December 2024

Preliminary Pricing Supplement No. 5,200

Registration Statement Nos. 333-275587; 333-275587-01

Dated November 29, 2024

Filed pursuant to Rule 424(b)(2)

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Structured Investments

Opportunities in U.S. Equities

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Fully and Unconditionally Guaranteed by Morgan Stanley

Principal at Risk Securities

The securities offered are unsecured obligations of Morgan Stanley Finance LLC (“MSFL”), fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Morgan Stanley, and have the terms described in the accompanying prospectus supplement, index supplement and prospectus, as supplemented or modified by this document. The securities do not provide for the regular payment of interest and provide for a minimum payment at maturity of only 30% of the stated principal amount. Beginning on December 8, 2025, we will redeem the securities on any monthly redemption date for a redemption payment that will increase over the term of the securities and that will correspond to a return of at least approximately 15.00% per annum (to be determined on the pricing date) with respect to the related redemption date, as described below, if and only if the output of a risk neutral valuation model on a business day, as selected by the calculation agent, that is no earlier than three business days before the observation date preceding such redemption date and no later than such observation date, based on the inputs indicated under “Call feature” below, indicates that redeeming on such date is economically rational for us as compared to not redeeming on such date. An early redemption of the securities will not automatically occur based on the performance of the underlying index. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed. At maturity, if the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final index value is greater than or equal to the initial index value, investors will receive the stated principal amount of their investment plus a return reflecting 155% of the upside performance of the underlying index. If the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final index value is less than the initial index value but has not decreased by an amount greater than the specified buffer amount, investors will receive the stated principal amount of their investment plus an unleveraged positive return based on the absolute value of the performance of the underlying index, which will be effectively limited to a 30% return. However, if the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity and the final index value is less than the initial index value by an amount greater than the specified buffer amount, investors will lose 1% for every 1% decline beyond the specified buffer amount, subject to the minimum payment at maturity of 30% of the stated principal amount. Accordingly, investors may lose up to 70% of the stated principal amount of the securities. These long-dated securities are for investors who are willing to risk their principal and forgo current income in exchange for the possibility of receiving a redemption payment greater than the stated principal amount if the securities are redeemed on any monthly redemption date based on the output of a risk neutral valuation model or, if the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity, the possibility of receiving a positive return if the underlying index closes above the initial index value, or below its initial index value but at or above its specified buffer amount, on the final observation date, respectively, and the buffer feature that applies only to a limited range of performance of the underlying index. The securities are notes issued as part of MSFL’s Series A Global Medium-Term Notes program.

The underlying index measures the performance of the nearest maturing quarterly E-mini S&P 500 futures contract (the “futures contract”) trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (the “CME”). The futures contract references the S&P 500® Index (the “reference index”). For more information about the S&P 500® Index, see the accompanying index supplement. For more information about the underlying index, see “Annex A—S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index” beginning on page 31.

All payments are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations, you could lose some or all of your investment. These securities are not secured obligations and you will not have any security interest in, or otherwise have any access to, any underlying reference asset or assets.

SUMMARY TERMS

Issuer:

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Guarantor:

Morgan Stanley

Underlying index:

S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Aggregate principal amount:

$

Stated principal amount:

$1,000 per security

Issue price:

$1,000 per security (see “Commissions and issue price” below)

Pricing date:

December 2, 2024

Original issue date:

December 5, 2024 (3 business days after the pricing date)

Maturity date:

November 30, 2028

Call feature:

Beginning on December 8, 2025, an early redemption, in whole but not in part, will occur on a redemption date if and only if the output of a risk neutral valuation model on a business day, as selected by the calculation agent, that is no earlier than three business days before the observation date preceding such redemption date and no later than such observation date (the “determination date”), taking as input: (i) prevailing reference market levels, volatilities and correlations, as applicable and in each case as of the determination date and (ii) Morgan Stanley’s credit spreads as of the pricing date, indicates that redeeming on such date is economically rational for us as compared to not redeeming on such date. If we call the securities, we will give you notice no later than the observation date preceding the redemption date specified in the notice. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed.

Redemption payment:

The redemption payment will be an amount in cash per stated principal amount (corresponding to a return of at least approximately 15.00% per annum, to be determined on the pricing date) for each monthly redemption date. See “Redemption Dates and Redemption Payments” below.

No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed.

Redemption dates:

Beginning on December 8, 2025, monthly. See “Redemption Dates and Redemption Payments” below. If any scheduled redemption date is not a business day, the redemption payment will be made on the next succeeding business day and no adjustment will be made to any redemption payment made on that succeeding business day.

Final observation date:

November 27, 2028, subject to postponement due to non-index business days or certain market disruption events. See “Postponement of the final observation date” below.

Payment at maturity:

If the securities have not previously been redeemed, you will receive at maturity a cash payment per security as follows:

If the final index value is greater than or equal to the initial index value:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × index percent change × 155%)

If the final index value is less than the initial index value but has not decreased by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × absolute index return)

In this scenario, you will receive a 1% positive return on the securities for each 1% negative return on the underlying index. In no event will this amount exceed the stated principal amount plus $300.

If the final index value has decreased by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%:

$1,000 × (index performance factor + 30%)

Under these circumstances, the payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount of $1,000. However, under no circumstances will the securities pay less than the minimum payment at maturity of $300 per security.

 

Terms continued on the following page

Agent:

Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC (“MS & Co.”), an affiliate of MSFL and a wholly owned subsidiary of Morgan Stanley. See “Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest.”

Estimated value on the pricing date:

Approximately $976.70 per security, or within $30.00 of that estimate. See “Investment Summary” beginning on page 4.

Commissions and issue price:

Price to public(1)

Agent’s commissions and fees(2)

Proceeds to us(3)

Per security

$1,000

$

$

Total

$

$

$

 

(1)The securities will be sold only to investors purchasing the securities in fee-based advisory accounts.

(2)MS & Co. expects to sell all of the securities that it purchases from us to an unaffiliated dealer at a price of $ per security, for further sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts at the price to public of $1,000 per security. MS & Co. will not receive a sales commission with respect to the securities. See “Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest.” For additional information, see “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” in the accompanying prospectus supplement.

(3)See “Use of proceeds and hedging” on page 29.

The securities involve risks not associated with an investment in ordinary debt securities. See “Risk Factors” beginning on page 12.

The Securities and Exchange Commission and state securities regulators have not approved or disapproved these securities, or determined if this document or the accompanying prospectus supplement, index supplement and prospectus is truthful or complete. Any representation to the contrary is a criminal offense.

The securities are not deposits or savings accounts and are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other governmental agency or instrumentality, nor are they obligations of, or guaranteed by, a bank.

You should read this document together with the related prospectus supplement, index supplement and prospectus, each of which can be accessed via the hyperlinks below. When you read the accompanying prospectus supplement and index supplement, please note that all references in such supplements to the prospectus dated November 16, 2023, or to any sections therein, should refer instead to the accompanying prospectus dated April 12, 2024 or to the corresponding sections of such prospectus, as applicable. Please also see “Additional Terms of the Securities” and “Additional Information About the Securities” at the end of this document.

As used in this document, “we,” “us” and “our” refer to Morgan Stanley or MSFL, or Morgan Stanley and MSFL collectively, as the context requires.

 

Prospectus Supplement dated November 16, 2023Index Supplement dated November 16, 2023Prospectus dated April 12, 2024

 

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Terms continued from previous page:

Buffer amount:

30%. As a result of the buffer amount of 30%, the value at or above which the underlying index must close on the final observation date so that investors do not suffer a loss on their initial investment in the securities is 356.783, which is 70% of the initial index value.

Minimum payment at maturity:

$300 per security (30% of the stated principal amount)

Initial index value:

509.69, which is the index closing value on November 27, 2024

Final index value:

The index closing value on the final observation date

Index percent change:

(Final index value – initial index value) / initial index value

Index performance factor:

Final index value divided by the initial index value

Absolute index return:

The absolute value of the index percent change. For example, a -5% index percent change will result in a +5% absolute index return.

CUSIP / ISIN:

61777RBH5 / US61777RBH57

Listing:

The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange.

Redemption Dates and Redemption Payments

Redemption Dates

Redemption Payments

(per $1,000 Security)*

1st redemption date:

12/8/2025

At least $1,150.00

2nd redemption date:

1/6/2026

At least $1,162.50

3rd redemption date:

1/30/2026

At least $1,175.00

4th redemption date:

3/4/2026

At least $1,187.50

5th redemption date:

4/1/2026

At least $1,200.00

6th redemption date:

4/30/2026

At least $1,212.50

7th redemption date:

6/1/2026

At least $1,225.00

8th redemption date:

7/2/2026

At least $1,237.50

9th redemption date:

7/30/2026

At least $1,250.00

10th redemption date:

9/1/2026

At least $1,262.50

11th redemption date:

10/1/2026

At least $1,275.00

12th redemption date:

10/30/2026

At least $1,287.50

13th redemption date:

12/2/2026

At least $1,300.00

14th redemption date:

12/31/2026

At least $1,312.50

15th redemption date:

2/1/2027

At least $1,325.00

16th redemption date:

3/3/2027

At least $1,337.50

17th redemption date:

4/1/2027

At least $1,350.00

18th redemption date:

4/30/2027

At least $1,362.50

19th redemption date:

6/2/2027

At least $1,375.00

20th redemption date:

7/1/2027

At least $1,387.50

21st redemption date:

7/30/2027

At least $1,400.00

22nd redemption date:

9/1/2027

At least $1,412.50

23rd redemption date:

9/30/2027

At least $1,425.00

24th redemption date:

11/1/2027

At least $1,437.50

25th redemption date:

12/2/2027

At least $1,450.00

26th redemption date:

12/30/2027

At least $1,462.50

27th redemption date:

2/1/2028

At least $1,475.00

28th redemption date:

3/2/2028

At least $1,487.50

29th redemption date:

3/30/2028

At least $1,500.00

30th redemption date:

5/2/2028

At least $1,512.50

31st redemption date:

6/2/2028

At least $1,525.00

December 2024 Page 2

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Redemption Dates

Redemption Payments

(per $1,000 Security)*

32nd redemption date:

6/30/2028

At least $1,537.50

33rd redemption date:

8/1/2028

At least $1,550.00

34th redemption date:

8/31/2028

At least $1,562.50

35th redemption date:

10/2/2028

At least $1,575.00

36th redemption date:

11/1/2028

At least $1,587.50

See “Maturity date” above.

See “Payment at maturity” above.

*The actual redemption payment with respect to each redemption date will be determined on the pricing date and will be an amount in cash per stated principal amount corresponding to a return of at least approximately 15.00% per annum.

December 2024 Page 3

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Investment Summary

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities

Principal at Risk Securities

The Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028 All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index (the “securities”) do not provide for the regular payment of interest. Instead, beginning on December 8, 2025, we will redeem the securities on any monthly redemption date for a redemption payment that will increase over the term of the securities and that will correspond to a return of at least approximately 15.00% per annum (to be determined on the pricing date) with respect to the related redemption date, if and only if the output of a risk neutral valuation model on a business day, as selected by the calculation agent, that is no earlier than three business days before the observation date preceding such redemption date and no later than such observation date, based on the inputs indicated under “Call feature” below, indicates that redeeming on such date is economically rational for us as compared to not redeeming on such date. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed. At maturity, if the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final index value is greater than or equal to the initial index value, investors will receive the stated principal amount of their investment plus a return reflecting 155% of the upside performance of the underlying index. If the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final index value is less than the initial index value but has not decreased by an amount greater than the specified buffer amount, investors will receive the stated principal amount of their investment plus an unleveraged positive return based on the absolute value of the performance of the underlying index, which will be effectively limited to a 30% return. However, if the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity and the final index value is less than the initial index value by an amount greater than the specified buffer amount, investors will lose 1% for every 1% decline beyond the specified buffer amount, subject to the minimum payment at maturity of 30% of the stated principal amount. Accordingly, investors may lose up to 70% of the stated principal amount of the securities. 

Maturity:

Approximately 4 years

Payment at maturity:

If the securities have not previously been redeemed, you will receive at maturity a cash payment per security as follows:

If the final index value is greater than or equal to the initial index value:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × index percent change × 155%)

If the final index value is less than the initial index value but has not decreased by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30% from the initial index value:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × absolute index return)

In this scenario, you will receive a 1% positive return on the securities for each 1% negative return on the underlying index. In no event will this amount exceed the stated principal amount plus $300.

If the final index value has decreased by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30% from the initial index value:

$1,000 × (index performance factor + 30%)

Under these circumstances, the payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount of $1,000. However, under no circumstances will the securities pay less than the minimum payment at maturity of $300 per security.

 

Early redemption:

Beginning on December 8, 2025, we will redeem the securities on any monthly redemption date for a redemption payment equal to a redemption payment that will increase over the term of the securities and that will correspond to a return of at least approximately 15.00% per annum (to be determined on the pricing date) with respect to the related redemption date, if and only if the output of a risk neutral valuation model on a business day, as selected by the calculation agent, that is no earlier than three business days before the observation date preceding such redemption date and no later than such observation date, based on the inputs indicated under “Call feature”, indicates that redeeming on such date is economically rational for us as compared to not redeeming on such date. An early redemption of the securities will not automatically occur based on the performance of the underlying index. In accordance with the risk neutral valuation model determination noted herein, it is more likely that we will redeem the securities when it would otherwise be advantageous for you to continue to hold the securities. As such, we will be more likely to redeem the securities when the index closing value of the underlying index on the redemption dates is above the initial index value. If the securities are redeemed prior to maturity, you will not participate in any appreciation of the underlying index, which could be significant. Moreover, the fixed redemption payments may be less than the payment at maturity you would receive for the same level of appreciation of the underlying index had the securities not been redeemed and instead remained outstanding until maturity.

 

December 2024 Page 4

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

On the other hand, we will be less likely to redeem the securities when the index closing value of the underlying index is less than the initial index value by an amount greater than the specified buffer amount, such that you will suffer a significant loss on your initial investment in the securities at maturity. Therefore, if we do not redeem the securities, it is more likely that you will suffer a significant loss at maturity.

 

Redemption payments:

The redemption payment will be an amount in cash per stated principal amount (corresponding to a return of at least 15.00% per annum (to be determined on the pricing date) for each monthly redemption date, as follows*:

1st redemption date:

At least $1,150.00

2nd redemption date:

At least $1,162.50

3rd redemption date:

At least $1,175.00

4th redemption date:

At least $1,187.50

5th redemption date:

At least $1,200.00

6th redemption date:

At least $1,212.50

7th redemption date:

At least $1,225.00

8th redemption date:

At least $1,237.50

9th redemption date:

At least $1,250.00

10th redemption date:

At least $1,262.50

11th redemption date:

At least $1,275.00

12th redemption date:

At least $1,287.50

13th redemption date:

At least $1,300.00

14th redemption date:

At least $1,312.50

15th redemption date:

At least $1,325.00

16th redemption date:

At least $1,337.50

17th redemption date:

At least $1,350.00

18th redemption date:

At least $1,362.50

19th redemption date:

At least $1,375.00

20th redemption date:

At least $1,387.50

21st redemption date:

At least $1,400.00

22nd redemption date:

At least $1,412.50

23rd redemption date:

At least $1,425.00

24th redemption date:

At least $1,437.50

25th redemption date:

At least $1,450.00

26th redemption date:

At least $1,462.50

27th redemption date:

At least $1,475.00

28th redemption date:

At least $1,487.50

29th redemption date:

At least $1,500.00

30th redemption date:

At least $1,512.50

31st redemption date:

At least $1,525.00

32nd redemption date:

At least $1,537.50

33rd redemption date:

At least $1,550.00

34th redemption date:

At least $1,562.50

35th redemption date:

At least $1,575.00

36th redemption date:

At least $1,587.50

 

*The actual redemption payment with respect to each applicable redemption date will be determined on the pricing date.

December 2024 Page 5

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

We are using this preliminary pricing supplement to solicit from you an offer to purchase the securities. You may revoke your offer to purchase the securities at any time prior to the time at which we accept such offer by notifying the relevant agent. We reserve the right to change the terms of, or reject any offer to purchase, the securities prior to their issuance. In the event of any material changes to the terms of the securities, we will notify you.

The original issue price of each security is $1,000. This price includes costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities, which are borne by you, and, consequently, the estimated value of the securities on the pricing date will be less than $1,000. We estimate that the value of each security on the pricing date will be approximately $976.70, or within $30.00 of that estimate. Our estimate of the value of the securities as determined on the pricing date will be set forth in the final pricing supplement.

What goes into the estimated value on the pricing date?

In valuing the securities on the pricing date, we take into account that the securities comprise both a debt component and a performance-based component linked to the underlying index. The estimated value of the securities is determined using our own pricing and valuation models, market inputs and assumptions relating to the underlying index, instruments based on the underlying index, volatility and other factors including current and expected interest rates, as well as an interest rate related to our secondary market credit spread, which is the implied interest rate at which our conventional fixed rate debt trades in the secondary market.

What determines the economic terms of the securities?

In determining the economic terms of the securities, including the redemption payment amounts, the buffer amount and the minimum payment at maturity, we use an internal funding rate, which is likely to be lower than our secondary market credit spreads and therefore advantageous to us. If the issuing, selling, structuring and hedging costs borne by you were lower or if the internal funding rate were higher, one or more of the economic terms of the securities would be more favorable to you.

What is the relationship between the estimated value on the pricing date and the secondary market price of the securities?

The price at which MS & Co. purchases the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, may vary from, and be lower than, the estimated value on the pricing date, because the secondary market price takes into account our secondary market credit spread as well as the bid-offer spread that MS & Co. would charge in a secondary market transaction of this type and other factors. However, because the costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities are not fully deducted upon issuance, for a period of up to 6 months following the issue date, to the extent that MS & Co. may buy or sell the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, and to our secondary market credit spreads, it would do so based on values higher than the estimated value. We expect that those higher values will also be reflected in your brokerage account statements.

MS & Co. may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time.

December 2024 Page 6

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Key Investment Rationale

The securities do not provide for the regular payment of interest. The following scenarios are for illustrative purposes only to demonstrate how an early redemption payment or the payment at maturity (if the securities have not previously been redeemed) are calculated, and do not attempt to demonstrate every situation that may occur. Accordingly, the securities may or may not be redeemed by us based on the output of a risk neutral valuation model prior to maturity and the payment at maturity may be less than the stated principal amount of the securities.

Scenario 1: The securities are redeemed prior to maturity

This scenario assumes that we redeem the securities based on the output of a risk neutral valuation model prior to the maturity date on one of the monthly redemption dates, starting on December 8, 2025, for the redemption payment equal to a return of at least approximately 15.00% per annum (to be determined on the pricing date) with respect to the relevant redemption date, as applicable. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed.

Scenario 2: The securities are not redeemed prior to maturity, and the underlying index appreciates

This scenario assumes that we do not redeem the securities on any of the monthly redemption dates, and, as a result, investors hold the securities to maturity. On the final observation date, the underlying index closes above the initial index value. At maturity, investors will receive the stated principal amount of their investment plus a return reflecting 155% of the upside performance of the underlying index.

Scenario 3: The securities are not redeemed prior to maturity, and the final index value of the underlying index is less than the initial index value but greater or equal to than the specified buffer amount

This scenario assumes that we do not redeem the securities on any of the monthly redemption dates, and, as a result, investors hold the securities to maturity. On the final observation date, the underlying index closes below the initial index value, but has not decreased by an amount greater than the specified buffer amount of 30%. At maturity, investors will receive a 1% positive return on the securities for each 1% negative return on the underlying index. For example, if the final index value of the underlying index is 10% less than the initial index value, the securities will provide a total positive return of 10% at maturity. The maximum return investors may receive in this scenario is a positive 30% return at maturity.

Scenario 4: The securities are not redeemed prior to maturity, and investors suffer a loss of principal at maturity

This scenario assumes that we do not redeem the securities on any of the monthly redemption dates, and, as a result, investors hold the securities to maturity. On the final observation date, the underlying index closes below the initial index value by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%. At maturity, investors will receive an amount that is less than the stated principal amount by an amount that is proportionate to the percentage decrease of the underlying index from the initial index value beyond the buffer amount. Under these circumstances, the payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount. Investors may lose up to 70% of their investment in the securities.

 

December 2024 Page 7

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

 

 

S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index Overview

The S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index, which is calculated, maintained and published by S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P®”), measures the performance of the nearest maturing quarterly E-mini S&P 500 futures contracts trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. E-mini S&P 500 futures contracts are U.S. dollar-denominated futures contracts based on the performance of the S&P 500® Index.

Information as of market close on November 27, 2024:

Bloomberg Ticker Symbol:

SPXFP

Current Index Value:

509.69

52 Weeks Ago:

404.84

 

52 Week High (on 11/26/2024):

511.66

 

52 Week Low (on 12/6/2023):

404.39

 

 

For additional information about the S&P 500® Index and how it is calculated and maintained, see “S&P® U.S. Indices—S&P 500® Index” in the accompanying index supplement. For additional information about the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index, see “Annex A — S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index” below. Furthermore, for additional historical information, see “S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index Overview” below.

 

December 2024 Page 8

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Callable Dual Directional Buffered Jump Securities due November 30, 2028

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Hypothetical Examples

The following hypothetical examples are for illustrative purposes only. Whether the securities are redeemed prior to maturity will be based on the output of a risk neutral valuation model and the payment at maturity will be determined by reference to the index closing value on the final observation date. The actual redemption payment with respect to each applicable redemption date and initial index value are set forth on the cover of this document. Some numbers appearing in the examples below have been rounded for ease of analysis. All payments on the securities are subject to our credit risk. The below examples are based on the following terms:

Call Feature:

Beginning on December 8, 2025, an early redemption, in whole but not in part, will occur on a redemption date if and only if the output of a risk neutral valuation model on a business day, as selected by the calculation agent, that is no earlier than three business days before the observation date preceding such redemption date and no later than such observation date (the “determination date”), taking as input: (i) prevailing reference market levels, volatilities and correlations, as applicable and in each case as of the determination date and (ii) Morgan Stanley’s credit spreads as of the pricing date, indicates that redeeming on such date is economically rational for us as compared to not redeeming on such date. If we call the securities, we will give you notice no later than the observation date preceding the redemption date specified in the notice.

Hypothetical Redemption Payment:

The hypothetical redemption payment will be an amount in cash per stated principal amount (corresponding to a return of approximately 15.00% per annum) for each monthly redemption date, as follows:

1st redemption date:

$1,150.00

2nd redemption date:

$1,162.50

3rd redemption date:

$1,175.00

4th redemption date:

$1,187.50

5th redemption date:

$1,200.00

6th redemption date:

$1,212.50

7th redemption date:

$1,225.00

8th redemption date:

$1,237.50

9th redemption date:

$1,250.00

10th redemption date:

$1,262.50

11th redemption date:

$1,275.00

12th redemption date:

$1,287.50

13th redemption date:

$1,300.00

14th redemption date:

$1,312.50

15th redemption date:

$1,325.00

16th redemption date:

$1,337.50

17th redemption date:

$1,350.00

18th redemption date:

$1,362.50

19th redemption date:

$1,375.00

20th redemption date:

$1,387.50

21st redemption date:

$1,400.00

22nd redemption date:

$1,412.50

23rd redemption date:

$1,425.00

24th redemption date:

$1,437.50

25th redemption date:

$1,450.00

26th redemption date:

$1,462.50

27th redemption date:

$1,475.00

28th redemption date:

$1,487.50

29th redemption date:

$1,500.00

30th redemption date:

$1,512.50

31st redemption date:

$1,525.00

32nd redemption date:

$1,537.50

33rd redemption date:

$1,550.00

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34th redemption date:

$1,562.50

35th redemption date:

$1,575.00

36th redemption date:

$1,587.50

No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed.

Payment at Maturity

If the securities have not previously been redeemed, you will receive at maturity a cash payment per security as follows:

If the final index value is greater than or equal to the initial index value:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × index percent change × 155%)

If the final index value is less than the initial index value but has not decreased by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × absolute index return)

In this scenario, you will receive a 1% positive return on the securities for each 1% negative return on the underlying index. In no event will this amount exceed the stated principal amount plus $300.

If the final index value has decreased by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%:

$1,000 × (index performance factor + 30%).

Under these circumstances, the payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount of $1,000. However, under no circumstances will the securities pay less than the minimum payment at maturity of $300 per security.

Stated Principal Amount:

$1,000

Hypothetical Initial Index Value:

400

 

 

Call Feature:

Example 1 — The securities are redeemed following the second redemption date.

Date

Payment (per Security)

1st Redemption Date

--

2nd Redemption Date

$1,162.50

In this example, on the first redemption date, the securities are not redeemed, but on the second redemption date, the securities are redeemed based on the output of a risk neutral valuation model on the redemption date. Investors will receive a payment of $1,162.50 per security on the redemption date. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed, and investors do not participate in the appreciation of the underlying index.

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How to calculate the payment at maturity:

In the following examples, the securities are not redeemed prior to, and remain outstanding until, maturity.

 

Index Final Index Value

Payment at Maturity (per Security)

Example 1:

440 (at or above the initial index value)

$1,000 + ($1,000 × 10% × 155%) = $1,155

Example 2:

340 (below the initial index value but has not decreased from the initial index value by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%)

$1,000 + ($1,000 × 15%) = $1,150

Example 3:

100 (below the initial index value and has decreased from the initial index value by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%)

$1,000 × [(100 / 400) + 30%] = $550

In example 1, the final index value is at or above the initial index value. Therefore, investors receive at maturity the stated principal amount plus a return reflecting 155% of the appreciation of the underlying index. Investors receive a payment of $1,155 per security at maturity.

In example 2, the final index value has decreased from the initial index value but not by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%. Therefore, investors receive the stated principal amount plus a return reflecting the absolute value of the performance of the underlying index. Investors receive $1,150 per security at maturity. In this example, investors receive a positive return even though the underlying index declined by 15% due to the absolute return feature of the securities and because the underlying index has not declined beyond the specified buffer amount.

In example 3, the final index value has decreased from the initial index value by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%. Because the underlying index has declined below its specified buffer amount, the absolute return feature is no longer available and, investors are exposed to the downside performance of the underlying index at maturity beyond the buffer amount. Therefore, investors receive a payment at maturity of $550 per security.

If the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity and the final index value has decreased by more than the buffer amount of 30%, you will be exposed to the downside performance of the underlying index beyond the specified buffer amount, and your payment at maturity will be less than the stated principal amount. Under these circumstances, you will lose some, and up to 70%, of your investment in the securities.

 

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Risk Factors

This section describes the material risks relating to the securities. For further discussion of these and other risks, you should read the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the accompanying prospectus supplement, index supplement and prospectus. We also urge you to consult with your investment, legal, tax, accounting and other advisers in connection with your investment in the securities.

Risks Relating to an Investment in the Securities

The securities do not pay interest and provide a minimum payment at maturity of only 30% of your principal. The terms of the securities differ from those of ordinary debt securities in that they do not pay interest and provide a minimum payment at maturity of only 30% of the stated principal amount of the securities. If the securities have not been redeemed prior to maturity and the final index value has decreased from the initial index value by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30%, the absolute return feature will no longer be available and you will be exposed to the decline in the value of the underlying index, as compared to the initial index value, beyond the buffer amount, and you will receive for each security that you hold at maturity an amount that is less than the stated principal amount. You could lose up to 70% of your investment.

The securities have early redemption risk. The term of the securities will be limited if we redeem the securities based on the output of a risk neutral valuation model on any monthly redemption date, beginning December 8, 2025. The term of your investment in the securities may be limited to as short as one year. In accordance with the risk neutral valuation model determination noted herein, it is more likely that we will redeem the securities when it would be advantageous for you to continue to hold the securities. As such, we will be more likely to redeem the securities when the index closing value of the underlying index on the redemption dates is above the initial index value. If the securities are redeemed prior to maturity, you will not participate in any appreciation of the underlying index, which could be significant. Moreover, the fixed redemption payments may be less than the payment at maturity you would receive for the same level of appreciation of the underlying index had the securities not been redeemed and instead remained outstanding until maturity.

On the other hand, we will be less likely to redeem the securities when the index closing value of the underlying index is less than the initial index value by an amount greater than the specified buffer amount, such that you will suffer a significant loss on your initial investment in the securities at maturity. Therefore, if we do not redeem the securities, it is more likely that you will suffer a significant loss at maturity.

The market price will be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Several factors, many of which are beyond our control, will influence the value of the securities in the secondary market and the price at which MS & Co. may be willing to purchase or sell the securities in the secondary market. We expect that generally the level of interest rates available in the market and the value of the underlying index on any day, including in relation to the initial index value, will affect the value of the securities more than any other factors. Other factors that may influence the value of the securities include:

othe volatility (frequency and magnitude of changes in value) of the underlying index,

ogeopolitical conditions and economic, financial, political, regulatory or judicial events that affect the futures contract, the reference index or securities markets generally and which may affect the value of the underlying index,

odividend rates on the securities underlying the reference index,

othe time remaining until the securities mature,

ointerest and yield rates in the market,

othe availability of comparable instruments,

othe composition of the underlying index and changes in the constituent stocks of such index, and

oany actual or anticipated changes in our credit ratings or credit spreads.

Generally, the longer the time remaining to maturity, the more the market price of the securities will be affected by the other factors described above. Some or all of these factors will influence the price that you will receive if you sell your securities prior to maturity. For example, you may have to sell your securities at a substantial discount from the stated principal amount of $1,000 per security if the price of the underlying index at the time of sale is near or below 70% of the initial index value or if market interest rates rise.

You cannot predict the future performance of the underlying index based on its historical performance. If the final index value is less than 70% of the initial index value, you will be exposed on a 1-to-1 basis to the decline in the final index value beyond the buffer amount. There can be no assurance that the final index level will not decrease from the initial index value by an amount greater than the buffer amount of 30% so that you do not suffer a loss on your initial investment in the securities. See S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index Overview” below.

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The securities are subject to our credit risk, and any actual or anticipated changes to our credit ratings or credit spreads may adversely affect the market value of the securities. You are dependent on our ability to pay all amounts due on the securities upon an early redemption or at maturity and therefore you are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations under the securities, your investment would be at risk and you could lose some or all of your investment. As a result, the market value of the securities prior to maturity will be affected by changes in the market’s view of our creditworthiness. Any actual or anticipated decline in our credit ratings or increase in the credit spreads charged by the market for taking our credit risk is likely to adversely affect the market value of the securities.

As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations and will have no independent assets. As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations beyond the issuance and administration of its securities and will have no independent assets available for distributions to holders of MSFL securities if they make claims in respect of such securities in a bankruptcy, resolution or similar proceeding. Accordingly, any recoveries by such holders will be limited to those available under the related guarantee by Morgan Stanley and that guarantee will rank pari passu with all other unsecured, unsubordinated obligations of Morgan Stanley. Holders will have recourse only to a single claim against Morgan Stanley and its assets under the guarantee. Holders of securities issued by MSFL should accordingly assume that in any such proceedings they would not have any priority over and should be treated pari passu with the claims of other unsecured, unsubordinated creditors of Morgan Stanley, including holders of Morgan Stanley-issued securities.

Not equivalent to investing in the underlying index. Investing in the securities is not equivalent to investing in the underlying index, the futures contract or the component stocks of the reference index. Investors in the securities will not have voting rights or rights to receive dividends or other distributions or any other rights with respect to the component stocks of the reference index. Further, by purchasing the securities, you are taking credit risk to us and not to any counter-party to the futures contract linked to the underlying index. Your return on the securities will not reflect the return you would realize if you purchased any stocks or futures contracts that are tracked directly or indirectly by the underlying index.

The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange and secondary trading may be limited, and accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities for the entire 4-year term of the securities. The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange. Therefore, there may be little or no secondary market for the securities. MS & Co. may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time. When it does make a market, it will generally do so for transactions of routine secondary market size at prices based on its estimate of the current value of the securities, taking into account its bid/offer spread, our credit spreads, market volatility, the notional size of the proposed sale, the cost of unwinding any related hedging positions, the time remaining to maturity and the likelihood that it will be able to resell the securities. Even if there is a secondary market, it may not provide enough liquidity to allow you to trade or sell the securities easily. Since other broker-dealers may not participate significantly in the secondary market for the securities, the price at which you may be able to trade your securities is likely to depend on the price, if any, at which MS & Co. is willing to transact. If, at any time, MS & Co. were to cease making a market in the securities, it is likely that there would be no secondary market for the securities. Accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities to maturity.

The rate we are willing to pay for securities of this type, maturity and issuance size is likely to be lower than the rate implied by our secondary market credit spreads and advantageous to us. Both the lower rate and the inclusion of costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price reduce the economic terms of the securities, cause the estimated value of the securities to be less than the original issue price and will adversely affect secondary market prices. Assuming no change in market conditions or any other relevant factors, the prices, if any, at which dealers, including MS & Co., may be willing to purchase the securities in secondary market transactions will likely be significantly lower than the original issue price, because secondary market prices will exclude the issuing, selling, structuring and hedging-related costs that are included in the original issue price and borne by you and because the secondary market prices will reflect our secondary market credit spreads and the bid-offer spread that any dealer would charge in a secondary market transaction of this type as well as other factors.

The inclusion of the costs of issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price and the lower rate we are willing to pay as issuer make the economic terms of the securities less favorable to you than they otherwise would be.

However, because the costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities are not fully deducted upon issuance, for a period of up to 6 months following the issue date, to the extent that MS & Co. may buy or sell the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlying index, and to our secondary market credit spreads, it would do so based on values higher than the estimated value, and we expect that those higher values will also be reflected in your brokerage account statements.

The estimated value of the securities is determined by reference to our pricing and valuation models, which may differ from those of other dealers, and is not a maximum or minimum secondary market price. These pricing and valuation models are proprietary and rely in part on subjective views of certain market inputs and certain assumptions about future events,

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which may prove to be incorrect. As a result, because there is no market-standard way to value these types of securities, our models may yield a higher estimated value of the securities than those generated by others, including other dealers in the market, if they attempted to value the securities. In addition, the estimated value on the pricing date does not represent a minimum or maximum price at which dealers, including MS & Co., would be willing to purchase your securities in the secondary market (if any exists) at any time. The value of your securities at any time after the date of this document will vary based on many factors that cannot be predicted with accuracy, including our creditworthiness and changes in market conditions. See also “The market price will be influenced by many unpredictable factors” above.

Hedging and trading activity by our affiliates could potentially affect the value of the securities. One or more of our affiliates and/or third-party dealers expect to carry out hedging activities related to the securities (and to other instruments linked to the underlying index, the futures contract or the component stocks of the reference index), including trading in the futures contract and the stocks that constitute the reference index as well as in other instruments related to the underlying index. As a result, these entities may be unwinding or adjusting hedge positions during the term of the securities, and the hedging strategy may involve greater and more frequent dynamic adjustments to the hedge as the final observation date approaches. Some of our affiliates also trade the stocks that constitute the reference index and other financial instruments related to the underlying index on a regular basis as part of their general broker-dealer and other businesses. Any of these hedging or trading activities on or prior to November 27, 2024 could potentially increase the initial index value, and, therefore, could increase the value at or above which the underlying index must close on the final observation date so that you are not exposed to the negative performance of the underlying index at maturity. Additionally, such hedging or trading activities during the term of the securities could potentially affect the value of the underlying index on the final observation date, and, accordingly, the amount of cash you will receive at maturity.

The calculation agent, which is a subsidiary of Morgan Stanley and an affiliate of MSFL, will make determinations with respect to the securities. As calculation agent, MS & Co. will determine the initial index value, the final index value, whether the securities will be redeemed on any redemption date and the payment at maturity. Moreover, certain determinations made by MS & Co., in its capacity as calculation agent, may require it to exercise discretion and make subjective judgments, such as with respect to the occurrence or non-occurrence of market disruption events and the selection of a successor index or calculation of an index closing value in the event of a market disruption event or discontinuance of the underlying index. These potentially subjective determinations may affect the payout to you upon early redemption or at maturity. For further information regarding these types of determinations, see Additional Terms of the Securities—Additional Terms—Calculation agent,” “—Market disruption event,” “—Postponement of the final observation date,” “—Discontinuance of an underlying index; alteration of method of calculation” and “—Alternate exchange calculation in case of an event of default,” below. In addition, MS & Co. has determined the estimated value of the securities on the pricing date.

The U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities are uncertain. Please note that the discussions under “United States Federal Taxation” in this preliminary pricing supplement concerning the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities supersede the discussions contained in the accompanying prospectus supplement.

There is uncertainty regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities due to the lack of governing authority. Our counsel, Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP, is unable to render a definitive opinion on the tax treatment of the securities at this time as such opinion is dependent in part upon market conditions on the pricing date. Our counsel’s opinion will therefore be provided only on the pricing date. However, under current law, and based on current market conditions, our counsel believes that it is at least reasonable to treat each security as a single financial contract that is an “open transaction” for U.S. federal income tax purposes.

If the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”) were successful in asserting an alternative treatment for the securities, the timing and character of income on the securities might differ significantly from the tax treatment described herein. There is a risk that the IRS may seek to treat all or a portion of the gain on the securities as ordinary income. For example, there is a risk (which, depending on the market conditions on the pricing date, could be substantial) that the IRS could seek to recharacterize the securities as debt instruments. In that event, U.S. Holders (as defined below) would be required to accrue into income original issue discount on the securities every year at a “comparable yield” determined at the time of issuance and recognize all income and gain in respect of the securities as ordinary income. The risk that financial instruments providing for buffers, triggers or similar downside protection features, such as the securities, would be recharacterized as debt is greater than the risk of recharacterization for comparable financial instruments that do not have such features. We do not plan to request a ruling from the IRS regarding the tax treatment of the securities, and the IRS or a court may not agree with the tax treatment described in this preliminary pricing supplement.

In 2007, the U.S. Treasury Department and the IRS released a notice requesting comments on the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar instruments. The notice focuses in particular on whether to require holders of these instruments to accrue income over the term of their investment. It also asks for comments on a number of related topics, including the character of income or loss with respect to these instruments; whether short-term instruments should be subject to

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any such accrual regime; the relevance of factors such as the exchange-traded status of the instruments and the nature of the underlying property to which the instruments are linked; the degree, if any, to which income (including any mandated accruals) realized by Non-U.S. Holders (as defined below) should be subject to withholding tax; and whether these instruments are or should be subject to the “constructive ownership” rule, which very generally can operate to recharacterize certain long-term capital gain as ordinary income and impose an interest charge. While the notice requests comments on appropriate transition rules and effective dates, any Treasury regulations or other guidance promulgated after consideration of these issues could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of an investment in the securities, possibly with retroactive effect.

Both U.S. and Non-U.S. Holders should read carefully the discussion under “United States Federal Taxation” in this preliminary pricing supplement and consult their tax advisers regarding all aspects of the U.S. federal tax consequences of an investment in the securities as well as any tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction.

Risks Relating to the Underlying Index

Higher future prices of the futures contract to which the underlying index is linked relative to its current prices may adversely affect the value of the underlying index and the value of the securities. The underlying index is linked to the E-mini S&P 500 futures contract currently listed for trading on the CME. As the relevant futures contract approaches expiration, it is replaced by a contract that has a later expiration. Thus, for example, a contract purchased and held in September may specify a December expiration. As time passes, the contract expiring in December is replaced by a contract for delivery in March. This process is referred to as “rolling.” If the market for these contracts is (putting aside other considerations) in “backwardation,” where the prices are lower in the distant delivery months than in the nearer delivery months, the sale of the December contract would take place at a price that is higher than the price of the March contract, thereby creating a “roll yield.” While many futures contracts have historically exhibited consistent periods of backwardation, backwardation will most likely not exist at all times. It is also possible for the market for these contracts to be in “contango.” Contango markets are those in which the prices of contracts are higher in the distant delivery months than in the nearer delivery months. The presence of contango and absence of backwardation in the market for these contracts could result in negative “roll yields,” which could adversely affect the value of the underlying index, and, accordingly, the value of the securities.

Suspensions or disruptions of market trading in futures markets could adversely affect the price of the securities. Securities markets and futures markets are subject to temporary distortions or other disruptions due to various factors, including the lack of liquidity in the markets, the participation of speculators and government regulation and intervention. In addition, U.S. futures exchanges and some foreign exchanges have regulations that limit the amount of fluctuation in futures contract prices which may occur during a single business day. These limits are generally referred to as “daily price fluctuation limits” and the maximum or minimum price of a contract on any given day as a result of these limits is referred to as a “limit price.” Once the limit price has been reached in a particular contract, no trades may be made at a different price. Limit prices have the effect of precluding trading in a particular contract or forcing the liquidation of contracts at disadvantageous times or prices. These circumstances could adversely affect the value of the underlying index, and, therefore, the value of the securities.

Legal and regulatory changes could adversely affect the return on and value of your securities. Futures contracts and options on futures contracts, including those related to the underlying index, are subject to extensive statutes, regulations, and margin requirements. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, commonly referred to as the “CFTC,” and the exchanges on which such futures contracts trade, are authorized to take extraordinary actions in the event of a market emergency, including, for example, the retroactive implementation of speculative position limits or higher margin requirements, the establishment of daily limits and the suspension of trading. Furthermore, certain exchanges have regulations that limit the amount of fluctuations in futures contract prices that may occur during a single five-minute trading period. These limits could adversely affect the market prices of relevant futures and options contracts and forward contracts.

Adjustments to the underlying index could adversely affect the value of the securities. The publisher of the underlying index may add, delete or substitute the component stocks of the underlying index or make other methodological changes that could change the value of the underlying index. Any of these actions could adversely affect the value of the securities. The publisher of the underlying index may also discontinue or suspend calculation or publication of the underlying index at any time. In these circumstances, MS & Co., as the calculation agent, will have the sole discretion to substitute a successor index that is comparable to the discontinued index. MS & Co. could have an economic interest that is different than that of investors in the securities insofar as, for example, MS & Co. is permitted to consider indices that are calculated and published by MS & Co. or any of its affiliates. If MS & Co. determines that there is no appropriate successor index, the determination of the payment at maturity, as applicable, will be based on whether the value of the underlying index based on the closing prices of the securities constituting the underlying index at the time of such discontinuance, without rebalancing or substitution, computed by MS & Co. as calculation agent in

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accordance with the formula for calculating the underlying index last in effect prior to such discontinuance is greater than or equal to the initial index value or 70% of the initial index value, as applicable.

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S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index Overview

The following graph sets forth the daily index closing values of the underlying index for the period from January 1, 2019 through November 27, 2024. The related table sets forth the published high and low index closing values, as well as the end-of-quarter index closing values, of the underlying index for each quarter in the same period. The index closing value of the underlying index on November 27, 2024 was 509.69. We obtained the information in the graph and table below from Bloomberg Financial Markets, without independent verification. The historical index closing values of the underlying index should not be taken as an indication of future performance, and no assurance can be given as to the value of the underlying index at any time, including on the final observation date.

S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Daily Index Closing Values
January 1, 2019 to November 27, 2024

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S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

High

Low

Period End

2019

 

 

 

First Quarter

259.86

222.61

257.61

Second Quarter

268.32

249.60

266.89

Third Quarter

274.16

256.53

269.81

Fourth Quarter

293.61

260.94

292.39

2020

 

 

 

First Quarter

306.53

201.84

233.59

Second Quarter

293.38

222.52

281.92

Third Quarter

326.53

283.09

306.77

Fourth Quarter

343.81

298.67

343.81

2021

 

 

 

First Quarter

364.75

338.62

364.75

Second Quarter

395.12

368.65

395.12

Third Quarter

417.85

391.69

396.79

Fourth Quarter

442.44

396.19

440.03

2022

 

 

 

First Quarter

442.58

385.50

419.87

Second Quarter

424.23

340.09

351.04

Third Quarter

399.05

332.14

332.14

Fourth Quarter

376.43

330.94

353.20

2023

 

 

 

First Quarter

383.43

350.27

375.14

Second Quarter

402.80

369.52

402.80

Third Quarter

414.13

382.87

383.94

Fourth Quarter

424.17

367.27

422.98

2024

 

 

 

First Quarter

460.16

415.04

460.16

Second Quarter

476.24

433.74

472.97

Third Quarter

492.68

446.93

492.68

Fourth Quarter (through November 27, 2024)

511.66

486.26

509.69

 

“Standard & Poor’s®,” “S&P®,” “S&P 500®,” “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of Standard and Poor’s Financial Services LLC. See “Annex A — S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index” below.

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Additional Terms of the Securities

Please read this information in conjunction with the terms on the front cover of this preliminary pricing supplement.

Additional Terms:

If the terms described herein are inconsistent with those described in the accompanying prospectus supplement, index supplement or prospectus, the terms described herein shall control.

Day-count convention:

Interest will be computed on the basis of a 360-day year of twelve 30-day months.

Underlying index publisher:

S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC or any successor thereof

Denominations:

$1,000 per security and integral multiples thereof

Senior security or subordinated security:

Senior

Specified currency:

U.S. dollars

Trustee:

The Bank of New York Mellon

Calculation agent:

The calculation agent for the securities will be MS & Co. All determinations made by the calculation agent will be at the sole discretion of the calculation agent and will, in the absence of manifest error, be conclusive for all purposes and binding on you, the trustee and us.

All calculations with respect to the redemption payments and the payment at maturity, shall be made by the calculation agent and shall be rounded to the nearest one hundred-thousandth, with five one-millionths rounded upward (e.g., .876545 would be rounded to .87655); all dollar amounts related to determination of the amount of cash payable per stated principal amount, if any, shall be rounded to the nearest ten-thousandth, with five one hundred-thousandths rounded upward (e.g., .76545 would be rounded up to .7655); and all dollar amounts paid on the aggregate principal amount of the securities shall be rounded to the nearest cent, with one-half cent rounded upward.

Because the calculation agent is our affiliate, the economic interests of the calculation agent and its affiliates may be adverse to your interests as an investor in the securities, including with respect to certain determinations and judgments that the calculation agent must make in determining the payment that you will receive, upon early redemption or at maturity or whether a market disruption event has occurred. See “Market disruption event” and “Discontinuance of an underlying index; alteration of method of calculation” below. MS & Co. is obligated to carry out its duties and functions as calculation agent in good faith and using its reasonable judgment.

Business day:

Any day, other than a Saturday or Sunday, that is neither a legal holiday nor a day on which banking institutions are authorized or required by law or regulation to close in The City of New York.

Index business day:

With respect to the underlying index, a day, as determined by the calculation agent, on which trading is generally conducted on each of the relevant exchange(s) for the underlying index, other than a day on which trading on such exchange(s) is scheduled to close prior to the time of the posting of its regular final weekday closing price.

Market disruption event:

With respect to the underlying index, market disruption event means:

(i)the occurrence or existence of any of:

(a) a suspension, absence or material limitation of trading of securities then constituting 20 percent or more of the value of the underlying index (or a successor index) on the relevant exchange(s) for such securities for more than two hours of trading or during the one-half hour period preceding the close of the principal trading session on such relevant exchange(s), or

(b) a breakdown or failure in the price and trade reporting systems of any relevant exchange as a result of which the reported trading prices for securities then constituting 20 percent or more of the value of the underlying index (or a successor index) during the last one-half hour preceding the close of the principal trading session on such relevant exchange(s) are materially inaccurate, or

(c) the suspension, material limitation or absence of trading on any major U.S. securities market for trading in futures or options contracts or exchange-traded funds related to the underlying index (or a successor index) for more than two hours of trading or during the one-half hour period preceding the close of the principal trading session on such

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market,

in each case as determined by the calculation agent in its sole discretion; and

(ii)a determination by the calculation agent in its sole discretion that any event described in clause (i) above materially interfered with our ability or the ability of any of our affiliates to unwind or adjust all or a material portion of the hedge position with respect to the securities.

For the purpose of determining whether a market disruption event exists at any time with respect to the underlying index, if trading in a security included in the underlying index is materially suspended or materially limited at that time, then the relevant percentage contribution of that security to the value of such underlying index shall be based on a comparison of (x) the portion of the value of the underlying index attributable to that security relative to (y) the overall value of the underlying index, in each case immediately before that suspension or limitation.

For the purpose of determining whether a market disruption event exists at any time with respect to the underlying index: (1) a limitation on the hours or number of days of trading will not constitute a market disruption event if it results from an announced change in the regular business hours of the relevant exchange or market, (2) a decision to permanently discontinue trading in the relevant futures or options contract or exchange-traded fund will not constitute a market disruption event, (3) a suspension of trading in futures or options contracts or exchange-traded funds on the underlying index by the primary securities market trading in such contracts or funds by reason of (a) a price change exceeding limits set by such securities exchange or market, (b) an imbalance of orders relating to such contracts or funds or (c) a disparity in bid and ask quotes relating to such contracts or funds will constitute a suspension, absence or material limitation of trading in futures or options contracts or exchange-traded funds related to the underlying index and (4) a “suspension, absence or material limitation of trading” on any relevant exchange or on the primary market on which futures or options contracts or exchange-traded funds related to the underlying index are traded will not include any time when such securities market is itself closed for trading under ordinary circumstances.

Relevant exchange:

With respect to the underlying index or its successor index, the primary exchange(s) or market(s) of trading for (i) any security then included in such index and (ii) any futures or options contracts related to the index or to any security then included in the index.

Postponement of the final observation date:

 

The final observation date is subject to postponement due to non-index business days or certain market disruption events, as described in the following paragraph.

If the final observation date is not an index business day with respect to the underlying index or if there is a market disruption event on such day with respect to the underlying index, the final observation date shall be the next succeeding index business day with respect to the underlying index on which there is no market disruption event with respect to the underlying index; provided that if a market disruption event with respect to the underlying index has occurred on each of the five index business days with respect to the underlying index immediately succeeding the scheduled final observation date, then (i) such fifth succeeding index business day shall be deemed to be the final observation date with respect to the underlying index, notwithstanding the occurrence of a market disruption event with respect to the underlying index on such day and (ii) with respect to any such fifth index business day on which a market disruption event occurs with respect to the underlying index, the calculation agent shall determine the index closing value on such fifth index business day in accordance with the formula for and method of calculating the underlying index last in effect prior to the commencement of the market disruption event, using the closing price (or, if trading in the relevant securities has been materially suspended or materially limited, its good faith estimate of the closing price that would have prevailed but for such suspension or limitation) at the close of the principal trading session of the relevant exchange on such index business day of each security most recently constituting the underlying index without any rebalancing or substitution of such securities following the commencement of the market disruption event.

Postponement of the maturity date and redemption dates:

If any applicable redemption date or the maturity date is not a business day, that redemption payment, if applicable, or payment at maturity shall be paid on the next succeeding business day; provided that if, due to a market disruption event or otherwise, any observation date with respect to the underlying index is postponed so that it falls less than two business days prior to the scheduled maturity date, the maturity date or redemption date, as applicable, shall be postponed to the second business day following the final observation date as postponed, by which date the index closing value of the underlying index has been determined. In any of these cases, no adjustment shall be made to any payment at maturity or redemption payment made on a postponed date.

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Discontinuance of the underlying index; alteration of method of calculation:

If the underlying index publisher discontinues publication of the underlying index and the underlying index publisher or another entity (including MS & Co.) publishes a successor or substitute index that the calculation agent determines, in its sole discretion, to be comparable to the discontinued index (such index being referred to herein as the “successor index”), then any subsequent index closing value for the discontinued index will be determined by reference to the published value of such successor index at the regular weekday close of trading on any index business day that the index closing value for the underlying index is to be determined, and, to the extent the index closing value of such successor index differs from the index closing value of the underlying index at the time of such substitution, proportionate adjustments shall be made by the calculation agent to the initial index value and buffer amount.

Upon any selection by the calculation agent of a successor index, the calculation agent will cause written notice thereof to be furnished to the trustee, to us and to the depositary, as holder of the securities, within three business days of such selection. We expect that such notice will be made available to you, as a beneficial owner of the securities, in accordance with the standard rules and procedures of the depositary and its direct and indirect participants.

If the underlying index publisher discontinues publication of the underlying index or a successor index prior to, and such discontinuance is continuing on, the final observation date and the calculation agent determines, in its sole discretion, that no successor index is available at such time, then the calculation agent will determine the index closing value for the underlying index for such date. The index closing value of the underlying index or such successor index will be computed by the calculation agent in accordance with the formula for and method of calculating such index last in effect prior to such discontinuance, using the closing price (or, if trading in the relevant securities has been materially suspended or materially limited, its good faith estimate of the closing price that would have prevailed but for such suspension or limitation) at the close of the principal trading session of the relevant exchange on such date of each security most recently constituting such index without any rebalancing or substitution of such securities following such discontinuance. Notwithstanding these alternative arrangements, discontinuance of the publication of the underlying index may adversely affect the value of the securities.

If at any time, the method of calculating the underlying index or any successor index, or the value thereof, is changed in a material respect, or if the underlying index or any successor index is in any other way modified so that such index does not, in the opinion of the calculation agent, fairly represent the value of such index had such changes or modifications not been made, then, from and after such time, the calculation agent will, at the close of business in New York City on each date on which the index closing value for the underlying index is to be determined, make such calculations and adjustments as, in the good faith judgment of the calculation agent, may be necessary in order to arrive at a value of a stock index comparable to the underlying index or such successor index, as the case may be, as if such changes or modifications had not been made, and the calculation agent will calculate the index closing value with reference to the underlying index or such successor index, as adjusted. Accordingly, if the method of calculating the underlying index or any successor index is modified so that the value of such index is a fraction of what it would have been if it had not been modified (e.g., due to a split in the underlying index), then the calculation agent will adjust such index in order to arrive at a value of the underlying index or such successor index as if it had not been modified (e.g., as if such split had not occurred).

Issuer notices to registered security holders, the trustee and the depositary:

In the event that the maturity date is postponed due to postponement of the final observation date, the issuer shall give notice of such postponement and, once it has been determined, of the date to which the maturity date has been rescheduled (i) to each registered holder of the securities by mailing notice of such postponement by first class mail, postage prepaid, to such registered holder’s last address as it shall appear upon the registry books, (ii) to the trustee by facsimile, confirmed by mailing such notice to the trustee by first class mail, postage prepaid, at its New York office and (iii) to The Depository Trust Company (the “depositary”) by telephone or facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the depositary by first class mail, postage prepaid. Any notice that is mailed to a registered holder of the securities in the manner herein provided shall be conclusively presumed to have been duly given to such registered holder, whether or not such registered holder receives the notice. The issuer shall give such notice as promptly as possible, and in no case later than (i) with respect to notice of postponement of the maturity date, the business day immediately preceding the scheduled maturity date, and (ii) with respect to notice of the date to which the maturity date has been rescheduled, the business day immediately following the final observation date as postponed.

In the event that the securities are subject to early redemption, the issuer shall, (i) on the business day following the applicable redemption date, give notice of the early redemption and the redemption payment, including specifying the payment date of the amount due upon the early

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redemption, (x) to each registered holder of the securities by mailing notice of such early redemption by first class mail, postage prepaid, to such registered holder’s last address as it shall appear upon the registry books, (y) to the trustee by facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the trustee by first class mail, postage prepaid, at its New York office and (z) to the depositary by telephone or facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the depositary by first class mail, postage prepaid and (ii) on or prior to the early redemption date, deliver the aggregate cash amount due with respect to the securities to the trustee for delivery to the depositary, as holder of the securities. Any notice that is mailed to a registered holder of the securities in the manner herein provided shall be conclusively presumed to have been duly given to such registered holder, whether or not such registered holder receives the notice. This notice shall be given by the issuer or, at the issuer’s request, by the trustee in the name and at the expense of the issuer, with any such request to be accompanied by a copy of the notice to be given.

The issuer shall, or shall cause the calculation agent to, (i) provide written notice to the trustee, on which notice the trustee may conclusively rely, and to the depositary of the amount of cash, if any, to be delivered with respect to each security on or prior to 10:30 a.m. (New York City time) on the business day preceding the maturity date, and (ii) deliver the aggregate cash amount due with respect to the securities, if any, to the trustee for delivery to the depositary, as holder of the securities, on the maturity date.

Alternate exchange calculation in case of an event of default:

 

If an event of default with respect to the securities shall have occurred and be continuing, the amount declared due and payable upon any acceleration of the securities (the “Acceleration Amount”) will be an amount, determined by the calculation agent in its sole discretion, that is equal to the cost of having a qualified financial institution, of the kind and selected as described below, expressly assume all our payment and other obligations with respect to the securities as of that day and as if no default or acceleration had occurred, or to undertake other obligations providing substantially equivalent economic value to you with respect to the securities. That cost will equal:

the lowest amount that a qualified financial institution would charge to effect this assumption or undertaking, plus

the reasonable expenses, including reasonable attorneys’ fees, incurred by the holders of the securities in preparing any documentation necessary for this assumption or undertaking.

During the default quotation period for the securities, which we describe below, the holders of the securities and/or we may request a qualified financial institution to provide a quotation of the amount it would charge to effect this assumption or undertaking. If either party obtains a quotation, it must notify the other party in writing of the quotation. The amount referred to in the first bullet point above will equal the lowest—or, if there is only one, the only—quotation obtained, and as to which notice is so given, during the default quotation period. With respect to any quotation, however, the party not obtaining the quotation may object, on reasonable and significant grounds, to the assumption or undertaking by the qualified financial institution providing the quotation and notify the other party in writing of those grounds within two business days after the last day of the default quotation period, in which case that quotation will be disregarded in determining the Acceleration Amount.

Notwithstanding the foregoing, if a voluntary or involuntary liquidation, bankruptcy or insolvency of, or any analogous proceeding is filed with respect to MSFL or Morgan Stanley, then depending on applicable bankruptcy law, your claim may be limited to an amount that could be less than the Acceleration Amount.

If the maturity of the securities is accelerated because of an event of default as described above, we shall, or shall cause the calculation agent to, provide written notice to the trustee at its New York office, on which notice the trustee may conclusively rely, and to the depositary of the Acceleration Amount and the aggregate cash amount due, if any, with respect to the securities as promptly as possible and in no event later than two business days after the date of such acceleration.

Default quotation period

The default quotation period is the period beginning on the day the Acceleration Amount first becomes due and ending on the third business day after that day, unless:

no quotation of the kind referred to above is obtained, or

every quotation of that kind obtained is objected to within five business days after the due date as described above.

If either of these two events occurs, the default quotation period will continue until the third business day after the first business day on which prompt notice of a quotation is given as described above. If that quotation is objected to as described above within five business days

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after that first business day, however, the default quotation period will continue as described in the prior sentence and this sentence.

In any event, if the default quotation period and the subsequent two business day objection period have not ended before the final observation date, then the Acceleration Amount will equal the principal amount of the securities.

Qualified financial institutions

For the purpose of determining the Acceleration Amount at any time, a qualified financial institution must be a financial institution organized under the laws of any jurisdiction in the United States or Europe, which at that time has outstanding debt obligations with a stated maturity of one year or less from the date of issue and rated either:

A-2 or higher by Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services or any successor, or any other comparable rating then used by that rating agency, or

P-2 or higher by Moody’s Investors Service or any successor, or any other comparable rating then used by that rating agency.

 

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Additional Information About the Securities

Additional Information:

Minimum ticketing size:

$1,000 / 1 security

Book entry security or certificated security:

Book entry. The securities will be issued in the form of one or more fully registered global securities which will be deposited with, or on behalf of, The Depository Trust Company (the “depositary”) and will be registered in the name of a nominee of the depositary. The depositary’s nominee will be the only registered holder of the securities. Your beneficial interest in the securities will be evidenced solely by entries on the books of the securities intermediary acting on your behalf as a direct or indirect participant in the depositary. In this preliminary pricing supplement, all references to payments or notices to you will mean payments or notices to the depositary, as the registered holder of the securities, for distribution to participants in accordance with the depositary’s procedures. For more information regarding the depositary and book entry notes, please read “Forms of Securities—The Depositary” and “Forms of Securities—Global Securities” in the accompanying prospectus.

Tax considerations:

Prospective investors should note that the discussion under the section called “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying prospectus supplement does not apply to the securities issued under this preliminary pricing supplement and is superseded by the following discussion.

The following summary is a general discussion of the principal U.S. federal income tax consequences and certain estate tax consequences of the ownership and disposition of the securities. This discussion applies only to investors in the securities who:

purchase the securities in the original offering; and

hold the securities as capital assets within the meaning of Section 1221 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the “Code”).

This discussion does not describe all of the tax consequences that may be relevant to a holder in light of the holder’s particular circumstances or to holders subject to special rules, such as:

certain financial institutions;

insurance companies;

dealers and certain traders in securities or commodities;

investors holding the securities as part of a “straddle,” wash sale, conversion transaction, integrated transaction or constructive sale transaction;

U.S. Holders (as defined below) whose functional currency is not the U.S. dollar;

partnerships or other entities classified as partnerships for U.S. federal income tax purposes;

regulated investment companies;

real estate investment trusts; or

tax-exempt entities, including “individual retirement accounts” or “Roth IRAs” as defined in Section 408 or 408A of the Code, respectively.

If an entity that is classified as a partnership for U.S. federal income tax purposes holds the securities, the U.S. federal income tax treatment of a partner will generally depend on the status of the partner and the activities of the partnership. If you are a partnership holding the securities or a partner in such a partnership, you should consult your tax adviser as to the particular U.S. federal tax consequences of holding and disposing of the securities to you.

In addition, we will not attempt to ascertain whether any issuer of any shares to which a security relates (such shares hereafter referred to as “Underlying Shares”) is treated as a “passive foreign investment company” (“PFIC”) within the meaning of Section 1297 of the Code or as a “U.S. real property holding corporation” (“USRPHC”) within the meaning of Section 897 of the Code. If any issuer of Underlying Shares were so treated, certain adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences might apply, to a U.S. Holder in the case of a PFIC and to a Non-U.S. Holder (as defined below) in the case of a USRPHC, upon the sale, exchange or settlement of the

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securities. You should refer to information filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission or other governmental authorities by the issuers of the Underlying Shares and consult your tax adviser regarding the possible consequences to you if any issuer is or becomes a PFIC or USRPHC.

As the law applicable to the U.S. federal income taxation of instruments such as the securities is technical and complex, the discussion below necessarily represents only a general summary. Moreover, the effect of any applicable state, local or non-U.S. tax laws is not discussed, nor are any alternative minimum tax consequences or consequences resulting from the Medicare tax on investment income.

This discussion is based on the Code, administrative pronouncements, judicial decisions and final, temporary and proposed Treasury regulations, all as of the date of this preliminary pricing supplement, changes to any of which subsequent to the date hereof may affect the tax consequences described herein. Persons considering the purchase of the securities should consult their tax advisers with regard to the application of the U.S. federal income tax laws to their particular situations as well as any tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction.

General

There is uncertainty regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities due to the lack of governing authority. Our counsel, Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP, is unable to render a definitive opinion on the tax treatment of the securities at this time as such opinion is dependent in part upon market conditions on the pricing date. Our counsel’s opinion will therefore be provided only on the pricing date. However, under current law, and based on current market conditions, our counsel believes that it is at least reasonable to treat each security as a single financial contract that is an “open transaction” for U.S. federal income tax purposes.

Due to the absence of statutory, judicial or administrative authorities that directly address the treatment of the securities or instruments that are similar to the securities for U.S. federal income tax purposes, no assurance can be given that the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”) or a court will agree with the tax treatment described herein. Accordingly, you should consult your tax adviser regarding all aspects of the U.S. federal tax consequences of an investment in the securities (including possible alternative treatments of the securities). Unless otherwise stated, the following discussion is based on the treatment of the securities as described in the previous paragraph.

Tax Consequences to U.S. Holders

This section applies to you only if you are a U.S. Holder. As used herein, the term “U.S. Holder” means a beneficial owner of a security that is, for U.S. federal income tax purposes:

a citizen or individual resident of the United States;

a corporation, or other entity taxable as a corporation, created or organized in or under the laws of the United States, any state thereof or the District of Columbia; or

an estate or trust the income of which is subject to U.S. federal income taxation regardless of its source.

Tax Treatment of the Securities

Assuming the treatment of the securities as set forth above is respected, the following U.S. federal income tax consequences should result.

Tax Treatment Prior to Settlement. A U.S. Holder should not be required to recognize taxable income over the term of the securities prior to settlement, other than pursuant to a sale or exchange as described below.

Tax Basis. A U.S. Holder’s tax basis in the securities should equal the amount paid by the U.S. Holder to acquire the securities.

Sale, Exchange or Settlement of the Securities. Upon a sale, exchange or settlement of the securities, a U.S. Holder should recognize gain or loss equal to the difference between the amount realized on the sale, exchange or settlement and the U.S. Holder’s tax basis in the securities sold, exchanged or settled. Subject to the discussion above regarding the possible application of Section 1297 of the Code, any gain or loss recognized upon the sale, exchange or

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settlement of the securities should be long-term capital gain or loss if the U.S. Holder has held the securities for more than one year at such time, and short-term capital gain or loss otherwise.

Possible Alternative Tax Treatments of an Investment in the Securities

Due to the absence of authorities that directly address the proper tax treatment of the securities, no assurance can be given that the IRS will accept, or that a court will uphold, the treatment described above. There is a risk that the IRS may seek to treat all or a portion of the gain on the securities as ordinary income. For example, there is a risk (which, depending on the market conditions on the pricing date, could be substantial) that the IRS could seek to analyze the U.S. federal income tax consequences of owning the securities under Treasury regulations governing contingent payment debt instruments (the “Contingent Debt Regulations”). If the IRS were successful in asserting that the Contingent Debt Regulations applied to the securities, the timing and character of income thereon would be significantly affected. Among other things, a U.S. Holder would be required to accrue into income original issue discount on the securities every year at a “comparable yield” determined at the time of their issuance, adjusted upward or downward to reflect the difference, if any, between the actual and the projected amount of the contingent payment on the securities. Furthermore, any gain realized by a U.S. Holder at maturity or upon a sale, exchange or other disposition of the securities would generally be treated as ordinary income, and any loss realized would be treated as ordinary loss to the extent of the U.S. Holder’s prior accruals of original issue discount and as capital loss thereafter. The risk that financial instruments providing for buffers, triggers or similar downside protection features, such as the securities, would be recharacterized as debt is greater than the risk of recharacterization for comparable financial instruments that do not have such features.

Other alternative federal income tax treatments of the securities are also possible, which, if applied, could significantly affect the timing and character of the income or loss with respect to the securities. In 2007, the U.S. Treasury Department and the IRS released a notice requesting comments on the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar instruments. The notice focuses in particular on whether to require holders of these instruments to accrue income over the term of their investment. It also asks for comments on a number of related topics, including the character of income or loss with respect to these instruments; whether short-term instruments should be subject to any such accrual regime; the relevance of factors such as the exchange-traded status of the instruments and the nature of the underlying property to which the instruments are linked; and whether these instruments are or should be subject to the “constructive ownership” rule, which very generally can operate to recharacterize certain long-term capital gain as ordinary income and impose an interest charge. While the notice requests comments on appropriate transition rules and effective dates, any Treasury regulations or other guidance promulgated after consideration of these issues could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of an investment in the securities, possibly with retroactive effect. U.S. Holders should consult their tax advisers regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, including possible alternative treatments and the issues presented by this notice.

Backup Withholding and Information Reporting

Backup withholding may apply in respect of the payment on the securities at maturity and the payment of proceeds from a sale, exchange or other disposition of the securities, unless a U.S. Holder provides proof of an applicable exemption or a correct taxpayer identification number and otherwise complies with applicable requirements of the backup withholding rules. The amounts withheld under the backup withholding rules are not an additional tax and may be refunded, or credited against the U.S. Holder’s U.S. federal income tax liability, provided that the required information is timely furnished to the IRS. In addition, information returns may be filed with the IRS in connection with the payment on the securities and the payment of proceeds from a sale, exchange or other disposition of the securities, unless the U.S. Holder provides proof of an applicable exemption from the information reporting rules.

Tax Consequences to Non-U.S. Holders

This section applies to you only if you are a Non-U.S. Holder. As used herein, the term “Non-U.S. Holder” means a beneficial owner of a security that is, for U.S. federal income tax purposes:

an individual who is classified as a nonresident alien;

a foreign corporation; or

a foreign estate or trust.

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The term “Non-U.S. Holder” does not include any of the following holders:

a holder who is an individual present in the United States for 183 days or more in the taxable year of disposition and who is not otherwise a resident of the United States for U.S. federal income tax purposes;

certain former citizens or residents of the United States; or

a holder for whom income or gain in respect of the securities is effectively connected with the conduct of a trade or business in the United States.

Such holders should consult their tax advisers regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities.

Tax Treatment upon Sale, Exchange or Settlement of the Securities

In general. Assuming the treatment of the securities as set forth above is respected, and subject to the discussions below concerning backup withholding and the possible application of Section 871(m) of the Code and the discussion above concerning the possible application of Section 897 of the Code, a Non-U.S. Holder of the securities generally will not be subject to U.S. federal income or withholding tax in respect of amounts paid to the Non-U.S. Holder.

Subject to the discussions regarding the possible application of Sections 871(m) and 897 of the Code and FATCA, if all or any portion of a security were recharacterized as a debt instrument, any payment made to a Non-U.S. Holder with respect to the securities would not be subject to U.S. federal withholding tax, provided that:

the Non-U.S. Holder does not own, directly or by attribution, ten percent or more of the total combined voting power of all classes of Morgan Stanley stock entitled to vote;

the Non-U.S. Holder is not a controlled foreign corporation related, directly or indirectly, to Morgan Stanley through stock ownership;

the Non-U.S. Holder is not a bank receiving interest under Section 881(c)(3)(A) of the Code, and

the certification requirement described below has been fulfilled with respect to the beneficial owner.

Certification Requirement. The certification requirement referred to in the preceding paragraph will be fulfilled if the beneficial owner of a security (or a financial institution holding a security on behalf of the beneficial owner) furnishes to the applicable withholding agent an IRS Form W-8BEN (or other appropriate form) on which the beneficial owner certifies under penalties of perjury that it is not a U.S. person.

In 2007, the U.S. Treasury Department and the IRS released a notice requesting comments on the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar instruments. Among the issues addressed in the notice is the degree, if any, to which any income with respect to instruments such as the securities should be subject to U.S. withholding tax. It is possible that any Treasury regulations or other guidance promulgated after consideration of this issue could materially and adversely affect the withholding tax consequences of ownership and disposition of the securities, possibly on a retroactive basis. Non-U.S. Holders should note that we currently do not intend to withhold on any payment made with respect to the securities to Non-U.S. Holders (subject to compliance by such holders with the certification requirement described above and to the discussions regarding Sections 871(m) and 897 of the Code and FATCA). However, in the event of a change of law or any formal or informal guidance by the IRS, the U.S. Treasury Department or Congress, we may decide to withhold on payments made with respect to the securities to Non-U.S. Holders, and we will not be required to pay any additional amounts with respect to amounts withheld. Accordingly, Non-U.S. Holders should consult their tax advisers regarding all aspects of the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, including the possible implications of the notice referred to above.

Section 871(m) Withholding Tax on Dividend Equivalents

Section 871(m) of the Code and Treasury regulations promulgated thereunder (“Section 871(m)”) generally impose a 30% (or a lower applicable treaty rate) withholding tax on dividend equivalents paid or deemed paid to Non-U.S. Holders with respect to certain financial instruments

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Principal at Risk Securities

 

linked to U.S. equities or indices that include U.S. equities (each, an “Underlying Security”). Subject to certain exceptions, Section 871(m) generally applies to securities that substantially replicate the economic performance of one or more Underlying Securities, as determined based on tests set forth in the applicable Treasury regulations (a “Specified Security”). However, pursuant to an IRS notice, Section 871(m) will not apply to securities issued before January 1, 2027 that do not have a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security. Based on the terms of the securities and current market conditions, we expect that the securities will not have a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security on the pricing date. However, we will provide an updated determination in the final pricing supplement. Assuming that the securities do not have a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security, our counsel is of the opinion that the securities should not be Specified Securities and, therefore, should not be subject to Section 871(m).

Our determination is not binding on the IRS, and the IRS may disagree with this determination. Section 871(m) is complex and its application may depend on your particular circumstances, including whether you enter into other transactions with respect to an Underlying Security. If withholding is required, we will not be required to pay any additional amounts with respect to the amounts so withheld. You should consult your tax adviser regarding the potential application of Section 871(m) to the securities.

U.S. Federal Estate Tax

Individual Non-U.S. Holders and entities the property of which is potentially includible in such an individual’s gross estate for U.S. federal estate tax purposes (for example, a trust funded by such an individual and with respect to which the individual has retained certain interests or powers), should note that, absent an applicable treaty exemption, the securities may be treated as U.S. situs property subject to U.S. federal estate tax. Prospective investors that are non-U.S. individuals, or are entities of the type described above, should consult their tax advisers regarding the U.S. federal estate tax consequences of an investment in the securities.

Backup Withholding and Information Reporting

Information returns may be filed with the IRS in connection with the payment on the securities at maturity as well as in connection with the payment of proceeds from a sale, exchange or other disposition of the securities. A Non-U.S. Holder may be subject to backup withholding in respect of amounts paid to the Non-U.S. Holder, unless such Non-U.S. Holder complies with certification procedures to establish that it is not a U.S. person for U.S. federal income tax purposes or otherwise establishes an exemption. Compliance with the certification procedures described above under “―Tax Treatment upon Sale, Exchange or Settlement of the securities – Certification Requirement” will satisfy the certification requirements necessary to avoid backup withholding as well. The amount of any backup withholding from a payment to a Non-U.S. Holder will be allowed as a credit against the Non-U.S. Holder’s U.S. federal income tax liability and may entitle the Non-U.S. Holder to a refund, provided that the required information is timely furnished to the IRS.

FATCA

Legislation commonly referred to as “FATCA” generally imposes a withholding tax of 30% on payments to certain non-U.S. entities (including financial intermediaries) with respect to certain financial instruments, unless various U.S. information reporting and due diligence requirements have been satisfied. An intergovernmental agreement between the United States and the non-U.S. entity’s jurisdiction may modify these requirements. FATCA generally applies to certain financial instruments that are treated as paying U.S.-source interest or other U.S.-source “fixed or determinable annual or periodical” income (“FDAP income”). If the securities were recharacterized as debt instruments, FATCA would apply to any payment of amounts treated as interest and to payments of gross proceeds of the disposition (including upon retirement) of the securities. However, under proposed regulations (the preamble to which specifies that taxpayers are permitted to rely on them pending finalization), no withholding will apply on payments of gross proceeds (other than amounts treated as FDAP income). If withholding were to apply to the securities, we would not be required to pay any additional amounts with respect to amounts withheld. Both U.S. and Non-U.S. Holders should consult their tax advisers regarding the potential application of FATCA to the securities.

The discussion in the preceding paragraphs under “United States Federal Taxation,” insofar as it purports to describe provisions of U.S. federal income tax laws or legal conclusions with respect thereto, constitutes the full opinion of Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP regarding the material U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the

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securities.

Use of proceeds and hedging:

The proceeds from the sale of the securities will be used by us for general corporate purposes. We will receive, in aggregate, $1,000 per security issued, because, when we enter into hedging transactions in order to meet our obligations under the securities, our hedging counterparty will reimburse the cost of the agent’s commissions. The costs of the securities borne by you and described beginning on page 6 above comprise the agent’s commissions and the cost of issuing, structuring and hedging the securities.

On or prior to November 27, 2024, we will hedge our anticipated exposure in connection with the securities by entering into hedging transactions with our affiliates and/or third-party dealers. We expect our hedging counterparties to take positions in the futures contract, in the stocks constituting the reference index, in futures and/or options contracts on the reference index or the stocks constituting the reference index listed on major securities markets, or positions in any other available securities or instruments that they may wish to use in connection with such hedging. Such purchase activity could potentially increase the initial index value, and, as a result, increase the value at or above which the underlying index must close on the final observation date so that you are not exposed to the negative performance of the underlying index at maturity. These entities may be unwinding or adjusting hedge positions during the term of the securities, and the hedging strategy may involve greater and more frequent dynamic adjustments to the hedge as the final observation date approaches. Additionally, our hedging activities, as well as our other trading activities, during the term of the securities could potentially affect the value of the underlying index on the final observation date, and, accordingly, the amount of cash you will receive at maturity.

Additional considerations:

Client accounts over which Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management or any of their respective subsidiaries have investment discretion are not permitted to purchase the securities, either directly or indirectly.

Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest:

MS & Co. expects to sell all of the securities that it purchases from us to an unaffiliated dealer at a price of $ per security, for further sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts at the price to public of $1,000 per security. MS & Co. will not receive a sales commission with respect to the securities.

MS & Co. is an affiliate of MSFL and a wholly owned subsidiary of Morgan Stanley, and it and other affiliates of ours expect to make a profit by selling, structuring and, when applicable, hedging the securities. When MS & Co. prices this offering of securities, it will determine the economic terms of the securities, including the redemption payment amounts, such that for each security the estimated value on the pricing date will be no lower than the minimum level described in “Investment Summary” beginning on page 4.

MS & Co. will conduct this offering in compliance with the requirements of FINRA Rule 5121 of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Inc., which is commonly referred to as FINRA, regarding a FINRA member firm’s distribution of the securities of an affiliate and related conflicts of interest. MS & Co. or any of our other affiliates may not make sales in this offering to any discretionary account.

In order to facilitate the offering of the securities, the agent may engage in transactions that stabilize, maintain or otherwise affect the price of the securities. Specifically, the agent may sell more securities than it is obligated to purchase in connection with the offering, creating a naked short position in the securities, for its own account. The agent must close out any naked short position by purchasing the securities in the open market. A naked short position is more likely to be created if the agent is concerned that there may be downward pressure on the price of the securities in the open market after pricing that could adversely affect investors who purchase in the offering. As an additional means of facilitating the offering, the agent may bid for, and purchase, the securities or the securities underlying the underlying index in the open market to stabilize the price of the securities. Any of these activities may raise or maintain the market price of the securities above independent market levels or prevent or retard a decline in the market price of the securities. The agent is not required to engage in these activities, and may end any of these activities at any time. An affiliate of the agent has entered into a hedging transaction with us in connection with this offering of securities. See “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” in the accompanying prospectus supplement and “Use of Proceeds and Hedging” above.

Where you can find more information:

Morgan Stanley and MSFL have filed a registration statement (including a prospectus, as supplemented by the prospectus supplement and the index supplement) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, for the offering to which this communication relates. You should

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read the prospectus in that registration statement, the prospectus supplement, the index supplement and any other documents relating to this offering that Morgan Stanley and MSFL have filed with the SEC for more complete information about Morgan Stanley, MSFL and this offering. When you read the accompanying prospectus supplement and index supplement, please note that all references in such supplements to the prospectus dated November 16, 2023, or to any sections therein, should refer instead to the accompanying prospectus dated April 12, 2024 or to the corresponding sections of such prospectus, as applicable. You may get these documents without cost by visiting EDGAR on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, Morgan Stanley, MSFL, any underwriter or any dealer participating in the offering will arrange to send you the prospectus, the prospectus supplement and the index supplement if you so request by calling toll-free 1-(800)-584-6837.

You may access these documents on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov as follows:

Prospectus Supplement dated November 16, 2023

Index Supplement dated November 16, 2023

Prospectus dated April 12, 2024

Terms used but not defined in this preliminary pricing supplement are defined in the prospectus supplement, in the index supplement or in the prospectus.

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Principal at Risk Securities

 

Annex A — S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

The S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index (the “underlying index”) is an equity futures index calculated, maintained and published by S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P®”). S&P® is a joint venture between S&P® Global, Inc. (majority owner) and CME Group Inc. (minority owner), owner of CME Group Index Services LLC. The underlying index is reported by Bloomberg under the ticker symbol “SPXFP.” All information contained in this document regarding the underlying index has been derived from publicly available information, without independent verification.

The underlying index is the excess return version of the S&P 500 Futures Index, which measures the performance of the nearest maturing quarterly E-mini S&P 500 futures contract trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (“CME”). The underlying index includes a provision for the replacement of the E-mini futures contract as the contract approaches maturity (also referred to as “rolling” or “the roll”). This replacement occurs over a one-day rolling period every March, June, September and December, effective after the close of trading five business days preceding the last trading date of the E-mini S&P futures contract.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Contract

The underlying index is constructed from the front-month E-mini S&P 500 futures contract (the “futures contract”). Futures contracts are contracts that legally obligate the holder to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined delivery price during a specified future time period. The futures contract is rolled forward once a quarter, with one-third of the contract being rolled forward on each of the fourth, third, and second day prior to expiration.

The E-mini S&P 500 futures (“ES”) contracts are U.S. dollar-denominated futures contracts, based on the S&P 500® Index (the “reference index”), traded on the CME, representing a contract unit of $50 multiplied by the reference index, measured in cents per index point. The ES contracts listed for the nearest nine quarters, for each March, June, September and December, and the nearest three Decembers are available for trading. Trading of the ES contracts terminates at 9:30 A.M. Eastern time on the third Friday of the contract month. The daily settlement prices of the ES contracts are based on trading activity in the relevant contract (and in the case of a lead month also being the expiry month, together with trading activity on lead month-second month spread contracts) on the CME during a specified settlement period. The final settlement price of ES contracts is based on the opening prices of the component stocks in the reference index, determined on the third Friday of the contract month. For more information about the reference index, see “S&P® U.S. Indices—S&P 500® Index” in the accompanying index supplement.

Underlying Index Calculation

The underlying index, calculated from the price change of the futures contract, reflects the excess return of the S&P 500 Futures Index. The level of the underlying index on a trading day is calculated as follows:

IndexERd = IndexERd-1 × (1 + CDRd)

where:

IndexERd-1

=

The Excess Return Index level on the preceding business day, defined as any date on which the index is calculated

CDRd

=

The Contract Daily return, defined as:

 

where:

 

 

 

 

 

t

=

The business day on which the calculation is made

 

 

TDW0t

=

Total Dollar Weight Obtained on t, defined as:

CRW1t-1 × DCRP1t + CRW2t-1 × DCRP2t

 

 

TDWIt-1

=

Total Dollar Weight Invested on the business day preceding t, defined as:

CRW1t-1 × DCRP1t-1 + CRW2t-1 × DCRP2t-1

 

 

CRW1

=

The contract roll weight of the first nearby contract expiration

 

 

CRW2

=

The contract roll weight of the roll in contract expiration

 

 

DCRP t

=

The Daily Contract Reference Price (the official closing price per futures contract, as designated by the relevant exchange) of the futures contract

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All Payments on the Securities Based on the Performance of the S&P 500® Futures Excess Return Index

Principal at Risk Securities

 

The underlying index is calculated on an excess return basis, meaning that the level of the underlying index is determined by its weighted return reduced by the return that could be earned on a notional cash deposit at the notional interest rate, which is a rate equal to the federal funds rate.

Overview of Futures Markets

Futures contracts are traded on regulated futures exchanges, in the over-the-counter market and on various types of electronic trading facilities and markets. As of the date of this pricing supplement, the futures contract is an exchange-traded futures contract. A futures contract provides for a specified settlement month in which the cash settlement is made by the seller (whose position is therefore described as “short”) and acquired by the purchaser (whose position is therefore described as “long”).

No purchase price is paid or received on the purchase or sale of a futures contract. Instead, an amount of cash or cash equivalents must be deposited with the broker as “initial margin.” This amount varies based on the requirements imposed by the exchange clearing houses, but it may be lower than 5% of the notional value of the contract. This margin deposit provides collateral for the obligations of the parties to the futures contract.

By depositing margin, which may vary in form depending on the exchange, with the clearing house or broker involved, a market participant may be able to earn interest on its margin funds, thereby increasing the total return that it may realize from an investment in futures contracts. However, the underlying index is not a total return index and does not reflect interest that could be earned on funds notionally committed to the trading of futures contracts.

At any time prior to the expiration of a futures contract, a trader may elect to close out its position by taking an opposite position on the exchange on which the trader obtained the position, subject to the availability of a liquid secondary market. This operates to terminate the position and fix the trader’s profit or loss. Futures contracts are cleared through the facilities of a centralized clearing house and a brokerage firm that is a member of the clearing house. Futures exchanges may adopt rules and take other actions that affect trading, including imposing speculative position limits, maximum price fluctuations and trading halts and suspensions and requiring liquidation of contracts in certain circumstances.

---

The securities are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by S&P®. S&P® makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, to the owners of the securities or any member of the public regarding the advisability of investing in securities generally or in the securities particularly or the ability of the underlying index to track general stock market performance. The underlying index is determined, composed and calculated by S&P® without regard to us or the securities. S&P® has no obligation to take our needs or the needs of the owners of the securities into consideration in determining, composing or calculating the underlying index. S&P® is not responsible for and has not participated in the determination of the timing of, prices at, or quantities of the securities to be issued or in the determination or calculation of the equation by which the securities are to be converted into cash. S&P® has no obligation or liability in connection with the administration, marketing or trading of the securities.

S&P® DOES NOT GUARANTEE THE ACCURACY AND/OR THE COMPLETENESS OF THE S&P 500® FUTURES EXCESS RETURN INDEX, THE S&P 500® INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. S&P® MAKES NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY MORGAN STANLEY, OWNERS OF THE SECURITIES, OR ANY OTHER PERSON OR ENTITY FROM THE USE OF THE S&P 500® FUTURES EXCESS RETURN INDEX, THE S&P 500® INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. S&P® MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND HEREBY EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE WITH RESPECT TO THE S&P 500® FUTURES EXCESS RETURN INDEX, THE S&P 500® INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT SHALL S&P® HAVE ANY LIABILITY FOR ANY SPECIAL, PUNITIVE, INDIRECT OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (INCLUDING LOST PROFITS), EVEN IF NOTIFIED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES.

“Standard & Poor’s®,” “S&P®,” “S&P 500®,” “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of Standard and Poor’s Financial Services LLC.

December 2024 Page 32


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