Prospective investors and Shareholders should be aware that an investment in the Company is speculative and involves a high degree of risk. In addition to other information contained in this Circular, the Directors consider the following risk factors are of particular relevance to Shareholders in their consideration of how to cast their vote at the General Meeting. It should be noted that this list is not exhaustive and that other risk factors not presently known or currently deemed immaterial may apply. The risks set out below are not presented in any order of priority.

Shareholders in any doubt about the action they should take should consult their stockbroker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant or other independent financial adviser authorised under FSMA if they are in the UK or, in the case of overseas investors, another appropriately authorised financial adviser.

RISKS RELATED TO THE GREENSTONE PLACING NOT PROCEEDING

Shareholders should note the following risk factors related to the Greenstone Placing not proceeding for any reason:

If the Resolution is not approved, the Greenstone Placing will not proceed

If the Resolution is not approved, the Greenstone Placing will not proceed. Without access to the funds from the Greenstone Placing, the Company would immediately need to seek to secure alternative sources of funds to enable it to fund its corporate activities in the period immediately following the General Meeting. The Independent Directors are unable to provide any assurance that any alternative financing could immediately be secured or, that if it were secured, it would be on terms as favourable to the Company or would not result in a substantial dilution of Shareholders' interests. If no funds were immediately available, it is highly likely that the Company would cease to be able to trade, in which circumstances it is unlikely that there would be any value attributable to Shareholders. The Independent Directors have, before entering negotiations with Greenstone, considered alternative sources of financing (including both debt and equity funding) and believe it is highly unlikely that the Company could secure funding on as favourable terms on a timely basis in such circumstances particularly given the recent downturn in commodity prices. Even if financing were immediately available and the Company were able to continue trading, the Independent Directors believe that the circumstances of such financing could result in a material adverse effect on the share price of the Company.

If the Greenstone Placing does not succeed, it is unlikely that the proposed Open Offer and Placing will proceed

The Greenstone Placing provides, inter alia, for the proposed Open Offer and Placing to be carried out by the Company to be conditionally fully underwritten by Greenstone pursuant to the Underwriting Facility. If the Greenstone Placing does not complete, the Independent Directors believe that it is unlikely that the Company would be able to attract sufficient support for the Open Offer and the Placing from Qualifying Shareholders and third party investors to raise the level of finance required as part of the Phase One Fundraising to proceed with development of the Namib Project (up to a construction decision, which would also be dependent on the issue of the Mining Licence and Phase Two Fundraising being achieved).

Alternative funding options are unlikely to be available

If the Resolution is not approved, the Independent Directors believe that it is highly unlikely that the Company will be able to secure appropriate financing on as favourable terms. Any alternative equity solution would either require a "cash box structure", for which the Company would not need shareholder approval but in which the majority of existing Shareholders would not be able to participate, or the Company would need to secure further shareholder approval or prepare a prospectus and offer the relevant equity securities to all Shareholders in all jurisdictions in proportion to their existing holdings. The Independent Directors do not consider seeking alternative shareholder approval or issuing a prospectus would generate sufficient funds, quickly enough, to secure the Company's survival in its present form, or at all. Due to the time and costs involved in securing further shareholder approval or preparing a prospectus and having the same approved by the UK Listing Authority, and with the requirement to comply with applicable securities law restrictions in other jurisdictions in which shareholders are resident, this process would be prohibitively expensive and time consuming for the Company given current time constraints and cash resources. In addition, having spoken to multiple parties, the Independent Directors are of the view that debt finance is also becoming more difficult to obtain particularly given the recent downturn in commodity prices.

The Greenstone Placing may not take place as planned even if the Resolution is approved

Completion of the Greenstone Placing is subject to the Conditions being waived or satisfied (described above). There can be no assurance that completion of the Greenstone Placing will take place under the Subscription Agreement, including if any of the Conditions are not met. In the event that completion of the Greenstone Placing does not take place for any reason, in full or at all, the Company will be required to look for alternative sources of funding, which cannot be guaranteed to be available on the same terms or at all.

Impact on Group's financial resilience

If the Greenstone Placing does not proceed, the Group will have less financial flexibility particularly in the event of any significant deterioration in market conditions and will have to consider alternative funding options which may not be as favourable. In the event the Greenstone Placing is not completed, and no alternative sources of funds become available, the Company will likely be in financial distress, and will, in all likelihood, have to cease work on the Namib Project and continue on a care and maintenance basis and/or consider liquidation.

RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH THE GREENSTONE PLACING PROCEEDING

If the Greenstone Placing does complete, Shareholders should note the following risk factors:

Possible requirement for Greenstone to make a Mandatory Offer for the Company

Even if the Resolution is approved, Greenstone is not seeking a waiver from the Panel (and approval of such waiver from the independent Shareholders of the Company) of the requirement to make a Mandatory Offer on any increase to Greenstone's percentage shareholding of the then Issued Share Capital to 30 per cent. or more.

As such, if Greenstone increases its shareholding to 30 per cent. or more of the then Issued Share Capital, it will be required to make a Mandatory Offer for the Company at the highest price paid by Greenstone (or any party with whom it is acting in concert) for any interest in Ordinary Shares in the previous 12 month period.

If the Greenstone Placing proceeds, Greenstone will continue to own approximately 29.48 per cent. of the Issued Share Capital and will have the ability to increase its shareholding on any conversion of the Tranche One Notes. Pursuant to the terms of the Subscription Agreement and Convertible Loan Note Instrument, the Tranche One Notes will, either in full or in part, convert automatically into new Ordinary Shares on completion of the proposed Open Offer and Placing, but only so far as will not cause Greenstone's shareholding to exceed 29.99 per cent. of the then Issued Share Capital.

However, Greenstone may, subject to completion of the Greenstone Placing, at its discretion, convert all of the Tranche One Notes at the Conversion Price and trigger a Mandatory Offer for the Company at the highest price paid by Greenstone (or any party with whom it is acting in concert) for any interest in Ordinary Shares in the previous 12 month period.

Depending on the level of acceptances received under the proposed Open Offer, participation in the proposed Placing by third party investors and satisfaction or waiver of the Conditions, Greenstone may, pursuant to the Underwriting Facility, be required to subscribe for the Underwriting Loan Notes in addition to the Tranche One Notes (up to a total amount of US$4.0 million). Further, the Company may be required to issue additional Convertible Loan Notes to settle unpaid interest, which could amount to up to approximately US$1.2 million (ignoring any possible grossing up for withholding tax) of additional Convertible Loan Notes if no interest were paid (and more if they continue unpaid after the expected final repayment date).

If the Underwriting Facility is used, or further Convertible Loan Notes are issued in respect of unpaid interest, Greenstone may, at its discretion, convert the Tranche One Notes and the Underwriting Loan Notes and any such further Convertible Loan Notes and trigger a Mandatory Offer for the Company at the highest price paid by Greenstone (or any party with whom it is acting in concert) for any interest in Ordinary Shares in the previous 12 month period (although it should be noted that it would be for the Shareholders to decide at the relevant time whether to accept or reject such offer, depending on the offer price, the then prevailing price per Ordinary Share and other relevant circumstances at that time).

It should be noted that the Convertible Loan Notes are freely transferable, and so the above analysis may, also, depending on the relevant holding of interests in Ordinary Shares of any transferee to whom Greenstone transfers Convertible Loan Notes, apply to such transferee.

As at the date of this announcement, Greenstone has not indicated any intention to trigger a Mandatory Offer.

Influence of significant Shareholder and Relationship Agreement

North River (LSE:NRRP)
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