included on reimbursement lists at the end of
2015. In some cases, reimbursement may be provided in the future
for specific indications, depending on health technology
assessments or other processes used by the country.
- The growth in costs of oncology
therapeutics and supportive care has accelerated since 2011.
The annual growth rate in cancer drug costs has risen from 3.8
percent in 2011 to 11.5 percent in 2015, at constant exchange
rates. Growth in the U.S. market increased from 2.0 percent to 13.9
percent in the same period. The U.S. now accounts for about 45
percent of the global total market for therapeutics, up from 39
percent in 2011, due in part to the strengthening of the U.S.
dollar and more rapid adoption of newer therapies. In the U.S.,
cancer drugs now make up 11.5 percent of total drug costs, up from
10.5 percent in 2011. Pricing concessions by
manufacturers—including mandatory and negotiated rebates, discounts
and patient cost offsets—are reducing manufacturer-realized net
sales across many markets. Net price growth in the U.S. on existing
branded oncology drugs have averaged an estimated 4.8 percent in
2015, compared with 6.4 percent invoice price growth. In Europe, a
wide range of discounts and other mechanisms also exist, resulting
in lower realized prices by manufacturers.
- The distribution of cancer drugs is
shifting due to reimbursement changes and expanded use of targeted
therapies. The mix of oncology drugs distributed through
hospitals/clinics and retail channels varies widely across
countries and reflects differences in healthcare practice,
reimbursement and mix of formulations. In European markets
including Italy, Spain and the UK, costs have shifted to hospital
channels during the past five years, while in Canada, France and
the U.S. costs have increased more rapidly in retail channels. In
the U.S., cancer drugs dispensed through retail channels now
account for more than one-third of total costs, up from 25 percent
ten years ago and typically covered by pharmacy benefits. This
reflects a shift in the mix of new therapies toward oral medicines,
eliminating the need for injection or infusion in a physician’s
office or outpatient facility. Nearly 40 percent of the total costs
of targeted therapies in the U.S. are now for oral formulations, up
from 26 percent in 2010.
- Key trends within the U.S. oncology
market include a shift toward integrated delivery systems, rising
treatment costs and higher patient out-of-pocket expenses. Only
17 percent of U.S. oncologists are in independent practices,
unaffiliated with some type of integrated delivery network or
corporate parent, down from 28 percent in 2010. State-level
variation is wide, with 14 states having fewer than 10 percent of
oncologists in independent practices, and six states having more
than 30 percent. Average total treatment costs for patients in
commercial insurance plans with a cancer diagnosis who are
receiving active treatment reached $58,000 in 2014, up 19 percent
from 2013. Patients with commercial insurance who were treated in
2014 with cancer drugs received by injection or infusion were
responsible for more than $7,000 of costs on average, compared to
$3,000 for those patients receiving only oral medicines. Some type
of coupon or patient cost offset was used for more than a quarter
of cancer drug retail prescriptions filled by patients with
commercial insurance in 2015, up from 5 percent in 2011 and
reflecting efforts by manufacturers to reduce patient out-of-pocket
costs. The average cost offset has averaged about $750 per
prescription over the past five years.
The full version of the report, including a detailed description
of the methodology, is available at www.theimsinstitute.org. The
study was produced independently as a public service, without
industry or government funding.
About the IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics
The IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics provides key policy
setters and decision makers in the global health sector with unique
and transformational insights into healthcare dynamics derived from
granular analysis of information. It is a research-driven entity
with a worldwide reach that collaborates with external healthcare
experts from across academia and the public and private sectors to
objectively apply IMS Health’s proprietary global information and
analytical assets. More information about the IMS Institute can be
found at: http://www.theimsinstitute.org.
About IMS Health
IMS Health is a leading global information and technology
services company providing clients in the healthcare industry with
end-to-end solutions to measure and improve their performance. Our
7,000 services experts connect configurable SaaS applications to
15+ petabytes of complex healthcare data in the IMS One™ cloud
platform, delivering unique insights into diseases, treatments,
costs and outcomes. The company’s 15,000 employees blend global
consistency and local market knowledge across 100 countries to help
clients run their operations more efficiently. Customers include
pharmaceutical, consumer health and medical device manufacturers
and distributors, providers, payers, government agencies,
policymakers, researchers and the financial community.
As a global leader in protecting individual patient privacy, IMS
Health uses anonymous healthcare data to deliver critical,
real-world disease and treatment insights. These insights help
biotech and pharmaceutical companies, medical researchers,
government agencies, payers and other healthcare stakeholders to
identify unmet treatment needs and understand the effectiveness and
value of pharmaceutical products in improving overall health
outcomes. Additional information is available at
www.imshealth.com.
This analysis of medicine costs is based on prices reported in
IMS Health audits of pharmaceutical spending, which are in general
reported at the invoice prices wholesalers charge to their
customers including pharmacies and hospitals. In some countries
these prices are exclusive of discounts and rebates paid to
governments, private insurers or the specific purchasers. In other
countries, off-invoice discounts are illegal and do not occur. As a
result, the analyses in this report do not reflect the net revenues
of pharmaceutical manufacturers. As a part of this report, the IMS
Institute has compared IMS Health audited spending data in the U.S.
to reported sales, net of discounts, reported by publicly traded
companies. See Notes on Sources for more detail on methodologies
used throughout this report.
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IMS HealthTor Constantino, +1
484-567-6732tconstantino@us.imshealth.com
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