PyroGenesis Inc. (“PyroGenesis”) (http://pyrogenesis.com) (TSX:
PYR) (OTCQX: PYRGF) (FRA: 8PY), a high-tech company that designs,
develops, manufactures and commercializes advanced plasma processes
and sustainable solutions which are geared to reduce greenhouse
gases (GHG) and address environmental pollutants, provides the
following comments and analysis in response to investor questions
about the impact from the upcoming change in U.S. leadership and
potential change in policy direction.
In summary, PyroGenesis is positive about the
potential economic impact the U.S. election outcome may have on the
company. The potential benefits from President-Elect Donald Trump’s
campaign promises, in particular the commitments to (i) lower
corporate taxation to stimulate business growth, (ii) reduce
regulatory burdens and bureaucracy to accelerate project approvals,
(iii) expand the energy sector to – in the campaign’s own words –
“unleash energy production from all sources, including nuclear”,
(iv) “to immediately slash inflation and power American homes,
cars, and factories with reliable, abundant, and affordable
Energy”1, are numerous and prescient, as America commits to a
future of advanced manufacturing leadership, energy
self-sufficiency, and supply chain protection.
“The expectation is that the newly-elected
administration’s initiatives will speed up capital projects, stir
innovation, increase overall capacity of the energy grid, and lower
energy costs. This could be highly beneficial to companies like
ours that supply heavy industry with the high-temperature
electricity-based solutions needed to modernize, optimize, and
compete,” said P. Peter Pascali, President and CEO of PyroGenesis.
“Furthermore, we believe that any fears associated with a rumoured
U.S. withdrawal from the Paris climate accords or repeal of the
green energy incentive-heavy Inflation Reduction Act passed by the
Biden administration will have little to no impact on our company,
due to a number of important factors (such as the scale of energy
transition, rising demand for lightweight metals, power grid
expansion and resurgence of nuclear power, continued impact from
initiatives started by the inflation reduction act, and our
solution/geographic diversification) that I am pleased to outline
below.”
Understanding Energy
Transition
There have been concerns that the change in
American leadership will disrupt the business opportunities
inherent in the energy transition movement.
We believe that these concerns represent a
fundamental misunderstanding of what energy transition is and where
associated business opportunities lie.
Energy transition at an industrial level is not
just about replacing one form of energy with another, such as
finding substitutions for oil and gas to reduce carbon
footprint.
It is also largely about reducing handling,
shipping, and storage requirements and costs for fuels, improving
the efficiency of heating applications, improving the rate or speed
of heating, improving factory working conditions such as air
quality, reducing dangerous environments, and reducing injury
potential related to combustible or explosive materials.
It is also about finding new uses for existing
energy forms, and reducing the variety of different fuel sources
used at a particular facility in the process, both of which always
made practical sense to do so but were not considered possible
until recently.
For companies in industries such as aluminum,
where electricity has long been the major source of power, having
to utilize gas, oil, or diesel in certain heating or melting
applications is an added burden logistically. Reducing the
energy/fuel types used across an aluminum facility makes logical
sense but is only justifiable where quality and cost are not
negatively impacted. With advances in electricity-based technology
from companies like PyroGenesis, those goals are now more within
reach.
With a multitude of criteria driving industrial
energy transition, any U.S. reduction in carbon-specific
initiatives is only impacting a portion of the overall
decision-making benchmarks.
Rising Demand for Lightweight Metals:
Our Strength in Aluminum and Titanium
Lightweight metal industries showcase perhaps
the best example of the scale of opportunities available in energy
transition, as well as the impact these industries are having in
other areas – impact that is necessitating change that further
benefits PyroGenesis.
PyroGenesis has long had business strength in
lightweight metals. The aluminum industry is a major source of
revenue for the company’s business and is growing. Separately, the
company is pushing to have its titanium metal powders produced by
its patented NexGen plasma atomization metal powder production
system breakthrough in the additive manufacturing market.
Numerous PyroGenesis technologies targeting
lightweight metals are already deployed in the field or in
development. From PyroGenesis’ Drosrite™ aluminum metal dross
recovery systems [see image below] installed around the world, to
plasma torch burners currently being developed with/for
multi-billion dollar entities for various heating and melting
applications in reverberatory/holding furnaces and tanks, to
burners for carbon anode baking furnaces, dross residue
valorization, and spent pot lining recovery and valorization. And
more applications are under development.
PyroGenesis’ growing position in this sector is
key, as aluminium demand is expected to increase by almost 40 per
cent by 2030 and the aluminum sector will need to produce an
additional 33.3 Mt to meet demand growth in all industrial sectors
– from 86.2 Mt in 2020 to 119.5 Mt in 2030.2 Further out, other
estimates see a demand increase of 80% by 2050.3
Currently, industrial output in the aluminum
industry exists outside of the U.S. political sphere of influence.
Once one of the top producers in the world, peaking at 30 smelters
in the 1980s, the U.S. now has very few aluminum producers, with
only four active smelters for primary aluminum remaining on U.S.
soil.4
Additionally, the global shift to renewable
energy that continues to occur will only further impact demand for
aluminum. Everything from lightweight electric vehicles, to wind
turbines, to solar panels, to the cabling used to transmit the
power generated from these renewable sources to national grids
requires aluminum as a critical raw material.
For example, aluminium is the single most widely
used mineral material in solar photovoltaic [PV] applications,
accounting for more than 85% of the mineral material demand for
solar PV components. Electric vehicles utilize aluminum components
extensively for weight reduction, both in the structural and
battery elements. EV batteries often utilize aluminum housings, and
growing momentum exists of a potential future for aluminum-ion
batteries.5
As further testament to the global aluminum
demand brought about just by these three products related to the
renewable economy, China’s three fastest-growing exports, in
dollar-value terms, are cars, solar panels, and batteries.6
Rising aluminum demand produces two additional
issues that PyroGenesis also sees as beneficial to its future:
- Primary aluminum production itself is a power-intensive
process. To prevent offsetting the decarbonization and efficiency
gains achieved through the use of lightweight aluminum, product
manufacturers will require the production of aluminum to adapt and
reduce its carbon footprint and use of fossil fuels where possible.
PyroGenesis plasma-torch burners in heating and remelting furnaces
and tanks are well positioned for just such a task, especially as
the aluminum industry is expected to turn more aggressively to
secondary (scrap) metal as an alternative source, as it uses 95%
less energy than primary aluminum to produce.7The net result
is that aluminum offers both the lightweight strength desired by
manufacturers, and a route to decarbonization, via use of recycled
metals and a reduction in energy types achieved by expanding
electricity-based technologies across the factory application
spectrum. Once again, this provides PyroGenesis with a global
business opportunity notwithstanding any U.S. policy shifts.
- The move to more renewable energy and a powering-up of advanced
manufacturing will require an expansion of the power grid. As a
company producing electricity-based technology solutions, any
additional increase to the grid is of great benefit to PyroGenesis
and its clients.
The Trump administration has specifically
highlighted power grid expansion in its campaign platform and, as
outlined below, the expected grid expansion worldwide –
particularly with nuclear energy as a key component – is expected
to have long-lasting benefits, both for those who require the
additional energy and for those like PyroGenesis who contribute
solution infrastructure. PyroGenesis looks forward to such a
rollout in the years ahead, no matter the energy source mix.
PyroGenesis Benefits from Impending Grid
Expansion and Resurgence of Nuclear Power
Energy consumption is rising fast due to a
broad-based electrification effort in homes and factories, changes
to weather mandating more widespread interior cooling technologies,
industrial requirements, and especially the vast needs of data
centers powering the development of artificial intelligence and
cryptocurrency mining.
Electricity consumption from data centres,
artificial intelligence (AI) and the cryptocurrency sector could
double by 2026. Data centres are significant drivers of growth in
electricity demand in many regions. After globally consuming an
estimated 460 terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2022, data centres’
total electricity consumption could reach more than 1,000 TWh
in 2026. This demand is roughly equivalent to the electricity
consumption of Japan.8
To prepare, energy grid investment globally
needs to double to more than $600 billion a year by 2030 if nations
are to meet climate targets, according to the International Energy
Agency.9
Existing renewable energy is not enough to
accomplish this goal. All energy sources will need to be considered
including, as President-Elect Trump has outlined, more oil and gas,
and more nuclear. This of course must include more renewable energy
to not only aid in the overall grid supply, but also to provide
manufacturers with the types of energy they need for their
manufacturing goals as outlined above.
At COP 28, the United Nations Climate Conference
held in Dubai in 2023, more than 110 countries committed to triple
renewable energy capacity worldwide by 2030, while 22 countries –
including Canada – agreed to triple nuclear energy capacity by
2050.10
Around the world, countries are once again
making nuclear power a critical part of their energy strategies and
nuclear generation is forecast to grow by close to 3% per year on
average through 2026. France and Japan are conducting maintenance
work and restarts on nuclear production at several plants. China,
India, Korea, and Europe all have new reactors beginning commercial
operations. Canada has developed a small modular reactor action
plan and roadmap.11 Its most populous province Ontario has
already begun the refurbishment of 10 reactors over 15 years. The
Canadian federal government revised its Green Framework to
explicitly permit “the deployment of nuclear energy” that was
previously excluded from earlier drafts of the Framework.12 In
November 2024, a Canadian firm was awarded a contract to deploy the
country’s CANDU nuclear reactor technology for two reactor builds
in Romania, the first since 2007.13
The United States has significant plans for
nuclear expansion as well. In August 2024, President-Elect Trump
vowed to dramatically increase energy production, generation, and
supply to reduce electricity costs and deliver more electricity to
the industries that require it, by not only adding to the country’s
oil and gas production, but also fast tracking the production of
new power plants and modular nuclear reactors: “Starting on day
one, I will approve new drilling, new pipelines, new refineries,
new power plants, new reactors and we will slash the red tape. We
will get the job done. We will create more electricity, also for
these new industries that can only function with massive
electricity.”14
Former U.S. Interior Secretary David Bernhardt,
after reviewing the Republican’s official plan, said the
President-Elect aims to “support nuclear energy production by
modernizing the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, working to keep
existing power plants open and investing in innovative small
modular reactors.” Bernhardt added, “President Trump will fully
modernize the electric grid to prepare it for the next 100
years, implement rapid approvals for energy projects, and
greenlight the construction of hundreds of new power plants to pave
the way for an enormous growth in American wealth”.15
Energy grid upgrades over the next few years in
the United States and around the world are likely to be
significant. As a result, grid infrastructure expansion and
upgrading are unlikely to be negatively impacted by any policy
changes. In fact, they will likely receive beneficial incentives or
fast-tracking due to demand across different energy types and
industries, for both private and public sectors, and across
corporate and individual end users.
In many aspects, PyroGenesis views all-electric
plasma systems [PyroGenesis plasma torch image below] as an
extension of grid infrastructure, at least with respect to
final-mile industrial grid upgrades. The company has plans to work
with clients to include plasma technology as part of grid
infrastructure initiatives and to seek exceptions where needed
under these auspices.
Grid infrastructure and power equipment,
including transmission lines, transformers, and peripherals for
both renewables and fossil fuels, will doubtless benefit from
preferred status as grid expansion initiatives take hold.
This understanding of rising power demand and
its ramifications perhaps provides a more rounded perspective of
the fate of existing energy or green technology-focused policy
measures. This leads to a closer look at the state of the U.S.
Inflation Reduction Act:
The Impact and Future of the U.S.
Inflation Reduction Act
The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) includes
~$500 billion and potentially up to $1 trillion in federal funding
for climate-related efforts and provides funds toward the
decarbonization of the U.S. economy, including tax credits,
incentives, grants, and loan guarantees. This funding is spread
across replacing energy infrastructure, incentives for private
investment in clean energy, transport, and manufacturing, and
consumer incentives.
President-Elect Trump was highly critical of the
IRA at various points during his campaign. However, going so far as
to repeal the IRA in its entirety is doubtful, notably due to the
reasons outlined above, but also due to the following:
First, the United
States simply needs more power.
U.S. electric load is
growing significantly faster than grid planners previously
expected, led by new manufacturing and industry and the growth of
data centers for AI and crypto mining, as well as contributions
from electrification, hydrogen production and severe weather.
During 2023, U.S. grid planners doubled their 5-year load growth
forecast, from the 2.6% originally forecasted in 2022 to 4.7%
growth over the next five years, as reflected in 2023 Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) filings.16
Matching this load
growth with grid growth will be almost impossible to do without
many of the renewable energy measures that the IRA instigates.
Second, support for
clean energy is widespread, even on the political right, owing to
the impact on the local economies where clean energy projects are
sited: lower energy bills; energy security; and, most importantly,
jobs.
Of the more than $200
billion in cleantech manufacturing investments announced in 185
House districts up to June 2024, 65% to 80% of those investments
went to Republican held states, with 9 of the top 10 congressional
districts for cleantech investments represented by Republicans.
Third, of the top 25
congressional districts for announced cleantech manufacturing
investment, 21 are Republican held. Those 21 districts alone
account for an aggregate $119 billion of investment — more than
half the national total — and more than 80,000 jobs of the 200,000
total jobs.17
There are now 900
manufacturing plants in the United States’ clean energy industries,
60% of which are located in Republican-led states and congressional
districts.18 As recently as October 22, 2024, the Department of
Energy announced $428 million funding for 14 clean energy
manufacturing projects in 15 U.S. communities with decommissioned
coal facilities.19
Last but not least,
while cleantech and renewable energy manufacturing is responsible
for significant job growth, the same cannot be said of the oil and
gas sector.
The industry’s
historical boom and bust cycle and relentless focus on efficiency
has resulted in fewer workers needed to produce more oil.
Despite U.S. oil and
gas production hitting record highs, the industry employs 73,000
fewer people than it did in 2019. The drop is more precipitous
after 2014 and the shale-oil boom, when more than 600,000 people
worked to produce oil and gas. By August 2024, that number was down
to 380,000 people producing 45% more gas and 47% more oil – even
while pumping an average of 13.4 million barrels a day, a new crude
production record.20
All told, employment
in the oil sector is down nearly 20 percent from pre-pandemic
levels.
This helps outline
the important difference between legacy and new energy industries.
The latter is heavily focused on manufacturing and assembly plants
that employ thousands of personnel at each factory location, which
further emphasizes the appeal of green energy projects to
Republican-held jurisdictions – even those who initially opposed
the IRA.
Overall, the IRA energy initiatives are arguably
far enough along that resistance from President-Elect Trump could
hurt local American economies. Given the extent of red-state
initiatives, curtailment of these projects would likely face
opposition from within the Republican party.
Significant changes to IRA tax credits and
industrial or manufacturing incentives and reversing corporate tax
cuts of any type may prove unpopular in both parties and will meet
opposition. One possible outcome is a “levelling of the playing
field” approach, where oil and gas producers receive similar tax
incentives, and where the emphasizing of energy independence brings
oil, gas, renewables, and nuclear together as equals for the
greater good of the grid.
If President-Elect Trump’s promises to increase
oil and gas production come to pass, they will be most beneficial
to expansion of the energy grid. However, with the U.S. already
having become the world’s largest oil and gas producer21, the
impact on jobs and local economies may be low relative to those
impacted by green energy projects.
For the reasons above, PyroGenesis does not
anticipate changes, if any, to the IRA under the Trump
administration will have an adverse effect on the company’s
business.
PyroGenesis’ Advantage in
Diversification of Solutions and Geographies
Diversification has long been a theme for
PyroGenesis, where a “multi-legged stool” approach built around a
solution-set with interconnected technology has helped to insulate
the company from risks that might affect any one product or
solution line.
Similarly, as the company has expanded, its
customer base has become less centered in any one geographic
region.
Moreover, while a Canadian company with roots
and facilities in Quebec, PyroGenesis’ value chain is U.S. based.
Many of our systems or components are already manufactured in the
U.S. and have been for years.
In addition, PyroGenesis recently changed its
name to PyroGenesis Inc. from PyroGenesis Canada Inc. (and
simultaneously to PyroGenèse Inc. from PyroGenèse Canada Inc. in
French). As Mr. Pascali said at the time, the change was a subtle
but important one that better reflects the global impact of the
company, with sales across 21 countries and counting, and was part
of an initiative to better express in all areas of communication
that PyroGenesis is an internationally focused company with global
reach.
This global approach and perspective provide
significant advantages for the company.
Clients in some regions are afforded advantages
by utilizing carbon offsets, reducing carbon penalties, or
receiving eco-grants to help purchase PyroGenesis technologies. In
areas where these incentives are lacking, it is important to note
that the economics with respect to all-electric plasma-based
systems have improved dramatically over time. The price of the
technology has become more in-line with the legacy technology it is
replacing while offering a variety of gains including efficiency,
speed, safety, and air quality, amongst others, that negate
resistance to the technology on a head-to-head basis vs.
legacy.
Whether the U.S. scales back or withdraws from
climate-focused initiatives such as the IRA or the Paris Climate
Accords, institutes tariffs against certain foreign manufacturing,
or systemically favours oil and gas, PyroGenesis believes it will
remain relatively unaffected for all of the reasons noted
above.
In conclusion, specific to the recent U.S.
election, PyroGenesis is encouraged by the economic and stimulus
policy measures announced by President-Elect Trump during the
campaign and is confident that the company is well positioned to
take advantage of the business- and heavy industry-friendly
benefits that may arise from Trump administration’s policies going
forward.
About PyroGenesis Inc.
PyroGenesis Inc., a high-tech company, is a
proud leader in the design, development, manufacture and
commercialization of advanced plasma processes and sustainable
solutions which reduce greenhouse gases (GHG) and are economically
attractive alternatives to conventional “dirty” processes.
PyroGenesis has created proprietary, patented and advanced plasma
technologies that are being vetted and adopted by multiple
multibillion dollar industry leaders in four massive markets: iron
ore pelletization, aluminum, waste management, and additive
manufacturing. With a team of experienced engineers, scientists and
technicians working out of its Montreal office, and its 3,800 m2
and 2,940 m2 manufacturing facilities, PyroGenesis maintains its
competitive advantage by remaining at the forefront of technology
development and commercialization. The operations are ISO 9001:2015
and AS9100D certified, having been ISO certified since 1997. For
more information, please visit: www.pyrogenesis.com.
Cautionary and Forward-Looking
Statements
This press release contains “forward-looking
information” and “forward-looking statements” (collectively,
“forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable
securities laws. In some cases, but not necessarily in all cases,
forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of
forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “targets”, “expects”
or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “an opportunity exists”, “is
positioned”, “estimates”, “intends”, “assumes”, “anticipates” or
“does not anticipate” or “believes”, or variations of such words
and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results “may”,
“could”, “would”, “might”, “will” or “will be taken”, “occur” or
“be achieved”. In addition, any statements that refer to
expectations, projections or other characterizations of future
events or circumstances contain forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are not historical facts, nor guarantees
or assurances of future performance but instead represent
management’s current beliefs, expectations, estimates and
projections regarding future events and operating performance.
Forward-looking statements are necessarily based
on a number of opinions, assumptions and estimates that, while
considered reasonable by PyroGenesis as of the date of this
release, are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes
in circumstances that may differ materially from those contemplated
by the forward-looking statements. Important factors that could
cause actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those
indicated by the forward-looking statements include, but are not
limited to, the risk factors identified under “Risk Factors” in
PyroGenesis’ latest annual information form, and in other periodic
filings that it has made and may make in the future with the
securities commissions or similar regulatory authorities, all of
which are available under PyroGenesis’ profile on SEDAR+ at
www.sedarplus.ca. These factors are not intended to represent a
complete list of the factors that could affect PyroGenesis.
However, such risk factors should be considered carefully. There
can be no assurance that such estimates and assumptions will prove
to be correct. You should not place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this
release. PyroGenesis undertakes no obligation to publicly update or
revise any forward-looking statement, except as required by
applicable securities laws.
Neither the Toronto Stock Exchange, its
Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the
policies of the Toronto Stock Exchange) nor the OTCQX Best Market
accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this press
release.
For further information please contact: Rodayna
Kafal, Vice President, IR/Comms. and Strategic BD E-mail:
ir@pyrogenesis.com RELATED LINK: http://www.pyrogenesis.com/
1 https://rncplatform.donaldjtrump.com Official 2024
Republican Party Platform 2
https://international-aluminium.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/CRU-Opportunities-for-aluminium-in-a-post-Covid-economy-Report.pdf
3
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/world-aluminium-industry-must-cut-emissions-by-77-by-2050-iai-2021-03-16/#:~:text=Demand%20for%20aluminium%20is%20due,and%20power%20cabling%2C%20Bayliss%20added.
4
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/another-us-primary-aluminium-smelter-bites-dust-2024-01-26/
5
https://www.yeslak.com/blogs/tesla-news-insights/2025-model-y-aluminum-ion-batteries-replace-lithium?srsltid=AfmBOoqGlrZB5FmdpyHe9IlCSwY1M2d6tOX2UaYKh-VSmbqgBlQRAWnE
6
https://news.griffith.edu.au/2024/05/09/chinas-new-three-exports-dominate-the-2023-global-green-transition/
7
https://natural-resources.canada.ca/our-natural-resources/minerals-mining/mining-data-statistics-and-analysis/minerals-metals-facts/aluminum-facts/20510
8 https://www.iea.org/reports/electricity-2024/executive-summary 9
https://www.iea.org/reports/electricity-grids-and-secure-energy-transitions/executive-summary10
https://www.energy.gov/articles/cop28-countries-launch-declaration-triple-nuclear-energy-capacity-2050-recognizing-key
11 https://smractionplan.ca/ 12
https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profiles/countries-a-f/canada-nuclear-power
13
https://www.insauga.com/contract-to-build-two-new-candu-nuclear-plants-in-romania-awarded-to-mississauga-company/
14
https://nypost.com/2024/08/29/us-news/trump-vows-to-make-electricity-cheap-with-hundreds-of-new-power-plants-and-modular-nuclear-reactors/
15
https://nypost.com/2024/08/29/us-news/trump-vows-to-make-electricity-cheap-with-hundreds-of-new-power-plants-and-modular-nuclear-reactors/
16
https://gridstrategiesllc.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/National-Load-Growth-Report-2023.pdf
17 https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-opinion-biden-ira-sends-green-energy-investment-republican-districts/
18
https://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/4953970-clean-energy-biden-climate-election/
19
https://www.energy.gov/articles/biden-harris-administration-announces-nearly-430-million-accelerate-domestic-clean-energy20
https://www.eenews.net/articles/oil-and-gas-jobs-decline-amid-record-breaking-production/21
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/US-Remains-King-of-Oil-Output-Crown-for-Sixth-Year.html
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